Feyenoord v Lazio Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips
| Timetable | 17:45 - 25th Oct 23 |
| Prediction | Feyenoord To Win! |
| Odds | 1.95 |
| Bookmaker | Lunubet Sports |
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While defending Dutch champions Feyenoord went winless in their first three games of the 2023/24 season, they’ve triumphed in eight out of nine games in all competitions since August 27th. They also kickstarted their UEFA Champions League campaign with a comfortable 2-0 win over Celtic at De Kuip, although they subsequently lost 3-2 against Atlético Madrid after a seesaw first half that saw five goals scored. Interestingly, Lazio also kicked off their season with two consecutive Serie A defeats, while they’ve failed to win more games this season (six) than they’ve actually won (five). In this comprehensive football betting guide, I’ll compare the latest ante post markets for this match while offering my own prediction about which side will win!
🏆 Feyenoord v Lazio
While these two sides have both experienced significant peaks during their illustrious histories, they’ve only met four times in official UEFA competition. The first two meetings took place during the 1999/00 UCL second group stage, with Lazio earning a 0-0 draw at De Kuip before slumping to a 2-1 home defeat thanks to two late goals from striker Jon Dahl Tomasson. These sides were also drawn into Europa League Group F last season, while Lazio winning 4-2 at the Stadio Olimpico on September 8th and Feyenoord gaining a modicum of revenge with a 1-0 victory at home on November 3rd.
Interestingly, Feyenoord have averaged 57.0% possession across their two UCL games so far, while the corresponding figure for Lazio is much lower at just 47.5%. This reflects manager Arne Slot’s progressive playing style, while it suggests that the Dutch side is likely to dominate the ball at De Kuip. Feyenoord also boasts the fifth highest expected goals value of 4.0 in this year’s tournament, while the side’s average of 28.50 shot-creating actions per 90 also highlights their ability to create chances.
Feyenoord have also attempted a UCL high of eight tackles in the final third, with the team known to press high up the pitch and box their opponents in. Given these factors and Lazio’s relatively inconsistent form, I’m tipping the home side to impose themselves and win in an encounter where both sides score in the Netherlands.
My Prediction: 🏆 Feyenoord 2 – 1 Lazio ⚽
💯 Feyenoord v Lazio UCL Match Odds
Despite Feyenoord’s impressive form and performance stats this season, this contest features two evenly matched sides and is incredibly tough to call. Fortunately, there are numerous betting markets that you can target as a punter, including the match winner and outcome, whether both sides will score or not and the over/under on total goals scored in the game.
🏅 Feyenoord v Lazio: Match Winner
The bookies have made the defending Dutch champions the ante post favourites to defeat Lazio in UCL gameweek three. However, this is far from a foregone conclusion, with an average price of 1.91 for Feyenoord to win carrying an implied probability of 52.35% on such an outcome occuring. Let’s take a look at the latest odds from our five recommended betting sites. In addition you can explore our list of the best betting sites, providing you with a wide array of options.
| Team | .png) |  |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feyenoord to Win | 1.87 | 1.95 | 1.87 | 1.91 | 1.90 |
| Lazio to Win | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.60 | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| Draw | 4.00 | 3.60 | 3.70 | 3.50 | 3.80 |
⚽ Feyenoord v Lazio: Both Teams To Score
Our recommended bookmakers are also offering odds on whether both sides will score or not in the clash between Feyenoord and Lazio. The odds are in favour of BTTS at the time of writing, with Arne Slot’s men having scored in nine consecutive matches after failing to hit the target in their first two games of the season. Both competing sides have also scored in seven of Lazio’s 11 matches in 2023/24, including their two UCL games so far.
| Yes/No | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 1.60 | 1.62 | 1.55 | 1.57 | 1.60 |
| No | 2.20 | 2.30 | 2.29 | 2.25 | 2.25 |
🥅 Feyenoord v Lazio: Over/Under 2.5 Goals
These teams certainly aren’t strangers to goals at either end of the pitch, with their combined 23 matches in 2023/24 yielding an impressive 75 goals at 3.26 per game. This is highly informative if you want to wager on the over/under for total number of goals scored in the game, especially at the popular betting line of 2.5 goals.
| Under/Over | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 1.62 | 1.67 | 1.62 | 1.70 | 1.65 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 2.15 | 2.20 | 2.13 | 2.15 | 2.15 |
✔️ Feyenoord v Lazio - Betting Tips
Even when using bonus funds and free bet offers to wager on the clash between Feyenoord and Lazio, you’ll still need a viable betting strategy to help make the most of your bankroll. Here are some expert betting tips that you can incorporate into a such a strategy.
- Tip 1: Back Feyenoord to Win: While Feyenoord remain the ante post favourites to beat Lazio, you can still back them to win outright at the competitive price of 1.95 with Betway. The side is also in exceptional form and has produced some eye-catching performance stats in the 2023/24 Champions League, while it should be noted that the ‘Pride of South’ have only lost three of their last 32 home matches in all competitions since the beginning of last season.
- Tip 2: Back Feyenoord to Win With More Than 2.5 Goals Scored: You can only get relatively short odds on 2.5 goals being scored in this game, with the four UCL matches featuring these sides producing 12 goals at a rate of 3.00 per game. Feyenoord (32) and Lazio (28) have also had 60 attempts on goal across these encounters, so I think there’s additional value in backing the home side to win with over 2.5 goals scored in the game at an enhanced price of 2.75 with Betway.
- Tip 3: Back Feyenoord to Win by One Goal: While I envisage more than 2.5 goals being scored in this game, I think they’ll be relatively evenly distributed to create a narrow winning margin after 90 minutes. Lazio have also won or lost by just a single goal in five of their 11 matches so far this season, while they’ve been genuinely competitive in both Group E games against Atlético Madrid and Celtic. So, you could consider backing Feyenoord to win by a single goal at a a price of 4.00 with Dachbet Sports.
1️⃣ Feyenoord Update
Feyenoord’s stuttering start to the 2023/24 season is now well and truly behind them, with the team having won nine of their previous 10 games and only experienced defeat to Atlético Madrid in the UCL. They’ve also scored 34 goals during this run, while conceding just seven times and scoring four or more goals on five separate occasions. In the Champions League, Feyenoord’s tally of 50 progresive carries (excluding those that end in the defensive half of the pitch) also puts them among the tournament’s best sides by this metric, further highlighting the relentlessly progressive nature of the team and their penchant for sustaining attacks high up the pitch.
| Last 5 Games | |
|---|---|
| Feyenoord 4 Vitesse 0 | 21.10.23 Eredivisie |
| PEC Zwolle 0 Feyenoord 2 | 08.10.23 Eredivisie |
| Athletico Madrid 3 Feyenoord 2 | 04.10.23 Champions League |
| Feyenoord 3 Go Ahead Eagles 1 | 30.09.23 Eredivisie |
| Ajax 0 Feyenoord 4 | 27.09.23 Eredivisie |
Feyenoord will definitely be without two players for the game with Lazio, namely Yankuba Minteh (hamstring injury) and Gernot Trauner (knee problems). However, talented winger Luka Ivanusec may be fit after missing seven games with a ligament issue, but the game may come a little too soon for him to start.
| Player | Reason |
|---|---|
| Yankuba Minteh | Hamstring Injury |
| Gernot Trauner | Knee Injury |
2️⃣ Lazio Update
Despite finishing second in Serie A last season, Lazio have endured a frustrating 2023/24 campaign so far, losing three of their first four league matches and only winning five of their 11 games across all competitions. However, they have experienced something of an upturn in fortunes more recently, losing just one of their last seven matches and managing to win four of these. It’s also important to note that while their collective performance stats in this season’s UCL aren’t as impressive as Feyenoord’s, they’re unbeaten in the competition so far and earned a highly credible point in Madrid against Atletico in gameweek one.
| Last 5 Games | |
|---|---|
| Sassuolo 0 Lazio 2 | 21.10.23 Serie A |
| Lazio 3 Atalanta 2 | 08.10.23 Serie A |
| Celtic 1 Lazio 2 | 04.10.23 Champions League |
| Milan 2 Lazio 0 | 30.09.23 Serie A |
| Lazio 2 Torino 0 | 27.09.23 Serie A |
Lazio almost have a fully fit squad to choose from ahead of their trip to the Netherlands, although winger Cristiano Lombardi remains absent with an unknown injury. However, the 28-year-old isn’t part of Lazio’s Champions League squad, so this won’t effect their plans for the Feyenoord game.
| Player | Reason |
|---|---|
| Cristiano Lombardi | Unknown Injury |
👕 Feyenoord v Lazio - Potential Lineups
| Pos. | Feyenoord 4-3-3 | Lazio 4-3-3 | Pos. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goalkeeper | T. Wellenreuther | I. Provedel | Goalkeeper |
| Right Back | B. Nieuwkoop | A. Marušić | Right Back |
| Centre Back | L. Geertruida | N. Casale | Centre Back |
| Centre Back | D. Hancko | A. Romagnoli | Centre Back |
| Left Back | Q. Hartman | E. Hysaj | Left Back |
| Midfielder | C. Stengs | M. Guendouzi | Midfielder |
| Midfielder | M. Wieffer | N. Rovella | Midfielder |
| Midfielder | Q. Timber | L. Alberto | Midfielder |
| Wide Forward | A. Jahanbakhsh | F. Anderson | Wide Forward |
| Striker | S. Gimenez | V. Castellanos | Striker |
| Wide Forward | I. Paixão | M. Zaccagni | Wide Forward |
✒️ Lewis Humphries – Expert Tipster
Lewis Humphries is an experienced football writer and tipster from the UK. He writes regularly about the Champions League, Premier League, Serie A and other competitions, regularly delivering expert match predictions and betting insights. He also successfully predicted the winner of the 2022 FIFA World Cup, while accurately forecasting the outcome of several group stage and knockout games.
Lewis doesn't just stick to sports; you can also find casino gaming content and bookmaker reviews. He's reviewed some of the world's leading online casino platforms, while creating blog posts and landing page content for various sports betting brands. His content has also been featured on a number of different sites, including Life Hack, Investopedia, Yahoo Finance and Business Insider. He also pens regular sports features for sites including 90 Minutes, Think Football Ideas and Sportsblog.
