Galatasaray v Manchester United Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips

galatasaray-man-united-prediction-banner galatasaray-man-united-prediction-banner
TournamentChampions League
Timetable17:45 GMT, 29th Nov 23
PredictionGalatasaray to Win!
Galatasaray to Win!
The best odds
Odds : 2.41
Bet €100 and win €241 if Galatasaray win.
Tony​Bet Sports
Odds : 2.46
Bet €100 and win €246 if Galatasaray win.
Legend Play Sports
Odds : 2.46
Bet €100 and win €245 if Galatasaray win.
galatasaray -man-united-logo galatasaray -man-united-logo

While Manchester United may have started their 2023/24 Champions League campaign in high spirits, they’ll arrive in Turkey knowing that a defeat will eliminate them from the competition. They also face an uphill task at RAMS Park, having never beaten Galatasary away and already incurred four defeats on the road in all competitions this season. Gala also stunned United with a see-saw 3-2 win at Old Trafford, and another victory here would set up a winner-takes-all contest with Copenhagen in gameweek six. But who do I think will win here, and how are the best betting sites pricing a Man United victory?

🏆 Galatasaray v Manchester United UCL Prediction

United and Galatasaray have now met seven times in UEFA competition, with all of these encounters coming in the Champions League. Both sides have recorded two wins apiece (United’s last victory came in September 2012), while the remaining three fixtures have ended in draws.

Interestingly, the Red Devils are winless in all three visits to Galatasaray, while they’ve lost both previous away games in UCL Group A and conceded eight goals across these matches. Only Royal Antwerp (14) and Celtic (12) have conceded more goals in the 2023/24 group stages, with United noticeably open in midfield and having completed just 15 tackles in the middle third (only Atletico Madrid have completed less).

As for Gala, they’re a well organised and tenacious side, and one that has completed the highest number of ball recoveries (261) in the competition so far. Offensively, they’ve also produced more shot-creating actions per 90 than Erik ten Hag’s men (23.75 as opposed to 20.25), although United’s xG value of 8.9 is higher than Gala’s and only bettered by Man City, Real Madrid and Inter in the UCL.

Ultimately, United continue to be hampered by injuries and suspensions, while the side has looked vulnerable against high-tempo attacking football all season. Gala are also in confident mood and sure to take the game to their opponents from the off, and I’m tipping them to win and eliminate United from the Champions League.

My Prediction: 🏆 Galatasaray 2 – 1 Man United ⚽

💯 Galatasaray v Manchester United UCL Match Odds

This is a tough match to call, as while United boast superior pedigree and individual players, Gala are a more cohesive team and will have the backing of a frenzied crowd at RAMS Park. So, you may want to explore a range of betting markets outside of the match winner, including BTTS and the over/under on the total number of goals scored in the contest!

🏅 Galatasaray v Manchester United: Match Winner

While Gala are the narrow favourites to win in Turkey, their average price of 2.40 implies a 41.66% probability of them achieving this objective. Conversely, the Red Devils can be backed at around 2.63 to prevail, so they have a 38.02% chance of claiming a maiden win in Istanbul.

Galatasaray to Win2.402.402.412.462.45
Man United to Win2.602.602.582.582.62

⚽ Galatasaray v Manchester United: Both Teams To Score

Both teams have scored in eight of Man United’s 18 matches (44%) this season, with the Red Devils keeping six clean sheets and failing to find the net on four occasions. Interestingly, both teams have scored in 59% of Gala’s matches in 2023/24, while the Turkish outfit have failed to score only once and managed to register a goal in 14 consecutive games since August 12th.


🥅 Galatasaray v Manchester United: Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Including Gala’s Champions League qualifiers, these two sides have contested 40 matches combined in 2023/24, with these encounters producing 118 goals at a rate of 2.95 per game. The reverse fixture at Old Trafford also saw five goals shared between the two teams, so it’s no surprise that the odds imply a higher probability of over 2.5 goals being scored in the game.

Over 2.5 Goals1.581.601.571.621.60
Under 2.5 Goals2.

✔️ Galatasaray v Manchester United - Betting Tips

You’ll find the above markets and more covered by the sportsbooks featured in Betinireland’s bookmaker reviews, but successfully navigating these can be easier said than done. So, here are some expert betting tips to help you make informed selections. Learn strategies to enhance your betting success with our match betting guide.

  • Tip 1: Back Galatasaray to Win: Because the bookies are largely split on the match winner here, there’s value in backing Galatasaray to win outright at a competitive price of 2.41 with Betiton. After all, Gala have won eight and lost just one of their 10 home games this season, and been beaten only once in 15 in front of their own fans since a 3-2 defeat to Başakşehir in the Turkish Cup on April 5th.
  • Tip 2: Back Galatasaray to Win and Both Sides to Score: You can also create additional value in match wagering through combination betting, by backing Gala to win and both sides to score at a price of 4.00 with Betway. Remember, Galatasaray have scored in 14 successive games home and away, while United boast the Champions League top scorer in Rasmus Højlund (who has five goals from six shots on target and an xG of just 3.4). So, while United are currently sweating on the striker’s fitness, he’ll be a threat if he can play any part in Turkey.
  • Tip 3: Back Galatasaray to Win by One Goal: When making use of one or more free bets, you could also engage in your choice of score betting markets. For example, you can back Galatasaray to win by a single goal at the generous price of 4.20 with LegendPlay, with this reflecting both the tight nature of the game and the attacking threat of both sides. The sides were also separated by just a single goal at Old Trafford, and it’s hard to imagine either team winning decisively here.

1️⃣ Galatasaray Update

While Galatasaray slipped to a shock 2-1 defeat at Hatayspor on November 11th, this was the team’s first league defeat in 12 this season (and first in 17 games since April). Overall, the side has lost just three of 22 matches in all competitions this season, while two of these came against a superb Bayern Munich side in gameweeks three and four of the Champions League. Gala also boast a potent goal threat in the form of Argentinian striker Mauro Icardi, who has scored twice in this season’s UCL and 15 goals in 20 appearances across all competitions.

Last 5 Games
Hatayspor 2
Galatasaray 1
Turkish Süper Lig
Bayern 2
Galatasaray 1
Champions League
Galatasaray 2
Kasimpasa 1
Turkish Süper Lig
Rizespor 0
Galatasaray 1
Turkish Süper Lig
Galatasaray 1
Bayern 3
Champions League

Galatasaray have a fully fit squad to choose from ahead of Man United’s visit, although both Halil Dervişoğlu and midfielder Eyüp Aydın are ineligible to play as they’re not in the Champions League squad. However, they can be added if Gala qualify for the knockout stages in the New Year.

Halil Dervişoğlu Ineligible
Eyüp Aydın Ineligible

2️⃣ Man United Update

Man United’s record this season makes for depressing reading, with the team having lost nine of their 18 games in all competitions. This sequence includes a chaotic 4-3 defeat to Copenhagen in UCL gameweek four, which has left United on the brink of elimination and rooted to the bottom of Group A. At the heart of their problems is a disorganised and undermanned defence, which has shipped 11 goals in just four Champions League games and only managed to keep a clean sheet at home against Copenhagen thanks to a last minute penalty save by Andre Onana.

Last 5 Games
Man United 1
Luton 0
Premier League
FC Copenhagen 4
Man United 3
Champions League
Fulham 0
Man United 1
Premier League
Man United 0
Newcastle 3
Man United 0
Man City 3
Premier League

United remain in the grip of a defensive injury crisis, with Tyrell Malacia (knee injury), Luke Shaw (muscle) and Lisandro Martinez (foot) all long-term absentees. Veteran Jonny Evans also limped off against Copenhagen with a hamstring strain, while keeper Andre Onana was withdrawn during Cameroon’s game against Mauritius with an unknown injury. Midfielders Cristian Eriksen (knee) and Casemiro (knock) are also expected to miss out in Turkey, and to make matters worse, Marcus Rashford is suspended for the clash with Galatasaray after being sent off against Copenhagen. Top scorer Rasmus Højlund is a major doubt after being withdrawn against Luton with a hamstring strain (although he may be fit enough to at least feature on the bench), while Winger Amad Diallo remains sidelined with a knee injury too.

Andre Onana Unknown Injury
Tyrell Malacia Knee Injury
Luke Shaw Muscle Injury
Lisandro Martinez Foot Injury
Jonny Evans Hamstring Injury
Cristian Eriksen Knee Injury
Casemiro Knock
Marcus Rashford Suspended
Rasmus Højlund Hamstring Injury
Amad Diallo Knee Injury

👕 Galatasaray v Man United - Potential Lineups

Pos. Galatasaray
Man United
Goalkeeper F. Muslera A. Bayındır Goalkeeper
Right Back S. Boey A. Wan-Bissaka Right Back
Centre Back D. Sanchez H. Maguire Centre Back
Centre Back A. Bardakcı V. Lindelof Centre Back
Left Back K. Karataş S. Reguilón Left Back
Midfielder K. Ayhan S. McTominay Midfielder
Midfielder L. Torreira S. Amrabat Midfielder
Midfielder M. Aktürkoğlu B. Fernandes Midfielder
Wide Forward Tete M. Mount Wide Forward
Striker M. Icardi A. Martial Striker
Wide Forward W. Zaha A. Garnacho Wide Forward

Galatasaray to Win!

✒️ Lewis Humphries – Expert Tipster

Lewis Humphries is an experienced football writer and tipster from the UK. He writes regularly about the Champions League, Premier League, Serie A and other competitions, regularly delivering expert match predictions and betting insights. He also successfully predicted the winner of the 2022 FIFA World Cup, while accurately forecasting the outcome of several group stage and knockout games.

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