France v England Six Nations Prediction, Betting Odds & Match Tips
| Timetable | 14th March, 20:10 GMT |
| Prediction | FRANCE TO WIN! |
| Odds | 1.14 |
| Bookmaker | Lunubet Sports |
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Match Prediction 11 of 15 of our 2023 Six Nations betting series.
Prediction accuracy so far: ✔️ 88.89%.
The 2026 Six Nations will conclude this weekend, with three teams still in contention to win the title. One of these sides is France, who top the current Six Nations table and have a significant points difference advantage over second place Scotland. They'll host an ailing England team at the Stade de France, knowing that a four-try bonus point victory will most likely be enough to claim a second consecutive Six Nations crown.
Below, we’ll appraise the latest rugby betting odds for this match in full. We’ll also provide our own France vs England prediction and explore the best value betting lines.
🏆France vs England Prediction
England will arrive in Saint-Denis on a three-game losing streak. This sequence includes bruising defeats against Scotland and Ireland, while Italy recorded their first ever victory over the Three Lions in Rome last weekend. England made nine changes for this match too, before producing a disjointed display that lacked tactical direction in the final quarter.
Surprisingly, head coach Steve Borthwick has made just one lineup change ahead of the match against France, with Ollie Chessum starting as blindside flanker ahead of Sam Underhill. Jack van Poortvliet remains on the bench, despite England clearly needing more control in the backline and greater variety in attack.
As for the French, their Grand Slam hopes were dashed by a brilliant Scotland performance at Murrayfield. Les Bleus shipped six tries in just 38 minutes either side of half-time, as complacency set in after the team moved 14-7 ahead after 22 minutes. However, they ran in four tries and 26 points in the final 14 minutes to provide a reminder of their immense quality.
Fabien Galthié’s men also lost focus during their previous victory over Italy, but we don’t expect this to be an issue in Saint-Denis. The French know that a decisive bonus-point win will almost certainly secure the Six Nations title, while the team is renowned for its quick starts having won the race to 10 points in each of its four matches so far.
France have also won their last four home matches against the English, while they haven’t been beaten in front of their own fans in the Six Nations since February 2024. So, our France vs England 6 Nations prediction is that Les Bleus will win and ultimately seal the championship.
Our Prediction: 🏆 FRANCE TO WIN 🏆
💯 France vs England Betting Odds
The current France vs England odds make Les Blues the overwhelming favourites. You can back a French triumph at average odds of 1.13, which imply an 88.5% win probability. These odds reflect both teams’ respective form, and the fact that England are winless in France since March 19th, 2016.
England can be backed as high as 7.10 to prevail in the three-way moneyline market. This suggests that the Three Lions have just a 14.1% chance of winning in Saint-Denis, although this outcome is also priced at 5.50 with DirectionBet (18.2%). Here’s a summary of the latest odds from the the best betting sites in Ireland.
💶 France vs England Six Nations Betting Tips
The brands featured in our online betting sites reviews have published a huge selection of France vs England rugby betting markets. We’ve selected the best value lines and incorporated them into some expert France vs England rugby betting tips below.
- Tip 1: Back France With a -13.5 Point Handicap
Even if you believe that France will defeat England at the Stade de France, there’s minimal value to be found in the win market. So, you may want to consider backing Les Bleus with a points handicap, in order to reflect the gulf in form and class that separates the two sides. We think that France are at least two scores better than their opponents, especially when you factor in home advantage and England’s obvious lack of cohesion and tactical confusion.
The Three Lions have also kicked the ball more times and for more metres than any other team in the tournament, and these conservative tactics are unlikely to fare well against their opponent’s world class back line. You can back France to win with a -13.5 handicap at the enhanced odds of 1.66 at Lunubet Sports. This offers higher value overall and unlocks a 60.2% win probability.
- Tip 2: Bet on France to Win the Race to 20 Points
As we’ve touched on, France have made a fast start in each of their Six Nations matches so far in 2026. Even in defeat against the Scots last weekend, they were 14-7 ahead after 22 minutes at Murrayfield. In their other three Six Nations games this year, France have scored at least three first half tries. The side has also registered 20+ points in the opening 40 minutes of three matches in total, while they scored 19 in their 33-8 win over Italy on February 22nd.
In contrast, England have only scored 51 first half points in total during the campaign, with 29 of these (56.8%) coming in their opening day win over Wales. We expect France to take control from the outset here (especially with so much on the line), and you can back them to win the race to 20 points at odds of 1.20 with 22Bet.
- Tip 3: Bet Over 30.5 Points Being Scored in the First Half
Overall, France have scored an average of 22.2 points during the first half of matches in the 2026 Six Nations. Although England have been significantly less prolific, they still average 12.7 points during the opening 40 minutes of matches. A total of seven of the team’s 13 tries have also been run in during the first half (53.8%).
France’s four matches have also seen 247 points in total, with 116 of these being registered during the first half (46.9%). The Three Lions games have yielded fewer total points (210), but 109 (51.9%) have been scored in the opening 40 minutes. Our France vs England Six Nations analysis suggests that the first half could be the highest scoring period in the game. We also think there’s value in backing over 30.5 points being scored in the opening 40 minutes, at odds of 1.86 with DirectionBet Sports.
✔️ Team France Form
⏪ France Six Nations 2024 Form
France have won 10 of their last 14 Six Nations games (71.4%), dating back to the beginning of the 2024 campaign. This particular year saw Les Bleus finish second in the table and win three of their five matches, with their sole defeat coming against the Irish in Marseille.
The French defeated England 33-31 at the Stade Vélodrome in this campaign, with a late penalty from Thomas Ramos proving decisive. This is the two teams’ most recent encounter in France.
▶️ France Six Nations 2025 Form
France went one better in the 2025 Six Nations campaign, triumphing in four of their five matches and claiming the title by one point from England.
The French went unbeaten at home in this campaign, winning their two matches in Saint-Denis by a combined margin of 62 points.
However, the Three Lions inflicted France’s sole defeat in the competition, prevailing 26–25 in an incredibly close encounter. England trailed entering the final seconds, but a last-gasp try from Elliot Daly and conversion from Fin Smith sealed the win.
✔️ England France Form
⏪ England Six Nations 2024 Form
England’s recent run of three successive defeats means that the Three Lions have now won eight of their last 14 Six Nations games (57.1%).
This sequence includes three wins and two defeats from the 2024 Six Nations campaign, which saw England lose on the road against both Scotland and France and ultimately finish third.
It was in 2024 that the Three Lions began to experience issues on the road, with Steve Borthwick’s men having won just two of their previous seven Six Nations away games.
▶️ England Six Nations 2025 Form
England’s performances improved in 2025, as they won four of their five Six Nations games and only finished a single bonus point behind champions France.
They even edged France at Twickenham by a single point, with this one of three impressive victories at home. Once again, however, their road form stuttered, as they lost 27–22 in Dublin and secured just a sole victory over Wales.
Winger Tommy Freeman starred for The Three Lions in 2025, scoring five tries and 25 points overall.
England vs France - H2H Stats
Now in our Six Nations betting guide, we’re going to look at the recent France vs England head-to-head record. These results will have impacted the France vs England rugby betting odds, so it’s important to factor them into your thinking.
Lewis Humphries
A business and iGaming copywriter from the UK, who has a passion for sports betting and remote casino betting. He's reviewed some of the world's leading casino platforms while creating blog posts and landing page content for various sports betting brands. His content has also been featured on a number of different sites, including Life Hack, Investopedia, Yahoo Finance and Business Insider. He also pens regular sports features for sites including 90 Minutes, Think Football Ideas and Sportsblog.