Ireland vs Wales Six Nations Prediction, Betting Odds & Match Tips
| Timetable | 06th March, 2026, 20:10 GMT |
| Prediction | Ireland TO WIN! |
| Odds | 1.01 |
| Bookmaker | Lunubet Sports |
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Match Prediction 10 of 15 in our 2026 Six Nations betting series.
Prediction accuracy so far: ✔️ 88%.
Ireland will hope to continue the scintillating form they showed against England when they welcome Wales to the Aviva Stadium on Friday, March 6th, for Round 4 of the 2026 Six Nations.
Andy Farrell’s Ireland got their Championship back on track with that record win in Twickenham, so expectations will be high for another win against a Welsh side that, unfortunately for them and their fans, looks likely to finish bottom of the table for a third consecutive championship.
In this preview to what could be a pivotal match for both, we will give you the latest Ireland v Wales betting odds ahead of the game in Dublin, as well as some Ireland v Wales betting tips that might come in handy for those having a punt on the match.
We will also give you our Ireland v Wales prediction, so read on as we look forward to another big Ireland v Wales Six Nations meeting.
⏪ Ireland v Wales Prediction
To kick off this 2026 Six Nations betting page, we will first give you our Ireland v Wales prediction ahead of the match in Dublin.
Ireland headed to Twickenham in Round 3 with questions to answer and doubts from their fans after their first 2 showings in this year’s championship. Few outside of the camp, perhaps, realistically gave Ireland any chance of turning England over in their own patch, but what unfolded was one of Ireland’s great Six Nations victories.
Ireland returned to the kind of form they displayed in 2022, 2023 and 2024 with a blistering display of attacking rugby combined with the defensive heart that made this team the best in the world not so long ago.
Wales, for their part, put in a Trojan effort at home against Scotland, leading for most of the match before ultimately going down 26-23 in Cardiff. The Scots only took the lead in the 75th minute to deny Wales a first championship win since 2023.
Wales coach Steve Tandy will hope that their first half in particular is more of the kind of performance Wales are going to give moving forward, but whether it will be enough against what should be a rejuvenated Ireland is highly doubtful.
Ireland’s performance against England means our Ireland v Wales Six Nations prediction is a home win for Andy Farrell’s Ireland. The home side should make some changes to further enhance their squad depth, but for the players that played at Twickenham, they should be bouncing into this Round 4 game, hoping to build on what they did in London.
Our Prediction: ⏪ IRELAND TO WIN ⏪
⏪ Ireland v Wales Betting Odds
Given the nature of Ireland’s win against England and the poor form Wales have been in recently, it’s no surprise to see Ireland as huge favourites when we look at the latest Ireland v Wales betting odds.
Many top online bookmakers don’t give Wales much hope when they travel to Dublin on March 6th, with most of them expecting Wales to succumb to their 14th straight Six Nations defeat.
We expect Ireland to win on March 6th, and for those that fancy betting on rugby in 2026, below you will find the latest Ireland v Wales odds ahead of their round 4 clash in Dublin.
⏪ Ireland v Wales Six Nations Betting Tips
As we mentioned above, we fully expect Ireland to earn another 2026 Six Nations victory when they welcome Wales to the Aviva on March 6th.
With that in mind, our Ireland v Wales betting tips are based around an Irish win. Their win over England should see the Irish team full of confidence, and even though they still have a bit to go to return to their 2022-24 levels, that win should bring them on no end.
Before having a bet with any of the sites listed in our Ireland v Wales prediction, check out our bookmaker reviews page. Here, you will find out even more about any of our top betting sites.
- Tip 1: Ireland Handicap -20.5 : Ireland should be full of confidence when they host Wales under the lights on Friday, March 6th. That win over England will hopefully be looked upon as a turning point in the return to form of this Irish team, and if it is, it could spell trouble for Wales. Ireland have won their last 2 home clashes with Wales by 24 and 22 points, respectively, and they will want to put out a signal to France that they are still alive in this Championship before the French travel to Scotland on March 7th. If you fancy Ireland -20.5 you can get a price of 1.40 with TonyBet.
- Tip 2: Ireland Half Time/Full Time: If this Irish team has taken the confidence that many expect from that English game, they should be far too strong for a Wales team looking for their first win in the Six Nations since their victory over Italy in 2023. We would expect Ireland to look to press home their advantage early on with some of that multiple-phase play we saw in London as well as a repeat of the dominant aerial display they put in against England. If they do, they should be able to build a lead and manage it for the rest of the game. To back Ireland halftime/fulltime you can get a price of 1.11 with DirectionBet.
- Tip 3: Ireland to win by 15+ points: Ireland will want to make a statement to the rest of the rugby world that their performance against England was not just a one-off against the old enemy but a step towards them competing at the top table of the sport once again. If it is those building blocks towards some good days for Ireland again, they should be putting a struggling Wales side to the sword in Dublin. Wales may have improved during that 1st half against Scotland, but Gregor Townsend’s men were able to breach them in the 2nd half with some continuous and improved attacking play. If Ireland can maintain their efficient attack, they should be able to create openings against Wales and win quite comfortably in the end. To back Ireland to win convincingly against Wales, you can get a price of 1.14 with TonyBet on Ireland winning by 15+ points.
⏪⏪ Team Ireland Form
⏪ Ireland Six Nations 2025 Form
Ireland entered the 2025 Six Nations looking to become the first team to do a three-peat in the historic tournament. They started the tournament well, beating England, Scotland and Wales to win their 14th Triple Crown. They then faced France in Round 4 with their Grand Slam hopes on the line.
Unfortunately for them, France tore up the script and left Dublin with a convincing 42-27 win to end Ireland’s hopes for another Slam. They then struggled to a 22-17 victory against Italy in Round 5 to finish the 2025 Six Nations in 3rd place behind France and England.
▶⏪ Ireland Six Nations 2026 Form
Ireland began their 2026 Six Nations campaign with some doubts lingering over some of their players and the form they were in heading into the tournament. Those fears were confirmed on the opening night when they were outclassed and outthought by France, losing in Paris on a scoreline of 36-14.
In Round 2 they welcomed Italy, where a much better performance was demanded by fans and pundits alike. They won the match 20-13, but once more, questions were asked about the form of the team.
In Round 3, they headed to London to face England, and despite trepidation amongst many of the travelling support, Ireland produced one of their greatest ever Six Nations showings to win in Twickenham by a record 42-21.
⏪⏪ Team Wales Form
⏪ Wales Six Nations 2025 Form
Wales finished bottom of the table for the 2nd consecutive year, losing all 5 of their matches. They were hammered 43-0 by France in their opening match before losing 22-15 to Italy. That was to be Warren Gatland’s last match in charge, and he was replaced by interim Matt Sherratt for the rest of the tournament.
Sherratt’s appointment brought an improved performance against Ireland in Round 3, but they still lost 27-18. They ended their 2025 tournament with a 35-29 loss to Scotland and a 68-14 drubbing by England.
▶⏪ Wales Six Nations 2026 Form
Wales have carried their poor recent form into the 2026 Six Nations, losing their opening 3 matches in this year’s competition. They began with a heavy 48-7 loss to England in London, before going down 54-12 to France at home.
They did at least show they were up for the fight in their 23-26 defeat to Scotland in Round 3, with their 1st half showing something for Steve Tandy and his players to work on. Sam Costelow, Rhys Carre, Alex Mann and Aaron Wainwright stood out for a Wales side still missing their talismanic back-rower Jac Morgan through injury.
Ireland v Wales - H2H Stats
Ireland and Wales have a storied rugby history, having played each other 136 times since their first meeting in 1882. Of those 136 matches, Wales have won 70 matches, and Ireland have won 59 times, while there have been 7 draws between the teams.
Overall, in the Six Nations, Ireland have won 15 times, and Wales have won 9 times, while there was 1 draw back in 2016.
Ireland has the better recent record, winning 8 of the last 10 meetings between the teams. Ireland’s biggest winning margin over Wales in the Six Nations came in 2002, when they beat Wales 54-10 in Dublin, while Wales enjoyed their biggest Six Nations success over Ireland in 2019, when they beat Ireland 25-7 in Cardiff.
Below, you will find a table with the results of the last 3 encounters between the two teams.
⏪⏪ Liam Lacey – Sports Writer & Tipster
Liam Lacey is a sportswriter from County Laois in Ireland who specialises in delivering content on GAA and football matters (though he does see himself as somewhat of a tennis aficionado also!).
Liam has written about All Ireland Gaelic Football and Hurling Championships, Premier League, Champions League and International Football offering expert opinion and match previews and predictions. Occasionally even getting some right!
Liam Lacey
Liam is a sportswriter from County Laois in Ireland who specializes in delivering content on GAA and Football matters (though he does see himself as somewhat of a tennis aficionado also!). Liam has written about All Ireland Gaelic Football and Hurling Championships, Premier League, Champions League and International Football offering expert opinion and match previews and predictions. Occasionally even getting some right!