Arsenal vs Brentford Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips

arsenal-v-brentford-logo arsenal-v-brentford-logo
TournamentPremier League
Timetable17:30 GMT, 9th Mar 24
PredictionArsenal to Win!
Odds1.25
Arsenal to Win!
The best odds
1.
betway
Odds : 1.25
Bet €100 and win €125 if Arsenal win.
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2.
Palm Slots Sports
Odds : 1.22
Bet €100 and win €122 if Arsenal win.
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€200
3.
1​Bet Sports
Odds : 1.20
Bet €100 and win €120 if Arsenal win.
Bonus:

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Arsenal’s Premier League form has been stellar since the turn of the year, with the Gunners winning seven consecutive matches while scoring a staggering 31 goals. Their opponents Brentford are enduring a torrid time by comparison as they’ve won just two of their previous 13 EPL matches and slumped to 15th place in the table (the Bees now sit just six points clear of the relegation zone). So, Arsenal are the overwhelming betting favourites among the best betting sites in Ireland, but what odds can you get on Brentford springing a stunning surprise in North London?

🏆 Arsenal vs Brentford EPL Prediction

These two teams contested an incredibly close match at the Gtech Community Stadium in November, with Kai Havertz securing a 1-0 win for the Gunners with an 88th-minute header. These two teams had respective xG values of 1.66 and 1.83 that day, while the Bees were ultimately unfortunate not to secure a point.

However, Brentford have since won just three of 14 Premier League matches, and only one on the road at Wolves on February 10th. At the heart of their issues is a failure to take their chances, with the Bees having underperformed their xG value of 43.0 by -5.8 goals. They’ve also struggled defensively, conceding 50 goals in total this season and winning just 45.40% of their tackles.

They’ve also conceded two or more goals in nine of their previous 11 EPL matches, so a visit to face free-scoring Arsenal at the Emirates has arguably come at the worst possible time. The Gunners now average 4.19 goal-creating actions per 90 in the Premier League (a league high!), while the 31 goals that they’ve scored in their last seven matches have come from an xG of just 19.03.

So, it’s hard to look past a Gunners win here or count against Mikel Arteta’s side creating ample chances in front of goal. However, Brentford are always competitive and tenacious in their approach and I expect them to maintain a respectable scoreline while also finding the back of the net themselves in North London.

My Prediction: 🏆 Arsenal 3 – 1 Brentford ⚽

💯 Arsenal vs Brentford EPL Match Odds

This match unlocks a number of enticing football betting markets, including the match winner or result, BTTS and the over/under on the total number of goals that will be scored in the game.

🏅 Arsenal vs Brentford: Match Winner

As I’ve touched on, Arsenal are the overwhelming and justifiable favourites to defeat Brentford at the Emirates, with their average price of 1.20 implying an 83.33% probability of a home win. As for the Bees, they can be backed at around 11.00 to shock the Gunners in North London, suggesting that they have just a 9.09% chance of winning.

Team
betway-logo betway-logo
Arsenal to Win1.201.251.181.221.20
Brentford to Win12.0010.0011.3012.0011.00
Draw6.506.006.456.507.00

⚽ Arsenal vs Brentford: Both Teams To Score

Both teams have found the net in 48% of Arsenal’s league games this season, but this percentage increases to 62% at the Emirates. The Gunners have kept just four clean sheets at home, while drawing a single blank against West Ham on December 28th. As for the Bees, they have found the net in 46% of their away games in the EPL but have also failed to score on four occasions while keeping three clean sheets on the road.

Yes/No
betway-logo betway-logo
Yes1.911.951.971.881.91
No1.801.831.721.851.80

🥅 Arsenal vs Brentford: Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Arsenal’s 13 EPL home matches in 2023/24 have produced 46 goals in total at a rate of 3.53 per 90 games (the Gunners have scored 34 of these goals). Brentford have also contested 13 matches on the road, with these yielding 36 goals at a rate of 2.76 per 90 minutes. The Bees have conceded 21 goals away from home so far, at a rate of 1.61 per game.

Under/Over
betway-logo betway-logo
Over 2.5 Goals1.401.431.401.441.40
Under 2.5 Goals2.702.702.662.602.75

✔️ Arsenal vs Brentford - Betting Tips

Arsenal are odds-on favourites to beat Brentford at the Emirates, so there’s little value in backing them to win outright. However, there are other markets that you can explore, while combination betting may also unlock additional value when wagering on this Premier League clash. Here are some expert betting tips to keep in mind!

  • Tip 1: Back Arsenal to Win With Over 3.5 Goals: A potentially potent combination bet could see you back Arsenal to win with over 3.5 goals scored in the game. While most over/under betting takes place around the 2.5 goals line, the Gunners’ home matches in 2023/24 have produced an average of 3.53 goals, while their last three games at the Etihad have yielded 14 goals alone. Arsenal are also highly likely to beat a struggling Brentford this weekend, so get on this combination bet at a price of 2.50 with LegendPlay Sports.
  • Tip 2: Back Arsenal to Win With a Handicap of -1.75 Goals: Handicap wagering also enables you to create value in match betting, especially given Arsenal’s incredibly short price. But exactly what handicap should you set here? Well, while it may be tempting to go high given the Gunners’ rich vein of goalscoring form, Arteta’s men may struggle to continue to outperform their xG by such a wide margin. Brentford are also typically organised and combative, so I’d consider backing the Gunners with a nominal handicap of -1.75 goals at a price of 1.73 with 1Bet Sports.
  • Tip 3: Bet on the Highest Scoring Half: If you’d like to deploy one of the free bets that you may have on your sportsbook account, consider wagering on which half will see the most goals. Interestingly, the Gunners have scored 30 goals in the first 45 minutes of EPL matches this season, more than any other side. 17 of their 31 goals scored since January have also come during the first half, so get on the first 45 minutes seeing the most goals at a price of 3.00 with Betway.

1️⃣ Arsenal Update

Arsenal’s first-half demolition of Sheffield United was arguably the most one-sided 45 minutes of football in Premier League history, as Arsenal struck five times without reply, attempted 16 shots on goal (compared to one) and boasted nearly 80% possession. This saw the Gunners rack up a seventh consecutive win in 2024, while Arteta’s in-form charges have taken 22 points from the previous 30 available to them in the EPL. Arsenal have scored 33 goals during this sequence (at a rate of 3.30 per 90) and conceded just eight times, while 10 different Gunners’ players have found the net across these 10 games.

Last 5 Games
Sheffield United 0
Arsenal 6
04.03.24
Premier League
Arsenal 4
Newcastle United 1
24.02.24
Premier League
FC Porto 1
Arsenal 0
21.02.24
Champions League
Burnley 0
Arsenal 5
17.02.24
Premier League
West Ham 0
Arsenal 6
11.02.24
Premier League

Both Gabriel Jesus and Thomas Partey made their return from injury against Sheffield United, while Takehiro Tomiyasu (knock) and Oleksandr Zinchenko (calf injury) will also be assessed before the visit of Brentford. Bukayo Saka (illness) is also expected to be fit after being withdrawn at half time against the Blades, although Gabriel Martinelli could miss out after suffering a cut on his foot. Jurrien Timber (knee) remains some weeks away from contention despite recovering from an ACL injury, but Aaron Ramsdale will play as David Raya is ineligible to face his parent club.

PlayerReason
Takehiro Tomiyasu Knock
Oleksandr Zinchenko Calf Injury
Bukayo Saka Illness
Gabriel Martinelli Foot Injury
Jurrien Timber Knee Injury
David Raya Ineligible

2️⃣ Brentford Update

Ultimately, Brentford showcased immense fight and character in the second half against Chelsea last time out, scoring twice to eventually secure a 2-2 draw. This ended a run of three consecutive defeats for the Bees, but Brentford have still won just three of their previous 16 matches (both home and away) since November 4th. During their previous 10 games, they’ve taken just seven points from the 30 available to them, while shipping 26 goals at a rate of 2.60 per 90. Only Everton, Burnley and Sheffield United have collected fewer points during this period, and the Bees remain on the fringes of an unexpected relegation battle.

Last 5 Games
Brentford 2
Chelsea 2
02.03.24
Premier League
West Ham 4
Brentford 2
26.02.24
Premier League
Man City 1
Brentford 0
20.02.24
Premier League
Brentford 1
Liverpool 4
17.02.24
Premier League
Wolves 0
Brentford 2
10.02.24
Premier League

Ben Mee has now been ruled out for the season with an ankle injury, and he joins Josh Dasilva and Ric Henry (both knee) as a long-term absentee. Aaron Hickey (thigh) has also been ruled out until May, while young forward Kevin Schade isn’t expected to recover from a groin injury until late April. Centre-back Ethan Pinnock won’t travel to North London as he recovers from a foot injury, while Bryan Mbeumo (ankle) is on course for a comeback towards the end of March.

PlayerReason
Aaron Hickey Thigh Injury
Ben Mee Ankle Injury
Bryan Mbeumo Foot Injury
Ethan Pinnock Ankle Injury
Kevin Schade Groin Injury
Rico Henry Knee Injury
Joshua Dasilva Knee Injury

👕 Arsenal vs Brentford - Potential Lineups

Pos. Arsenal
4-3-3
Brentford
3-5-2
Pos.
Goalkeeper A. Ramsdale M. Flekken Goalkeeper
Right Back B. White N. Collins Right Centre Back
Centre Back W. Saliba K. Ajer Centre Back
Centre Back Gabriel M. Jørgensen Left Centre Back
Left Back O. Zinchenko M. Roerslev Right Wing Back
Midfielder M. Ødegaard F. Onyeka Central Midfielder
Midfielder D. Rice C. Nørgaard Central Midfielder
Midfielder L. Trossard M. Jenson Central Midfielder
Wide Forward B. Saka S. Reguilón Left Wing Back
Striker K. Havertz I. Toney Striker
Wide Forward G. Jesus N. Maupay Striker

Arsenal to Win!

✒️ Lewis Humphries – Expert Tipster

Lewis Humphries is an experienced football writer and tipster from the UK. He writes regularly about the Champions League, Premier League, Serie A and other competitions, regularly delivering expert match predictions and betting insights. He also successfully predicted the winner of the 2022 FIFA World Cup, while accurately forecasting the outcome of several group stage and knockout games.

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