UEFA Champions League Prediction with Outright Winner Odds, Betting Tips and Free Bet Offers ⚽

💯 Champions League Outright Winner Odds

Before I offer up my UEFA Champions League prediction and provide some helpful outright betting tips, I’m going to take a look at the latest UCL odds.

Of course, the odds to win the Champions League outright will continue to change as the tournament progresses and the nature of the draw changes. So, let’s check out the current Champions League winner odds below, before considering how you can navigate this challenging betting market going forward.

Man City	3.25	3.25	3.25	2.75	2.80	2.63	1.65
Bayern Munich	4.50	4.50	4.50	7.00	8.00	7.00	4.00
Real Madrid	8.00	8.00	8.00	13.00	12.00	13.00	6.00
Napoli	4.50	4.50	4.33	13.00	14.00	13.00	6.50
Chelsea	15.00	17.00	17.00	15.00	19.00	17.00	6.50
Benfica	17.00	13.00	13.00	28.00	26.00	17.00	N/A
Inter	15.00	15.00	15.00	34.00	29.00	29.00	15.00
AC Milan	21.00	21.00	21.00	53.00	51.00	34.00	20.00

📋 Champions League Outright Betting Tips

Some fascinating insights can be drawn from the current UEFA Champions League outright winner odds, not least the fact that Manchester City are the overwhelming bookmakers favourites to prevail ahead of some pretty stiff competition.

So, let’s take a closer look he some of the biggest contenders and best betting options, before delving deep into in the UCL outright market and eking out some additional wagering tips!

1️⃣ The Safe Bet – Manchester City to Win at an Average Price of 2.75

While Manchester City’s status as favourites should not come as a surprise (they enjoyed similar backing during last season’s knockout stages before being eliminated by an indefatigable Real Madrid side in a dramatic semi-final), the relatively short nature of their price when compared with their rivals is eye-catch, to say the least.

There are numerous factors in play here, of course, from the influx of bets that are likely to have been placed on Pep Guardiola’s all-conquering side to the nature of the draw. After all, four of City’s closest UEFA rivals have been pitted against one another in the round of 16, while they’ve enjoyed a relatively straightforward draw in the form of Bundesliga outfit RB Leipzig.

Then there’s Erling Haaland, with many suggesting that the prolific Norwegian striker will prove to be the missing piece of the puzzle for Manchester City in Europe. Certainly, they missed countless chances in their two-legged clash with Los Blancos in last season’s semi-final clash, and Haaland has already provided a ruthless cutting edge with 31 goals in 25 just games across all competitions.

With these points in mind, City arguably presents the safest wager from the perspective of Champions League outright betting in 2022/23, while you can currently access a market high price of 2.80 with Unibet.

2️⃣ The Value Bet – Real Madrid to Win at an Average Price of 12.00

You have scroll down to the fifth team in the Champions League betting outright odds to win table before you find Real Madrid, despite Los Blancos’ status as the defending champions and most decorated side in UCL history.

Currently, you can back Real Madrid to retain their Champions League crown at an average price of 12.00 market-high odds of 13.00 with TonyBet and Ladbrokes. These odds seem relatively long given Madrid’s recent Champions League pedigree (they’ve won five of the last 10 iterations of the tournament), so what’s behind the Betinireland sportsbooks’ decision-making?

Well, Madrid have wobbled domestically of late, falling three points behind bitter rivals Barcelona in La Liga. They’ve also been handed a difficult round of 16 against six-time UCL winner Liverpool, while only one side has ever retained the Champions League since the tournament’s change of format in 1992.

That side was Madrid, however, who won three consecutive tournaments between 2015 and 2018. They also beat Liverpool in last season’s final and in the 2018 showpiece match, while eliminating them at the quarterfinal stage in the 2020/21 campaign. Madrid also saves their best form for the UCL, so their current Champions League winner odds earmark them as an excellent value bet from an outright wagering perspective.

3️⃣ The Realistic Outside Bet – Napoli to Win at an Average Price of 13.00

It’s incredible to think that Napoli can be backed at a similar outright price to Real Madrid, especially given their lack of pedigree in Europe’s biggest competition. In fact, they’ve never even reached the quarterfinals of the European Cup, so it’s arguable whether ‘Gli Azzurri’ even offer value as an outside bet at an average price of 13.00.

However, Napoli have been in exceptional form in 2022/23, prevailing in 21 of their 26 competitive games across all competitions at a win rate of 80.77. This sequence has seen them win 16 of their 19 Serie A matches to date and open up a 12-point lead in their hunt for a first Scudetto since 1990, while they were victorious in the first five UCL group stage games to qualify with something to spare.

This included a vibrant and comprehensive 4-1 thrashing of Liverpool in Naples, while Napoli have been awarded a relatively favourable draw in the form of Bundesliga side and last season’s Europa League runners-up Eintracht Frankfurt.

Make no mistake; if Napoli can maintain their momentum and the draw continues to be relatively kind to them, they can continue their UCL campaign and will be a formidable match for anyone in the latter stages. This could also make them a realistic outside outright bet, and one that may deliver a decent return on a relatively small stake at current prices.

While these bets all offer potential value in their own right, it’s important to consider other factors such as the timing of your outright wager and the market’s likely movements as the tournament progresses. So, here are some additional considerations to keep in mind when engaging in outright UCL betting.

4️⃣ Bet as Early and Proactively as Possible

As a general rule, it’s wise to place outright bets as early as possible, before bookmakers start to receive an influx of money and adjust their odds accordingly.

Certainly, the shortest-price favourites and most likely outright winners are likely to see their odds shorten as the tournament progresses, as their chances of prevailing increases incrementally and the number of competing teams diminishes.

However, this is arguably more important with some selections than others. For example, if you want to back Real Madrid to win the UCL this season, I would bet now at a market high price of 13.00. After all, while they’re not guaranteed to beat Liverpool over two legs, their price will diminish significantly if they do, and any potential value could be lost.

Similarly, I’d encourage you to have the courage of your convictions and wager now if intend to back either PSG or Bayern Munich as outright winners. With the second and third favourites set to do battle in the round of 16, one of these giants is soon to be eliminated, and the winner will see their outright odds plummet considerably as a result.

Sure, there’s risk in this approach, but this may be necessary if you’re going to optimise your rewards through outright betting.

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5️⃣ Remember That Early Outright Betting Helps You to Lower Your Stake

There’s another advantage of betting early on outright Champions League markets, as this enables you to pursue optimal gains with only nominal stakes that help you to manage your risk.

If I use the previous example of backing defending champions Real Madrid to win again, betting on them at 13.00 with a stake amount of €5 will yield a total return of €65.00 and profit of €60.

However, if they were to eliminate Liverpool in the round of 16 and their market price subsequently dropped to 5.00 (which would depend on other results, of course), you’d only see a €50 return (with €40 profit) even when doubling your stake to €10.

So, betting early in this instance can boost profitability while saving your hard-earned bankroll, which is a real win-win in anybody’s book.

6️⃣ Don’t Waste Your Money on Genuine Outsiders

When you appraise the lower end of the UCL outright odds, you can see that rank outsiders such as Club Brugge are priced as high as 181.00 to win the tournament.

While it may seem that this offers at least some value given the unpredictability of knockout football and the fact that the Belgians have progressed to the last 16, their prohibitive odds are more than justified and the side’s chances of winning are negligible to say that least.

To provide some context, only 22 sides have won the European Cup since its inception 68 years ago, while Chelsea remains the only first-time winner since the turn of the century (they lifted their first UCL crown at the end of the 2011/2012 campaign).

So, while it’s OK to wager on realistic outsiders such as Napoli and Chelsea (who also lifted the trophy as recently as 2021 and can be backed at an average price of 17.00 this time around) with a nominal stake, you should avoid wasting your hard-earned cash on teams that have virtually no statistical chance of winning.

🥇 Champions League Outright Winner Prediction

As you can see, there are a number of intriguingly priced contenders to win the 2022/23 Champions League, while there’s relative value to be found in a broad variety of different outright wagers and selections. But who am I tipping to win the UEFA Champions League this season?

Well, despite the obvious value offered by Real Madrid’s current price and the enduring sense that 8.00-shots PSG are due for an extended run in the UCL knockout stages, it’s hard to look beyond Manchester City ending their Champions League drought and Pep Guardiola claiming his first such crown since 2011.

After all, City were the beaten finalists in 2021 following a disappointing (and surprisingly tame) 1-0 defeat to domestic rivals Chelsea, while the Citizens were undone by Real Madrid’s epic comeback in the second leg of the semi-final last season. These setbacks will have helped to strengthen City’s resolve and desire to win Europe’s biggest prize, and while they’re occasionally defensively vulnerable at the highest level, they retain the technical, physical and mental tools to prevail this time around.

The addition of Erling Haaland may also prove crucial. Certainly, it’s hard to imagine that City would have lost their semi-final tie to Madrid last season if the Norwegian had been playing, especially given the number of chances they created in the home leg. So, if Haaland stays fit and is able to maintain his incredible domestic and continental form, he may ultimately fire them to a long-awaited UCL crown.

🎁 Champions League Free Bet Offers for Outright Betting

If you do decide to get on Manchester City to win the 2022/23 Champions League, you may first want to check out the latest free bet offers from Betinireland’s recommended betting sites below.

These can be deployed for the purpose of outright Champions League betting, and there’s a multitude of offers to compare in the marketplace. To make it a little easier, I’ve also explored three of the best free bet offers in a little more detail!

#1. Luckster – 100% Deposit Match up to €100 (No Wagering)

I’ll start with Luckster’s generous no wagering welcome offer, which rewards you with a 100% deposit match up to €100. This translates into multiple free outright bets for the Champions League, although you’ll have to deploy the bonus balance with 14 days of it being credited to your Luckster account. Also, the bonus is only available to customers who deposit using a card or bank transfer, so PayPal, Neteller, Skrill and Paysafe transactions will be ineligible. The minimum qualifying odds here are 2.00.

#2. Ladbrokes – Wager €5 and receive €20 in Free Bets

Ladbrokes have been running this promotion offer for some time, such is its popularity among punters. This will reward you with €20 in free bets when you place a qualifying wager of €5 or more, so long as your betslip doesn’t include selections with odds lower than 1.50. This enables you to place outright wagers on any of the contenders to win the 2022/23 Champions League (according to current prices at least), while you’ll have seven days to deploy your free bets once your qualifying wager has been placed.

#3. PalmSlots Sports - 100% Deposit Match up to €100

Like Luckster, market newcomer PalmSlots Sports is also offering a 100% deposit match up to the value of €100 at present. However, there are wagering requirements associated with this offer, and you’ll have to stake 16x the total value of the bonus funds before completing any subsequent withdrawals. All qualifying and free bets must also be placed on outcomes with minimum odds of 1.80 (once again enabling you to wager on all outright UCL contenders at present).

Sportsbook	Offer	Visit Sportsbook
	Receive up to €20 in Free Bets	Bet €10 and Get €20 in Free Bets
	Receive up to €100	100% Bet Deposit Match up to €100
	€40 Welcome Offer	Bet €10 and Get €40 in Free Bets
	Receive up to €50 in Bonus Funds	100% Deposit Match up to €50
	Get €40 in Bonus Funds
	€20 Free Bet Bonus	Bet €5 Get €20 in Free Bets
	€100 No Wagering Bonus Offer	100% Deposit Match up to €100
	Get a €40 Bonus	Bet €10 Get €40 in Free Bets
	Free Bet Offer up to €30	Bet €5 Get €30 in Free Bets
	Get up to €100 in Bonus Funds	100% Deposit Match up to €100
	Get up to €100 in Profit Boosts	100% Profit Boost up to €100
	€30 Matched Bet	Bet €10 and Earn €30 Matched Bet

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📰 Latest UEFA Champions League News

✒️ Lewis Humphries - UEFA Champions League Betting Expert

Lewis Humphries is an experienced football writer and tipster from the UK. He writes regularly about the Champions League, Premier League, Serie A and other competitions, regularly delivering expert match predictions and betting insights.

He also successfully predicted that Argentina would win the FIFA 2022 World Cup, while forecasting the correct outcome in several group stage and 10 of the 16 knockout matches .

❓ Frequently Asked Questions About Champions League Outright Winner

So, there you have it; my football prediction for the Champions League and comprehensive guide to the very latest outright odds ahead of the round of 16.

Before I go, however, the team and I wanted to answer some of your most frequently asked questions and provide further insight into the 2022/23 Champions League.