Manchester City vs Copenhagen: Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips

🏆 Manchester City vs Copenhagen Prediction

City are now unbeaten in five matches against Copenhagen in official UEFA competition, while their 3-1 victory at the Parken Stadium on February 13th was their third against this opposition. The defending European Champions were thoroughly dominant in Denmark too, boasting 79.00% possession during the 90 minutes and attempting 27 shots on goal (13 of which were on target).

Incredibly, Copenhagen are still within reach of City, although the idea of them winning by three clear goals at the Etihad is fanciful at best. After all, they’re averaging just 18.29 shot-creating actions per 90 in this season’s UCL (compared to 41.71 for Man City), while their xG of 7.9 is lower than any side that remains in the tournament in 2023/24.

Of course, Copehagen’s first challenge will be retrieving and retaining the ball in Manchester. They average just 39.70% possession per 90 minutes in the UCL (only Union Berlin have seen less of the ball), whereas City have had the ball 71.70% of the time in their seven matches so far. So, I expect them to dominate the ball again here despite their comfortable first-leg lead, and this will enable their superior creativity and firepower to take centre stage.

The good news for Copenhagen is that they’re tenacious and have completed 335 ball recoveries in the Champions League, while City haven’t been at their best defensively at home or abroad. While they may well score at the Etihad, however, they’ll struggle to contain a Man City team and should be comfortably beaten in the second leg.

💯 Manchester City vs Copenhagen Match Odds

Given City’s status as the overwhelming favourites to defeat Copenhagen, you’ll want to compare prices across several betting markets before committing your hard-earned cash. These include the match winner and result, BTTS and the over/under on the total number of goals scored, but how are these markets currently priced?

🏅 Manchester City vs Copenhagen: Match Winner

City are priced at around 1.10 to defeat Copenhagen at the Etihad, implying a whopping 90.90% probability of a home win. Conversely, you back the Danes as high as 20.00 to leave Manchester victorious, suggesting that they have just a 5% chance of victory. City are also priced as low as 1.00 to prevail in the tie overall, while Copenhagen can be backed at 81.00 to qualify.

Team
Man City to Win	1.13	1.13	1.08	1.10	1.11
Copenhagen to Win	19.00	15.00	17.10	20.00	15.00
Draw	8.00	8.00	8.60	8.00	8.50

⚽ Manchester City vs Copenhagen: Both Teams To Score (BTTS)

Both teams have scored in 10 of City’s 17 home matches this season (59%), highlighting their occasional defensive vulnerability. However, they’ve kept seven clean sheets in all competitions, and no opponent has stopped them from scoring at the Etihad. Both sides have also found the net in 10 of Copenhagen’s 17 away matches, with the Danes keeping six clean sheets and failing to score once (at Old Trafford against Manchester United on October 24th).

Yes/No
Yes	2.20	2.20	2.27	2.20	2.20
No	1.60	1.65	1.52	1.67	1.62

🥅 Manchester City vs Copenhagen: Over/Under 2.5 Goals

City’s 17 home games in all competitions have produced 59 goals in total, at a rate of 3.47 per 90. Copenhagen’s 17 away matches have been even more goal-laden, yielding 60 goals at a rate of 3.52 per game. So, the smart money here is clearly on over 2.5 goals being scored in the second leg at the Etihad Stadium.

Under/Over
Over 2.5 Goals	1.36	1.36	1.30	1.33	1.30
Under 2.5 Goals	2.88	2.90	3.02	3.00	3.25

1️⃣ Man City Update

City’s remarkable 17-game unbeaten run has covered four different competitions, namely the Premier League, FA Cup, Champions League and the FIFA Club World Cup (which they won in Saudi Arabia). They’ve won 15 of these matches while scoring 45 goals at exactly 3.00 per game and conceding just 12. They also boast the Champions League’s joint-top scorer Erling Haaland, who has struck five times from an xG of 6.1 and 32 shots in total. He also scored a remarkable five goals in the recent FA Cup victory at Luton, with Kevin De Bruyne laying on four assists in the same match.

Jack Grealish limped off early during the 6-2 thrashing of Luton at Kenilworth Road, with Pep Guardiola suggesting that he may have aggravated the groin injury he initially incurred in the first leg win over Copenhagen. However, defender Josko Gvardiol may have recovered from his ankle knock in time for the second leg clash, although whether he starts or not has yet to be seen.

2️⃣ FC Copenhagen Update

Copenhagen’s first-leg defeat at the Parken Stadium was their first competitive match after the Danish winter break, but they have since rebounded with two successive victories in the Danish Superliga. This has moved them into second place in the table and just a point behind league leaders Brondby, while they’ve already guaranteed qualification for the competition’s Championship round. In all competitions this season, Copenhagen have won 20 of their 36 matches (56%), while they’ve incurred eight defeats (including three in the Champions League). Interestingly, only two of these defeats have come on the road, at Viborg and Manchester United.

Centre-back Davit Khocholava will miss the trip to Manchester with a knee injury, while influential midfielder Lukas Lerager (muscle injury) is also expected to be unavailable. Goalkeeper Theo Sander is out for the season after undergoing knee surgery, although Nicolai Boilesen has recently returned to training after a knock. Emil Højlund (the brother of Man United striker Rasmus) is also a doubt with an unspecified injury concern.

👕 Man City vs FC Copenhagen- Potential Lineups

✒️ Lewis Humphries – Expert Tipster

Lewis Humphries is an experienced football writer and tipster from the UK. He writes regularly about the Champions League, Premier League, Serie A and other competitions, regularly delivering expert match predictions and betting insights. He also successfully predicted the winner of the 2022 FIFA World Cup, while accurately forecasting the outcome of several group stage and knockout games.