Argentina vs France Prediction, Odds and Tips – 2022 World Cup: Who Will Win?

💯 Argentina vs France Betting Odds

Before we delve deeper into the match itself, you should note that there are a number of key betting markets associated with Argentina vs France. These include match winner, both sides to score and the over/under market for total goals scored in the game, which are among the most popular types of bet accepted at our recommended sportsbooks.

🏅 Argentina vs France Odds: Match Winner

Backing the match winner is the single most popular market at our recommended betting sites, so let’s take a real-time look at the latest Argentina vs France odds:

Argentina to Win	3.00	2.90	2.90	2.70	2.70	2.80	2.80
France to Win	2.80	2.80	2.80	2.63	2.60	2.65	2.70
Draw	3.10	3.00	3.00	3.10	3.00	3.00	3.00

⚽ Argentina vs France Odds: Both Teams to Score

You can also wager on both sides to score (or not) when Argentina take on France, with this even money market particularly popular during typically tight and tense matches during the latter stages of the World Cup. Here’s the latest odds!

Yes	2.00	2.00	2.05	1.95	1.90	1.95	2.00
No	1.83	1.83	1.83	1.73	1.83	1.75	1.73

🥅 Argentina vs France Odds: Over/Under 2.5 Goals

The over/under market for total goals scored in the game is also very popular among punters, with the most common threshold set at 2.5 goals (there have been 163 goals scored in 62 finals matches so far at a rate of 2.63 per game). Here’s a glimpse at the very latest prices:

Over 2.5 Goals	2.40	2.50	2.40	2.38	2.40	2.35	2.50
Under 2.5 Goals	1.53	1.57	1.53	1.53	1.55	1.53	1.50

🏠 Argentina Preview

Argentina arrived in Qatar on the crest of a wave, with the La Albiceleste in the midst of a 35-game unbeaten run and having not experienced defeat since the summer of 2019.

However, the side came crashing back down to earth in their opening Group C match, as they were stunned 2-1 by Saudi Arabia in one of the biggest ever World Cup shocks. Then came a turgid opening hour against Mexico, before a sublime touch and finish by Lionel Messi turned the tide and Argentina eventually secured a crucial 2-0 win in Lusail.

A toothless Poland side were then dispatched 2-0 to help secure top spot in Group C, before more Messi magic saw off a plucky Australia side (who had eliminated Denmark during the group stages) in the round of 16. A dramatic and fiery quarterfinal followed against the Netherlands, when a Messi penalty and superb assist for right back Nahuel Molina afforded the team a comfortable 2-0 lead. However, the Dutch roared back with two goals in the final seven minutes, only for Argentina to eventually prevail following a penalty shootout.

Interestingly, Argentina cruised through the semi-finals against a usually doughty Croatia side, scoring twice in five first-half minutes through Messi and the combative Julian Alvarez to take control of the tie. The diminutive number 10 then laid on an excellent third goal for Alvarez in the second half, with Messi becoming the first player to score and assist in four WC knockout games since records began in 1966.

📰 Latest Argentina World Cup News

☍ France Preview

France’s semi-final win over plucky Morocco was typical of their tournament so far. More specifically, they laboured for much of the match but were able to showcase a clinical touch in front of goal, enabling them to win despite ceding the majority of possession to the Atlas Lions and being nowhere near their best offensively.

Such traits were also evident in the 2-1 quarterfinal victory over England, as a clinical low strike by midfielder Aurélien Tchouaméni and bullet header by Olivier Giroud saw off a Three Lions team that dominated for the best part of 45 minutes and even missed a penalty with 10 minutes to go.

Of course, Les Bleus have also showed some genuine quality during the tournament, with Kylian Mbappe starring with a goal and assist in their initial 4-1 win over Australia. He also added clinical braces against Denmark in the second group stage match and Poland in the round of 16, the latter of which helped to secure a 3-1 win and saw Mbappe become the youngest ever player to score nine finals’ goals (beating the record previously held by Pele).

Like Argentina, France also endured defeat during the group stage, as their second string 11 was beaten 1-0 by Tunisia once qualification had been assured. Of course, the French squad was already weakened by injuries to key players prior to the tournament, with Paul Pogba, N’Golo Kante and Karim Benzema all unavailable and missing from action.

📰 Latest France World Cup News

🟨 The Latest Injury News and Suspensions

Argentina will be strengthened for the World Cup final, with full backs Marcos Acuna and Gonzalo Montiel once again available for selection having missed the semi-final due to suspension.

Alonso is largely expected to start in the final too in place of Ajax player Nicolás Tagliafico, while Montiel will resume his place on the bench as backup to Molina.

Argentina could also be boosted by the return to full fitness of Angel di Maria, who has struggled with injury since the group stages. His return could see him line up alongside the brilliant Messi and in-form Alvarez in Lusail, with Leandro Paredes potentially dropping back to the bench.

As for France, their build up has been focused on the potentially sensational return of 2022 Balon d’Or winner Karim Benzema. The striker was initially named in Didier Deschamps 26-man squad for the World Cup before incurring an injury on the eve of the tournament, but he has now returned to full fitness and could play some part in the final having never been replaced from the roster.

This would be a seismic boost for the French, although it’s hard to see even the brilliant Benzema dislodging four-goal Giroud from the starting 11 in Lusail.

Elsewhere, Adrian Rabiot and Dayot Upamecano are expected to return to Les Bleus’ team after missing the semi-final through illness, while the superb defensive midfielder Tchouaméni may also be restored to the first 11 having recovered from a minor knock.

🏆 Key Matchups

The final is likely to be a tight and keenly contested encounter between two evenly matched sides, and individual duals could prove key to determining which team ultimately prevails.

But which duals will prove to be the most influential here? Here are a few to keep in mind, whether you’re a fan of either side or a punter!

Julian Alvarez vs Dayot Upamecano

While Liverpool centre back Ibrahima Konaté may have performed well against a plucky Morocco side, Bayern Munich defender Dayot Upamecano is expected to return to the side for the final having recovered from illness.

The powerful and occasionally reckless centre back has been a dominant presence in the French defensive line throughout, and he’ll be tasked with marking Argentina’s in-form striker Julian Alvarez.

Alvarez has scored four goals during the tournament (including two in the semi-final win against Croatia) since dislodging Lautaro Martinez from the starting 11, while his pace, mobility and direct running will pose a problem for Upamecano if he gets too tight to the striker.

Ultimately, Upamecano will look to physically dominate Alvarez and get tight enough to prevent the Manchester City forward from spinning into space, particularly when Lionel Messi gets on the ball in the final third.

Nahuel Molina vs Kylian Mbappe

Mbappe’s five tournament goals have seen him become the youngest ever play to score nine times at World Cup finals, although it should be noted that he hasn’t registered since scoring twice against Poland in the round of 16.

Still, he’ll remain a significant threat against the French, as once again he’s expected to play high up the park and look to exploit space in behind the Argentinian defensive line without being too preoccupied with any defensive duties.

This will create a challenge for right back Molina, who will most likely play a more defensive role than usual and focus on nullifying Mbappe in one-on-one situations.

When he does break forward, however, he’ll look to create overloads on the Argentina right, with the potential inclusion of Angel Di Maria on the same flank also likely to pose an issue for French left back Theo Hernandez.

Lionel Messi vs Aurélien Tchouaméni

In addition to seeking his first ever World Cup winners’ medal, the talismanic Lionel Messi will also go head-to-head with young pretender Mbappe to secure the coveted Golden Boot in the Lusail final.

The 35-year-old ‘GOAT’ has been in spectacular form in Qatar, scoring five goals and laying on three superb assists in just six matches. These have included superb strikes to break the deadlock against Mexico and Australia, while his driving run and assist for Alvarez’s second against Croatia was truly breath-taking.

The returning Tchouaméni will most likely be tasked with stopping Messi, or at least getting close to the number 10 when he drifts into pockets of space between the French defence and midfield.

Here, the 21-year-old Real Madrid star can use his strength and physicality to potentially muscle Messi off the ball, although he’ll need support from his fellow midfielders and will have to remain mindful of the PSG man’s cute positioning and explosive acceleration. However, if he can help keep Messi quiet, this could have a huge bearing on the final result!

⚡ Argentina vs France – The Head-to-Head Statistics

Argentina will arrive in Lusail with a winning record against the French, having won six of the 12 games played between the two sides since July 1930. For their part, Les Bleus have won three of these games, with the remaining three ending in stalemates.

Interestingly, the two sides met during the very first World Cup in Uruguay. This match took place during the initial group stages, with Argentina prevailing 1-0 thanks to a late goal by Luis Felipe Monti in Montevideo.

The sides also met in the 1978 World Cup in Argentina, when the host nation beat their UEFA rivals 2-1 in Buenos Aires. This was another group stage contest, with Argentina prevailing despite a penalty by Michel Platini on their way to their first ever World Cup triumph (they also won the tournament in Mexico in 1986).

The last game between the two sides also came during the Russia World Cup in 2018, when France turned the tables on Argentina with a thrilling 4-3 win in Kazan. This round of 16 clash was dominated by the brilliant Kylian Mbappe (who scored twice to seal the win), while right back Benjamin Pavard scored a sensational long-range volley to level the match at 2-2 in the 57th minute.

🥇 Argentina vs France Prediction - Who Will Win?

Predicting the outcome of a World Cup final is never easy, with both sides certainly evenly matched in the eyes of pundits and bookmakers alike.

Ultimately, we expect a tight and relatively low-scoring match between two incredibly disciplined and well-balanced sides, with star players like Lionel Messi and Kylian Mbappe likely to emerge as key difference makers as they also look to secure the Golden Boon award.

Of course, there has been a great deal of emotive talk about Messi and his unique opportunity to win the World Cup in his final tournament, but it would be unwise to discount the French. After all, Les Bleus always seem to rise to the occasion and find a way of winning significant matches, while they’ll be loath to let the title that they won in 2018 go without a ferocious fight.

However, there’s a reason why no side has retained the World Cup since 1962, and we’re backing a narrow Argentina win here in a match where both sides should at least get on the scoresheet.

Our Argentina vs France match prediction: Argentina to win 2-1.

🔍 Our Argentina vs France Betting Tips?

There’s little value to be had in backing the match winner here, with minimal difference between the ante-post odds for both sides and relatively short prices in play across the board.

However, we like the idea of backing both sides to score here, as while World Cup finals are typically tight and tense, there’s enough attacking quality and individual brilliance on show to breach both defensive lines.

You can also back this outcome at a market high price of 2.05 with LeoVegas Sports, which offers relatively impressive value for a wager of this type in the realm of World Cup and football betting.

Because of this, you may also want to consider betting on there being over 2.5 goals scored in the match. You can get on this market at a price of 2.50 with William Hill and Palm Slots Sports, and while it’s a relatively risky bet, it’s capable of delivering a decent return for an even money wager.

🎁 Argentina vs France World Cup Free Bets

We thought we’d close by publishing some of the latest (and best) free bets and promotions being offered by our recommended sportsbooks.

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✒️ Lewis Humphries - Sports Journalist, Tipster and Betting Expert

This Argentina vs France 2022WC Prediction was written by Lewis Humphries. Lewis is a business and iGaming copywriter from the UK, who has a passion for sports betting and online casino gaming. He's reviewed some of the world's leading casino platforms, while creating blog posts and landing page content for various sports betting brands.

His content has also featured on a number of different sites, including Life Hack, Investopedia, Yahoo Finance and Business Insider. He also pens regular sports features for sites including 90 Minutes, Think Football Ideas and Sportsblog.