Celtic v Atlético Madrid Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips

celtic-v-atletico-madrid-prediction celtic-v-atletico-madrid-prediction
TournamentChampions League
Timetable25th Oct 23, 20:00
PredictionAtlético Madrid To Win!
Odds2.00
BookmakerDachbet Sports
Atlético Madrid To Win!
The best odds
1.
Dach​bet Sports
Odds : 2.00
Bet €100 and win €200 if Atlético Madrid win.
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2.
betway
Odds : 1.95
Bet €100 and win €195 if Atlético Madrid win.
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€50+ 50 Free Spins
3.
Legend Play Sports
Odds : 1.95
Bet €100 and win €195 if Atlético Madrid win.
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celtic-v-atletico-madrid-prediction celtic-v-atletico-madrid-prediction

Celtic have struggled in the 2023/24 Champions League so far, with a disappointing 2-0 loss at Dutch champions Feyenoord compounded by a heart-breaking, last-gasp defeat against Lazio in gameweek two. So, they’ll have to win at home against Atlético to retain any realistic chance of progressing to the knockout stages for the first time since the 2012/13 season. As for their seasoned Spanish opponents, they’re in excellent form both at home and abroad and have lost just one of 11 games in all competitions this season. So, will Diego Simeone’s men leave Celtic Park with the win, or can the home side spring a much-needed surprise on home soil? Read this football betting guide to learn more and check out the latest ante post odds.

🏆 Celtic v Atlético Madrid

These two historically huge sides have met each other four times in continental competition, initially during the old European Cup in the 1973/74 season. Here, the teams contested a two-legged semi-final (with Atlético ultimately prevailing 2-0), while the Spanish side also defeated Celtic home and away during the group stages of the 2011/12 Europa League.

Interestingly, both sides rank in the bottom five this season for average possession stats, with Celtic having 46.0% of the ball across their opening two matches and Atlético controlling possession 49.5% of the time. However, I expect Celtic to shade possession here given manager Brendan Rodgers‘ more proactive playing style, while Simeone’s men will look to play predominently on the counterattack and exploit thier opponents‘ defensive frailties.

This will suit Atlético, who are ruthless in transition and have scored four times from just 16 attempts in this season’s UCL at a tournament high goals-per-shot ratio of 0.25. This tally has also significantly outperformed Los Colchoneros‘ expected goals value of just 0.85, so they won’t need many chances to score at Celtic Park. Conversely, Celtic have scored just once from 19 attempts and have an expected goals value of 1.40, and this relative profligacy in front of goal could also help Atlético to secure a hard-fought win in Glasgow.

My Prediction: 🏆 Celtic 1 – 2 Atlético Madrid ⚽

💯 Celtic v Atlético Madrid UCL Match Odds

There are plenty of ways that you can wager on the UCL match between Celtic and Atlético Madrid, from backing the match winner or outcome to betting both sides to score (or not) or the total number of goals that will be scored in the game. So, let’s take a closer look at these markets and the latest odds from the best Champions League betting sites. Additionally, you can explore a carefully selected list of the best betting sites, providing you with a diverse array of options.

🏅 Celtic v Atlético Madrid: Match Winner

Unsurprisingly, Atlético have been made the ante post favourites to win in Glasgow, but home advantage means that the odds on a Celtic victory aren’t exceptionally long. Here’s the real-time ante post pricing!

Team
Celtic to Win3.603.603.553.703.60
Atlético Madrid to Win2.001.951.921.951.95
Draw3.603.603.603.503.60

⚽ Celtic v Atlético Madrid: Both Teams To Score

This is an even money market that’s intriguingly poised, with both sides having scored in 50% of Celtic’s 12 matches in all competitions this season. The same outcome has occurred in six of Atlético’s 11 games through 2023/24, with the current odds implying a slightly higher probability that both sides will score in this match.

Yes/No
Yes1.671.701.611.621.65
No2.202.102.192.152.15

🥅 Celtic v Atlético Madrid: Over/Under 2.5 Goals

When it comes to wagering on the over/under market for total goals scored in the clash between Celtic and Atlético, the most popular betting line is 2.5. What’s more, the bookies appear to be erring on the side of over 2.5 goals being scored in the contest, with the 23 matches played between these two teams in 2023/24 yielding 72 goals at a rate of 3.13 per game.

Under/Over
Over 2.5 Goals1.731.751.701.701.75
Under 2.5 Goals2.002.002.012.052.00

✔️ Celtic v Atlético Madrid - Betting Tips

Whether you’re wagering your hard-earned bankroll or simply want to deploy a free bet offer as effectively as possible, it’s important that you navigate these and similar markets carefully. So, here are some betting tips to help you do just that!

  • Tip 1: Back Atlético Madrid to Win: While Atlético may be the ante post favourites to beat Celtic, their current price is still high enough for you to realise some value. For example, you can back the La Liga side to win at a price of 2.00 with Dachbet Sports, which is relatively competitive when you consider the UCL pedigree of each team and their performance stats in 2023/24 so far. Of course, a trip to a usually raucous Celtic Park can be daunting for anyone, but Atlético have the experience to survive and even thrive in this type of atmosphere.
  • Tip 2: Back Both Sides to Score (BTTS): Both Celtic and Atlético have registered seven shots on target in their two UCL games so far, and while the latter have been far more ruthless in front of goal, the home side have slightly underperformed when compared to their expected goals value of 1.4. So, I expect both teams to create chances and score at Celtic Park, especially if the hosts are able to command more of the ball against Atlético. You can back BTTS at a price of 1.70 with Betway.
  • Tip 3: Back Atlético to win by 1 Goal: While you’re unlikely to back either of these sides as the outright UCL winner for 2023/24, there is some value to be found by betting on Atlético to win by a single goal here. After all, neither side has been particularly creative or dominant in any of their UCL games so far, while they’ve each produced the joint-lowest number of shot-creating actions (29) in the competition. You can also get the La Liga side to win by a single goal at the competitive price of 3.75 with TonyBet.

1️⃣ Celtic Update

Two of Celtic’s three defeats so far this season have come in the UEFA Champions League: namely a 2-0 defeat at Feyenoord and a subsequent 2-1 loss at home to Lazio last time out. However, Celtic were at least competitive against Lazio, starting proactively and taking an early lead before succumbing to a 95th minute goal by Spanish veteran Pedro. Domestically, the team’s form is much better, with Celtic having won eight of their nine Scottish Premier League games and only dropped points in a 0-0 draw with St. Johnstone. Europe is a different proposition all together, however, and Celtic will need to improve both their defensive and offensive performance stats to progress further in the competition.

Last 5 Games
Hearts 1
Celtic 4
22.10.23
Scottish Premier League
Celtic 3
Kilmarnock 1
07.10.23
Scottish Premier League
Celtic 1
Lazio 2
04.10.23
Champions League
Motherwell 1
Celtic 2
30.09.23
Scottish Premier League
Livingston 0
Celtic 3
23.09.23
Scottish Premier League

Celtic are largely at full strength ahead of Atlético Madrid’s visit, although winger Liel Abada remains unavailable indefinitely with a torn thigh muscle. Centre back Stephen Walsh will also miss out with an ankle injury, with the Scotsman not expected to return until late December.

Player Reason
Liel Abada Torn Thigh Muscle
Stephen Walsh Ankle Injury

2️⃣ Atlético Madrid Update

Atlético Madrid are now unbeaten in seven matches since a surprise 3-0 loss at Valencia on 16 September, with the side winning six of these games and scoring 17 goals during this sequence. The run also includes both UCL matches to date, including a 1-1 draw with Lazio at the Stadio Olimpico and a thrilling 3-2 win over Feyenoord in gameweek two. Overall, Atlético have only lost one of their last 15 matches in all competitions since May 14th, which reflects how difficult the side is to beat and their efficiency at both ends of the pitch. Their 3-5-2 shape is also incredibly well organised, while their tally of 51 clearances is the third highest in the Champions League this season.

Last 5 Games
Celta Vigo 0
Atlético Madrid 3
21.10.23
La Liga
Atlético Madrid 2
Real Sociedad 1
08.10.23
La Liga
Atlético Madrid 3
Feyenoord 2
04.10.23
Champions League
Atlético Madrid 3
Cadiz 2
01.10.23
La Liga
Osasuna 0
Atlético Madrid 2
28.09.23
La Liga

Atlético Madrid may be without a handful of players when they visit Celtic, including Çağlar Söyüncü (groin injury), Pablo Barrios (muscle) and Thomas Lemar (Achilles tendon rupture). Influential centre back José María Giménez is also a doubt with a muscle injury, while Vitolo may miss out with knee problems too.

Player Reason
Çağlar Söyüncü Groin Injury
Pablo Barrios Muscle Injury
Thomas Lemar Achilles Tendon Rupture
José María Giménez Muscle Injury
Vitolo Knee Injury

👕 Celtic v Atlético Madrid - Potential Lineups

Pos. Celtic
4-3-3
Atlético Madrid
3-5-2
Pos.
Goalkeeper J. Hart J. Oblak Goalkeeper
Right Back A. Johnston C. Azpilicueta Right Centre Back
Centre Back C. Carter-Vickers A. Witsel Centre Back
Centre Back L. Scales M. Hermoso Left Centre Back
Left Back G. Taylor M Llorente Right Wing Back
Midfielder M. O’Riley R. De Paul Midfielder
Midfielder C. McGregor Koke Midfielder
Midfielder R. Hatate Saúl Midfielder
Wide Forward D. Maeda S. Lino Left Wing Back
Striker K. Furuhashi A. Morata Striker
Wide Forward L. Palma A. Griezmann Striker

Atlético Madrid To Win!

✒️ Lewis Humphries – Expert Tipster

Lewis Humphries is an experienced football writer and tipster from the UK. He writes regularly about the Champions League, Premier League, Serie A and other competitions, regularly delivering expert match predictions and betting insights. He also successfully predicted the winner of the 2022 FIFA World Cup, while accurately forecasting the outcome of several group stage and knockout games.

Lewis doesn't just stick to sports; you can also find plenty of casino gaming content. He's reviewed some of the world's leading online casino platforms, while creating blog posts and landing page content for various sports betting brands. His content has also been featured on a number of different sites, including Life Hack, Investopedia, Yahoo Finance and Business Insider. He also pens regular sports features for sites including 90 Minutes, Think Football Ideas and Sportsblog.

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