Copenhagen v Man City: Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips

copenhagen-v-man-city-predictioncopenhagen-v-man-city-prediction
TournamentChampions League
Timetable20:00 GMT 13 Feb 24
PredictionMan City To Win!
Odds@1.25
Bookmaker1Bet Sports
Man City To Win!
The best odds
Odds : 1.25
Bet €100 and win €125 if Man City win.
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Odds : 1.25
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Odds : 1.25
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copenhagen-v-man-citycopenhagen-v-man-city

Last year’s Champions League winners Manchester City will resume the defence of their title on February 13th, when they’ll head to Denmark for the first leg of their round of 16 clash with FC Copenhagen. Pep Guardiola’s formidable side are now unbeaten in 19 UCL matches since their dramatic 3-1 loss to Real Madrid in the second leg of the 2021/22 semi-final, while they also won all six of their Group G matches. However, Copenhagen have already helped to eliminate City’s rivals United in the group stages, even beating the Red Devils 4-3 in a thrilling match at the Parken Stadium in November. But how are the various match outcomes being priced by the best betting sites, and who do I think will win here?

🏆 Copenhagen v Man City Prediction

These sides have met four times previously in official UEFA competition, twice in the Champions League and twice in the Europa League. City remain unbeaten in these clashes having won two and drawn two since February 2009, while the Citizens thrashed the Danes 5-0 during the 2022/23 UCL group stages.

City remain by far the best side in Europe at the moment too, with this borne out by both their recent form and statistical performance. More specifically, they’ve recorded the highest number of shot-creating actions per 90 (40.67) in the 2023/24 Champions League, while their xG value of 17.0 is also higher than any other side.

They’re also averaging 70.5% possession per 90 minutes, compared to just 42.8% for Copenhagen. So, it’s likely that City will dominate the ball at the Parken Stadium, while the recent return of Kevin De Bruyne and talisman Erling Haaland from injury means that the Citizens will be well placed to make the most of their possession.

In their Group A matches, Copenhagen completed 301 ball recoveries and won 52.8% of their tackles, so Guardiola’s side will have to work hard to break down their opponents. However, it’s almost inevitable that they will, and the timing of City’s first goal could determine precisely how tough a night it is for the hosts and their fans.

My Prediction: 🏆 FC Copenhagen 0 – 3 Man City ⚽

💯 Copenhagen v Man City Match Odds

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You can access a huge array of betting markets when wagering on the UCL match between Copenhagen and Man City, including the match winner, BTTS (or not) and the over/under on how many goals will be scored in the game. But how are these markets being priced, and what do the odds tell us about the most likely outcomes?

🏅 Copenhagen v Man City: Match Winner

Every one of the sportsbooks featured in Betinireland’s comprehensive bookmaker reviews is offering match winner odds here, with City priced at around 1.25 to win. This implies an 80% probability of an away victory while Copenhagen’s average price of 10.00 affords the Danes just a 10% chance of success.

Team
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LegendPlay-logoLegendPlay-logo
FC Copenhagen to Win10.0010.009.8510.0010.00
Man City to Win1.251.221.241.251.25
Draw5.005.505.455.505.00

⚽ Copenhagen v Man City: Both Teams To Score (BTTS)

Both teams have scored in 19 of Copenhagen’s 33 matches through 2023/24 (57.57%), with Jacob Neestrup’s men keeping a total of clean 12 sheets. However, City have only drawn three blanks in 35 matches this season and none in the Champions League, while both sides have found the net in 22 of their contested games (62.85%).

Yes/No
1bet-logo1bet-logo
betway-logobetway-logo
Betiton-logoBetiton-logo
Mr-Mega-logoMr-Mega-logo
LegendPlay-logoLegendPlay-logo
Yes1.952.102.082.002.00
No1.751.701.641.731.73

🥅 Copenhagen v Man City: Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Copenhagen and Man City have contested a combined total of 68 matches in the 2023/24 season so far. These matches have yielded a whopping 228 goals at a rate of 3.35 per game, with both teams scoring more than 2.00 goals per 90 in all competitions. So, it’s no surprise that the pre-game odds imply a much higher probability of over 2.5 goals being scored in the first leg encounter.

Under/Over
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betway-logobetway-logo
Betiton-logoBetiton-logo
Mr-Mega-logoMr-Mega-logo
LegendPlay-logoLegendPlay-logo
Over 2.5 Goals1.551.601.581.551.57
Under 2.5 Goals2.302.202.202.202.25

✔️ Copenhagen v Man City - Betting Tips

While matched betting is a widely used wagering strategy at this stage of the UCL, it’s not recommended here due to the high probability of a Man City win. Instead, here are some alternative tips to help you make the most of your bank roll and available free bets!

  • Tip 1: Back Both Teams Not to Score: While the BTTS odds imply a slightly higher probability of both teams not scoring at the Parken Stadium, there’s still value in backing this market outright. Certainly, City have looked more defensively assured since the return of John Stones from injury, while they’re likely to dominate possession and starve Copenhagen of chances in front of goal. They only conceded three goals in seven knockout matches in last season’s competition too, so get on both teams not to score at the competitive price of 1.75 with 1Bet Sports.
  • Tip 2: Back Man City to Win with a Handicap of -2.5 Goals: It’s hard to see anything but a comfortable win for the Citizens here, especially with Guardiola’s men having won seven consecutive matches in all competition since returning victorious from the FIFA Club World Cup. Erling Haaland will also be keen to return to goalscoring ways after a relatively long lay-off, and City will look to press their opponents from the outset. So, there’s some value in backing City to win with a handicap of -2.5 goals at a price of 2.90 with Mr Mega Sport.
  • Tip 3: Back Man City to Win with Over 2.5 Goals Scored: In order to create further value when backing Man City to win here, you may also want to consider combination betting. For example, you could wager on the Citizens to win with over 2.5 goals scored in the game, at a price of 1.91 with LegendPlay Sports. Remember, the matches contested by these two sides have produced 3.35 goals per 90 in 2023/24, while City alone continue to score at a rate of 2.48 goals per game in all competitions.

1️⃣ FC Copenhagen Update

With the Danish Superliga in the midst of a seemingly endless winter break, FC Copenhagen haven’t played a competitive match since beating Galatasaray and confirming their place in the UCL round of 16 on December 12th. This victory immediately followed a quarterfinal exit to Silkeborg in the Danish Cup and three successive league games without a win, however, with the team having subsequently slumped to third in the Superliga table. So, fans will hope that the extended break will have rejuvenated the Copenhagen players and helped them to rediscover some form, although a relative lack of match sharpness could hinder them on their return.

Last 5 Games
Brøndby IF2
Copenhagen 1
05.02.24
The Atlantic Cup
IF Elfsborg 4
Copenhagen 5
05.02.24
The Atlantic Cup
AC Sparta Praga 2
Copenhagen0
20.01.24
Friendly
Rangers FC 2
Copenhagen 2
16.01.24
Friendly
Copenhagen 1
Galatasaray0
12.12.23
Champions League

As you’d expect, Copenhagen’s extended break from action means that they have few injury concerns ahead of the visit of Man City. However, centre back Davit Khocholava is expected to remain sidelined with knee problems, while keeper Theo Sander has been ruled out for the season after undergoing knee surgery. Midfielder Lukas Lerager will also miss out through suspension, following his dismissal in the 1-0 win over Galatasaray in December.

Player Reason
Davit Khocholava Knee Injury
Theo Sander Knee Surgery
Lukas Lerager Suspended

2️⃣ Man City Update

As I’ve touched on, City have started to build some ominous momentum since returning victorious from the FIFA Club World Cup. Including the tournament in Jeddah, Saudi Arabia, Guardiola’s side have now won nine consecutive matches across three different competitions, with this run having seen them move to within striking distance at the top of the Premier League and reach the last 16 of the FA Cup. What’s more, John Stones, Kevin De Bruyne and Erling Haaland are now back to full fitness after injury, meaning that the Citizens are well placed to sustain another treble bid in the second half of the season.

Last 5 Games
Brentford 1
Man City 3
05.02.24
Premier League
Man City 3
Burnley 1
31.01.24
Premier League
Tottenham 0
Man City 1
26.01.24
FA Cup
Newcastle 2
Man City 3
13.01.24
Premier League
Man City 5
Huddersfield 0
07.01.24
FA Cup

The really good news for City is that they have a fully fit squad to choose from ahead of their trip to Copenhagen. This means that Swiss defender Manuel Akanji is the latest player to return to full fitness, having overcome a minor knee injury in the build up to the recent Premier League clash with Brentford.

👕 Copenhagen v Man City - Potential Lineups

Pos. Copenhagen
4-2-3-1
Man City
3-2-4-1
Pos.
Goalkeeper K. Grabara Ederson Goalkeeper
Right Back P. Ankersen K. Walker Right Centre Back
Centre Back D. Vavro R. Dias Centre Back
Centre Back K. Diks J. Gvardiol Left Centre Back
Left Back E. Jelert J. Stones Defensive Midfielder
Midfielder R. Falk Rodri Defensive Midfielder
Midfielder D. Gonçalves P. Foden Right Midfielder
Midfielder R. Bardghji K. De Bruyne Attacking Midfielder
Wide Forward M. Elyounoussi P. Foden Attacking Midfielder
Striker V. Claesson J. Grealish Left Midfielder
Wide Forward E. Achouri E. Haaland Striker

Man City To Win!

✒️ Lewis Humphries – Expert Tipster

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Lewis Humphries is an experienced football writer and tipster from the UK. He writes regularly about the Champions League, Premier League, Serie A and other competitions, regularly delivering expert match predictions and betting insights. He also successfully predicted the winner of the 2022 FIFA World Cup, while accurately forecasting the outcome of several group stage and knockout games.

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