Spain vs Germany Prediction and Betting Odds – 2022 World Cup: Who Will Win?

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TournamentFIFA World Cup 2022
TimetableSunday 27th of November at 10:00 GMT
PredictionSpain to Win!
OddsSpain to Win @ 2.52
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The final 2022 World Cup match on November 27th (and 28th overall) is an absolute humdinger, with four-time winners Germany taking on 2010 winners Spain at the Al Bayt Stadium. While many expected this to be a titanic struggle that could ultimately determine who finishes top of Group E, it has become a must-win game for the Germans following their humbling by Japan in the opening round of fixtures.

Conversely, Spain will hoping to secure qualification for the round of 16 and potentially eliminate their rivals after a 7-0 win over Costa Rica last time out, and will undeniably start as favourites in Al Khor. We’ll appraise the chances of both sides below for the FIFA World Cup Betting fans out there while also checking out the most relevant and popular betting sites with best odds and offers.

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💯Spain vs Germany Betting Odds

If you’re going to wager on the Spain vs Germany match, there are a number of popular football betting markets that you can explore. We’ve highlighted three of these below while casting our eyes over the latest real-time odds from our recommended sportsbooks.

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🏅Spain vs Germany Odds : Match Winner

Here are the best odds from top bookmakers in Ireland for football betting.

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Spain to Win2.522.50TBATBATBATBA2.50
Germany to Win2.752.65TBATBATBATBA2.75
Draw3.233.20TBATBATBATBA3.40

⚽Spain vs Germany Odds : Both Teams to Score

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Yes1.731.63TBATBATBATBA1.73
No2.122.06TBATBATBATBA2.00

🥅 Spain vs Germany Odds : Over/Under 2.5 Goals

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Over 2.5 Goals1.921.86TBATBATBATBA1.91
Under 2.5 Goals1.861.82TBATBATBATBA1.80

🏠 Spain Football World Cup Preview

Spain are currently 7th in the FIFA rankings, while the same listings recognise them as the fourth best side on the continent.

However, this ranking seems a little unfavourable given the side’s imperious performance during their 7-0 win over Costa Rica, in which Luis Enrique’s young and energetic team completely dominated their more experienced rivals.

Spain also arrived in Qatar in decent form, losing just a single game in just nine outings dating back to March 26th. The team qualified for the 2022 UEFA Nations League final during this run, while their decisive 1-0 away win over Portugal in September further reinforced their credentials against top class opposition.

Interestingly, since manager Luis Enrique took charge permanently in November 2019, Spain have only been beaten three times in 32 matches (including the UEFA Nations League final defeat to France on October 10th and the semi-final defeat against Italy at Euro 2020).

So, the side is clearly difficult to beat and capable of dominating most matches with controlled possession and the relentless rotation of players in attack, and the thrashing of Costa Rica will have sent further shivers down the spines of Spain’s rivals.

🏆Spain World Cup History

This will be the 16th World Cup finals appearance for Spain, who have only failed to qualify on five occasions and didn’t enter the inaugural tournament back at all in 1930. The Spaniards last failed to qualify for the finals in 1974, since which time they’ve appeared in 12 consecutive tournaments (including Qatar 2022). However, the nation underachieved for many of these years, only reaching the quarterfinals three times (in 1986, 1994 and 2002) and failing to improve on their fourth-place finish achieved in 1950. This all changed in 2010, however, when a squad including Xavi and Andres Iniesta finally lifted the Jules Rimet trophy after beating the Netherlands 1-0 in the final. This followed on from a successful European Championship campaign for the Spaniards in 2008, while they also retained this trophy in 2012.

The curse of the defending champions struck in Brazil in 2014, however, when Spain endured an opening day 5-1 thrashing at the hands of the Netherlands and then exited at the group stage. They were also knocked out on penalties in the round of 16 in Russia and exited despite not losing a single match in open play.

✔️ Spain Qualification and Road to the World Cup 2022

Unsurprisingly, Spain qualified with relative ease from UEFA Group B, winning six and losing just one of their eight matches. After all, their pedigree during qualification is incredible, winning 87 of their 125 matches and scoring an impressive 291 goals.

They also scored 15 goals and conceded a paltry five during qualifying in 2022, while topping the group by four points ahead of second-place Sweden.

It should also be noted that Spain won their last four qualifiers, after their opening match against Greece and suffering defeat against Sweden on matchday four. Here’s a closer look at Spain’s performance in qualifying:

DateMatchFinal ScoreWinner
25th March 2021Spain vs Greece1-1Draw
28th March 2021Georgia vs Spain1-2Spain
31st March 2021Spain vs Kosovo3-1Spain
2nd September 2021Sweden vs Spain2-1Sweden
5th September 2021Spain vs Georgia4-0Spain
8th September 2021Kosovo vs Spain0-2Spain
11th November 2021Greece vs Spain0-1Spain
14th November 2021Spain vs Sweden1-0Spain

⭐ Spain Players to Watch

Attempting to identify Spain’s star players in a challenging pastime, with the national squad packed full of talent and experience. However, our expert team has picked out three of the key players to watch in Qatar and throughout the remainder of the tournament::

  • Pau Torres: Stylish and towering in equal measure, the 25-year-old centre back Pau Torres will be a key cog in the Spanish defensive line in Qatar. Blessed with exceptional positional awareness and typically capable on the ball, Torres has won 19 international caps and also scored a single goal during Euro 2020 qualifying in a 7-0 thrashing of Malta. Torres currently plies his trade for La Liga outfit and last season’s Champions League semi-finalists Villareal, while he has made 246 appearances to date during his club career.
  • Pedri: No list would be complete with the precocious 19-year-old midfielder and 2021 Golden Boy winner Pedri. Despite having won just 12 international caps to date, for example, Pedri established himself as a regular starter during Euro 2020, with his unique blend of technical ability, outstanding passing range and ball-carrying skills separating him from many of his peers. He’ll be one of the players to watch in the 2022 Football World Cup for sure, especially if Spain are able to make their way deep into the tournament. His first-time volleyed goal with the outside of his right foot against Costa Rica was also a thing of beauty, and fitting testament to the player’s unique talent.
  • Ferran Torres: 22-year-old forward Ferran Torres is another uniquely talented player and one who is currently starring for Barcelona in La Liga. Blessed with exceptional movement and notable finishing ability, he has already scored 34 club career goals in 185 matches for Valencia, Manchester City and the Catalan giants. His strike rate for his country is even better, as despite winning just 28 caps, he has already found the back of the net on 13 occasions (including four times during WC 2022 qualifying) and two in the 7-0 thrashing of Costa Rica).

📰 Latest Spain World Cup News

✈️ Germany World Cup Preview

You may be surprised to note that Germany are ranked as low as 11th according to FIFA, with this largely due to a disappointing Euro 2020 campaign that ended with a second-round defeat against old rivals England. However, they’re still the ninth-best European footballing nation, while their aggressive and incredibly attacking style of play means that they’re capable of blowing away any opponent on their day.

You may be surprised to note that Germany are ranked as low as 11th according to FIFA, with this largely due to a disappointing Euro 2020 campaign that ended with a second-round defeat against old rivals England.

However, they’re still ranked as the ninth best European footballing nation, while their aggressive and incredibly attacking style of play means that they’re capable of blowing away any opponent on their day.

Conversely, Hansi Flick’s tenacious and high-risk philosophy makes the Germans vulnerable at times, with their inability to convert chances and inability to repel rapid counterattacks central to their 2-1 defeat to Japan in their opening WC match. This defeat also extended a poor run of form that has continued throughout 2022, with the Germans winning just one of their last four matches and only two of their last nine since March 26th.

The question that remains is whether Flick will modify his aggressive tactics given Spain’s technical proficiency and more disciplined shape, as this may be necessary if the Germans are to keep their knockout stage hopes alive.

🏆 Germany's World Cup History

If you thought Spain’s World Cup record was impressive, even this pales in comparison with Germany’s. In fact, Germany has never failed to qualify for the World Cup finals, choosing not to enter at all in 1930 and facing a ban in 1950 in the aftermath of World War II. As a result, Germany will be competing in their 20th out of 22 World Cup finals in Qatar, with the team having contested a European record of 109 finals matches in total (winning 67 and losing just 22 of these encounters).

Germany has also won four World Cup crowns, in 1954, 1974 (as the host nation), 1990 and most recently in Brazil 2014. They’ve also finished as runners-up on four further occasions, including two consecutive tournaments in 1982 and 1986.

However, the defeat to Japan will remind Germany of their shock group stage exit in 2018 (just the second such exit in their history at the time), when a similarly stunning 2-0 defeat against South Korea sealed their fate.

✔️ Germany Qualification and Road to the World Cup 2022

While Germany endured another shock, 2-1 home defeat to North Macedonia in UEFA Qualification Group J, it should be noted that this was only the nation’s third World Cup qualifying defeat in 104 matches (they’ve won 83 of these encounters and scored a staggering 328 goals).

Fittingly, German won their remaining nine fixtures to top Group J by nine points from North Macedonia in second. They also scored 36 goals including nine in the aforementioned thrashing of Liechtenstein and a further 6-0 in a home victory over Armenia.

Germany was also one of the first European sides to secure qualification, and in truth, we should expect nothing else given their history.

DateMatchFinal ScoreWinner
25th March 2021Germany vs Iceland3-0Germany
28th March 2021Romania vs Germany0-1Germany
31st March 2021Germany vs North Macedonia1-2North Macedonia
2nd September 2021Liechtenstein vs Germany0-2Germany
5th September 2021Germany vs Armenia6-0Germany
8th September 2021Iceland vs Germany0-4Germany
8th October 2021Germany vs Romania2-1Germany
11th October 2021North Macedonia vs Germany0-4Germany
11th November 2021Germany vs Liechtenstein9-0Germany
14th November 2021Armenia vs Germany1-4Germany

⭐ Germany Players to Watch

Like their Spanish counterparts, the German squad is packed full of exceptionally talented players who play exclusively in Europe’s top five leagues. Here’s our selection of the three that you should watch against Spain and the remainder of the tournament.

  • Kai Havertz: While Chelsea starlet Kai Havertz may have struggled during the 2022/23 season to date and during the opening game against Japan, he remains one of the best and most uniquely talented players in Europe. Capable of playing anywhere in the frontline and even as an advanced midfielder, his touch, vision and eye for goal make him a top player to watch in Qatar. He has also scored eight goals in 28 international appearances to date, including three during World Cup qualification and a further two in his country’s Euro 2020 campaign.
  • Thomas Muller: At the other end of the age and experience scale is Bayern Munich’s Thomas Müller, who has won an impressive 116 international caps and scored 44 goals for his country. The one-club man also has 228 goals in 637 club career appearances, despite the 33-year-old often operating in a deep-lying striker or wide forward role. What’s more, Qatar will see Müller play in his fourth World Cup finals, with the player looking to add to his impressive tally of eight goals in the tournament proper.
  • Armel Bella Kotchap: While 20-year-old centre back Armel Bella-Kotchap has only won two caps to date, he’s an undoubtedly talented young player who could yet force his way into the side against Spain. Having recently signed for EPL side Southampton on a four-year deal, Bella-Kotchap has impressed fans nationwide with a string of strong and aggressive performances, during which he has showcased pace, power and an attacking threat at the opposite end of the pitch. If gets the chance to replicate this in Qatar and Germany remain in the tournament, he could be a player to watch during the winter.

📰 Latest Germany World Cup News

🥇 Spain vs Germany Prediction - Who Will Win?

The odds for this game have changed slightly since the round of Group E fixtures, with the price of a Spain win shortening and Germany’s odds of victory lengthening. This reflects the current circumstances of both sides, with Germany likely to need a win in Al Khor while the Spanish would be relatively happy with a point.

However, this won’t change the way either side players, with both likely to play on the front foot while striving to dominate possession and win the ball as high up the park as possible following turnovers.

The key factor here could be Spain’s superior discipline and control in possession, while the pace and movement of players like Ferran Torres and Dani Olmo (who both scored against Costa Rica) will trouble the German backline considerably.

What’s more, Germany may become increasingly desperate and stretched if the game remains tied or they fall behind, leaving even more space in behind for the Spanish to exploit. These factors hint at a narrow Spain win, and potentially more heartache for a vulnerable Germany team.

Our match prediction: Spain to win.

🔍 Our Spain vs Germany Betting Tips?

While straight match or handicap betting offers minimal value here, you may want to place a small bet on Germany to win at 3.00 with Ladbrokes or William Hill. The draw may also be a tempting wager on a nominal stake, especially at odds of 3.60 with LeoVegas Sports.

However, we’d definitely back both sides to score here, perhaps with a slightly larger stake at odds of around 1.62 with William Hill. Ultimately, this could be a high-scoring encounter, especially if Spain strike early and Germany are forced to chase the game.

This also means that you should consider betting on there being more than 2.5 goals scored during the match, with this outcome available at a market high price of 1.91 with BetVictor.

Spain v Germany Betting Tip #1: While you could also back both sides to score, this market is arguably most attractive in the event of an early goal. So, you may want to tap into this as an in-play betting market as and when the opportunity arises.

🎁 Spain vs Germany World Cup Free Bets

We’re going to close with our selection of the best World Cup free bets, which will enable you to target the above markets and potentially bank more sizable returns.

Some of these offers will help you to unlock as much as €100 in free bets, which can be deployed across the full range of available Spain vs Germany betting markets.

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✒️ Lewis Humphries - Sports Journalist, Tipster and Betting Expert

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This Spain Germany 2022WC Prediction was written by Lewis Humphries. Lewis is a business and iGaming copywriter from the UK, who has a passion for sports betting and online casino gaming. He's reviewed some of the world's leading casino platforms, while creating blog posts and landing page content for various sports betting brands.

His content has also featured on a number of different sites, including Life Hack, Investopedia, Yahoo Finance and Business Insider. He also pens regular sports features for sites including 90 Minutes, Think Football Ideas and Sportsblog.

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