Inter vs Benfica, Odds and Betting Tips

Inter vs Benfica Prediction banner Inter vs Benfica Prediction banner
TournamentUEFA Champions League
TimetableWednesday 19th of April at 20:00 GMT
PredictionInter to Win!
OddsInter to Win @ 2.10
BookmakerPalmslots Sport
The best odds
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Odds : 2.10
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Odds : 2.05
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Odds : 2.05
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Benfica-vs-Inter-Prediction-banner-small-version Benfica-vs-Inter-Prediction-banner-small-version

When Inter were drawn against Benfica in the UEFA Champions League quarterfinals, both sides will have spied a unique opportunity to reach the last four of Europe’s premier tournament. Inter haven’t achieved this since they last won the tournament in 2009/10, while Benfica last reached the semi-finals when they were runners-up in 1989/90.

While the Inter vs Benfica tie appeared evenly poised ahead of the first leg, Inter’s clinical 2-0 win in the heat of the Estádio da Luz has seen the Serie A outfit take a giant stride towards the 2022/23 semi-finals.

Despite giving up the lions’ share of possession to Benfica and recording just four attempts on target during the 90 minutes in Portugal, Inter made the most of their chances as goals from Nicolo Barella and Romelu Lukaku sealed a decisive win.

But can Inter build on this foundation and reach the UCL semis, or will Benfica overturn what looks to be a mountainous two-goal deficit at the San Siro? I’ll make my own Inter vs Benfica quarters prediction below, while taking a sneak peek at the very latest odds and prices.

💯 Inter Milan vs Benfica Champions League Odds

Betinireland’s leading betting sites have already published their Inter vs Benfica betting odds ahead of the second leg, across a range of exciting match wagering markets. First, let’s take a look at the latest moneyline prices and who the bookies expect to win in Italy.

🏆 Inter Milan vs Benfica Champions League Odds: Match Winner

Inter to Win2.302.102.052.052.052.102.10
Benfica to Win3.403.503.503.503.703.503.40
Draw3.603.753.303.303.503.303.50

⚽ Inter Milan vs Benfica Odds: Both Teams to Score

As you can see, Inter are the bookmakers’ favourite to win the second leg at the San Siro. If you don’t want to engage is moneyline betting, however, you can instead buy into even money markets such wagering on whether or not both sides will score in the second leg. Here’s the latest odds in this respect.

Yes1.801.671.851.701.751.731.85
No2.052.102.002.052.002.001.85

🥅 Inter vs Benfica Goals-->🥅 Inter Milan vs Benfica Odds: Over/Under 2.5 Goals

You can also find Inter vs Benfica odds on totals betting markets, including whether there will be over or under 2.5 goals scored in the second leg. On average, Champions League games have yielded an average of 3.04 goals per game during the 2022/23 campaign, which may influence your selections when wagering on this market!

Over 2.5 Goals1.951.911.831.871.951.911.91
Under 2.5 Goals1.801.831.891.831.851.801.80

🏅Inter Milan Champions League Quarterfinal Leg 2 Preview

Inter’s UEFA Champions League performances have increasingly provided a beacon of light in what’s proving to be a relatively disappointing 2022/23 campaign, with the side’s domestic form having tailed off dramatically since winning the Supercoppa Italiana against bitter rivals AC Milan at the King Fahd International Stadium in January.

To this end, Inter have won just one of their last six Serie A matches, with this sequence having included four defeats and a disappointing 1-1 draw at Salernitana last time out. As a result, they’ve slipped to fifth in Serie A and a point behind the Champions League places, meaning that they may have to win this years’ UCL to qualify in 2023/24.

Inter have certainly been much more efficient and consistent in Europe, having initially qualified for the round of 16 at the expense of Barcelona. They also edged Porto 1-0 on aggregate in the round of 16 (after a defiant defensive display in the second leg in Portugal), before producing a clinical performance to beat Benfica in the quarterfinal first leg.

The Serie A side has been helped by the cessation of a mini-injury crisis of late, although Brazilian left back Dalmart remains a long-term absentee as he recovers from a cruciate ligament injury. Influential centre back Milan Skriniar also continues with back trouble and may not be fit in time for the second leg, while midfielder Hakan Calhanoglu is also sidelined with a groin injury at present.

📰 Latest Inter Milan Champions League News

⚡ Benfica Champions League Quarterfinal Leg 2 Preview

Despite enjoying an impressive season and showcasing excellent form for much of their 2022/23 campaign, Benfica have arguably endured a wobble at the worst possible time. Firstly, last weekend saw them slump to a 2-1 home defeat to bitter rivals Porto, who came from a goal behind to stun The Eagles and cut their lead at the top of the Primeira Liga to seven points with seven games to go.

The came Inter’s 2-0 win in the first leg of the UCL quarterfinal between the two sides, which has given Benfica a mountain to climb if their to qualify for the semis. Interestingly, Benfica had remained unbeaten at the Estádio da Luz prior to the visit of Porto, but successive losses mean that they’ll now have to recoiver some form of confidence ahead of the second leg.

While you’d still back Benfica to win the Portuguese league ahead of Porto, Braga and Sporting Lisbon, their dip in form has put a significant dent in their Champions League aspirations. Their first leg defeat was also at odds with their UCL form so far this season, as they’ve previously plundered 34 goals in the tournament and scored in every game before Inter came to town.

Benfica may also be without on-loan striker Goncalo Guedes for the second leg, as he continues to struggle with a meniscal injury. Right back Alexandra Bah is also out with a knee injury, while left-sided defender Mihailo Ristic is continuing his recovery from a hamstring strain. French winger Julian Draxler remains a long-term absentee with an ankle injury, and he won’t return to the first team until the pre-season.

📰 Latest Benfica Champions League News

🆚 Inter Milan vs Benfica Key Matchups

Inter won the first leg thanks largely to their collective organization, as they delivered a defensive and counter attacking masterclass in Lisbon. However, there remain key individual duals that could prove crucial in the second leg, and I’ve outlined three of the most influential below.

1️⃣ Lautaro Martínez vs Antonio Silva

There’s a growing consensus that Argentinian striker Lautaro Martínez has endured a difficult 2022/23 campaign, despite scoring 17 goals in 42 appearances across all competitions to date. He has been particularly quite in Europe (scoring just once in nine games), while he also struggled during the Qatar World Cup and ultimately lost his starting place to Julian Alvarez.

However, his pace and movement make him key to Inter’s dynamic counter attacks, as he regularly creates space for his strike partner and midfield runners. As a result, he frequently occupies central defenders and full backs when he drifts into wide areas, so Benfica will have to defend well and aggressively as a collective when they’re chasing the game.

It will most likely be 19-year-old centre back Antonio Silva who’s tasked with marking Martinez at the San Siro, with the young defender capable of matching the striker stride-for-stride and tracking his movement. He has also enjoyed a breakthrough year and is becoming increasingly assured with every game, and his effectiveness in dominating Martinez will have a key bearing on Benfica’s ability to sustain their attacks.

Silva will also have to communicate well with his teammates when Martinez drops deep or drifts out wide, while remaining perennially watchful against the physical presence and threat posed by either Edin Dzeko or Romelu Lukaku alongside him.

2️⃣ Alessandro Bastoni vs Joao Mario

Inter’s 23-year-old centre back Alessandro Bastoni has performed superbly for Inter this season, while taking additional responsibility in the absence of the injured Milan Skriniar. He also played a key role tactically in the first leg, as he took every opportunity to maraud forward from left-centre back and even assisted Barella’s opening goal with a pinpoint, arching cross.

Bastoni’s quality in possession and willingness to drive forward also partially nullified the goal threat of Benfica’s seasoned 30-year-old winger Joao Mario, with the Portuguese forced to track back with mixed results throughout the 90 minutes.

Remember, Mario has enjoyed a notably prolific season in 2022/23, plundering 23 goals in 43 games in all competitions (including six in 13 Champions League matches). He also starred in the round of 16 demolition of Club Brugge over two legs, while it’s interesting to note that Mario has never previously scored more than seven club goals in a single season.

I expect this tactical battle to resume at the San Siro, as Bastoni looks to initiate counter attacks and drive Joao Mario away from goal as often as possible. For his part, Mario will look to sustain an aggressive press and force Bastoni onto the back foot, while linking with striker Goncalo Ramos where he can.

3️⃣ Marcelo Brozović vs Chiquinho

In the absence of injured Turkish playmaker Hakan Calhanoglu, Inter called on the dependable and more defensive minded Brozović in the first leg against Benfica. This made Inter far more secure and physically imposing in the middle of the park, while the 30-year-old Croatian provided a robust protective barrier in front of his back four.

This nullified the impact of Benfica’s 27-year-old attacking midfielder Chiquinho, who has become a much more influential first team player since the departure of Enzo Fernandez to Chelsea in the January transfer window.

Even if Calhanoglu is fit for the second leg, I fully expect Brozović to retain his place in Inter’s starting 11. After all, Inter have a two-goal lead to protect and will happily cede possession and territory to Benfica before looking to strike decisively on the counterattack. This will create opportunities for the talented Chiquinho, who can help to dictate tempo and retains an excellent eye for goal.

Make no mistake; Brozović will stay close to Chiquinho and deny him space in the attacking third, while helping to ensure that Inter remain compact and continually outnumber their rivals in the middle of the park.

📈 Inter Milan vs Benfica Head-to-Head Statistics

Going into the second leg at the San Siro, Inter Milan and Benfica have only met four times in official UEFA competition, and just twice in the coveted Champions League.

Interestingly, the first leg clash in Lisbon was the first UCL game between the two sides in nearly 58 years, with Inter and Benfica previously contesting the 1964/65 European Cup final in a game that saw the Serie A side prevail courtesy of a goal by Brazilian forward Jair. So, Inter have a 100% record in their two UEFA Champions League games with Benfica, and will be looking to extend this record at the iconic San Siro.

Inter and Benfica also did battle in the 2003/04 UEFA Cup, over the course of a two-legged fourth round tie. The first leg ended in a tight goalless draw at the Estádio da Luz, before the San Siro played host to a thrilling return match that saw Inter win 4-3 thanks to a late winner from Obafemi Martins.

Overall, this means that Inter have won three of their four competitive matches against Benfica and remain unbeaten in this mini-rivalry, and while this won’t have been factored into the ante post Inter vs Benfica quarter finals odds, it may afford the Italian side a slight psychological advantage.

🏆 Inter Milan vs Benfica Prediction – Who will Win?

The bookies are making Inter the clear favourites to win the second leg at the San Siro, with their two-goal lead affording them control of the tie and forcing Benfica to come out and attack aggressively from the outset.

Make no mistake; this will play into Inter’s hands, as Simone Inzaghi’s men prefer to deploy a defensive structure and relatively low block while looking to exploit space on the counterattack. They did this with relative efficiency and success in the first leg, and there’s little to suggest they’ll change their approach in the course of defending a 2-0 lead.

The question that remains, of course, is whether Benfica have enough individual and collective quality to pin Inter back, sustain attacks and nullify the threat of players like Martinez on the break? Unfortunately, the evidence of the first leg suggests that the Portuguese side may be a little short, despite the presence of Joao Mario, Andre Silva and the prolific Goncalo Ramos.

So, my Inter vs Benfica prediction is that Inter will once again beat Benfica and secure an aggregate win, booking their first UCL semi-final appearance for 13 years in the process.

My Prediction: Inter Milan 1 Benfica 0🏆

🔍 Inter Milan vs Benfica Betting Tips

There’s a wide range of markets in play when wagering on the quarterfinal second leg clash between these two sides, while some of the published Inter vs Benfica betting odds offer noticeable value. So, here are a select few Inter vs Benfica betting tips based on the latest, real-time prices.

1️⃣ Both Teams Not to Score at 2.10 with PalmSlots Sports and BoyleSports

Inter’s Champions League campaign has been largely built on the side’s defensive strength, especially during the knockout stages. To this end, they’ve achieved successive shutouts in three matches since the round of 16 started, while Benfica found it incredibly difficult to create chances in the first leg at the Estádio da Luz.

Certainly, the Serie A side is well-drilled and confident in its shape, with Inter’s trusted starting formation of 3-5-2 morphing seamlessly into a 5-4-1 system during defensive phases. The interesting thing, of course, is that Inter have relatively porous in Serie A, and this will give Benfica genuine hope of turning the tie around.

However, The Lions looked unimaginative and short on genuine individual quality in the first leg, while Inter will be even more robust defensively as they look to hold on to a 2-0 lead. So, despite their need to chase the game and commit men forward, Inter have the collective strength and organization to achieve another clean sheet.

So, I’m predicting a low-scoring game in which both sides don’t score, and you can get on this market at a price of 2.10 with PalmSlots Sports.

2️⃣ Under 2.5 Goals to be Scored at 1.89 With Luckster

The bookies appear to be split on totals betting, especially in relation to the number of goals that are likely to be scored in the game.

However, despite Inter’s lead and Benfica’s need to chase the game in the second leg, I expect a relatively low-scoring game at the San Siro.

There was certainly a dearth of quality chances in the first leg, and this had more to do with the defensive strength on show rather than any lack of ambition or desire to score.

Currently, you can bet on under 2.5 goals being scored in the game at a market high price of 1.89 with Luckster, and there’s no doubt that Inter Milan would be happy with this outcome given the healthy lead that they have in the tie.

3️⃣ Inter to Win to Nil at 3.60 with BoyleSports

For those of you who are serious about maximising potential returns and minimising your losses, it’s worth wagering on combined betting markets with nominal stake amounts.

For example, if you think that my prediction is right, you could consider backing Inter to win to nil at a price of 3.60 with BoyleSports. This wager combines moneyline and match result betting markets, and while your risk is increased, so too is the amount of money you can bank if you win.

This margin also enables you to reduce your stake amount, so you can commit a vanishingly small percentage of your bankroll without overly compromising the payout.

If you want to extend this logic further, you can also engage in exact score betting. Of course, the risk and potential returns are even higher in this instance, with Inter priced at 6.50 with William Hill to win by a 1-0 margin in the second leg.

🎁 Inter Milan vs Benfica Free Bets

Regardless of your preferred wager type or betting market, I’d recommend checking out the very latest free bets offers before committing your hard-earned cash. Certainly, Betinireland’s recommended football betting sites are running a number of generous promotions and free bet offers, including the following options!

1️⃣ Unibet – Bet €10 and Earn up to €40 in Free Bets

: First up is Unibet, who are currently offering new customers a full refund up to the value of €40 if their initial wager loses. To qualify, you simply need to make a first deposit of at least €10 and place a wager of the same value, and if this is unsuccessful, you’ll be refunded up to the value of €40. So, if you make a qualifying bet of €10 that subsequently fails to come, Unibet will restore €10 to your balance in the form of a free wager. The refunded stake must be wagered three times before you can make a withdrawal.

2️⃣ Ladbrokes – Bet €5 and Earn €20 in Free Bets

: Ladbrokes remains one of the most trusted and renowned sportsbooks in the whole of Ireland and the UK, where new customers can qualify for up to €20 in free bets. Simply credit your new account and place a qualifying wager of €5, at which point you’ll receive four separate €5 free bets that can be used immediately. The qualifying wager must be placed on odds of 1.50 or greater, while all free bets must be deployed within seven days if they’re to remain valid.

3️⃣ TonyBet Sports – 100% First Deposit Match up to €50

: Although TonyBet Sports may lack the international reputation of Ladbrokes or Unibet, its welcome bonus is among the most competitive on the market. To this end, the operator is offering a 100% deposit match up to the value of €50, which is available to all new customers who credit their account with at least €10 and use the promo code ‘TONY50’. You’ll also have to do this within three days of opening your account, while wagering requirements of 10x the total bonus amount will apply. Any qualifying bets made towards the wagering requirements must also be placed on outcomes with minimum odds of 1.65.

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🥇 Inter Milan vs Benfica Path to the Final

The UCL quarterfinal draw also confirmed the potential semi-finals in 2022/23, and the likely route that each side must take to qualify for the final at Istanbul’s Ataturk Stadium on June 10th.

Interestingly, Inter and Benfica found themselves in the much easier segment of the draw, as the winner of this two-legged tie will face either Napoli or AC Milan in the last four.

Milan edged their first leg encounter with Napoli 1-0 at the San Siro, so Inter will remain hopeful of maintaining (or even extending) their own first leg lead and setting up a monumental local derby in the semi-finals.

Whoever proceeds from this half of the draw will face a huge challenge in the final, where one of Manchester City, Bayern Munich, Real Madrid and Chelsea will lie in wait. After their respective first leg encounters, Man City and Real Madrid both hold decisive leads, and may once again meet in the last four of the Champions League.

❓ Frequently Asked Questions About Inter Milan vs Benfica Prediction

As you can see from this Inter vs Benfica preview, the Serie A side are clear favourites to cement their first leg lead and reach the UCL last four. Before you part with your money and start betting, however, here are some answers to the most frequently asked questions about the second leg clash!

1️⃣ Inter Milan vs Benfica Champions League Leg 2 – Who Will Win?

Not only do Benfica have to win at the San Siro to have any chance of progressing, but they must also beat Inter by two clear goals to remain in the tie. However, I think that Inter have a little too much experience and defensive quality to lose their lead, and I actually expect them to edge a close encounter in the second leg.


2️⃣ What’s the best price for Inter to beat Benfica?

You can currently get on Inter to beat Benfica at a generous price of 2.30 with TonyBet Sports. This undoubtedly offers value given Inter’s durability and the importance of home advantage in Champions League ties, so those of you interested in moneyline betting may wan to wager sooner rather than later.


3️⃣ What are the Odds of Inter and Benfica Winning the Champions League?

After their impressive first leg win, Inter have emerged as the third favourites to win the 2022/23 Champions League (behind Manchester City and Real Madrid at an average price of 8.00). Conversely, Benfica’s odds have plummeted since the first leg defeat, and they can now be backed at around 67.00 to win the UCL this season.


4️⃣ What are the Odds for Both Sides to Qualify for the Champions League Semi-Finals?

It will come as a surprise to note that Inter are also overwhelming favourites to qualify for the Champions League semi-finals, with BoyleSports pricing them at 1.03 to achieve this objective. For their part, Benfica can be backed at 12.00 with the same bookmaker to reach the last four, with only one side in UCL history having overturned a two-goal deficit from the home leg (Manchester United vs PSG in 2019).

✒️ UEFA Champions League Betting Expert

Lewis Humphries is an experienced football writer and tipster from the UK. He writes regularly about the Champions League, Premier League, Serie A and other competitions, regularly delivering expert match predictions and betting insights. He also successfully predicted the winner of the 2022 FIFA World Cup, while accurately forecasting the outcome of several group stage and knockout games.His content has also been featured on a number of different sites, including Life Hack, Investopedia, Yahoo Finance and Business Insider. He also pens regular sports features for sites including 90 Minutes, Think Football Ideas and Sportsblog.

Lewis doesn't just stick to sports; you can also find plenty of casino gaming content. He's reviewed some of the world's leading online casino platforms.

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