England v Wales Six Nations Prediction, Betting Odds & Match Tips
| Timetable | 7th February, 16:40 GMT |
| Prediction | ENGLAND TO WIN! |
| Odds | 1.01 |
| Bookmaker | Lunubet Sports |
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Match Prediction 2 of 15 of our 2026 Six Nations betting series.
Prediction accuracy so far: ⏪⏪ 88.89%.
England will kick off their 2026 Six Nations campaign by hosting Wales at Twickenham on Sunday, February 7th. The Three Lions are enjoying a sustained and excellent run of form, having won 11 consecutive Test matches since February 2025. Conversely, the Welsh have prevailed in only two of their previous 20 international games since October 2023, including five defeats in last year's Six Nations campaign.
Our top Irish bookmakers are heavily favouring an England win here, but what are the latest odds and our own England v Wales prediction? Stick with us for expert Six Nations betting insights!
🏆England vs Wales Prediction
What can we expect from the England vs Wales rugby 2026 campaign?
When these two teams met in last year’s Six Nations, Welsh rugby hit its nadir as the Dragons slumped to a humiliating 54-point defeat at the Principality Stadium. This was their fifth and final defeat of a harrowing Six Nations campaign, as Wales shipped 68 points and 10 tries. Despite two wins over Japan since this defeat, Wales were thrashed by New Zealand and South Africa in their previous two outings last autumn, conceding a combined total of 125 points.
What’s more, the Welsh will be without skipper Jac Morgan as he recovers from a dislocated shoulder, while Callum Sheedy, Nick Tompkins, and veteran No. 8 Taulupe Faletau will also miss out against the Three Lions.
Of course, England will also be without a world-class No. 8 in the form of Tom Willis, who has completed the most carries in the 2025/26 Gallagher Premiership (155) but is unavailable for contractual reasons. However, they’ve defeated Argentina, Australia, and the All Blacks during their 11-match winning run and boast considerably more depth across the squad.
Ultimately, our England vs Wales Six Nations prediction is that the Three Lions will win, with the only real question being their eventual margin of victory.
Our Prediction: 🏆 ENGLAND TO WIN 🏆
💯 England vs Wales Betting Odds
The latest England vs Wales odds are favouring the Three Lions to prevail, with Lunubet pricing this outcome at just 1.01. Incredibly, these odds carry an implied probability value of 99.0%, revealing the statistical likelihood of an England victory.
Conversely, Wales can be backed at the distant price of 15.00. These odds imply just a 6.7% probability of success, which reflects the team’s recent form and the threadbare nature of their initial Six Nations squad. Here’s a summary of the most up-to-date England vs Wales Six Nations Betting odds.
💶 England vs Wales Six Nations Betting Tips
Given the short and prohibitive odds of an England win, you may have to consider alternatives to the 1x2 market or build combination bets. Here are some England vs Wales betting tips to help you maximise your bankroll. We have also listed some of the best Rugby bookies with competitive odds. For more information about the brands we mention or recommend, read our betting sites reviews.
Tip 1: Back England With a -28.5 Point Handicap
England have won five of their previous six head-to-head clashes against Wales, dating back to February 2021.
These victories have produced an average winning margin of 14.4 points, and while this includes last season’s 54-point triumph in March 2025, Wales’ torrid form and their mounting injury list could ensure another hefty defeat here. The Welsh haven’t won at Twickenham since September 2015 either.
England also boast Saints’ wing Tommy Freeman in their ranks, with the 24-year-old ranking second for tries scored (10) and metres gained (688) in this season’s Gallagher Premiership. So, consider backing the Three Lions to win with a -28.5 handicap at the extended price of 1.83 at DirectionBet.
Tip 2: Back England to Win by 15+ Points
England also boasts an increasingly solid defence, conceding just 120 points in their last eight matches at a rate of exactly 15.0 per game. This includes the 14 scored by Wales in Cardiff's last match. Back row Greg Fisilau will be central to England’s first line of defence, having made 121 carries and the same number of tackles for Exeter so far this season.
This could also contribute to an impressive margin of victory, even if you feel that a -28.5 point handicap is a little too large.
If this is the case, consider backing England to win by a margin of 15+ points at odds of 1.11 with TonyBet. These England vs Wales rugby odds create additional value when compared to the 1x2 market while unlocking an implied probability value of 90.1%.
Tip 3: Bet on Under 55.5 Points Being Scored
The last 10 head-to-head clashes have produced 432 points at a rate of 43.2 per game. The average points tally for England’s last five victories is only marginally higher at 44, so this represents a sensible starting point when engaging in totals betting.
Interestingly, Wales have only scored 64 points in their previous five defeats against the Three Lions, at an average of 12.8 per game. England’s own points-per-game average in the recent head-to-head is also distorted by their 68-point haul in Cardiff last season, so it may be worth betting under your chosen totals line.
At 22Bet, you can bet on under 55.5 points being scored at the competitive price of 1.90. This still allows scope for a dominant England victory, while offering an implied probability value of 52.6%.
✔️ Team England Form
⏪ England Six Nations 2024 Form
Overall, England have won seven of their last 10 Six Nations matches dating back to the beginning of their 2024 campaign. Three of these victories came in 2024, as England ultimately placed third behind Ireland and France. The Three Lions defeated Wales at Twickenham during their 2024 campaign too, prevailing 16-14 in an incredibly tight encounter.
▶️ England Six Nations 2025 Form
England’s current 11-game winning run dates to their last Six Nations campaign, and a five-point reversal against Ireland at the Aviva Stadium. This was England’s sole defeat in the 2025 Six Nations, as they finished second to France on points difference. Their four wins included a dramatic one-point victory over Les Bleus at Twickenham on February 8th, 2025. This was one of five victories recorded by England at home in the previous two Six Nations’ tournaments, with the team boasting a 100% record at Twickenham during this period.
✔️ Team Wales Form
⏪ Wales Six Nations 2024 Form
Overall, Wales have lost their last 11 Six Nations’ matches, since a 29-17 triumph over Italy on March 11th, 2023. This run included five defeats during the 2024 campaign, as Wales finished bottom of the table and seven points adrift of fourth-place Italy.
A 21-24 defeat to Gli Azzurri in Cardiff ultimately consigned Wales to their first Six Nations wooden spoon since 2003. This was only three years after the competition accepted Italy and expanded to include six nations.
▶️ Wales Six Nations 2025 Form
Things got worse for the Welsh in 2025, as they continued their losing run and finished bottom once again. They also scored fewer tries (10) and conceded more points (195) than they did during the 2024 Six Nations campaign, enduring a 43-point loss to France in addition to their record home defeat against England. Overall, the Welsh have lost their previous nine Six Nations games at home, since a narrow, three-point victory over Scotland on February 12th, 2022.
England vs Wales - H2H Stats
The England vs Wales kick-off time is 16:40 GMT. The last six England vs Wales H2H clashes have yielded five victories for the Three Lions. Steve Borthwick’s men have prevailed in the last three meetings too (two in the Six Nations), by a combined margin of 58 points. Here’s a breakdown of these encounters.
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