Crystal Palace vs West Ham Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips

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TournamentPremier League
Timetable15:00 GMT, 21st Apr 24
PredictionPalace to win!
Odds2.30
BookmakerPalmslots Sport
The best odds
1.
Palm​slots Sport
Odds : 2.30
Bet €100 and win €230 if Crystal Palace win.
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€200
2.
Bet €100 and win €220 if Crystal Palace win.
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3.
Betiton
Odds : 2.15
Bet €100 and win €215 if Crystal Palace win.
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crystal-palace-v-west-ham crystal-palace-v-west-ham

Oliver Glasner’s Palace side delivered a statement win at Anfield last weekend, with the Eagles keeping a clean sheet while accumulating an xG of 2.13. This ended a six-game winless streak for the London club, who now have the visit of rivals West Ham to look forward to. The Hammers have won just two of their last six away matches and remain in inconsistent form, having only strung together consecutive Premier League victories once in 2024. However, David Moyes’ team are just two points off sixth and a Europa League place, so they’ll be desperate for three points here. But which team do I think will win at Selhurst Park?

🏆 Crystal Palace vs West Ham EPL Prediction

These two teams did battle in an underwhelming EPL clash at the London Stadium in December, sharing the spoils after a 1-1 draw. West Ham and Palace accumulated respective xG values of 1.15 and 0.99 during the 90 minutes, while the Hammers have now won just once in their previous five head-to-head encounters with the Eagles.

Both of these sides are defensively well-organised, with Palace having attempted a league-high 642 tackles and won 53.90% of these. They’ve also attempted an impressive 87 tackles in the attacking third. Interestingly, Palace have made just five errors leading to an opponent’s shot on goal this season, with no team faring better according to this metric.

Although the Eagles are one of the few EPL sides to average less possession per 90 than West Ham (41.20% vs 41.70%), they’ve become considerably more proactive under the stewardship of Glasner. This is borne out by the stats from his first seven matches in charge, with Palace averaging 43.20% possession since the Austrian’s appointment and producing a much higher xG per 90 (1.38).

I certainly expect Palace to dominate the ball at Selhurst Park, while West Ham look to remain in their defensive shape and launch rapid counterattacks. However, the Hammers have only managed 664 touches in the attacking penalty area so far this season and they’ll face a tough Europa League game against Leverkusen in midweek too, so I’m tipping Palace to record back-to-back victories at Selhurst Park.

My Prediction: 🏆 Crystal Palace 2 - 1 West Ham ⚽

💯 Crystal Palace vs West Ham EPL Match Odds

This is an incredibly even and difficult match to call, despite these two teams being separated by 15 points in the Premier League. Certainly, Palace’s improvement under Glasner has partially bridged this gap, and this may influence your choice of betting markets. But how are the most popular markets being priced by Ireland’s best betting sites?

🏅 Crystal Palace vs West Ham: Match Winner

Home advantage has helped to establish Palace as the pre-game favourites against West Ham, with their average price of 2.20 implying a 45.45% probability of an Eagles victory. Conversely, you can back the Hammers to prevail at around 3.05, suggesting that they have just a 32.78% of earning a win on the road.

Team
Crystal Palace to Win2.102.202.152.302.15
West Ham to Win3.103.103.003.003.10
Draw3.503.403.453.503.50

⚽ Crystal Palace vs West Ham: Both Teams To Score

Both teams have scored in 67% of Palace’s 15 EPL home matches this season, with the Eagles keeping three clean sheets at Selhurst Park and failing to score on four occasions. However, they’ve scored in eight consecutive home games since December 6th. Both sides have found the net in 12 of the Hammers’ 16 away matches in the Premier League (75%). David Moyes’ team have kept just a single clean sheet on the road and failed to score on three occasions.

Yes/No
Yes1.601.651.561.601.57
No2.202.202.232.202.25

🥅 Crystal Palace vs West Ham: Over/Under 2.5 Goals

The Eagles’ 15 home matches in the 2023/24 Premier League have yielded 41 goals in total, at a rate of 2.73 per game. They’ve conceded 23 of these goals at a rate of 1.53 per 90 minutes. The 16 matches contested by the Hammers on the road have produced a whopping 59 goals at the much higher rate of 3.68 per 90. They’ve also shipped an alarming 33 away goals at more than 2.00 per game.

Under/Over
Over 2.5 Goals1.701.751.691.731.73
Under 2.5 Goals2.052.052.012.052.10

✔️ Crystal Palace vs West Ham - Betting Tips

Of course, you can choose from a huge range of football betting markets when wagering on Crystal Palace v West Ham. But which of these markets offer the most impressive returns, and can you create value through combination betting? Here are some tips to keep in mind.

  • Tip 1: Back Crystal Palace to Win and Both Teams to Score: Although the odds only imply a 45.45% probability of a Palace win, this doesn’t reflect their improved performances under Glasner or the potential impact of West Ham’s Europa League clash with Leverkusen. Remember, the Hammers have also won just two of their previous six EPL away contests. The pre-game odds imply a 62.5% probability of both teams scoring at Selhurst Park too, with Place having netted in eight successive home games and West Ham a constant threat in transition. So, why not back Palace to win and both teams to score at a price of 4.20 with PalmSlots Sports?
  • Tip 2: Back Jean-Philippe Mateta as an Anytime Goalscorer: If you want to make use of one of your free bets, you could consider wagering on the anytime goalscorer market. Palace striker Jean-Philippe Mateta offers value here, as he has scored three times in his last five Premier League appearances and led the line superbly at Anfield last weekend. He now has seven EPL goals this season from 31 shots and an xG of exactly 7.00, and you can back him to score at any time this weekend at the competitive price of 3.00 with 1Bet Sports.
  • Tip 3: Back the Second Half to be the Highest Scoring: Neither of these sides are quick starters, with Palace scoring 23 of their 37 Premier League goals in the second half of matches (62%). They’ve also conceded 36 times during the second half, with only Burnley, Luton and Sheffield United shipping more during this period. The Hammers have also scored and conceded more during the second half of matches through 2023/24. So, consider backing the second half to see the most goals at a price of 2.10 with Legend Play.

1️⃣ Crystal Palace Update

Oliver Glasner has now won two of his seven matches in charge of Crystal Palace, with the victory at Anfield highlighting just how the Eagles have improved both in and out of possession under the Austrian. However, Palace continue to suffer from the hangover of Roy Hodgson’s troubled reign, earning just two wins and nine points from the 30 available to them over the course of the previous 10 matches. Their home form has picked up slightly of late, as they’ve triumphed in three of their last six games at Selhurst Park after a seven-match winless run between September 3rd and December 30th.

Last 5 Games
Liverpool 0
Crystal Palace 1
14.04.24
Premier League
Crystal Palace 2
Man City 4
06.04.24
Premier League
Bournemouth 1
Crystal Palace 0
02.04.24
Premier League
Nottingham Forest 1
Crystal Palace 1
30.03.24
Premier League
Crystal Palace 1
Luton 1
09.03.24
Premier League

Matheus Franca is a doubt and will be assessed ahead of the visit of West Ham, as he struggles with a groin injury. Both Jesurun Rak-Sakyi (thigh) and Christopher Richards (knee) have been ruled out until the end of April, while neither Rob Holding (foot) nor Marc Guehi (knee) will play again until May. Keeper Sam Johnstone (elbow) and young midfielder Cheick Doucoure (calf) have been ruled out for the remainder of the campaign but should return to training ahead of the 2024/25 season.

PlayerReason
Christopher Richards Knee Injury
Rob Holding Foot Injury
Cheick Doucoure Calf Injury
Marc Guehi Knee Injury
Sam Johnstone Elbow Injury
Matheus França Groin Injury
Jesurun Rak-Sakyi Thigh Injury

2️⃣ West Ham Update

Despite remaining just two points off sixth place, West Ham have only taken three more points than Palace (12) from the previous 30 available to them. They’ve won just one of their last six Premier League matches too, since a clinical 3-1 victory at Everton on March 2nd. This was one of two victories in their previous six away games, with the Hammers’ form on the road having tailed off since the beginning of 2024. The speculation surrounding the future of beleaguered manager David Moyes and an exhausting Europa League campaign have certainly contributed to West Ham’s questionable form, while the recent absence of Jarrod Bowen has hardly helped matters.

Last 5 Games
West Ham 0
Fulham 2
14.04.24
Premier League
Bayer Leverkusen 2
West Ham 0
11.04.24
Europa League
Wolves 1
West Ham 2
06.04.24
Premier League
West Ham 1
Tottenham 1
02.04.24
Premier League
Newcastle 4
West Ham 3
30.03.24
Premier League

Bowen has been suffering from a lower back injury, but he’ll be assessed ahead of the Europa League clash against Leverkusen at the London Stadium and may be fit for the weekend. Both Alphonse Areola (groin injury) and on-loan midfielder Kalvin Phillips (thigh) will also face late fitness tests this week, so could feature at Selhurst Park. Youngster George Earthy will be assessed after suffering a head injury during the defeat against Fulham too. However, the match may come a little too soon for Konstantinos Mavropanos, who has a knock and is expected to return next week.

PlayerReason
Jarrod Bowen Lower Back Injury
Alphonse Areola Groin Injury
Kalvin Phillips Thigh Injury
George Earthy Concussion
Konstantinos Mavropanos Knock

👕 Crystal Palace vs West Ham - Potential Lineups

Pos. Crystal Palace
3-4-3
West Ham
4-2-3-1
Pos.
Goalkeeper D. Henderson A. Areola Goalkeeper
Right Centre Back J. Ward V. Coufal Right Back
Centre Back J. Andersen K. Zouma Centre Back
Left Centre Back J. Lerma N. Aguerd Centre Back
Right Wing Back D. Munoz Emerson Left Back
Central Midfielder A. Wharton E. Alvarez Midfielder
Central Midfielder W. Hughes J. Ward-Prowse Midfielder
Left Wing Back T. Mitchell Lucas Paquetá Midfielder
Wide Forward M. Olise J. Bowen Wide Forward
Striker J. Mateta M. Antonio Striker
Wide Forward E. Eze M. Kudus Wide Forward

✒️ Lewis Humphries – Expert Tipster

Lewis Humphries is an experienced football writer and tipster from the UK. He writes regularly about the Champions League, Premier League, Serie A and other competitions, regularly delivering expert match predictions and betting insights. He also successfully predicted the winner of the 2022 FIFA World Cup, while accurately forecasting the outcome of several group stage and knockout games.

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