Georgia vs Portugal Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds - UEFA Euro 2024

🏆 Georgia vs Portugal Prediction

Although Georgia have mostly ceded possession in their two Euro 2024 games so far, they’ve been aggressive in attacking transition and recovered 91 balls. This is the most of any team to have played less then three matches at the tournament. They’ve also won 13 tackles and attempted 71 clearances, with their ability to defend robustly making them highly competitive against both Turkey and the Czech Republic.

As for Portugal, they’ve averaged 62.5% possession per 90 minutes at Euro 2024 and completed 1145 of their 1287 passes (89%). Playmaker Bruno Fernandes has been central to Portugal’s controlled possession game, with the Manchester United midfielder completing 84% of his 134 passes. He has also played 11 balls into the final third and completed seven key passes, so he has helped the team to progress the play and create high quality chances.

Thanks in part to the influence of Fernandes and the skilful Bernardo Silva, Portugal have accumulated an xG of 3.74 across their two Group F games. They’ve also launched 114 attacks, so Georgia may struggle if they allow their opponents to have the ball and hit on the break. However, they also lack the technical quality to retain possession for long periods, especially against a side that has also recovered 83 balls during the competition.

It’s therefore hard to see past a win for the Portuguese, even if Martinez chooses to rest players like Cristiano Ronaldo, Pepe, Joao Cancelo and Rafael Leão. I’d also expect at least one of Fernandes or Bernardo Silva to start in Gelsenkirchen, and this should ensure a comfortable victory in a match where Georgia struggle to get any kind of foothold.

💯 Georgia vs Portugal Betting Odds

When you wager at your choice of Ireland’s best betting sites, you’ll find a large and diverse selection of markets pertaining to the match between Georgia and Portugal. These include the match winner or result, both teams to score (BTTS) and the over/under on how many goals will be scored during the game. Here’s my take these markets and how they’re being priced.

🏅 Georgia vs Portugal: Match Winner

Unsurprisingly, Portugal are the overwhelming favourites to defeat Georgia at the Arena AufSchalke, with their odds of 1.40 implying a 71.42% probability of a victory for Roberto Martinez’s men. Conversely, Georgia can be backed at around 7.50 to earn their first ever win at the European Championship finals, so they have just a 13.33% chance of achieving this objectives. The draw is priced at 5.00, implying a 20% probability of the match ending in a tie.

Team
Georgia to Win	8.00	7.50	7.25	7.50	7.60
Portugal to Win	1.40	1.40	1.37	1.40	1.40
Draw to Win	4.80	5.00	5.25	5.00	5.20

⚽ Georgia vs Portugal: Both Teams To Score Odds

Both teams have scored in six of Georgia’s last 10 matches (60%). Willy Sagnol’s side have kept four clean sheets during this sequence and failed to score just once (during a 0-0 draw against Greece in the Playoff Path C final that saw them book their place at Euro 2024). Both sides have found the net in four of Portugal’s previous 10 games (40%), with the Seleção keeping five clean sheets and drawing just a single blank.

Yes/No
Yes	1.80	1.90	1.76	1.90	1.84
No	1.91	1.90	1.91	1.90	1.98

🥅 Georgia vs Portugal: Over/Under Goals Odds

The last 10 matches featuring Georgia have produced 35 goals in total, at a rate of 3.5 per game. They’ve scored 23 of these goals at an average of 2.3 per 90 minutes too, although this sequence included an 8-0 thrashing of Thailand. Conversely, Portugal’s previous 10 games have yielded 36 goals at the slightly higher rate of 3.6 per 90. The Portuguese scored 27 of these goals at an average of 2.7 per game.

Under/Over
Over 2.5 Goals	1.57	1.61	1.55	1.61	1.58
Under 2.5 Goals	2.30	2.33	2.36	2.33	2.46

1️⃣ Georgia Update

Georgia remain winless at Euro 2024 after their 1-1 draw with the Czech Republic, while they’ve only won four of their previous 10 matches in all competitions. What’s more, their last five matches against sides ranked in the world’s top 10 by FIFA have seen them incur five defeats by an aggregate score of 17-3. This included a 7-1 home thrashing at the hands of Spain during the course of Euro 2024 qualification. If they are to be competitive, forward Georges Mikautadze will have to play a pivotal role, as he has scored both of Georgia’s goals at Euro 2024 from six attempts and completed five dribbles in total.

Georgia have a fully fit and available squad to select from, while Sagnol doesn’t have the depth of squad to make wholesale changes. So, the manager is likely to persist with his flexible 3-5-2 formation and keep the same starting 11, with the precocious Napoli star Khvicha Kvaratskhelia set to partner Mikautadze up front once again. Could it be his time to shine and take centre stage in Germany?

2️⃣ Portugal Update

Portugal are ranked as the sixth-best team in the world by FIFA, so they sit 68 places above Georgia at the time of writing. A win for the Georgians would make them the lowest-ranked team ever to win at the European Championship finals, but Portugal have lost just two of their previous 17 matches in all competitions since Morocco defeated them 1-0 in the last eight of the 2022 FIFA World Cup. Both defeats came in friendlies too. Although several players have caught the eye for Portugal at Euro 2024, left back Nuno Mendes has been particularly impressive, assisting once while recovering 11 balls, winning nine tackles and completing 10 passes into the attacking third.

Although Martinez also has a fully fit squad to select from, he has already confirmed that he’ll make some changes to his starting 11 with Portugal already confirmed as the winners of Group F. As I’ve touched on, Diogo Jota is likely to start at the at the Arena AufSchalke, while Joao Felix, Diogo Dalot, Pedro Neto and Joao Neves are also in serious contention to play.

👕 Georgia vs Portugal Potential Lineups

✒️ Lewis Humphries – Expert Tipster

Lewis Humphries is an experienced football writer and tipster from the UK. He writes regularly about the Champions League, Premier League, Serie A and other competitions, regularly delivering expert match predictions and betting insights. He also successfully predicted the winner of the 2022 FIFA World Cup, while accurately forecasting the outcome of several group stage and knockout games.

Lewis doesn't just stick to sports; you can also find plenty of casino gaming content. He's reviewed some of the world's leading online casino platforms, while creating blog posts and landing page content for various sports betting brands. His content has also been featured on a number of Irish betting sites, including Life Hack, Investopedia, Yahoo Finance and Business Insider. He also pens regular sports features for sites including 90 Minutes, Think Football Ideas and Sportsblog.