Georgia vs Czechia | Euro 2024 Prediction

Georgia vs Czech Republic logo Georgia vs Czech Republic logo
TournamentUEFA European Championship 2024
Timetable15:00 GMT 22nd June 2024
PredictionBack the Draw!
Odds3.80
BookmakerRoyalistplay Sports
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Odds : 3.80
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Gerogia-v-Czech Republic-logo Gerogia-v-Czech Republic-logo

Georgia won hearts and minds on their UEFA European Championship debut against Turkey, but were unable to claim any points after a thrilling 3-1 defeat. They certainly showcased their ability to compete at this level, while the Czech Republic also produced a determined performance in defeat against Portugal at the Red Bull Arena. These two sides will do battle next in Group F, and a win for either one will afford them a chance to reach the round of 16. However, defeat could also eliminate Georgia or the Czechs depending on the result in the other Group F match. But which of these teams is likely to prevail in the Volksparkstadion?

🏆 Georgia vs Czechia Prediction

Georgia more than played their part in their 3-1 defeat against Turkey at the Westfalenstadion, in what was arguably the game of the tournament so far. They boasted 48% possession during the 90 minutes, for example, and completing an impressive 89% of their attempted passes. They also completed 21 dribbles, and troubled the Turks with their direct and aggressive playing style.

Although Portugal needed a stoppage time Francisco Conceição goal to defeat the Czechs, Ivan Hašek’s side were forced to perform a defensive rearguard throughout. They attempted 34 clearances during the 90 minutes, which remains the highest number of any team to have only played one match at Euro 2024. They also had just 31% possession and initiated only 19 attacks (a tournament low).

Of course, I’d expect them to play with more attacking intent against Georgia, but they may struggle to cope with their opponent’s enterprising and high tempo style. At the same time, Czechia will be buoyed by the fact that Turkey were able to generate an xG of 2.73 against Willy Sagnol’s men, so there are vulnerabilities to exploit if they can sustain possession in Georgia’s defensive third.

Turkey were in part able to achieve this through a strategic high press, which created a field tilt of 63.71% (compared to 36.29% for Georgia). The real question here is whether the Czech Republic can play in the same way, as they lack genuine pace and flair in the attacking third. I’m not sure they can, but they retain enough quality and defensive organisation to at least secure a draw in Hamburg.

My Prediction: Georgia 1 – 1 Czech Republic⚽

💯 Georgia vs Czechia Match Odds

If you compare Ireland’s best betting sites, you’ll find a broad selection of betting markets ahead of the clash between Georgia and the Czech Republic. The most popular betting lines include moneylines, both teams to score and the over/under on how many goals will be scored at the Volksparkstadion. Let’s take a look at the very latest odds here!

🏅 Georgia vs Czechia: Match Winner

Despite Georgia’s superb display in defeat against Turkey, they’re the underdogs to defeat the Czechs in Hamburg. You can back them to win at an average price of 4.75, implying a 21.05% probability of this outcome occurring. Conversely, you can bet on Czechia to prevail at around 1.75, suggesting that they have a 57.14% chance of beating the Georgians. The draw is priced at 3.75, implying a 26.66% probability of the match ending in a tie.

Team
Georgia to Win4.804.754.704.754.80
Czech Republic to Win1.731.751.721.751.75
Draw to Win3.753.753.803.753.80

⚽ Georgia vs Czechia: Both Teams To Score (BTTS)

Of the last 10 matches contested by Georgia, six have seen both teams score (60%). The Georgians have kept four clean sheets during this sequence, and failed to find the net just once (during a 0-0 draw against Greece in the Playoff Path C final). As for the Czechs, both sides have found the net in seven of their last 10 games (70%). Ivan Hašek’s men have kept just two clean sheets and drew a single blank in a 3-0 loss to Albania on October 12th, 2023.

Yes/No
Yes1.991.901.871.901.89
No1.901.901.871.901.92

🥅 Georgia vs Czechia: Over/Under 2.5 Goals

The last 10 matches contested by Georgia have yielded 41 goals in total, at a rate of 4.1 per game. However, Sagnol’s men have conceded 18 of these goals at an average of 1.8 per 90 minutes, including a 7-1 defeat to Spain in Tbilisi. The Czech Republic’s previous 10 matches have produced 31 goals at the lower rate of 3.1 per 90. They’ve struck 20 goals during this sequence at an average of exactly 2.0 per game.

Under/Over
Over 2.5 Goals1.911.931.871.931.91
Under 2.5 Goals1.801.871.871.871.94

✔️ Georgia vs Czechia - Betting Tips

This match is incredibly difficult to call, despite the Czech’s Republic status as relatively heavy betting favourites. The good news is that there’s a huge range of markets that you can wager on, including even money options like backing both teams to score (or not) and the over/under on total goals scored. So, here are some tips to help you get the value out of your real money bankroll and available free bets!

  • Tip 1: Back Both Teams to Score: The bookies appear to be split on the BTTS market, with the pre-game odds implying a 52.63% probability of both teams scoring at the Volksparkstadion. However, Georgia have scored in all but one of their previous 10 matches, while they were able to create an xG of 1.59 against Turkey. Czechia have only failed to score in one of their last 13 games since a 0-0 draw with Moldova in March 2023, so get on both teams to score in Hamburg at the competitive price of price of 1.99 with Direction Bet Sport.
  • Tip 2: Back the Draw with Over 1.5 Goals Scored: If you’re a fan of combination betting, there are plenty of options for you to consider. Although the odds only imply a 26.66% of the game ending in a draw, for example, this is the second most likely outcome from a statistical perspective. It also reflects the highly competitive nature of both teams, while a tie will ensure that Georgia and Czechia retain a chance of qualifying for the round of 16. Given that I also expect each team to score at least once at the Volksparkstadion, there’s value in backing the draw with over 1.5 goals at the enhanced price of 4.80 with 20BET Sports.
  • Tip 3: Back Patrik Schick as an Anytime Goalscorer: Although Patrick Schick saw little of the ball against Portugal, he remains the Czech’s go to man in attack. To this end, he has 19 goals in just 38 international career caps, while he struck 13 times in just 33 appearances for Leverkusen in 2023/24 despite regularly starting on the bench. Remember, Schick was the joint-top scorer at Euro 20 with five goals too, so he offers value as an anytime goalscorer here. You can get on this at a price of 2.85 with Sportaza Sports.

1️⃣ Georgia Update

Following their defeat against Turkey in the first round of group stage matches at Euro 2024, underdogs Georgia have now won just four of their previous 10 matches overall. This sequence has included a loss to Norway and two defeats against Spain, the first of which saw Georgia thrashed 7-1 in front of their own fans. Despite this and being the lowest ranked team at the Euros, however, Georgia played with real intent against Turkey and were unlucky to only score once in Dortmund. All-action forward Georges Mikautadze epitomised everything that was good about Georgia in this match, as he struck five attempts at goal and completed four dribbles as well as scoring his country’s first goal at a major finals.

Last 5 Games
Turkey 3
Georgia 1
16.06.24
UEFA Euro 2024 – Group F
Montenegro 1
Georgia 3
09.06.24
International Friendly
Georgia 0
Greece 0
26.03.24
UEFA Euro 2024 Qualification – Path C Playoff Final
Georgia 2
Luxembourg 0
21.03.24
UEFA Euro 2024 Qualification – Path C Playoff Semi-Final
Spain 3
Georgia 1
19.11.23
UEFA Euro 2024 Qualification Group A

Georgia have no new injury concerns after the match against Turkey, and manager Sagnol is widely expected to name an unchanged team in Hamburg. This means that the bustling Mikautadze will continue in attack alongside Georgia’s top active scorer Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, as part of a flexible 3-5-2 formation.

2️⃣ Czech Republic Update

Czechia arrived in Germany as one of Europe’s in-form teams, having won five successive matches in their tournament buildup. The defeat against Portugal also snapped an eight-match unbeaten run, dating back to October 13th, 2023 (when the Czechs lost 3-0 to Albania in Tirana). This was also the team’s sole defeat during Euro 2024 qualification, where they allowed their opponents a collective xG of just 5.1 across their eight games and conceded a paltry 20 shots on target. The team’s defensive organisation and resilience was certainly on show against the Portuguese, even though they eventually succumbed to an injury time goal. Centre back Robin Hranáč was particularly impressive in Leipzig, completing all six of his clearances and recovering three balls in total.

Last 5 Games
Portugal 2
Czech Republic 1
18.06.24
UEFA Euro 2024 – Group F
Czech Republic 2
North Macedonia 1
10.06.24
International Friendly
Czech Republic 7
Malta 1
07.06.24
International Friendly
Czech Republic 2
Armenia 1
26.03.24
International Friendly
Norway 1
Czech Republic 2
22.03.24
International Friendly

Czech keeper Jindrich Stanek also made seven saves against Portugal, the most in a single game at Euro 2024 so far. He’ll keep his place against Georgia, while coach Ivan Hašek may also be tempted to stick with the same 11 in Hamburg. This means that Schick will once again lead the line, while West Ham pair Tomas Soucek and Vladimir Coufal will take their place in midfield.

👕 Georgia vs Czech Republic Potential Lineups

Pos. Georgia
3-5-2
Czech Republic
3-1-4-2
Pos.
Goalkeeper G. Mamardashvili J. Staněk Goalkeeper
Right Centre Back S. Kvirkvelia T. Holeš Right Centre Back
Centre Back G. Kashia R. Hranáč Centre Back
Left Centre Back L. Dvali L. Krejčí Left Centre Back
Right Wing Back O. Kakabadze T. Soucek Defensive Midfielder
Central Midfielder G. Chakvetadze V. Coufal Right Midfielder
Central Midfielder A. Mekvabishvili D. Douděra Central Midfielder
Central Midfielder G. Kochorashvili L. Provod Central Midfielder
Left Wing Back G. Tsitaishvili P. Šulc Left Midfielder
Striker G. Mikautadze P. Schick Striker
Striker K. Kvaratskhelia J. Kuchta Striker

✒️ Lewis Humphries – Expert Tipster

Lewis Humphries is an experienced football writer and tipster from the UK. He writes regularly about the Champions League, Premier League, Serie A and other competitions, regularly delivering expert match predictions and betting insights. He also successfully predicted the winner of the 2022 FIFA World Cup, while accurately forecasting the outcome of several group stage and knockout games.

Lewis doesn't just stick to sports; you can also find plenty of casino gaming content. He's reviewed some of the world's leading online casino platforms, while creating blog posts and landing page content for various sports betting brands. His content has also been featured on a number of Irish betting sites, including Life Hack, Investopedia, Yahoo Finance and Business Insider. He also pens regular sports features for sites including 90 Minutes, Think Football Ideas and Sportsblog.

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