Liverpool vs Real Madrid Prediction with Odds, Betting Tips and Free Bet Offers UEFA Champions League 2023

Liverpool vs Real Madrid Prediction banner Liverpool vs Real Madrid Prediction banner
TournamentUEFA Champions League
TimetableTuesday 21st of February at 21:00 CET
PredictionReal Madrid to Win!
OddsReal Madrid to Win @ 3.23
BookmakerPalmslots Sport
Real Madrid to Win!
The best odds
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Odds : 3.23
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Odds : 3.25
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Odds : 3.25
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Liverpool vs Real Madrid coat of arms Liverpool vs Real Madrid coat of arms

On Tuesday, 21st February, two of the most successful teams in UEFA Champions League betting history do battle at Anfield, as Liverpool and Real Madrid continue their quest for a seventh and 15th UCL title respectively.

However, neither team will approach the round of 16, first leg clash in their best form, with Real Madrid having fallen five points behind bitter rivals Barcelona in La Liga and Liverpool languishing in ninth place in the Premier league.

Still, both Los Blancos and the Reds enjoy a special relationship with the UEFA Champions League, while both teams will see the tournament as a welcome distraction from their league troubles. Below, I’ve taken a closer look at the latest Liverpool vs Real Madrid odds, while appraising who’s most likely to win and take crucial advantage into the second leg. Let’s get started!

Update 03/03/2023: Our Real Madrid vs Liverpool Prediction & Betting Odds for the 2nd leg of the round of 16 is out now.

💯 Liverpool vs Real Madrid Champions League Odds

Before I delve a little deeper into my Champions League Liverpool vs Real Madrid prediction 2023, I’m going to take a look at the latest betting odds across a select few markets. Let’s start by appraising the very best match betting odds for the first leg!

Liverpool to Win2.
Real Madrid to Win3.403.233.403.253.253.303.30

⚽ Liverpool vs Real Madrid Odds: Both Teams to Score

Make no mistake; you can access a broad range of Liverpool vs Real Madrid odds when betting on the first leg of this mouth-watering round of 16 tie. Next up, I’m going to look at the available football betting sites prices when wagering on both sides to score.


🥅 Liverpool vs Real Madrid Odds: Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Next up is another even money betting market, and one which enables you to wager on whether there will be over or under 2.5 goals scored in the first leg. Here’s the very latest Liverpool vs Real Madrid betting odds in relation to this market!

Over 2.5 Goals1.671.571.601.551.571.601.60
Under 2.5 Goals2.302.252.302.302.382.202.25

🏅 Liverpool Champions League Round of 16 Leg 1 Preview

When Real Madrid beat Liverpool 1-0 in the Champions League final at the Stade de France, the curtain came down on a season that had seen the Reds go tantalizingly close to an historic quadruple.

However, the ultimate failure to win the UCL and Premier League seems to have created something of a hangover that has continued throughout the 2022/23 campaign, with the recent FA Cup defeat to Brighton compounding a run of league form that has seen them win just four of their last nine Premier League games (and none in 2023 to date).

In fact, the only real cause for optimism is the sides performances in the Champions League, with Liverpool winning five of their six Group A matches to finish in second place and level on points with an all-conquering Napoli side. So, although the Reds were thrashed 4-1 in Naples on matchday one (which ultimately consigned them to second place), they recovered with five consecutive wins that included a ruthless 7-1 win over Rangers at Ibrox Stadium.

The clash at Anfield will also see Liverpool without winger Luis Diaz or Diogo Jota, although both forwards may be fit enough to feature in the return leg. Fellow forward Roberto Firmino is also continuing to recover from a calf complaint, with influential centre back Virgil Van Dijk is sidelined with a hamstring industry.

📰 Latest Liverpool Champions League News

⚡ Real Madrid Champions League Round of 16 Leg 1 Preview

While Real Madrid’s domestic form has been a little better than their rivals, they’ve only won two of four La Liga games since returning from the FIFA World Cup towards the end of December.

Most recently, they were held to a goalless draw at the Santiago Bernabéu by an organized Real Sociedad side, causing them to fall five points behind Barcelona in La Liga and highlighting a continued lack of cutting edge in front of goal.

As for their UCL campaign, Madrid qualified in top spot in Group F, ultimately finishing a point clear of RB Leipzig in second. Overall, Los Blancos won four of their six group stage matches, and while they were beaten 3-2 by Leipzig in a thrilling encounter on matchday five, they’d already secured their qualification to the knockout phase by this stage.

Like Liverpool, Madrid are also struggling with injury issues ahead of the first leg clash. Both David Alba and Daniel Carvajal remain long-term absentees with muscle injuries, for example, while Aurelien Tchouameni and the experienced centre back David Alba may also be unavailable for selection.

📰 Latest Real Madrid Champions League News

🆚 Liverpool vs Real Madrid Key Matchups

Although both of these legendary teams may be struggling and missing key players at present, the very latest Liverpool vs Real Madrid updates shouldn’t detract from the immense quality that exists within each playing squad. But what are the key individual battles that are likely to determine the outcome of the first leg?

1️⃣ Darwin Nunez vs Antonio Rudiger

23-year-old striker Darwin Nunez has continued to divide opinion since his summer arrival from Benfica, with this wasteful finishing distracting from his pace and presence in attack. However, he has still scored 10 goals in 25 matches for Liverpool this season, and 78 in 164 games throughout his professional career.

So, he’ll remain a direct threat to the Madrid backline if he starts centrally against Madrid, while also causing a potential dilemma for Los Blancos’ marauding centre back Antonio Rudiger.

The powerful German likes to defend aggressively and get tight to his opponents, while carrying the ball out of defence and providing a springboard for attacks.

However, this could leave Madrid vulnerable against the pace and direct running of Nunez, who will look to spin in behind Rudiger at every opportunity. This will be a fascinating battle to watch, and one that will have a big bearing on the outcome of the first leg.

2️⃣ Ibrahima Konaté vs Karim Benzema

Typically, it’s Virgil Van Dijk who takes responsibility for marking the opposition’s main striker, with the Dutchman renowned for his power, pace and ability to defend solidly in one-on-one situations.

So, his absence will be problematic for the Reds, especially given the presence of 2022 Ballon d'Or winner Karim Benzema in attack for Madrid. The Frenchman has scored an astonishing 57 goals in his last 66 appearances for Los Blancos, including 44 in 46 last season.

In the absence of Van Dijk, it will be Ibrahima Konaté who’ll have to mark Benzema and nullify his threat. The Frenchman certainly boasts a similar level of strength and power, although he lacks Van Dijk’s positional sense and general aura.

So, Benzema could see this as an area of weakness to exploit, particularly as it’s the finer margins that typically define games of this type.

3️⃣ Thiago Alcântara vs Luka Modric

Just as Liverpool have endured a quiet decline this season, Spanish midfielder Thiago Alcântara has also been under par for much of the 2022/23 campaign. His relative lack of influence is made apparent by Liverpool’s lack of passes in open play this season, while Thiago has also struggled to help sustain the Reds’ famously intense press.

However, Thiago will have to rediscover his best form against Madrid, especially as he’ll come up against the indefatigable Luka Modric in the middle of the park.

Make no mistake; both of these players will look to get on the ball and dictate the tempo of play, while helping their side to dominate possession and ultimately control the game.

The middle of the park is always a key battleground in any big match, and the first leg clash between Liverpool and Real Madrid is no exception to this rule. So, whoever stamps their authority in the midfield will ultimately have a big say in which side prevails.

📈 Liverpool vs Real Madrid Head-to-Head Statistics

As you’d expect for two sides that have dominated the UEFA Champions League (and before that, the European Cup), Liverpool have played Real Madrid on multiple occasions during their illustrious histories.

More specifically, the two teams have met nine times in total, with Real Madrid winning on five occasions, Liverpool three and one clash ending in a tie. The latter came in the second leg of the 2020/21 UCL quarterfinal, which ultimately saw Los Blancos eliminate the Reds 3-1 on aggregate.

Interestingly, Liverpool won the first three of their matches against Real Madrid, including a 1-0 triumph in the 1981 European Cup final in Paris. Since Liverpool’s superb 4-0 thrashing of Real in March 2009, however, Madrid have won five of the six matches between these two sides while remaining unbeaten throughout this run, scoring 11 goals and conceding just two in the process.

This sequence included Madrid’s 1-0 win the 2022 UEFA Champions League final, which also took place in Paris and further underlined Los Blancos’ recent dominance over their rivals.

🏆 Liverpool vs Real Madrid Prediction – Who will Win?

Along with PSG vs Bayern Munich, this is one of the standout ties of the UCL round of 16 in 2022/23, with both Liverpool and Real Madrid increasingly looking towards this tournament as their best chance of silverware this campaign.

But who am I backing in my Liverpool vs Real Madrid 1st leg prediction? Well, while neither side is in the best form, Madrid continue to operate at a higher level than Liverpool, while they remain in pursuit of a league title and have reached the Copa Del Rey semi-finals.

Conversely, Liverpool have been dumped out of both domestic cups before February (they won the Carabao and FA Cups last season), while they remain 21 points behind EPL leaders Arsenal and have their work cut out just to qualify for the next year’s UCL through the league.

These observations, coupled with the absence of key players like Luis Diaz, Diogo Jota and the irreplaceable Virgil Van Dijk for Liverpool, suggest that Real will win and take a key advantage back to Spain with them. As for my Liverpool vs Real Madrid score prediction, I think Los Blancos will win 2-1 in a tight and keenly contested game.

⚽ My Liverpool vs Real Madrid Prediction: Real Madrid to Win! At the Score of: Liverpool 1 Real Madrid 2 🏆

🔍 Liverpool vs Real Madrid Betting Tips

Now that you’ve seen the latest odds on Liverpool vs Real Madrid, it’s time for me to offer some expert betting tips to help you leverage these to your advantage and achieve optimal value for your hard-earned bankroll!

So, what odds on Liverpool vs Real Madrid can be successfully exploited to help you achieve a viable return? Let’s get into it!

1️⃣ Real Madrid to win at 3.40 With TonyBet Sports or Luckster

The online bookies are generally making Liverpool favourites to win the first leg against Real Madrid, but I take a different approach and am backing the latter to prevail at Anfield.

The good news is that this outcome is priced higher than a Liverpool win, with both TonyBet and Luckster offering odds of 3.40 on a Madrid victory.

This is highly competitive when you consider Madrid’s UCL pedigree and their superior form, even allowing for the incredible atmosphere that’s likely to engulf Anfield and Liverpool’s outstanding home record (they went 42 games and six years unbeaten before their last 16 defeat to Atletico Madrid in 2019/20).

So, I’d encourage you to get in on this action while you can, before Madrid’s price shortens as the kick-off time draws closer.

2️⃣ Both Sides to Score at 1.57 with William Hill

The latest Liverpool odds vs Real Madrid also identify backing both sides to score as an attractive option, especially with the two competing sides boasting outstanding attacking players and offence-oriented styles of play.

You can currently back both sides to score in the first leg at a price of 1.57 with William Hill, with this offering relative value even if you commit a slightly higher stake amount than normal (which will help to maximise your returns).

Of course, you can wager on both sides not to score at slightly higher prices, but there’s good reason for this as Liverpool and Real Madrid have defensive vulnerabilities that are especially vulnerable to pace and movement.

Once again, I’d encourage you to place this bet sooner rather than later, as odds and prices tend to shorten as sportsbooks receive an influx of wagers on specific outcomes.

3️⃣ Betting on There Being Over 2.5 Goals at 1.67 with TonyBet Sports

As with any Champions League clash between Liverpool and Real Madrid, there’s an expectation that we’ll see end-to-end attacking play and an avalanche of goals.

This needs to be tempered somewhat, however, as knockout football can be incredibly tense and both sides will be wary of exiting the tournament at an early stage.

However, the removal of the away goal rule may encourage Liverpool to really take the game to their opponents, while Madrid will look to punish the Reds’ high defensive line by countering frequently and at pace.

So, I’d recommend betting on there being over 2.5 goals scored in the first leg clash, with this available at a market high price of 1.67 with TonyBet Sports in Ireland.

🎁 Champions League Free Bet Offers to Use on Liverpool vs Real Madrid

There’s a large and appealing range of betting markets and odds associated with the first leg clash between Liverpool and Real Madrid, so you’ll have plenty of choice when wagering on this game.

Regardless of how you wager your hard-earned cash and bankroll, however, I’d urge you to check out the latest Liverpool vs Real Madrid free bet offers and welcome bonuses. I’ve highlighted three of the best such offers below!

1️⃣ Luckster – 100% Deposit Match up to €100:

We’ll start with Luckster’s market leading offer, which takes the form of a 100% deposit match up to the value of €100. You can opt in with a minimum deposit limit of €10, while all subsequent free bets must be placed on outcomes with minimum odds of 2.00. While this bonus isn’t available to those of you who deposit using PayPal, Neteller or Skrill, it’s free from wagering requirements, so you can withdraw any winnings immediately! What else does this brand offer? Check out our Luckster review for more info.

2️⃣ TonyBet Sports – 100% Deposit Match up to €100:

As you can see from our Liverpool vs Real Madrid odds analysis above, TonyBet offers some incredibly competitive prices across a range of markets. It’s also running a 100% deposit match up to the value of €50 for all new customers, with a minimum odds requirement of 1.50 in play here. You’ll have to opt in to receive the offer, however, using the promo code ‘TONY50’ as and when prompted. If you would like more info on this upcoming bookie, check out our TonyBet review.

3️⃣ Ladbrokes - Wager €5 and receive €20 in Free Bets:

When you register as a new customer with Ladbrokes in Ireland or the UK, you can claim a €20 welcome bonus when you place an initial qualifying wager of €5 or more. This bonus takes the form of five, separate €5 free bets, which can be deployed across your choice of Liverpool vs Real Madrid betting markets (so long as your selections feature odds of 1.50 or higher). Learn more about this operator by reading our Ladbrokes review.

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❓ Frequently Asked Questions About Club Liverpool vs Real Madrid Prediction

I hope you’ve found what you were looking for in this Liverpool vs Real Madrid prediction. To bring it to a close, I’m going to answer some of your most frequently asked questions, while offering further insight into match betting odds and markets.

1️⃣ Liverpool vs Real Madrid Champions League Leg 1 – Who Will Win?

Surprisingly, Liverpool are the clear favourites to beat Real Madrid at Anfield, but I think that Real have a definite edge in terms of form, quality and player availability. In particular, Madrid will look to gain control of the midfield area, which has been a significant issue for Liverpool this season. Coupled with the loss of Van Dijk, I’m opting for a Real Madrid win in the first leg.

2️⃣ What’s the best price for Real Madrid to Beat Liverpool?

If you are going to back Real Madrid to beat Liverpool at Anfield, you can get on this at a price of 3.40 with TonyBet Sports. Irish brand Luckster is also backing Real to win at the same price, with this offering exceptional value even when you wager with a nominal stake amount!

3️⃣ Where Can I Watch Real Madrid vs Liverpool?

As an Irish or UK viewer, you can watch the clash between Liverpool and Real Madrid on BT Sport. Remember, this kicks off at 20:00 GMT on February 21st, while you may also be able to stream the action through your choice of sportsbook and wager in-play as the action unfolds!

4️⃣ What are the Outright Odds for Liverpool and Real Madrid?

Liverpool and Real Madrid are the fourth and fifth favourites respectively to win the 2022/23 Champions League. However, you can back both Liverpool and Madrid to win the UCL at a market high price of 13.00, although Real Madrid have higher average odds across a broader range of sportsbooks.

Real Madrid to Win!

✒️ Lewis Humphries – Football Betting Expert and Tipster

Lewis Humphries is an experienced football writer and tipster from the UK. He writes regularly about the Champions League, Premier League, Serie A and other competitions, regularly delivering expert match predictions and betting insights. He also successfully predicted the winner of the 2022 FIFA World Cup, while accurately forecastingthe outcome of several group stage and knockout games.

Lewis doesn't just stick to sports; you can also find plenty of online casino gaming content. He's reviewed some of the world's leading casino platforms, while creating blog posts and landing page content for various sports betting brands. His content has also been featured on a number of different sites, including Life Hack, Investopedia, Yahoo Finance and Business Insider. He also pens regular sports features for sites including 90 Minutes, Think Football Ideas and Sportsblog.

Want to read more UEFA Champions League predictions written by our talented sports expert Lewis? Find them here!