Aston Villa vs Bournemouth Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips

🏆 Aston Villa vs Bournemouth EPL Prediction

These two sides contested an exciting 2-2 draw at the Vitality Stadium in December, with Ollie Watkins’ last-gasp header securing a point for the Villains. However, Bournemouth created the better chances and accumulated an impressive xG of 2.55, compared to just 0.90 for a largely under-par Villa side.

This game reflected the strides made by the Cherries under new head coach Andoni Iraola, who has asked his charges to adopt a higher defensive and recover the ball in the final third as often as possible. To this end, they’ve completed 1723 ball recoveries this season (only Liverpool have recorded more), while the team has attempted 600 tackles and 88 in the attacking third.

Such tactics helped Bournemouth to dominate a disjointed Man United side last weekend, but they’re less effective on the road and against organised opponents such as Villa. Unai Emery’s side are also among the most impressive attacking forces in the league, averaging 3.58 goal-creation actions per 90 minutes. They’re also the fifth-highest scorers in this season’s EPL and have outperformed their xG of 60.80 by +7.20 goals.

Ultimately, I expect an open and entertaining match at Villa Park, during which the home team will dominate possession and Bournemouth will attempt to counter-press aggressively. However, Emery’s men were very impressive in victory at Arsenal and retained an incredible goal threat at home, and I’m tipping them to earn another crucial three points here.

💯 Aston Villa vs Bournemouth EPL Match Odds

When you bet on the EPL clash between Villa and Bournemouth, you can access a diverse selection of leading football betting markets. However, the most popular remain the match winner, BTTS and the over/under on how many goals will be scored the game. Let’s take a closer look at these markets.

🏅 Aston Villa vs Bournemouth: Match Winner

Unsurprisingly, Villa are the clear favourites to defeat Bournemouth at Villa Park. You can back Emery’s men to prevail at a price of around 1.75, implying a 57.14% probability of a home win. As for the Cherries, they have average odds of 4.00 in the win market, suggesting that they have just a 25.00% of recording their sixth away victory of the campaign.

Team
Aston Villa to Win	1.73	1.78	1.71	1.73	1.75
Bournemouth to Win	4.00	3.80	3.90	4.00	4.00
Draw	4.00	4.20	4.00	4.15	4.00

⚽ Aston Villa vs Bournemouth: Both Teams To Score

Both teams have scored in 11 of Aston Villa’s 16 home matches this season (69%), with Emery’s charges keeping just four clean sheets and failing to score only once. They’ve kept just a single clean sheet in their last eight home games since December 9th. Both sides have found the net in 73% of Bournemouth’s 15 away matches, with the Cherries keeping three clean sheets on the road and also drawing a single blank.

Yes/No
Yes	1.40	1.45	1.40	1.50	1.40
No	2.60	2.70	2.68	2.60	2.63

🥅 Aston Villa vs Bournemouth: Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Villa’s 16 home matches in 2023/24 have produced a whopping 62 goals at the impressive rate of 3.87 per game. They’ve scored 40 of these goals at a rate of 2.50 per 90 minutes. The 15 away EPL matches contested by Bournemouth have yielded 55 goals at a rate of 3.66 per 90, with the Cherries conceding 31 goals on the road at more than two goals per game.

Under/Over
Over 2.5 Goals	1.40	1.44	1.41	1.40	1.44
Under 2.5 Goals	2.60	2.70	2.63	2.75	2.63

1️⃣ Aston Villa Update

Villa’s impressive 2-0 win at the Emirates last weekend ended a run of just one win in five matches for Unai Emery’s men, while enabling the team to move three points clear of rivals Spurs in the quest for Champions League football next season. Overall, the Villains remain fifth in the EPL form table, having won five of their previous 10 games and taken 17 points from the 30 available to them since February 11th. However, Villa have won just two and lost three of their last six home matches, during which Emery’s side have also shipped a worrying 14 goals.

Douglas Luiz will miss out against Bournemouth, as he continues to serve a suspension after collecting 10 yellow cards in the Premier League. However, Matty Cash is back in training after recovering from a hamstring injury. Otherwise, Jacob Ramsey (foot), Boubacar Kamara (knee) and Tyrone Mings and Emiliano Buendia (both ACL injuries) remain long-term absentees and won’t feature again this season.

2️⃣ Bournemouth Update

Bournemouth’s season has been defined by winning and losing streaks, but they’ll be delighted to be have amassed 42 points from 32 matches so far and achieved safety with several games to spare. This is especially true after the Cherries endured a nine-match winless run from the beginning of the campaign. More recently, they’ve lost just one of their previous seven EPL matches and taken 14 points from the last 21 available to them, placing them sixth in the form table during this period. However, they’ve only won one of their previous six away matches in the Premier League, since a 3-2 win at the City Ground on December 23rd.

Luis Sinisterra was withdrawn during the first half of the clash against Man United last weekend, having suffered a reoccurrence of a previous thigh injury. He’ll be assessed ahead of the trip to Villa Park. However, Tyler Adams (lower back injury), Antoine Semenyo (calf) and Chris Mepham (illness) are all nearing a return to first-team action. Marcus Tavernier is sidelined until May with a thigh injury, while full back Ryan Fredericks is out for the remainder of the season with a calf complaint.

👕 Aston Villa vs Bournemouth- Potential Lineups

✒️ Lewis Humphries – Expert Tipster

Lewis Humphries is an experienced football writer and tipster from the UK. He writes regularly about the Champions League, Premier League, Serie A and other competitions, regularly delivering expert match predictions and betting insights. He also successfully predicted the winner of the 2022 FIFA World Cup, while accurately forecasting the outcome of several group stage and knockout games.