Denmark vs England Predictions, Betting Tips & Odds - UEFA Euro 2024
| Timetable | 18:00 GMT 20th June 2024 |
| Prediction | Back the Draw! |
| Odds | @3.75 |
| Bookmaker | 20BET Sports |
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England kickstarted their UEFA European Championship campaign with a hard-fought win over Serbia in Group C. However, their performance was largely uninspiring, as they managed just five attempts on goal and became increasingly loose in possession as the match progressed. As for Denmark, they were held to a 1-1 draw by plucky Slovenia at the MHPArena, as Cristian Eriksen marked an emotional return to tournament football with a superb goal. The Danes could prove a tough nut for England to crack, especially as they’re ranked as the 21st best team in the world and 12 places higher than Serbia according to FIFA. But which team do I think will win at the Waldstadion in Frankfurt?
🏆 Denmark vs England Prediction
Despite England’s promising start against Serbia in Gelsenkirchen, Gareth Southgate’s men quickly ceded the initiative as their opponents settled and became more aggressive in their approach. This drop-off was particularly noticeable in the second half, as England’s midfield opened up and the team’s passing accuracy declined from 91% to 86%.
This is a familiar tale under the stewardship of Southgate, of course, with the Three Lions prone to losing their shape and composure when put under pressure. As a result, they managed just three shots on target and mounted a paltry 34 attacks during the 90 minutes, and it was only Serbia’s own attacking limitations that prevented them from securing at least a point.
The reverse was true for Denmark, who boasted 62% possession in their Group C opener against Slovenia and initiated 62 attacks. They also had 16 attempts on goal and accumulated an xG of 1.77, with only wastefulness in the final third ultimately denying them the win. Goalscorer Christian Eriksen starred for the Danes on his tournament return, also completing 52 of his 60 passes (87%) and two dribbles.
Denmark certainly look a little more balanced and fluid in midfield, so they’ll have their fair share of possession when they take on England in Frankfurt. The Three Lions will also need to address a genuine lack of balance and tempo in their attacking play, but unless they improve significantly, I think they’ll have to settle for a draw here.
My Prediction: Denmark 1 – 1 England⚽
💯 Denmark vs England Betting Odds
If you browse Ireland’s best betting sites, you’ll see that there is a huge range of available markets ahead of the clash between Denmark and England. The most popular wager types include the match winner, both teams to score (BTTS) and the over/under on the total number of goals scored, but how are these entities currently being priced?
🏅 Denmark vs England: Match Winner
It should come as no surprise that tournament favourites England are also fancied to defeat Denmark at the Waldstadion. In fact, you can back the Three Lions to prevail at around 1.64, implying a 61% probability of a victory for Gareth Southgate’s men. You can bet on Denmark to win at an average price of 6.00, so they have just a 17% chance of emerging victorious. The draw is statistically more likely than a Danish win, with odds of 3.66 implying a 27% probability of the match being tied.
| Team to Win |  |  |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denmark to Win | 5.50 | 6.00 | 5.75 | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| England to Win | 1.67 | 1.63 | 1.64 | 1.63 | 1.68 |
| Draw to Win | 3.70 | 3.66 | 3.60 | 3.66 | 3.75 |
⚽ Denmark vs England: Both Teams To Score Odds
England were at least resolute and defensively solid against Serbia, while the Three Lions have kept five clean sheets in their last 10 matches. Both teams have found the net in just of these games, with England also drawing blanks against Brazil and Iceland. Both sides have scored in six of Denmark’s previous 10 matches, with Kasper Hjulmand’s men having kept three clean sheets and failed to score twice.
| Yes/No | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 2.05 | 2.15 | 2.07 | 2.15 | 2.17 |
| No | 1.70 | 1.66 | 1.64 | 1.66 | 1.70 |
🥅 Denmark vs England: Over/Under Goals Odds
England’s last 10 matches have also produced a total of 23 goals, at the relatively serene rate of 2.30 per game. England have scored 16 of these goals at a rate of 1.60 per 90 minutes. Denmark’s previous 10 encounters have yielded 24 goals at the slightly higher rate of 2.40 per 90. The Danes have also scored 16 times and conceded eight goals at an average of just 0.8 per game.
| Under/Over | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 2.00 | 2.14 | 2.17 | 2.14 | 2.18 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 1.73 | 1.71 | 1.65 | 1.71 | 1.72 |
✔️ Denmark vs England Betting Tips
While England are the heavy betting favourites in the win market, you’ll only be able to bank a nominal return at odds of around 1.64. However, there are additional markets that offer superior value here, while you can also build combination wagers and bet at enhanced odds. Here are some insights to help inform your picks.
- Tip 1: Back the Draw: Although the draw is the second most likely match outcome from a statistical perspective, the odds imply just a 27% probability of the game ending in a tie. However, England have only won two of their previous six matches in all competitions, while they struggled for any kind of attacking fluency and threat against Serbia. The Danes are also tough to beat and have lost just one of their previous 13 matches, so they represent England’s toughest test in Group C. Because of this, there’s value in backing the draw here at a competitive price of 3.75 with 20BET Sports.
- Tip 2: Back Both Teams to Score: The odds imply a higher probability of both teams not scoring in Frankfurt, with Denmark and England having conceded just 11 and six shots on goal respectively in their Group C openers. However, the Three Lions have drawn just two blanks in their previous 18 games since a 0-0 draw with the USA in the 2022 World Cup. Denmark have failed to score just twice in their last 15 matches, too, so there’s value in backing both teams to find the net here at a price of 2.17 with 20BET Sports.
- Tip 3: Back Rasmus Højlund as an Anytime Goalscorer: There are plenty of options in the anytime goalscorer market, but Denmark and Manchester United striker Rasmus Højlund arguably offers the best value at a price of 5.33 with Sportaza Sports. The 21-year-old has scored seven goals in just 15 international appearances to date, with each of these coming during the Euro 2024 qualifiers. In fact, he scored at a rate of 0.88 goals per game during qualifying and benefitted from Denmark’s potent threat in wide areas. This is an excellent use of any free bets that you have on your account!
1️⃣ Denmark Euro Update
Since Denmark lost 1-0 to Australia on November 30th, 2022 and were unceremoniously dumped out of the group stages of the FIFA World Cup, they’ve suffered just two defeats in 15 matches in all competitions. One of these losses was against Northern Ireland after qualification for the Euro 2024 finals had already been secured, and there’s no doubt that Denmark are a well-balanced and organised team that’s difficult to beat. The presence of the experienced Eriksen also adds craft and guile to a durable Danish outfit, as he completed three key passes and eight into the opposing penalty area during the draw against Slovenia.
| Last 5 Games | |
|---|---|
| Slovenia 1 Denmark 1 | 16.06.24 UEFA Euro 2024 – Group C |
| Denmark 3 Norway 1 | 08.06.24 International Friendly |
| Denmark 2 Sweden 1 | 05.06.24 International Friendly |
| Denmark 2 Faroe Islands 0 | 26.03.24 International Friendly |
| Denmark 0 Switzerland 0 | 23.03.24 International Friendly |
AC Milan defender Simon Kjaer remains the Danes’ only real injury doubt ahead of the clash with England as he continues to regain full fitness following a late-season thigh injury. As a result, Kasper Hjulmand’s side is likely to be unchanged from their 1-1 draw against Slovenia, with the manager expected to retain his preferred 3-4-2-1 shape.
| Player | Reason |
|---|---|
| Simon Kjaer | Thigh Injury |
2️⃣ England Euro Update
England were completely unconvincing in their tournament opener against Serbia, although their slender 1-0 win at least ended a run of just one victory in five matches. This sequence had included friendly defeats to Brazil and Iceland, while the Three Lions have now scored just seven times in their previous six outings overall. However, they’ve only conceded five goals during this run, and it was England’s defensive strength that surprisingly proved decisive against the Serbs. Centre-back Marc Guéhi was particularly impressive on his tournament debut, as he completed 51 of the 53 passes he attempted (96%), made two tackles and recovered eight balls in total.
| Last 5 Games | |
|---|---|
| Serbia 0 England 1 | 16.06.24 UEFA Euro 2024 – Group C |
| England 2 Belgium 2 | 26.03.24 International Friendly |
| England 0 Iceland 1 | 07.06.24 International Friendly |
| England 3 Bosnia 0 | 03.06.24 International Friendly |
| England 0 Brazil 1 | 23.03.24 International Friendly |
Question marks remains about the availability of Luke Shaw, who continues to struggle with a muscle injury and now hasn’t played for five months. This is particularly concerning given that Kieran Trippier pulled up in the second half against Serbia, but he’s expected to keep his place in Gareth Southgate’s starting 11. Phil Foden should also keep his place despite a poor performance against Serbia, although Cole Palmer is ready and waiting should Southgate look to rotate his squad.
| Player | Reason |
|---|---|
| Luke Shaw | Muscle Injury |
👕 Denmark vs England Potential Lineups
| Pos. | Denmark 3-4-2-1 | England 4-2-3-1 | Pos. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goalkeeper | K. Schmeichel | J. Pickford | Goalkeeper |
| Right Centre Back | J. Andersen | K. Walker | Right Back |
| Centre Back | A. Christensen | J. Stones | Centre Back |
| Left Centre Back | J. Vestergaard | M. Guéhi | Centre Back |
| Right Wing Back | A. Bah | K. Trippier | Left Back |
| Central Midfielder | M. Hjulmand | T. Alexander-Arnold | Midfielder |
| Central Midfielder | Pierre-Emile Højbjerg | D. Rice | Midfielder |
| Left Wing Back | V. Kristiansen | J. Bellingham | Midfielder |
| Attacking Midfielder | C. Eriksen | B. Saka | Wide Forward |
| Attacking Midfielder | J. Wind | H. Kane | Striker |
| Striker | R. Højlund | P. Foden | Wide Forward |
✒️ Lewis Humphries – Expert Tipster
Lewis Humphries is an experienced football writer and tipster from the UK. He writes regularly about the Champions League, Premier League, Serie A and other competitions, regularly delivering expert match predictions and betting insights. He also successfully predicted the winner of the 2022 FIFA World Cup, while accurately forecasting the outcome of several group stage and knockout games.
Lewis doesn't just stick to sports; you can also find plenty of casino gaming content. He's reviewed some of the world's leading online casino platforms, while creating blog posts and landing page content for various sports betting brands. His content has also been featured on a number of Irish betting sites, including Life Hack, Investopedia, Yahoo Finance and Business Insider. He also pens regular sports features for sites including 90 Minutes, Think Football Ideas and Sportsblog.
