Germany vs Japan Prediction & Betting Odds – 2022 World Cup: Who Will Win?

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TournamentFIFA World Cup 2022
TimetableWednesday 23rd of November at 16:00 GMT
PredictionGermany to Win!
OddsGermany to Win @ 1.42
BookmakerTonyBet Sports
Germany to Win!
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The 11th match of the Qatar 2022 World Cup takes place on November 23rd at 4pm, when Germany will take on Japan at the Khalifa International Stadium.

An intriguing match-up, this contest will see the tournament debut of four-time winners Germany, who will arrive in the Middle East in search of a record-equaling fifth Jules Rimet trophy.

Standing in the way will be relative minnows Japan. But are Germany deserved favourites to prevail here, or do the Japanese boast the tools and experience to spring a surprise? Trying to predict the outcome of this match can be tricky, regardless if you're new or experienced. can be tricky, but our team analysis will help guide your FIFA World Cup Betting predictions and we'll show you betting sites that give bets plenty of chances at winning big. Let's get started!

💯 Germany vs Japan Betting Odds

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Now that you know a little more about these two international sides, the next step is to consider some of the most popular football betting markets associated with the match.

We’ve broken these down a little more below, while appraising some of the real-time 2022 world cup football odds being offered by our leading sportsbooks.

🏅 Germany vs Japan: Match Winner Odds

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Germany to Win1.421.381.351.441.401.361.36
Japan to Win6.77.008.807.008.507.508.50
Draw4.594.505.054.335.504.334.80

⚽ Germany vs Japan: Both Teams to Score Odds

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Yes1.871.802.021.801.751.951.91
No1.941.841.751.912.001.81.80

🥅 Germany vs Japan: Over/Under 2.5 Goals Odds

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Over 2.5 Goals1.641.651.721.621.651.661.67
Under 2.5 Goals2.232.072.162.152.252.102.10

Germany vs Japan Match Prediction Summary
🏟️ Germany vs Japan Germany to Win
🏆 Best Match Wins Odds1.42
⚽ Best Both Teams to Score Odds1.87 (y) / 1.94 (n)
🥅 Best Over /Under 2.5 Goals 1.64 / 2.23
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🏠 Germany World Cup Preview

The German national side is synonymous with the FIFA World Cup, with the arrival in Qatar marking a staggering 20th appearance finals’ appearance in 22 attempts.

Managed by the progressive Hansi Flick, Germany will start the finals as one of the leading favourites among sportsbooks, thanks both to the immense quality of their playing squad and the nation’s incredible historic performance on the biggest of international stages.

Germany’s most recent international game showcased just why they’ll be among the favourites in Qatar, as they thrashed Italy 5-2 at home in a Nations League encounter. Interestingly, this followed a run of four consecutive 1-1 draws, which slightly tainted Flick’s 100% record as the head coach of the German national side.

Ultimately, Germany will be hard to beat in Qatar, especially if their attacking players click and perform to their optimal potential in the stifling heat.

🏆 Germany World Cup History

In addition to appearing in all but two WC finals to date, Germany have also taken part in every iteration of the World Cup since 1950 (when they were banned from entering in the wake of World War II).

They won their first WC just four years’ later in 1954, when they stunned Hungary’s iconic ‘Magical Magyars’ and prevailed 3-2 in the final. Incredibly, they’d lost 8-3 to the same opposition earlier in the tournament, during one of the highest-scoring WC iterations of all-time (with an average of 5.38 goals per game).

The Germans also finished as runners-up in 1966, when they lost 4-2 to England in an infamous final that saw England claim their first (and to date only) World Cup crown. They then claimed their second WC triumph in 1974 as the host nation, beating a talented Dutch side 2-1 in the final at the Olympiastadion in Munich.

Further triumphs followed at Italia ‘90 and Brazil in 2014, while the DFB-Team also earned runners-up spots in 1982, 1986 and 2002. Overall, they’ve won an impressive 67 of their 109 WC finals’ matches, reaching the final on eight occasions in the process.

✔️ Germany Qualification and Road to the World Cup 2022

Incredibly, Germany have only ever lost three of their 104 WC qualifying matches dating back to 1934 (they’ve won 83 during the same period), so it’s no surprise that the nation reached Qatar with relative ease.

More specifically, they topped UEFA Group F by nine points from their nearest rivals North Macedonia, amassing 27 points out of 30 and plundering an impressive 36 goals (including a stunning 9-0 win over Liechtenstein at home).

However, it should be noted that North Macedonia inflicted Germany’s third WC qualifying defeat with a surprise 2-1 win in Duisburg, although Flick’s men were able to avenge the loss in the return match and win their other nine qualification games. Here’s a breakdown of their qualification results:

DateMatchFinal ScoreWinner
25th March 2021Germany vs Iceland3-0Germany
28th March 2021Germany vs Romania1-0Germany
31th March 2021Germany vs North Macedonia1-2North Macedonia
2nd September 2021Germany vs Liechtenstein2-0Germany
5th September 2021Germany vs Armenia6-0Germany
8th September 2021Germany vs Iceland4-0Germany
8th October 2021Germany vs Romania2-1Germany
11th October 2021Germany vs North Macedonia4-0Germany
11th November 2021 Germany vs Liechtenstein9-0Germany
14th November 2021Germany vs Armenia4-1Germany

⭐ Germany Players to Watch

As you’d expect, most of the German national squad ply their trade in Europe’s top five leagues. But who are the key players that you should look out for? Here are three of the best!

  • Serge Gnabry: 27-year-old forward Serge Gnabry is peaking just in time for the Qatar World Cup, having struck 65 goals in 174 matches and over the course of four full seasons at Bayern Munich. Blessed with exceptional pace and superb off-the-ball movement, Gnabry is also an ice-cold finisher, as his record of 20 goals in just 34 international appearances highlights. Capable of playing as right-sided attacker or centre forward, he’s a key component of Flick’s fluid and interchangeable attacking line-up.
  • Jamal Musiala: While Gnabry's Bayern teammate Jamal Musiala is only 19, this mature and versatile player is already a first choice for Hansi Flick’s team. Interestingly, Musiala represented England at U-15, U-16 and U-21 levels, before opting to play for Germany after leaving the Chelsea academy and joining Munich. Musiala has since gone on to make 81 appearances for Munich and earn 15 international caps, while he scored his first goal for his country against North Macedonia during qualifying.
  • Joshua Kimmich: Last up is the versatile 24-year-old Joshua Kimmich, who has amassed 304 appearances for Bayern Munich (scoring 24 goals during this time). Kimmich operates largely as a defensive midfielder and helps to make the national team tick in the middle of the park, but he’s also comfortable when playing as an attacking right back. He has won 68 caps for his nation since 2016 and remains a highly experienced player, while his five goals also highlight his ability as a set-piece expert.

📰 Latest Germany World Cup News

✈️ Japan World Cup Preview

Japan will be appearing at their seventh World Cup finals in Qatar, which is quite impressive when you consider that they didn’t make their tournament debut until France 1998.

Since then, they’ve appeared in six consecutive finals, and will add to this number when they kick-off against Germany in Doha.

Having also qualified for Qatar with 15 wins in 18 matches across two rounds, Japan will also arrive in the Middle East as one of the world’s most in-form sides. For example, they’ve won seven and drawn two of their 11 games in 2022 so far, while they’ll also compete in the Kirin Cup in Germany in September.

Notable performances this year include a 4-1 thumping of Ghana and a 3-0 over fellow AFC qualifiers South Korea, while they competed well against South American giants Brazil during a 1-0 defeat in June.

🏆 Japan World Cup History

As we’ve touched on, Japan didn’t compete in their first World Cup finals until France ‘98, either failing to qualify or enter at all prior to this date. The country was also banned from participating in 1950, following the fall-out from WWII and their perceived role as aggressors alongside Germany.

Japan lost all of their three group stage games in 1998, but were able to qualify automatically as hosts four years’ later. They won their first finals’ match here, before reaching the second round for the first time in their history.

The Japanese side also reached the round of 16 in 2010 and 2018, while enduring winless group stage exits in 2006 and 2014. So, they’ve endured a mixed bag of results during their six previous finals’ appearances, winning five of their 21 matches but losing 11 overall.

Japan’s hopes of avoiding a group stage exit appear slim this time around, with Germany and Spain the overwhelming favourites to qualify and make the round of 16. However, they should be competitive and will at least be aiming to finish above Costa Rica in Qatar.

✔️ Japan Qualification and Road to the World Cup 2022

Japan earned a bye through the first round of AFC qualification as one of Asia’s top-ranked sides, before topping Group F in round two with a 100% record and a staggering 46 goals in eight matches.

This included a superb 14-0 win away against Mongolia, while Japan also thumped Myanmar 10-0 in Chiba.

In round three, Japan finished second in Group B and automatically qualified for the Qatar 2022 WC, ending just one point adrift of Saudi Arabia in first place. However, they did earn an impressive 2-0 win at home against Saudi Arabia in Saitama, while an away victory by the same margin in Sydney also saw Japan overcome Australia.

DateMatchFinal ScoreWinner
10th September 2019Japan vs Myanmar2-0Japan
10th October 2019Japan vs Mongolia6-0Japan
15th October 2019Japan vs Tajikistan3-0Japan
14th November 2019Japan vs Kyrgyzstan2-0Japan
30th March 2021Japan vs Mongolia14-0Japan
28th May 2021Japan vs Myanmar10-0Japan
7th June 2021Japan vs Tajikistan4-1Japan
15th June 2021Japan vs Kyrgyzstan5-1Japan
2nd September 2021Japan vs Oman0-1Oman
7th September 2021Japan vs China PR1-0Japan
7th October 2021Japan vs Saudi Arabia0-1Saudi Arabia
12th October 2021Japan vs Australia2-1Japan
11th November 2021Japan vs Vietnam1-0Japan
16th November 2021Japan vs Oman1-0Japan
27th January 2022Japan vs China PR2-0Japan
1st February 2022Japan vs Saudi Arabia2-0Japan
24th March 2022Japan vs Australia2-0Japan
29th March 2022Japan vs Vietnam1-1Draw

⭐ Japan Players to Watch

Many of Japan’s first-team squad also ply their trade in Europe, representing sides including Monaco, Arsenal, Celtic and Sporting Lisbon. There are also some exceptionally talented players in the squad, including the following stars:

  • Takumi Minamino: Minamino is one of Japan’s best-known and most technically gifted forwards, with the fleet-of-foot winger having struck 17 goals in 42 international appearances to date. Minamino came to international fame after signing for Liverpool in January 2020, and while his 14 goals in 55 appearances at Anfield failed to secure him a regular first-team place, he was loved by the Kopites and earned a move to Ligue 1 side Monaco during the summer. He’ll remain one of Japan’s leading goal threats in Qatar.
  • Yuya Osako: This experienced 32-year-old forward is Japan’s leading forward, with the talented Osaka having struck 25 goals in 57 international caps. Skilful and capable of leading the line, Osaka has also scored 105 club goals in 414 appearances, having spent the majority of his career playing in Germany. His goal against Colombia in the 2018 WC helped Japan to become the first ever Asian nation to beat a South American rival, while Osaka also shone during the 2019 AFC Cup.
  • Reo Hatate: We close with Celtic’s midfield livewire Reo Hatate, who moved to the Scottish champions from Kawasaki Frontale for around £1.2 million in January 2021. Blessed with an exceptional engine and eye for goal, the 24-year-old Hatate made his senior international debut on March 29th this year, playing against Vietnam in the final game of WC qualifying. He has also starred at youth level, and has already added some dash and vigour to Japan’s technically adept midfield.

📰 Latest Japan World News

🥇 Germany vs Japan Prediction - Who Will Win?

Germany will undoubtedly start their opening World Cup match as favourites to beat Japan, thanks to the immense quality and depth of their squad and rich pedigree in the tournament.

It would be unwise to completely dismiss Japan, however, who will be appearing in their seventh consecutive World Cup finals and have continued to improve incrementally since the turn of the century. They also boast a technically adept selection of players, who are more than capable of keeping the ball and creating chances against Germany in Doha.

Overall, we’re predicting a win for Germany, in what should be a keenly-contested match and one that may well be settled by the odd goal.

Our match prediction: Germany to win.

🔍 Our Germany vs Japan Betting Tips?

While you can back Germany to win this match at relatively short odds, this offers little value and minimal returns. Handicap betting may also be inappropriate here, especially if the match is likely to be close and settled by a single goal.

However, the ‘Both Sides to Score’ betting market does offer some value, with Japan boasting some excellent attacking players and Germany’s high defensive line occasionally vulnerable to swift counter-attacks.

Germany vs Japan Betting Tip #1: Similarly, this is a match where we’d expect to see a few goals, so wagering on there being over 2.5 goals scored could deliver a viable return.

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Germany to Win!

✒️ Lewis Humphries - Sports Journalist, Tipster and Betting Expert

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This Germany Vs Japan Prediction was written by Lewis Humphries. Lewis is a business and iGaming copywriter from the UK, who has a passion for sports betting and online casino gaming. He's reviewed some of the world's leading casino platforms, while creating blog posts and landing page content for various sports betting brands.

His content has also featured on a number of different sites, including Life Hack, Investopedia, Yahoo Finance and Business Insider. He also pens regular sports features for sites including 90 Minutes, Think Football Ideas and Sports blog.

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