Tournament | Champions League |
Timetable | 20:00 GMT - 7th Nov 23 |
Prediction | RB Leipzig to Win! |
Odds | 1.57 |
Bookmaker | betway |

RB Leipzig are on the verge of qualifying for the round of 16 in this season’s Champions League, with a win over Red Star Belgrade at a fiery Rajko Mitić Stadium enough to book their safe passage if Young Boys also lose at Manchester City in Group G. They’re certainly the favourites among Betinireland’s best betting sites, while Leipzig also ran out comfortable winners against Red Star in Germany last month. But can they repeat the trick here, or will Red Star secure a win that keeps their slim hope of qualification alive? I’ll explore this and more in the match prediction below!
🏆 Red Star Belgrade vs RB Leipzig
The clash at the Red Bull Arena was the first ever competitive meeting between these two sides, with the Bundesliga outfit running out comfortable winners in a match where they dominated possession and struck 27 attempts on goal (with 10 being on target).
This match helped the German side to boost their average possession stats to 47.7%, while Red Star have had the ball just 36.3% over the course of their three games (only Union Berlin have seen less possession during the group stages). Red Star and Leipzig have also impressed in the attacking third so far, attempting 19 and 15 shots on target in the competition and recording respective xG values of 6.2 and 4.3. Clearly, these teams have no issue creating chances home and away, although Red Star are a little more direct in their transitions and broader playing style.
However, both sides have also been profligate and wasted a high proportion of the chances they’ve created, so this game will most likely be wons by the team that’s able to control possession and convert their positive approach play into goal. I’m tipping Leipzig to be this side, as they have more proficient technical players and the in-form striker Loïs Openda in attack.
My Prediction: 🏆 Red Star Belgrade 1-2 RB Leipzig ⚽
💯 Red Star Belgrade vs RB Leipzig
You can access a diverse range of football betting odds when wagering on the match between Red Star and RB Leipzig, including the final result, whether or not both sides will score and how many goals will be scored in the game. Let’s take a closer look at these markets and their associated odds.
Red Star Belgrade vs RB Leipzig: Match Winner
As I’ve already touched on, Leipzig are the overt favourites to beat Red Star in midweek, despite losing their last two games in all competitions. But what odds can you get on a win for Leipzig and Serbian SuperLiga side Red Star respectively?
Team | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Red Star Belgrade to Win | 5.25 | 5.00 | 5.15 | 5.38 | 5.33 |
RB Leipzig to Win | 1.58 | 1.57 | 1.55 | 1.56 | 1.58 |
Draw | 4.60 | 4.50 | 4.45 | 4.68 | 4.33 |
Red Star Belgrade vs RB Leipzig: Both Teams To Score
Interestingly, Leipzig drew their second blank of the season during a shock 2-0 defeat at Mainz at the weekend, but they’ve managed to score in their additional 14 games and 38 goals in total this season. Red Star have been even more prolific, scoring 44 goals in 17 matches and hitting the back of the net in every game that they’ve contested through 2023/24.
Team | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | 1.61 | 1.65 | 1.56 | 1.48 | 1.54 |
No | 2.19 | 2.20 | 2.33 | 2.73 | 2.90 |
Red Star Belgrade vs RB Leipzig: Over/Under 2.5 Goals
These two sides combine creativity and attacking excellence with defensive vulnerability, which is borne out by the fact that the 33 matches they’ve contested have produced 119 goals at a rate of 3.60 per game. This is a significant tally, so it’s no surprise that the bookies expect over 2.5 goals to be scored in Belgrade!
Team | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Over 2.5 Goals | 1.52 | 1.50 | 1.49 | 1.58 | 1.52 |
Under 2.5 Goals | 2.53 | 2.50 | 2.44 | 2.39 | 2.54 |
✔️ Red Star Belgrade vs RB Leipzig - Betting Tips
These markets all imply a high probability of several match outcomes occurring, with Leipzig the favourites to win and over 2.5 goals likely to be scored at the Red Bull Arena. But what steps can you take to navigate these markets and make the most of your bankroll?
- Tip 1: Back RB Leipzig to Win With More than 2.5 Goals Scored: Combination betting could be key here if you intend to unlock value when backing Leipzig to win. For example, why not create a parlay that picks Leipzig as your winner in match where over 2.5 goals are scored, at an enhanced price of 2.10 with Betway. Certainly, both sides are creative and rank high for expected goals, while they’re each capable of breaching the other’s defensive line.
- Tip 2: Back Leipzig to Win by One Goal: In terms of winning margin, the competitive nature of this clash and the high stakes involved means that the match could well be close and keenly contested. Certainly, it’s hard to see either side keeping a clean sheet or dominating for the 90 minutes, while the game could well ebb and flow and turn into a thrilling, end-to-end encounter. In this case, there’s some value in backing Leipzig to win by a single goal at the generous price of 4.00 with Dachbet Sports, regardless of their most recent dip in form.
- Tip 3: Back the First Goal to be Scored Between 11 and 20 Minutes: If you want to seek out enhanced returns or successfully utilise a free bet offer, you could wager on the time of the first goal. Leipzig tend to be quick starters in games and have scored eight Bundesliga goals (while conceding just one) during the opening half hour of games, while they’ve opened the scoring in the opening 12 minutes in two of their three UCL matches. So, I think there’s some value in backing the first goal to be scored between 11 and 25 minutes, at a competitive price of 4.50 with Dachbet Sports.
1️⃣ Red Star Belgrade Update
Red Star have one of the most prolific attacks in Europe, as it has plundered 44 goals in 17 matches at a rate of 2.58 per 90 minutes. This has fired them to second place in the Serbian SuperLiga with 10 wins and 31 points from a possible 39 so far. The side has also won six successive games domestically since September 30th, although this form remains at odds with their UCL performances, which have yielded two defeats and a single point from three matches to date. This remains cause for concern, as despite Red Star’s obvious attacking quality and ability to create chances at the highest level, the side remains incredibly vulnerable and open during transitions.
Last 5 Games | |
---|---|
Red Star Belgrade 3 FK Radnik Surdulica 1 | 04.11.23 Serbian SuperLiga |
Red Star Belgrade 1 FK Radnički Sremska Mitrovica 1 | 01.11.23 Serbian SuperLiga |
IMT 1 Red Star Belgrade 2 | 28.10.23 Serbian SuperLiga |
RB Leipzig 3 Red Star Belgrade 1 | 25.10.23 Champions League |
Red Star Belgrade 3 Javor 2 | 21.10.23 Serbian SuperLiga |
Red Star are nearly fully fit and raring to go ahead of their UCL clash at home against RB Leipzig, although winger Osman Bukari is likely to miss out here with an unknown injury. 29-year-old Srdjan Mijailovic is also unavailable through injury, although forward Filippo Falco has recently return after a short absence.
Player | Reason |
---|---|
Osman Bukari | Unknown Injury |
Srdjan Mijailovic | Unknown Injury |
2️⃣ RB Leipzig Update
Between August 25th and October 31st, Leipzig lost just one of 12 matches in all competitions, following an opening day defeat to current Bundesliga leaders Bayern Leverkusen. This defeat came at home against defending UCL champions Manchester City too, although their run recently came to abrupt end with successive losses against Wolfsburg (1-0) and struggling Mainz (2-0) in the DFB-Pokal and Bundesliga respectively. Both of these defeats came on the road too, although Leipzig remain a potent goal threat with the prominent trio of Openda, the excellent Dani Olmo and on-loan Xavi Simons contributing 19 goals between them in Leipzig’s 16 games so far.
Last 5 Games | |
---|---|
Mainz 2 RB Leipzig 0 | 04.11.23 German Bundesliga |
Wolfsburg 1 RB Leipzig 0 | 31.10.23 DFB-Pokal |
RB Leipzig6 FC Cologne 0 | 28.10.23 German Bundesliga |
RB Leipzig 3 Red Star Belgrade 1 | 25.10.23 Champions League |
Darmstadt 1 RB Leipzig 3 | 21.10.23 German Bundesliga |
Centre back Willi Orbán remains absent for Leipzig with a torn lateral knee ligament, and won’t make the trip to Belgrade. The aforementioned winger Dani Olmo is also likely to miss out with a knee injury (he may be unavailable until December), while 18-year-old Tim Köhler is struggling with illness and may be a fitness doubt.
Player | Reason |
---|---|
Tim Köhler | Ilness |
Willi Orbán | Torn Lateral Knee Ligament |
Dani Olmo | Knee Injury |
👕 Red Star Belgrade vs RB Leipzig - Potential Lineups
Pos. | Red Star Belgrade 3-5-2 | RB Leipzig 4-2-3-1 | Pos. |
---|---|---|---|
Goalkeeper | O. Glazer | J. Blaswich | Goalkeeper |
Right Centre Back | N. Djiga | B. Henrichs | Right Back |
Centre Back | A. Dragović | M. Simakan | Centre Back |
Left Centre Back | M. Rodic | C. Lukeba | Centre Back |
Right Wing Back | S. Mijailović | D. Raum | Left Back |
Midfielder | M. Stamenic | X. Schlager | Midfielder |
Midfielder | I. Hwang | K. Kampl | Midfielder |
Midfielder | M. Ivanic | Y. Poulsen | Midfielder |
Left Wing Back | S. Mitrovic | E. Forsberg | Wide Forward |
Striker | S. Ndiaye | L. Openda | Striker |
Striker | P. Olayinka | X. Simons | Wide Forward |
✒️ Lewis Humphries – Expert Tipster
Lewis Humphries is an experienced football writer and tipster from the UK. He writes regularly about the Champions League, Premier League, Serie A and other competitions, regularly delivering expert match predictions and betting insights. He also successfully predicted the winner of the 2022 FIFA World Cup, while accurately forecasting the outcome of several group stage and knockout games.
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