Argentina vs Mexico Prediction & Betting Odds – 2022 World Cup: Who Will Win?

TournamentFIFA World Cup 2022
TimetableSaturday 26th of November at 22:00 GMT
PredictionArgentina to Win!
OddsArgentina to Win @ 1.62
BookmakerTonyBet Sports
Argentina to Win!
The best odds
Odds : 1.62
Bet €100 and win €162 if Argentina win.
Odds : 1.52
Bet €100 and win €152 if England win.
Odds : 1.61
Bet €100 and win €161 if Argentina win.

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The 24th match of the 2022 World Cup in Qatar will pit tournament front-runners Argentina against their Latin American rivals, and prior to the opening round of Group C contests, both of these sides were heavily tipped to qualify for the round of 16.

Hosted at the Lusail Stadium, the contest is the last to take place on November 26th and will kick-off in relatively cool conditions at 10pm local time. However, neither team was able to win their opening fixtures, with Argentina stunned by a tenacious Saudi Arabian side in a shocking 2-1 defeat and Mexico held to a goalless draw by a struggling Poland team.

But can Argentina recover their composure and keep their latest WC campaign alive, or will Mexico build on an energetic performance against Poland and edge closer towards an eighth successive knockout appearance?

FIFA World Cup betting can be tough, but our team analysis will get you through it. Whether your goal is to predict the outcome of each game or just to discover betting sites with the best offers and odds. Let’s find out!

💯 Argentina vs Mexico Betting Odds

At this stage, you’re probably ready to wager your hard-earned cash on the outcome of Argentina vs Mexico. Fortunately, there are a few key football betting markets that you can target as a punter, including the following:


🏅 Argentina vs Mexico Match Winner Odds

Argentina to Win1.621.611.551.551.501.531.60
Mexico to Win5.49 5.507.006.506.006.505.80

⚽ Argentina vs Mexico: Both Teams to Score Odds


🥅 Argentina vs Mexico: Over/Under 2.5 Goals Odds

Over 2.5 Goals2.112.101.96TBA1.951.912.10
Under 2.5 Goals1.711.661.87TBA1.851.831.67

✔️ Argentina Qualification and Road to the World Cup 2022

As we’ve already touched on, Argentina remained unbeaten during their CONMEBOL qualification campaign, winning 11 and drawing six of their 17 matches (their game against Brazil was initially postponed and then called off after both sides qualified comfortably in first and second place).

It was La Albiceleste that claimed second place at the end of the campaign, finishing six points behind an impressive Brazil side and a staggering 11 ahead of third-place Uruguay.

Argentina also conceded just eight goals in their 17 matches, showcasing considerable defensive steel alongside their undoubted attacking flair.

DateMatchFinal ScoreWinner
8th October 2020Argentina vs Ecuador1-0Argentina
13th October 2020Bolivia vs Argentina1-2Argentina
12th November 2020Argentina vs Paraguay1-1Draw
17th November 2020Peru vs Argentina0-2Argentina
3rd June 2021Argentina vs Chile1-1Draw
8th June 2021Colombia vs Argentina2-2Draw
2nd September 2021Venezuela vs Argentina1-3Argentina
9th September 2021Argentina vs Bolivia3-0Argentina
7th October 2021Paraguay vs Argentina0-0Draw
10th October 2021Argentina vs Uruguay3-0Argentina
14th October 2021Argentina vs Peru1-0Argentina
12th November 2021Uruguay vs Argentina0-1Argentina
16th November 2021Argentina vs Brazil0-0Draw
27th January 2022Chile vs Argentina1-2Argentina
1st February 2022Argentina vs Colombia1-0Argentina
25th March 2022Argentina vs Venezuela3-0Argentina
29th March 2022Ecuador vs Argentina1-1Draw

⭐ Argentina Players to Watch

Next up, we’re going to cast our eyes over the star Argentinian players to watch during the tournament. These include several star names, such as:

  • Lionel Messi: Where else to start but with the incredible Lionel Messi? The diminutive forward remains one of the best and most influential forwards in the world, with some 86 international goals in his 162 caps. He remains his country’s talisman too, having scored 15 goals in his last 20 Argentina appearances and starred during WC qualifying. Throughout his club career, Messi has struck an incredible 699 and 854 matches, including a record 672 in just 778 appearances for Barcelona. He also opened his 2022 WC account with the opening goal against Saudi Arabia, although this wasn’t enough to secure Argentina the win.
  • Leandro Paredes: Next up is the tenacious 28-year-old midfielder Leandro Paredes, who is currently plying his trade for Juventus in Serie A on a season long loan from PSG. This dynamic and aggressive player has earned 44 international caps to date and scored four goals (including two during qualifying), while he performs a seminal role in anchoring the Argentinian midfield and working tirelessly to afford the country’s abundance of creative players the freedom in which to play.
  • Julian Alvarez: While Julian Alvarez is just 22 years old and in no way guaranteed to start every game in the Argentinian attack, this livewire forward could well emerge as one of the stars of the Qatar World Cup. Capable of playing centrally or in a wide forward position, Alvarez boasts pace and energy in abundance, while he has a keen eye for goal that has already enabled him to score three times in just seven appearances for his new club side Manchester City. The striker has scored three goals in 13 international appearances to date, including his first ever strike in a 1-1 draw with Ecuador during the final round of WC qualifying fixtures.

📰 Latest Argentina World News

✈️ Mexico World Cup Preview

Despite never progressing beyond the quarter finals of the World Cup, Mexico retains a consistent presence on the biggest of international stages and always provides a competitive match for their opponents. To this end, Mexico has qualified for every single World Cup since the USA in 1994, being eliminated in the round of 16 on each occasion too.

They’ve also proved difficult to beat of late, losing just two of their 13 matches played so far through 2022 and prior to the start of the WC finals. In fact, their last competitive defeat came during a CONCACAF WC qualifying clash with Canada on November 16th, 2021, although both Uruguay (3-0) and Paraguay (1-0) have beaten the Mexicans in friendly matches since.

While Mexico played positively in their opening game against Poland and continued their unbeaten run, their lack of cutting edge prevented them from taking all three points. So, they’ll have to correct this flaw if they intend to expose Argentina’s obvious defensive frailty.

🏆 Mexico World Cup History

We’ve already touched on the Mexican’s World Cup record, which has seen them qualify for the last seven finals and reach the round of 16 every single time.

More broadly speaking, the nation will be appearing in its 17th World Cup finals tournament out of 22 in Qatar, having failed to qualify or withdrawn on four occasions and faced a ban from Italia ’90. This followed the deliberate use of overage players during the 1988 CONCACAF U-20 Tournament, which boosted the performance of the Mexico U-20 side considerably.

Mexico’s best performance at the World Cup came in 1970 and 1986, when the country reached the quarterfinals.

Interestingly, they hosted the tournament in 1986 and made the most of vociferous support, while they also leveraged the conditions to their advantage throughout. They may have a similar advantage in Qatar, particularly over European C rivals Poland.

✔️ Mexico Qualification and Road to the World Cup 2022

Mexico is ranked as the 12th best side in the world by FIFA and was one place higher when the draw was made for CONCACAF qualifying ahead of the 2022 World Cup. Because of this, the country earned a bye directly into the third round of qualifying, where it was joined by the USA, Canada and five other nations.

Unsurprisingly, Mexico subsequently qualified relatively comfortably, finishing in second place overall and winning eight (and losing just two) of their 14 third round matches.

Interestingly, they finished with the same number of points as group winners Canada, only missing out on the first qualifying spot as a result of their inferior goal difference.

DateMatchFinal ScoreWinner
2nd September 2021Mexico vs Jamaica2-1Mexico
5th September 2021Costa Rica vs Mexico0-1Mexico
8th September 2021Panama vs Mexico1-1Draw
7th October 2021Mexico vs Canada1-1Draw
10th October 2021Mexico vs Honduras3-0Mexico
13th October 2021El Salvador vs Mexico0-2Mexico
12th November 2021United States vs Mexico2-0United States
16th November 2021Canada vs Mexico2-1Canada
27th January 2022Jamaica vs Mexico1-2Mexico
30th January 2022Mexico vs Costa Rica0-0Draw
2nd February 2022Mexico vs Panama1-0Mexico
24th March 2022Mexico vs United States0-0Draw
27th March 2022Honduras vs Mexico0-1Mexico
30th March 2022Mexico vs El Salvador2-0Mexico

⭐ Mexico Players to Watch

Mexico’s current squad of players boasts representatives from all over the world, including those who play in the domestic Liga MX to others who ply their trade in Belgium, Greece and the US. Here’s a quick glimpse at three of their most potent stars.

  • Héctor Moreno: We’ll start with the legendary Héctor Moreno, with the indefatigable 34-year-old centre back set to appear in his fourth World Cup for his country. A member of the nation’s U-17 side that won the 2005 World Championship in Peru, he has since gone onto become a mainstay of the senior team, providing strength, organisation and resilience in equal measure. Now playing for Monterrey in Liga MX, he has won a staggering 124 caps and scored five goals, including one in the 2-0 WC qualification win over El Salvador last October.
  • Raul Jiminez: While the 31-year-old Wolverhampton Wanderers striker may have feared for his career after incurring a sickening head injury in a November 2020 PL clash v Arsenal, he has made a superb recovery and will play a pivotal role for Mexico in Qatar. He’s certainly one of the main goal threats for the Mexicans, with some 30 goals in 97 international caps during a stellar international career. Three of these goals came during World Cup qualifying, after Jiminez was recovering from a fractured skull, and while started from the bench against Poland, he could come into the team to face Argentina.
  • Edson Alvarez: We’ll close with defensive midfielder Edson Alvarez, with the 24-year-old playing a key role in the recent success of Eredivisie side Ajax. Blessed with natural tenacity and good positional awareness, Alvarez has also won 58 caps for his country despite his relatively young age, scoring three goals from midfield to boot (including the decisive goal in a 1-0 win over Honduras during WC qualifying). He could be a key player in Qatar too, and will be crucial if Mexico is to win its midfield battles throughout.

📰 Latest Mexico World Cup News

🥇 Argentina vs Mexico Prediction - Who Will Win?

While Argentina vs Mexico was always expected to be an incredibly tough match to call between two sides who are ranked 3rd and 12th in the world by FIFA respectively, the game now has an added dimension following the former’s defeat to the Saudis and the latter’s failure to beat a timid Poland side.

This could lead to an open and attacking encounter at the Lusail Stadium, as both sides will need to go in search of all three points to maintain a realistic chance of reaching the round of 16.

In this type of shootout, there’s no doubt that Argentina boast the more capacious firepower, with Lautaro Martínez, Angel Di Maria, Julian Alvarez and the incomparable Lionel Messi affording La Albiceleste a cutting edge that Mexico simply don’t have.

If the side also introduce some mobility into their defence in the form of Manchester United centre back Lisandro Martinez, we’re backing Argentina win here at get their WC campaign back on track after an horrendous start!

Our Argentina vs Mexico match prediction: Argentina to win.

🔍 Our Argentina vs Mexico Betting Tips?

Most sportsbooks still have Argentina has odds-on favourites to prevail against Mexico despite their opening round defeat, which is logical when you think that this outcome retains an implied probability of 60%.

Because of this, however, direct match betting doesn’t necessarily offer good value for money, while trying to leverage handicap betting to improve these odds is a risk given the quality of the Mexican squad.

Given the must-win nature of the game for both sides (and particularly Argentina) we do like the idea of both sides scoring. This can currently be backed at a price of 2.13 with LeoVegas Sports. We also like the over/under betting market for the total goals scored in the game.

Argentina Vs Mexico Betting Tip #1: However, we like the idea of betting on there being under 2.5 goals scored in the match. TonyBet is offering a market leading price of 1.71 on this outcome, with this likely to shorten as the tournament draws closer.

🎁 Argentina Vs Mexico World Cup Free Bets

We’ll close by listing some of the best and most generous free Argentina Vs Mexico bet offers from our recommended sportsbooks.

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Argentina to Win!

✒️ Lewis Humphries - Sports Journalist, Tipster and Betting Expert


This Argentina vs Mexico Prediction was written by Lewis Humphries. Lewis is a business and iGaming copywriter from the UK, who has a passion for sports betting and online casino gaming. He's reviewed some of the world's leading casino platforms, while creating blog posts and landing page content for various sports betting brands.

His content has also featured on a number of different sites, including Life Hack, Investopedia, Yahoo Finance and Business Insider. He also pens regular sports features for sites including 90 Minutes, Think Football Ideas and Sportsblog.

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