RB Leipzig v Red Star Belgrade Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips

🏆 RB Leipzig v Red Star Belgrade

Unsurprisingly, these two sides have never previously done battle in UEFA competition, with RB Leipzig having only been founded in 2009 and not made their Champions League debut until the 2017/18 season. However, they’ve fared much better than Red Star in the competition in the seven campaigns since, even reaching the semi-finals during the Covid-stricken 2019/20 season.

It’s interesting to note that Leipzig and Belgrade have averaged just 39.0% and 37.0% possession during their two UCL games so far. While this is partially influenced by their encounters with a dominant Man City side, they also conceded the majority of the ball to Young Boys in their respective matches with the Swiss champions. So, both sides may be more comfortable and efficient on the counterattack, which could suit Red Star as Leipzig will be compelled to take the initiative as the home side here.

However, Leipzig are arguably the more efficient attacking side, having completed 58.3% of their attempted take-ons (compared to just 41.3%), while they’ve also outperformed their expected goals value of 3.1 by scoring four goals so far. Red Star have slightly underperformed in this respect, so although I expect them to be competitive in Leipzig, I’m tipping the home side to edge a close and potentially high-scoring game.

💯 RB Leipzig v Red Star Belgrade UCL Match Odds

While RB Leipzig v Red Star Belgrade isn’t necessarily a headline-grabbing match (especially in Ireland and the UK), our recommended betting sites are all offering a range of associated wagering markets. I’ll take a closer look at the most popular markets below, while also comparing the very latest odds! You can check out our curated list of the best betting sites for a variety of options.

🏅 RB Leipzig v Red Star Belgrade: Match Winner

The bookies certainly agree that RB Leipzig are favourites here, although an average price of 11.00 for Red Star Belgrade to win seems a little high. But what are the exact odds at the time of writing?

Team
RB Leipzig to Win	1.22	1.22	1.21	1.20	1.23
Red Star Belgrade to Win	10.00	10.00	9.90	12.00	10.00
Draw	6.00	7.00	6.60	6.00	6.50

RB Leipzig v Red Star Belgrade: Both Teams To Score

When it comes to the even-money BTTS betting market, it’s important to note that RB Leipzig have kept five clean sheets in 12 matches so far this season (41.66%). While Red Star have kept five clean sheets in 13 games (38.46%), they’ve shipped 11 goals in their last six matches and only stopped the opposition from scoring twice during this sequence.

Team
Yes	1.70	1.78	1.79	1.73	1.70
No	2.05	2.00	1.92	1.95	2.05

RB Leipzig v Red Star Belgrade: Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Over/under betting on the total number of goals scored is likely to be incredibly popular here, with the 13 matches contested by Red Star Belgrade having produced a staggering 55 goals at a rate of 4.23. As for Leipzig, their 12 competitive encounters have yielded a total of 42 goals at a rate of 3.50, so the odds imply a strong probability that there will be over 2.5 goals scored in this match!

Team
Over 2.5 Goals	1.33	1.38	1.34	1.36	1.35
Under 2.5 Goals	3.00	2.90	2.97	3.10	3.00

1️⃣ RB Leipzig Update

Leipzig have consistently been one of the best teams in the Bundesliga for years now, while a run of just one defeat in their last 10 matches in all competitions has left them well placed in both the Bundesliga and the Champions League Group G. A superb Dani Olmo hat-trick also ensured that Leipzig won the first silverware available to them this season, as they thumped Bayern Munich 3-0 in the annual DFL-Supercup match on August 12th in Munich. Their 3-1 defeat to Man City in UCL gameweek two was also their first at the Red Bull Arena in 10 games since April 1st, so they remain incredibly strong on home soil.

While centre-back pair El Chadaille Bitshiabu (knee ligament tear) and Willi Orbán (torn lateral knee ligament) are nearing a return from injury, this match will come a little too soon for both players. Influential winger Dani Olmo is also likely to miss out with a knee injury, while right-back Benjamin Henrichs remains a doubt with a muscle complaint.

2️⃣ Red Star Belgrade Update

I’ve already touched on Red Star’s potent attack, which has plundered 38 goals in just 13 matches across all competitions. The side has also scored four or more goals on five occasions, while they have yet to draw a blank in the 2023/24 campaign. However, they’ve also been porous defensively in more recent times, conceding 11 goals in their last six matches and 12 on the road in just six games overall during the season. Interestingly, their expected goals against value has reached 6.7 in their two UCL games so far, so they remain incredibly open and vulnerable at the back.

The good news for Red Star is that they’re largely at full strength ahead of their UCL clash with RB Leipzig. However, winger Osman Bukari is a doubt ahead of the side‘s trip to Leipzig, while fellow forward Filippo Falco continues his recovery from a long-term injury.

👕 RB Leipzig v Red Star Belgrade - Potential Lineups

✒️ Lewis Humphries – Expert Tipster

Lewis Humphries is an experienced football writer and tipster from the UK. He writes regularly about the Champions League, Premier League, Serie A and other competitions, regularly delivering expert match predictions and betting insights. He also successfully predicted the winner of the 2022 FIFA World Cup, while accurately forecasting the outcome of several group stage and knockout games.