England vs Switzerland Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds - UEFA Euro 2024

england-v-switzerland-prediction england-v-switzerland-prediction
TournamentUEFA European Championship 2024
Timetable18:00 GMT 6th July 2024
PredictionEngland to win!
Odds@3.75
BookmakerLegend Play Sports
The best odds
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Legend Play Sports
Odds : 3.75
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Sportaza
Odds : 3.75
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Odds : 3.70
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england-v-switzerland-prediction england-v-switzerland-prediction

England’s underwhelming UEFA European Championship campaign continues this weekend in Düsseldorf, when they take on Switzerland in the last eight. The Swiss have enjoyed a largely positive tournament so far, coming within seconds of defeating hosts Germany in the group stages before eliminating Italy with an excellent showing in the round of 16. Murat Yakin’s men pressed energetically and kept the ball superbly against the Azzurri, with Granit Xhaka particularly dominant in the heart of the midfield. The good news for England is that they retain significant individual quality, while they’re unbeaten against the Swiss in 13 outings since May 1981. But can they book their place in the last four here, and how is the win market being priced by Ireland’s best betting sites?

🏆 England vs Switzerland Prediction

The Three Lions have only accumulated an xG of 3.73 during their four Euro 2024 matches so far, including 1.44 in their dramatic 2-1 victory over Slovakia last time out. This was the first time that England had generated an xG value above 1.0 during a single 90 minutes in Germany, as they were required to chase the game for large periods following Ivan Schranz’s 25th-minute opener for the Falcons.

However, their xGa value also peaked at 1.87 against a purposeful Slovakian outfit, with this considerably higher than all three of their group stage matches combined (1.21). So, although Gareth Southgate’s side were forced to be a little more proactive in attack in Gelsenkirchen, they also looked increasingly ragged and open in defensive transition.

There also remains a lack of attacking cohesion in the Three Lions squad, which has created just one clear chance from 170 attacks at Euro 2024. Conversely, the Swiss have accumulated an xG of 5.72 during the tournament and created three big chances, while making 30 runs into the opponent’s penalty area (compared to just 19 for a lacklustre England side).

Switzerland were particularly impressive against Italy, with Granit Xhaka dominant in midfield and Yakin’s flexible 3-4-2-1 shape helping the team to create overloads all over the pitch. England have struggled to press and keep the ball effectively against this type of formation at Euro 2024 too, while they seem unable to find any kind of sustainable balance between attack and defence. There will be no room for error in Düsseldorf, and I’m picking the Swiss to prevail in another dramatic game.

My Prediction: England 1 – 2 Switzerland⚽

💯 England vs Switzerland Betting Odds

The quality that resides in the England squad is so impressive that they’re the favourites to defeat Switzerland in Düsseldorf, despite their lack of form at the Euros. If you don’t find the win market appealing, you can wager on alternative betting lines such as both teams to score and the over/under on how many goals will be scored during the 90 minutes. Let’s take a closer look at these markets and their latest odds!

🏅 England vs Switzerland: Match Winner

The bookmakers have made England the 2.26 favourites to defeat Switzerland, implying a 44.24% probability of the Three Lions prevailing at the Merkur Spiel-Arena. As for the Swiss, they can be backed at around 3.70 in the win market, suggesting that they have a 27.02% chance of beating the Three Lions for just the fourth time in 28 attempts. The draw is priced at 3.00, implying a 33.33% probability of the match being tied after 90 minutes.

Team
England vs switzerland jul England vs switzerland jul
England to Win2.302.222.262.222.26
Switzerland to Win3.603.753.703.753.70
Draw to Win3.003.003.053.003.05

⚽ England vs Switzerland: Both Teams To Score Odds

Both teams have scored in four of England’s previous 10 matches (40%), with the Three Lions keeping four clean sheets and drawing three blanks. They’ve failed to score in three of their last eight games. Both sides have found the net in five of Switzerland’s previous 10 encounters (50%). The Swiss have kept four clean sheets during this sequence and failed to score just twice. They’ve scored in each of their four Euro 2024 matches so far.

Yes/No
England vs switzerland jul England vs switzerland jul
Yes2.052.202.202.202.16
No1.701.641.641.641.70

🥅 England vs Switzerland: Over/Under Goals Odds

England’s last 10 matches have produced just 19 goals in total, at a rate of 1.9 per game. They’ve only scored 12 times during this sequence (including four in their previous 5 encounters) at an average of 1.2 per 90 minutes. Switzerland’s last 10 outings have yielded 20 goals at the marginally higher rate of 2.0 per 90, with Yakin’s team only conceding six times at an average of 0.6 per game.

Under/Over
England vs switzerland jul England vs switzerland jul
Over 2.5 Goals2.502.602.602.602.14
Under 2.5 Goals1.501.501.531.501.52

✔️ England vs Switzerland Betting Tips

Some of these markets are intriguingly priced, so you’ll have plenty of options when looking to deploy either your real money bankroll or available free bets. To help you identify the best value markets, I’ve prepared some key betting tips and insights below!

  • Tip 1: Back Both Teams to Score: The Swiss have now scored in seven successive matches, while they looked particularly threatening during their 2-0 win over Italy in the round of 16 (during which they accumulated an xG of 1.66). A total of seven different players have also found the net for Switzerland at Euro 2024, highlighting the depth and variation that exists in their attack. Despite England’s lack of attacking fluency, players like Jude Bellingham and Harry Kane continue to come up with goals in clutch moments, so there’s value in backing both teams to score in Düsseldorf at a price of 2.20 with Sportaza Sports.
  • Tip 2: Back Over 2.5 Goals Being Scored: Interestingly, the pre-game totals’ odds imply a 66.66% probability of under 2.5 goals being scored at the Merkur Spiel-Arena. However, these odds appear to underestimate Switzerland’s goal threat, particularly from midfield and wider areas. England have also struggled to remain compact at times (especially during attacking phases of the game), but they have the individual quality to turn any game in an instant. So, consider betting on over 2.5 goals being scored at the competitive price of 2.60 with LegendPlay Sports.
  • Tip 3: Back Switzerland to Win: England average starting distance at Euro 2024 is 42.4 metres, which means that they’re typically commencing passing sequences incredibly deep. However, when they chased the game against Slovakia and pressed higher, they became far more open and struggled to stop counterattacks. The Swiss are well-placed to capitalise on this, particularly as their formation allows them to create overloads across the pitch and target the space in-between England’s players. So, get on the Swiss to win outright here at a price of 3.75 with LegendPlay Sports.

1️⃣ England Update

England have now won just three of their previous nine matches, while they’ve only found the net 10 times during this run (at an average of 1.11 per 90 minutes). Their performances at Euro 2024 have been particularly poor, as despite averaging 59.7% possession per 90 in Germany, England have completed more passes in their own half than any other team. Against Slovakia alone, centre back pair Marc Guehi and John Stones exchanged 64 passes between them. Although he has struggled for consistency in the tournament, Jude Bellingham remains a source of hope for the Three Lions, with the Real Madrid star having now contributed two goals, completed 14 dribbles and made 11 runs into the attacking third.

Last 5 Games
England 2
Slovakia 1
30.06.24
UEFA Euro 2024 – Round of 16
England 0
Slovenia 0
25.06.24
UEFA Euro 2024 – Group C
Denmark 1
England 1
20.06.24
UEFA Euro 2024 – Group C
Serbia 0
England 1
16.06.24
UEFA Euro 2024 – Group C
England 0
Iceland 1
07.06.24
International Friendly

England could be buoyed by the return of Luke Shaw to the starting 11 against Switzerland. However, influential centre back Guehi collected his second booking of the tournament against Slovakia and will miss out, with Aston Villa’s Ezri Konsa expected to replace him. Although the pressure remains on Southgate to make alterations to his faltering side and potentially switch to a back three to counter the formation of the Swiss, England’s manager is unlikely to make wholesale changes for the clash in Düsseldorf.

Player Reason
Marc Guehi Suspended

2️⃣ Switzerland Update

After their superb victory over Italy in Berlin, the Swiss have now lost just once in their previous 18 matches since December 2022. What’s more, Murat Yakin’s side are now unbeaten in eight since they were defeated by Romania last November, while they’re one of just two or three teams at the Euros who appear to be reaching their optimal levels of performance. One player who has been particularly impressive is Granit Xhaka, who led the way against the Azzurri with 16 final third entries and three chances created (both more than any other player). During the tournament, Xhaka has completed 254 of his 280 passes (89.25%) and made 32 passes into the attacking third.

Last 5 Games
Switzerland 2
Italy 0
29.06.24
UEFA Euro 2024 – Round of 16
Switzerland 1
Germany 1
23.06.24
UEFA Euro 2024 – Group A
Scotland 1
Switzerland 1
19.06.24
UEFA Euro 2024 – Group A
Hungary 1
Switzerland 3
15.06.24
UEFA Euro 2024 – Group A
Switzerland 1
Austria 1
08.06.24
International Friendly

Silvan Widmer is available once again after missing out against the Italians due to suspension. However, Murat Yakin may be loathe to make any changes, given how impressive they were at the Olympiastadion, and Widmer may have to settle for a place on the bench. If he does return, he’ll likely start in his familiar position of right wing back while forward Dan Ndoye makes way.

👕 England vs Switzerland Potential Lineups

Pos. England
4-2-3-1
Switzerland
3-4-2-1
Pos.
Goalkeeper J. Pickford Y. Sommer Goalkeeper
Right Back K. Walker F. Schär Right Centre Back
Centre Back J. Stones M. Akanji Centre Back
Centre Back E. Konza R. Rodriguez Left Centre Back
Left Back K. Trippier S. Widmer Right Wing Back
Midfielder D. Rice R. Freuler Central Midfielder
Midfielder K. Mainoo G. Xhaka Central Midfielder
Midfielder J. Bellingham M. Aebischer Left Wing Back
Wide Forward B. Saka F. Rieder Attacking Midfielder
Striker H. Kane R. Vargas Attacking Midfielder
Wide Forward P. Foden B. Embolo Striker

✒️ Lewis Humphries – Expert Tipster

Lewis-Humphries-author-profile Lewis-Humphries-author-profile

Lewis Humphries is an experienced football writer and tipster from the UK. He writes regularly about the Champions League, Premier League, Serie A and other competitions, regularly delivering expert match predictions and betting insights. He also successfully predicted the winner of the 2022 FIFA World Cup, while accurately forecasting the outcome of several group stage and knockout games.

Lewis doesn't just stick to sports; you can also find plenty of casino gaming content. He's reviewed some of the world's leading online casino platforms, while creating blog posts and landing page content for various sports betting brands. His content has also been featured on a number of Irish betting sites, including Life Hack, Investopedia, Yahoo Finance and Business Insider. He also pens regular sports features for sites including 90 Minutes, Think Football Ideas and Sportsblog.

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