Women's Australian Open Final Prediction 2026 – Tips, Odds & Winner Picks

🏆 Women’s Australian Open Final Prediction

Aryna Sabalenka enters the 2026 Australian Open as the dominant force we're backing to claim her third consecutive Melbourne title. The Belarusian's preparation has been flawless, capturing the Brisbane International without dropping a set. She brushed aside Marta Kostyuk 6-4, 6-3 to retain the title.

Sabalenka's 20-match winning streak at Melbourne Park is the tournament's longest active run, with her serve averaging 118 mph during the 2026 season. The world number one is the clear favourite to win the tournament, posting odds between 3.00 and 3.10 across major Australian Open women's betting tips markets.

With the women's Australian Open 2026 prize money offering a record €2.38 million to the champion, the financial stakes match the competitive intensity. Her ability to dictate rallies from the baseline makes her the choice for the women's Australian Open 2026 winner market. Consider using free bets to back Sabalenka.

🎾Women’s Australian Open Final Betting Preview & Odds

The best Australian Open women's final odds are focused around three top contenders. Our preview examines the statistical foundations supporting each player's championship case, analysing serve efficiency, return game quality, and other factors.

Top Irish bookmakers are offering competitive Australian Open women’s odds across outright winners, set betting, and game handicaps. We recommend checking out our bookmaker reviews page to find the most reliable operators offering top odds.

1️⃣ Aryna Sabalenka

Sabalenka will enter the tournament with a massive chip on her shoulder. She’s determined to win back the Australian Open title she lost last year to Madison Keys. Her performance at Brisbane shows that she’ll be hard to beat at Melbourne Park, as she’s on a mission of redemption.

The 26-year-old has won 34 of her last 36 matches on hard courts, with her only losses coming to top-five opponents in three-set battles. Her second serve has improved dramatically, now averaging 95 mph compared to 88 mph in 2024, eliminating the vulnerability opponents previously exploited.

Hard courts are the Belarusian’s best surface, with an 85% hold percentage which leads the WTA tour. Sabalenka’s serve-plus-one pattern is ideal for faster conditions, and when she’s in top form, she’s extremely difficult to stop. From a betting perspective, her consistency makes straight-sets victories attractive propositions, especially given her tendency to start matches aggressively.

Top tennis betting sites are offering competitive odds for Sabalenka to come out on top.

Best Odds for Sabalenka to Win:

• 3.00 at LunuBet
• 3.10 at DirectionBet
• 3.00 at Betovo

2️⃣ Iga Swiatek

The Polish world number two brings legitimate championship credentials despite Melbourne not being her strongest Grand Slam surface. However, Swiatek's Adelaide International triumph demonstrated improved comfort on faster hard courts, where she's historically struggled against power hitters.

While she’s yet to reach the final in Australia, her 2026 season opened with 15 wins from 16 matches. The six-time Grand Slam winner has refined her transition game, moving forward more effectively behind deep groundstrokes rather than engaging in extended baseline exchanges that favor bigger hitters.

Her head-to-head record against Sabalenka stands at 4-3, with their most recent encounter in Madrid. The women's US open odds previously underestimated her hard-court game, but recent performances suggest this surface might no longer be her biggest weakness, so she might stand a chance to grab an Aussie Open title.

Best Odds for Swiatek to Win:

• 6.00 at LunuBet
• 6.00 at DirectionBet
• 5.10 at Betovo

3️⃣ Coco Gauff

The 21-year-old American is the tournament's most intriguing value proposition in Australian Open women's singles betting markets. With two Slam titles, five Slam semifinals, 11 tour titles, she’s in top form to contend for the Australian Open title this year. Gauff's United Cup performances revealed significant serve improvements, with her first-serve percentage climbing to 68% and double faults reduced to 2.1 per match.

She has won 11 consecutive matches against top-20 opponents, demonstrating the consistency required for Grand Slam success. Entering the tournament, she has won the French Open and Wuhan titles in 2025. Her backhand, long considered a potential weakness, now generates winners rather than errors, with her cross-court backhand clocked at 78 mph during the United Cup.

The hard-court surface suits her athleticism and counter-punching style. Gauff's Australian Open quarter-final appearance in 2025 came despite minimal preparation, suggesting proper build-up could yield deeper runs. Her odds offer genuine value given her upward trajectory and head-to-head competitiveness against both Sabalenka and Swiatek.

Best Odds for Gauff to Win:

• 9.00 at LunuBet
• 8.00 at DirectionBet
• 9.00 at Betovo

📊 Australian Open Winners

Here are the winners and runners-up of the women’s Australian Open from the last decade:

❓Frequently Asked Questions About the Australian Open