Spain vs Italy Prediction, Odds & Odds - UEFA Euro 2024

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TournamentUEFA European Championship 2024
Timetable20:00 GMT 20th June 2024
PredictionSpain to Win!
BookmakerLegend Play Sports
The best odds
Legend Play Sports
Odds : 2.25
Bet €100 and win €225 if Spain win.
Bet €100 and win €225 if Spain win.

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Odds : 2.25
Bet €100 and win €225 if Spain win.

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As of writing, neither side has begun their Euro 2024 campaign. Spain will play Croatia first, while Italy play Albania before they meet on matchday 2. This is an intriguing group with defending champions Italy, one of the Euro 2024 favourites, and Spain and Croatia, who always produce in major tournaments. One of these 3 teams will exit at the group stage and if Albania can cause an upset 2 of these teams could exit at the group stage. Spain had a brilliant qualifying campaign with 7 wins in 8 games, with the only defeat coming in a shock away defeat to Scotland 2-0. They won the 2023 Nations League, defeating Croatia 5-4 on penalties after a 0-0 draw. They actually defeated Italy 2-1 in the Nations League semi final. Italy came 2nd in their qualifying group winning 4 drawing 2 and losing 2, losing to England twice 3-1 away from home and 1-2 at home. Italy have been unbeaten since their last defeat to England on the 17th of October, 2023. Since then, they have won 4 and drawn 2, both in qualifiers and friendly matches. Who will get the win, and how have Ireland’s best betting sites priced the potential match outcomes?

Spain vs Italy Prediction

Both sides are full of quality in all areas of the pitch. Luis de la Fuente has included the likes of Manchester City’s Rodri, Pedri of Barcelona, Leipzig’s Dani Olmo and Alex Grimalso, who had the season of his life at Bayer Leverkusen. They'll have to do it without some of their biggest names. Barcelona pair Alejandro Balde and Gavi both miss out through injury, while Kepa Arrizalaga, Pau Cubarsi, Pedro Porro, Jose Gaya, Pau Torres, Marcos Llorente, Oihan Sancet and perhaps most notably, PSG's Marco Asensio are all missing. This is a transitional tournament for the Spanish, with 11 of the players registered having only 10 or fewer caps and only Morata and 38-year-old Jesus Navas managing over 50. Now's the time for new talents to step up. Italy have been a mixed bag since winning Euro 2020. They failed to qualify for the 2022 World Cup and finished 2nd in their Euro 2024 qualifying group, losing twice to one of the Euro favourites, England, which could show they are not good enough to win this tournament. However, write Italy off at your peril. They were not one of the favourites in Euro 2020 but went on a brilliant run to the final, defeating England in the final. Italy has a lot of quality on their side. Jorginho and Nicolo Barella are the leaders in midfield, while the likes of Riccardo Calafiori, Gianluca Scamacca and Andrea Cambiaso are fresh faces who have enjoyed great seasons at club level. They are also a squad in transition, with 15 of the 26 having 20 caps or fewer. They have a lot of quality missing, just like Spain. Francesco Acerbi and Giorgio Scalvini were both called up to the preliminary squad, the latter injuring his ACL in Atlanta’s final Serie A fixture of the campaign, while Destiny Udogie, Leonardo Spinazzola, Manuel Locatelli, Sandro Tonali, Marco Verratti, Ciro Immobile, Domenico Berardi and Wilfried Gnonto have all been capped in the last 12 months but are not in the 26 for a mixture of poor form and in Tonali’s case betting charges. This will be a tight game that could go either way, and a lot will depend on how both sides start their Euros on matchday 1, but I am tipping Spain for this one.

Spain to win!

💯 Spain vs Italy Betting Odds

When wagering on the second leg clash between Spain and Italy, you should note that all bets will be settled within 90 minutes. This applies to popular markets such as the match winner, BTTS and the over/under and how many goals will be scored in total. But how are each of these betting markets currently being priced?

🏅 Spain vs Italy Prediction: Match Winner

The odds for this one are tight, with the selected bookmakers slightly favouring Spain. In the past year, Spain have topped their Euros qualifying group and also won the 2023 Uefa Nations League, defeating Italy 2-1 in the semi finals and beating Croatia 5-4 on penalties after a 0-0 draw in the final, two teams who are now in their group for Euro 2024. It is no surprise to see Spain as slight favourites because of this but this game should be a tight and exhilarating one. The odds for a match winner from selected bookmakers are below.

Team to Win
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Spain to Win2.
Italy to Win3.
Draw to Win3.253.603.253.603.20

⚽ Spain vs Italy: Both Teams To Score

In qualifying, Spain scored 25 goals and conceded only 5 across their 8 European Qualifying matches. In those 8 games, they only failed to score in 1 of those games, away to Scotland on matchday 2. Italy scored 16 goals in their 8 qualifying matches and conceded 9 goals. They failed to score in just 1 qualifying game, their final one away to Ukraine, drawing 0-0.

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🥅 Spain vs Italy: Over/Under Goals

Both sides were high scoring in their qualifying campaign. Spain scored 25 goals in 8 games, an average of 3.13 goals per game. Italy scored 16 goals at an average of 2 goals per game. There were over 2.5 goals in 5 of Italy’s 8 games in qualifying. There were over 2.5 in 5 out of 8 of Spain’s qualifying matches as well.

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Over 2.5 Goals2.
Under 2.5 Goals1.711.761.711.761.72

✔️ Spain vs Italy Betting Tips

There are some intriguingly priced markets associated with the clash between Spain and Italy, as one of the Euro’s favourites, Spain, take on defending champions Italy. But how can you identify the best value markets or successfully leverage combination betting to your advantage? Here are some tips to keep in mind!

  • Tip 1: Back Spain to Win: Spain and Italy is an intriguing match in group B of the European championships, with two of the heavyweights of European football going head to head. Both sides are always considered as challengers for any European championship, no matter their form. Spain are a youthful side and had an excellent Euros qualifying campaign. Italy have been a mixed bag since 2021, when they won the rearranged Euro 2020. They failed to qualify for the 2022 World Cup. They finished 2nd in their Euros qualifiers but suffered two defeats to England. They have been unbeaten since October with 4 wins and 2 draws with 3 of these wins and 1 of these draws coming in friendlies. This game could go either way, and a lot will depend on both sides' opening game, with Spain facing Croatia and Italy facing Albania. Both sides have the quality to go far in the tournament, but their inexperienced squads could hinder them both, especially Spain, who are favoured to go far in this tournament. This could be one of the games of the group stages and I think Spain will win a tight one. Spain should have enough to win this opening game versus Italy, so we are recommending a Spain win with odds of 2.28 from 20Bet Sports. Spain win price of 2.28 with 20Bet-Sports.
  • Tip 2: Back Both Teams to Score: As mentioned earlier, both these teams were goal-heavy in their qualifying campaign. Spain scored 25 goals and only failed to score in 1 of their 8 qualifying campaigns. Italy scored 16 goals, also only failing to score in 1 out of their 8 games. Spain conceded 5 goals while Italy conceded 9 goals. Both sides have strong defences, but they have high-quality forwards, and it is likely they will both score in this one. Get both teams to score at the odds price of 1.90 with Sportaza-Sports.
  • Tip 3: Back Spain to win and both teams to score: I’ve already touched on how I think Spain will win a tight encounter versus Italy. I also believe that both teams will score in this game, therefore it makes sense to combine these two to get better odds. In their 8 qualifying games Spain won the game with both teams scoring on 3 occasions. Spain last met Italy in the Nations League semi final on 15th June 2023. Spain won this game 2-1, being victorious with both teams scoring. There is a great possibility that this will happen again with Spain winning and both teams scoring. For this, price of 4.70 with Royalistplay Sports. This is a great use of any free bets that you may have.

1️⃣ Spain Euro Update

Spain come into the tournament as one of the favourites despite having a squad that lacks experience. They have some exciting young players, such as Pedri, Nico Williams and 16-year-old Barcelona winger Lamine Yamal.

Last 5 Games
Spain 5
Northern Ireland 1
International Friendly
Spain 5
Andorra 0
International Friendly
Spain 3
Brazil 3
International Friendly
Spain 0
Colombia 1
International Friendly
Spain 3
Georgia 1
Euro’s Qualifiers

2️⃣ Italy Euro Update

Italy come into the tournament as the defending Euro champions. They are unbeaten since October winning 4 and drawing 2 since then. They are missing some key players in their squad and have a squad that lacks major tournament experience.

Last 5 Games
Italy 1
Bosnia and Herzegovina 0
International friendly
Italy 0
Turkey 0
International friendly
Ecuador 0
Italy 2
International friendly
Italy 2
Venezuela 1
International friendly
Ukraine 0
Italy 0
Euros Qualifiers

👕 Spain vs Italy Potential Lineups

Pos. Spain
Goalkeeper U. Simon G. Donnaruma Goalkeeper
Right Back D. Carvajal G. Di Lorenzo Right Back
Centre Back R. Le Normand A. Bastoni Centre Back
Centre Back A. Laporte R. Calafiori Centre Back
Left Back A. Grimaldo F. Dimarco Left Back
Defensive Midfielder Rodri Jorginho Defensive Midfielder
Midfielder D.Olmo N.Barella Midfielder
Midfielder F. Ruiz D. Frattesi Midfielder
Right Wing L. Yamal F. Chiesa Right Wing
Left Wing N. Williams L. Pellegrini Left Wing
Striker A. Morata G. Scammaca Striker

✒️ Jack Guing – Expert Tipster

Jack-Guing-author-profile Jack-Guing-author-profile

I am Jack Guing and I am 23 years old and hail from County Offaly in Ireland. I hold a bachelor’s degree in English and History from Maynooth University and a Master’s degree in Sports Performance from University of Limerick. I am passionate about sport especially performance analysis in sport.

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