Austria vs France Prediction, Betting Tips, Odds - UEFA Euro 2024

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TournamentUEFA European Championship 2024
Timetable21:00 GMT 17th June 2024
PredictionFrance to Win!
Odds@1.55
BookmakerDirectionBet Sport
The best odds
1.
Bet €100 and win €155 if France win.
Bonus:

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2.
Bet €100 and win €150 if France win.
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3.
Sportaza
Odds : 1.50
Bet €100 and win €150 if France win
Bonus:
€100

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The eighth match of the 2024 UEFA European Championship sees Austria take on second favourites France at the Düsseldorf Arena. Les Blues topped UEFA qualification Group B ahead of the Netherlands, as they won seven of their eight matches and plundered 29 goals (only Portugal struck more en route to Germany). However, Austria also qualified impressively under the stewardship of Ralf Rangnick, winning six and losing just one of their games to finish a point behind Belgium. The former Manchester United man has certainly rejuvenated Austria after a disappointing Nations League campaign, but can they upset the French and kickstart their Euro 2024 efforts with a win?

🏆 Austria vs France Prediction

France only dropped two points during their qualification campaign, drawing 2-2 in Greece after their passage to the finals had already been assured. Their campaign included two impressive wins against the Dutch, while Les Blues also produced a record-breaking display to thrash 10-man Gibraltar 14-0 in Nice.

The French attempted 39 shots on goal during this game and 166 in total across their eight qualification matches (at a rate of 20.75 per 90 minutes). Didier Deschamps' side also hit the target with 63 attempts, with only Portugal faring better according to this metric. Unsurprisingly, it was star striker Kylian Mbappe who top scored for France in qualifying, as the Real Madrid-bound forward hit nine goals in eight appearances at a rate of 1.13 per 90.

France’s attacking quality and goalscoring prowess are obvious, while Les Bleus also averaged more possession per 90 minutes (60.1% vs 55.1%) than Austria during qualifying. The good for Austria is that they were typically industrious under Rangnick and completed 313 ball recoveries across their eight matches, while they only conceded seven goals (and just two on the road).

Les Bleus are likely to dominate the ball at the Düsseldorf Arena, as the Austrians look to counter press aggressively and exploit any space in behind their opponent’s defensive line. I certainly expect them to score against the French, as they’ve found the net in each of their last 15 games since September 2022. However, France simply have too many options in the attacking third, and they’ll edge a potentially high-scoring game here!

My Prediction: Austria 2 – 3 France⚽

💯 Austria vs France Match Odds

There are plenty of ways in which you can bet on the match between Austria and France, especially when you wager at one of Ireland’s best betting sites. The most popular markets include the match winner, both teams to score (BTTS) and the over/under on how many goals will be scored in Düsseldorf, but how are these entities currently being priced?

🏅 Austria vs France: Match Winner

The French are the heavy betting favourites to defeat Austria at the Düsseldorf Arena, with their average odds of 1.50 implying a 66.66% probability of a win for Les Bleus. Conversely, you back the Austrians to prevail at around 6.25 in their Group D opener, suggesting that they have just a 16% chance of achieving this objective. The draw is priced at 4.33, implying a 23.09% probability of the match ending in a tie. This is the second most likely outcome from a statistical perspective and it highlights the challenge facing Austria against their more esteemed rivals.

Team
Austria to Win6.506.006.256.00TBA
France to Win1.551.501.471.50TBA
Draw to Win4.504.334.404.33TBA

⚽ Austria vs France: Both Teams To Score

Both teams scored in five of Austria’s eight qualification matches (62.5%). Ralf Rangnick’s side kept a total of three clean sheets and scored in each of their Group F encounters. As for France, both sides found the net in just two of their eight qualifying games (25%), as they also scored in every single encounter and kept six clean sheets. France didn’t concede a single goal in any of their four home matches.

Yes/No
Yes1.801.781.771.78TBA
No1.911.961.881.96TBA

🥅 Austria vs France: Over/Under Goals

The eight qualification matches contested by Austria yielded 24 goals in total, at a rate of exactly 3.00 per game. Rangnick’s men scored 17 of these goals and conceded just seven at an average of 0.87 per 90 minutes. France’s eight games produced 32 goals at the even higher rate of 4.00 per 90, including a whopping 29 for Les Blues. These goals were scored at a rate of 3.62 per game.

Under/Over
Over 2.5 Goals1.621.631.671.63TBA
Under 2.5 Goals2.202.202.122.20TBA

✔️ Austria vs France Betting Tips

The win market may not be particularly appealing in this instance, with a France victory delivering only nominal returns. The good news is that you can explore alternative betting lines and create combination wagers where possible in order to realise the full value of your real money bankroll and free bets.

  • Tip 1: Back Over 3.5 Goals Being Scored: The pre-game odds imply a 67.12% probability of over 2.5 goals being scored in Düsseldorf, but this has the potential to be a particularly high scoring contest. Remember, these teams contested 16 matches between them during qualifying, with these encounters producing a total of 56 goals at a rate of exactly 3.5 per 90. Les Bleus alone scored at a rate of 3.62 goals per game during qualifying, while Austria conceded three times when they last faced a top 10 FIFA ranked side (Belgium). So, get on over 3.5 goals scored at a price of 2.57 with Royalist Play Sports.
  • Tip 2: Back France to Win and Both Teams to Score: The odds imply a slightly higher probability of both teams scoring in Düsseldorf, which makes sense given that Austria have scored in each of their last 15 matches. As for France, they’ve only drawn one blank in 16 outings since a 1-0 defeat to Tunisia at the 2022 FIFA World Cup and boast one of the best attacking lineups in the world. Les Bleus are also odds-on favourites to beat Austria, so get on them to win and BTTS at the enhanced price of 2.90 with Sportaza Sports.
  • Tip 3: Back on the First Being Scored in 0-10 Minutes: France were incredibly quick starters in qualifying, hitting 15 goals without reply in the first 45 minutes of fixtures (including seven in the 14-0 thumping of Gibraltar). They also scored six times in the opening 10 minutes, while Austria failed to register during this period and conceded once. Because of this, there may be some value in betting on the first goal being scored within 10 minutes at the competitive price of 3.25 with LegendPlay Sports.

1️⃣ Austria Euro Update

Not only have Austria scored in 15 consecutive matches (France were ironically the last time to stop them from finding the net on September 22nd, 2022), but they’ve also lost just one of their previous 14 matches in all competitions. This sequence includes a credible draw in Belgium and a superb 2-0 friendly win over Germany at the Ernst-Happel-Stadion. They also thrashed fellow Euro 2024 finalists Turkey 6-1 last time out, as Christoph Baumgartner and Michael Gregoritsch starred in Vienna. During qualifying, midfielder Marcel Sabitzer was Austria’s star man, as he contributed four goals and two assists in just 370 minutes of action. This equates to a goal involvement every 62 minutes.

Last 5 Games
Austria 6
Turkey 1
26.03.24
International Friendly
Slovakia 0
Austria 2
23.03.24
International Friendly
Austria 2
Germany 0
21.11.23
International Friendly
Estonia 0
Austria 2
16.11.23
UEFA Euro Qualifiers – Group F
Azerbaijan 0
Austria 1
16.10.23
UEFA Euro Qualifiers – Group F

Austria were dealt a double blow ahead of the European Championship finals, with midfielder Xaver Schlager and first choice keeper Alexander Schlager (both knee injuries) having been ruled out. Defender and captain David Alaba haven’t made the provisional squad, having incurred a serious knee injury in December, while left-back Philipp Lienhart also misses out with a similar complaint.

Player Reason
Xaver Schlager Knee Injury
Alexander Schlager Knee Injury
David Alaba Knee Injury
Philipp Lienhart Knee Injury

2️⃣ France Euro Update

France’s unbeaten Euro qualification campaign was part of a sequence that has seen Les Bleus lose just three times in 16 matches since November 2022 (including the penalty shootout defeat to Argentina in the World Cup final). However, Germany are the only team to defeat them in 90 minutes during this run, as they recorded two friendly wins in September 2023 (2-1) and March 2024 (2-0). The team has recorded two wins over the Netherlands in this period while also defeating Chile and England. In addition to Mbappe, Bayern Munich winger Kingsley Coman also shone during qualification for Euro 2024, as he contributed two goals and two assists in just 390 minutes of playing time.

Last 5 Games
France 3
Chile 2
26.03.24
International Friendly
France 0
Germany 2
23.03.24
International Friendly
Greece 2
France 2
21.11.23
UEFA Euro Qualifiers – Group B
France 14
Gibraltar 0
18.11.23
UEFA Euro Qualifiers – Group B
France 4
Scotland 1
17.10.23
International Friendly

Coman has struggled with an adductor injury of late, and he continues to be assessed ahead of the clash against Austria. Real Madrid’s Aurélien Tchouaméni also suffered a foot injury before the Champions League final and is now a doubt for Euro 2024. Lucas Hernandez definitely misses out after tearing his ACL in PSG’s UCL semi-final defeat against Borussia Dortmund. However, Milan keeper Mike Maignan (finger injury) is expected to be passed fit in time for the Euro opener.

Player Reason
Kingsley Coman Adductor Injury
Aurélien Tchouaméni Foot Injury
Lucas Hernandez ACL Injury
Mike Maignan Finger Injury

👕 Austria vs France Potential Lineups

Pos. Austria
4-3-3
France
4-2-3-1
Pos.
Goalkeeper T. Lawal M. Maignan Goalkeeper
Right Back N. Seiwald J. Clauss Right Back
Centre Back K. Danso I. Konaté Centre Back
Centre Back P. Lienhart W. Saliba Centre Back
Left Back M. Wöber T. Hernández Left Back
Midfielder K. Laimer A. Rabiot Midfielder
Midfielder F. Grillitsch E. Camavinga Midfielder
Midfielder M. Sabitzer A. Griezmann Midfielder
Wide Forward P. Wimmer O. Dembele Wide Forward
Striker M. Gregoritsch R. Kolo Muani Striker
Wide Forward C. Baumgartner K. Mbappe Wide Forward

✒️ Lewis Humphries – Expert Tipster

Lewis Humphries is an experienced football writer and tipster from the UK. He writes regularly about the Champions League, Premier League, Serie A and other competitions, regularly delivering expert match predictions and betting insights. He also successfully predicted the winner of the 2022 FIFA World Cup, while accurately forecasting the outcome of several group stage and knockout games.

Lewis doesn't just stick to sports; you can also find plenty of casino gaming content. He's reviewed some of the world's leading online casino platforms, while creating blog posts and landing page content for various sports betting brands. His content has also been featured on a number of Irish betting sites, including Life Hack, Investopedia, Yahoo Finance and Business Insider. He also pens regular sports features for sites including 90 Minutes, Think Football Ideas and Sportsblog.