Brighton vs Everton Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips

brighton-v-everton-logo brighton-v-everton-logo
TournamentPremier League
Timetable15:00 GMT, 24th Feb 24
PredictionBrighton to Win!
Odds1.83
Brighton to Win!
The best odds
1.
betway
Odds : 1.83
Bet €100 and win €183 if Brighton win.
Bonus:
€50+ 50 Free Spins
2.
Betiton
Odds : 1.80
Bet €100 and win €180 if Brighton win.
Bonus:
€10
3.
Legend Play Sports
Odds : 1.80
Bet €100 and win €180 if Brighton win.
Bonus:
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Neither of these sides have been able to win or perform consistently this season, with Brighton having won just three of their previous 10 Premier League matches. As for the Toffees, they’re now winless in eight games following a promising run of form and five wins in six between November 11th and December 16th. However, Brighton have only lost once at home since the beginning of the season, while Everton have won more points on the road (17) than they have at home (13). So, who will win this intriguing matchup, and how are the best betting sites pricing all potential outcomes?

🏆 Brighton vs Everton EPL Prediction

The corresponding fixture last season saw Everton record a stunning 5-1 win, as their direct brand of counter-attacking football caused endless issues for Brighton’s high defensive line. Interestingly, the Toffees have only lost two of their last eight encounters with Brighton, while they haven’t been defeated at the AMEX Stadium since October 2019.

It’s not hard to envisage how this match will play out, with Brighton averaging 61.9% possession per 90 during this season’s Premier League. Conversely, Everton’s average possession share is just 39.4%, so they’ll adopt a deep defensive line and look to crowd Brighton out centrally before hitting the Seagulls on the counterattack.

This served them well in their previous trip to the south coast, but this current Everton side are winless in eight games and have scored just five goals during this run. Only Burnley (25) and Sheffield United (19) have scored less than Everton’s tally of 27 goals this season, although it should be noted that the Toffees have underperformed their xG by an astonishing -10.7 goals.

The Seagulls have outperformed their own xG of 42.3 by +2.7 goals this season, while they put five goals past a hapless Blades side in their last EPL outing. Given this and the fact that Everton may struggle to get hold of the ball at the AMEX this weekend, I’m tipping Brighton to record a comfortable win and potentially keep their first clean sheet since January 22nd.

My Prediction: 🏆 Brighton 2 – 0 Everton ⚽

💯 Brighton vs Everton EPL Match Odds

The reverse fixture at Goodison Park in November also produced a classic cat-and-mouse encounter, which ultimately ended in a 1-1 draw. The Seagulls had an astonishing 80% possession that day, but struggled to turn their dominance of the ball into clear-cut chances. But how has this influenced the most popular betting markets, and what are the latest Brighton vs Everton odds?

🏅 Brighton vs Everton: Match Winner

Despite the most recent results between these two sides, Brighton are the 1.80 favourites to defeat Everton this weekend. This implies a 55.55% probability of a home win. As for Everton, they can be backed at around 4.00 to beat the Seagulls, which suggests that they have just a 25% chance of emerging victorious on the south coast.

Team
betway-logo betway-logo
Brighton to Win1.751.831.801.801.80
Everton to Win4.004.003.854.004.00
Draw3.803.753.753.903.80

⚽ Brighton vs Everton: Both Teams To Score

Both teams have scored in all but one of Brighton’s 12 home league games this season, with Wolves holding the Seagulls to a dour goalless draw at the AMEX on January 22nd. Conversely, just four of Everton’s 12 away matches have seen both sides find the net (33%), with the Toffees keeping three clean sheets and failing to score on five occasions (including their last three games on the road).

Yes/No
betway-logo betway-logo
Yes1.601.651.561.571.57
No2.202.202.272.302.25

🥅 Brighton vs Everton: Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Brighton’s 12 league matches at the AMEX have also yielded an impressive 41 goals at a rate of 3.41 per game, with the Seagulls scoring 26 times in front of their home fans. As for Everton, their 12 away matches have produced 31 goals at a rate of 2.58 per 90, so the odds unsurprisingly imply a higher probability of over 2.5 goals being scored in this game.

Under/Over
betway-logo betway-logo
Over 2.5 Goals1.621.651.621.671.67
Under 2.5 Goals2.152.202.142.202.10

✔️ Brighton vs Everton - Betting Tips

As you can see, there are a number of popular football betting markets that you can access when wagering on Brighton vs Everton. But which markets offer the most value, and can combination betting unlock potentially higher returns here?

  • Tip 1: Back Both Teams Not to Score: While the pre-game odds imply a higher probability of both teams scoring at the AMEX, they don’t necessarily reflect Everton’s recent form and lack of goals. Remember, Everton have failed to score in their previous three away games since a 2-1 defeat at Spurs on December 23rd, while they’re likely to be starved of possession and chances on the south coast. Brighton have also been much improved defensively since the turn of the year, so get on both teams not to score at a price of 2.30 with PalmSlots Sports.
  • Tip 2: Back Brighton to Win With Under 2.5 Goals Scored: If you have one or more free bets on your account, you may want to pursue combination betting ahead of the clash between Brighton and Everton. For example, you can back Brighton to win with under 2.5 goals scored at the enhanced price of 5.00 with Betway, with this reflecting both Everton’s lack of goal threat and the fact that the Seagulls have only been defeated once at the AMEX this season.
  • Tip 3: Back Danny Welbeck as an Anytime Scorer: If you’re in the market for an anytime goalscorer, considering backing Seagulls’ forward Danny Welbeck at a price of 3.25 with 1Bet Sports. The former Manchester United and Arsenal striker has contributed eight goal involvements (four goals and four assists) in 15 career appearances against the Toffees, while he also found the net last time out in the thrashing of Sheffield United at Bramall Lane. Welbeck is also likely to start given the continued absence of top scorer João Pedro.

1️⃣ Brighton Update

It’s interesting to note that despite sitting seventh in the Premier League table, Brighton have won just five of their 19 top-flight matches since September 24th. This sequence has also included eight draws and six defeats, although they have won two of their last three encounters while plundering 10 goals (and conceding just three). However, the Seagulls have continued to dominate the ball and create chances despite their enduring lack of consistency during this run, while only Man City and Liverpool have attempted more shots on target per 90 than Roberto De Zerbi’s men this season (5.80). I expect them to be similarly threatening against Everton.

Last 5 Games
Sheffield United 0
Brighton 5
18.02.24
Premier League
Tottenham 1
Brighton 2
10.02.24
Premier League
Brighton 4
Crystal Palace 1
03.02.24
Premier League
Luton Town 4
Brighton 0
30.01.24
Premier League
Sheffield United 2
Brighton 5
27.01.24
FA Cup

Brighton will be without James Milner (thigh injury) and Julio Ensico (knee) against Everton, with both players having been ruled out until early March. As I’ve already touched on, João Pedro is sidelined for another four weeks with his thigh complaint, while young Jack Hinshelwood (ankle) won’t return to first-team contention until early May. Solomon March may also miss the remainder of the season as he recovers from a serious knee injury.

PlayerReason
James Milner Thigh Injury
Julio Ensico Knee Injury
João Pedro Thigh Injury
Jack Hinshelwood Ankle Injury
Solomon March Knee Injury

2️⃣ Everton Update

After Everton were controversially docked 10 points on November 17th, the club embarked on a run of four wins in five Premier League matches. They kept clean sheets in all four victories too, as Nottingham Forest, Newcastle, Chelsea and Burnley were all put to the sword. However, the 2-0 victory at Turf Moor was Everton’s last in the EPL, as they’ve since failed to win in eight matches and slumped back to 17th place in the table. They’re only out of the relegation zone on goal difference, while the fact that they’ve scored just five goals (and only two from open play) in their eight game winless run will be of particular concern for manager Sean Dyche.

Last 5 Games
Everton 1
Crystal Palace 1
19.02.24
Premier League
Man City 2
Everton 0
10.02.24
Premier League
Everton 2
Tottenham 2
03.02.24
Premier League
Fulham 0
Everton 0
30.01.23
Premier League
Everton 1
Luton 2
27.01.23
FA Cup

Everton welcomed back top scorer Abdoulaye Doucouré against Crystal Palace earlier this week, while the Toffees could be further boosted by the return of both Seamus Coleman (virus) and Andre Gomes (calf injury) ahead of the trip to the south coast. Both players will face late fitness tests, but Arnaut Danjuma (ankle) and Dele Alli (groin) have been ruled out until March at least.

PlayerReason
Seamus Coleman Illness
Andre Gomes Calf Injury
Arnaut Danjuma Ankle Injury
Dele Alli Groin Injury

👕 Brighton vs Everton - Potential Lineups

Pos. Brighton
4-2-3-1
Everton
4-4-1-1
Pos.
Goalkeeper B. Verbruggen J. Pickford Goalkeeper
Right Back T. Lamptey A. Young Right Back
Centre Back Jan Paul van Hecke J. Tarkowski Centre Back
Centre Back L. Dunk J. Branthwaite Centre Back
Left Back P. Estupiñán V. Mykolenko Left Back
Midfielder P. Groß J. Harrison Right Midfielder
Midfielder B. Gilmour A. Onana Central Midfielder
Midfielder D. Welbeck J. Garner Central Midfielder
Wide Forward S. Adingra D. McNeil Left Midfielder
Striker E. Ferguson A. Doucouré Attacking Midfielder
Wide Forward K. Mitoma D. Calvert-Lewin Striker

Brighton to Win!

✒️ Lewis Humphries – Expert Tipster

Lewis Humphries is an experienced football writer and tipster from the UK. He writes regularly about the Champions League, Premier League, Serie A and other competitions, regularly delivering expert match predictions and betting insights. He also successfully predicted the winner of the 2022 FIFA World Cup, while accurately forecasting the outcome of several group stage and knockout games.

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