Premier League Outright Predictions & Odds 2025/2026: Which Team Will Lift the EPL Trophy?

The 2025/26 Premier League season is gathering pace, with Arsenal sitting four points clear at the top of the table under Mikel Arteta at the time of writing. Manchester City and Aston Villa currently occupy second and third place, respectively.

Below, we provide our expert Premier League outright winner predictions for the season. We also analyse the main title contenders, review the 2024/25 campaign, and share the latest Premier League title odds. If you’re new to wagering, this online betting guide and alongside trusted sportsbook reviews are a great place to start.

🥇Premier League Outright Winner Prediction

The latest Premier League title odds make Arsenal clear favourites for the EPL crown in 2025/26, with DirectionBet pricing them at 1.18. They’ve been the most consistent side since the opening weeks, built on a well-organised defence that has conceded just 17 goals in 22 matches (0.63 per 90 minutes).

By contrast, Manchester City are winless in four of their last five league games at the time of writing. Aston Villa, also four points adrift, have collected just seven points from their last 13 and lack the squad depth needed to sustain a title challenge.

Arsenal’s main concern remains chance creation from open play, with 42.5% of their goals coming from set pieces or penalties. Combined with the inconsistent form of Viktor Gyökeres and a history of late-season collapses, this leaves some room for doubt.

Even so, none of their rivals appear capable of capitalising. Unless a genuine challenger emerges soon, our Premier League title prediction remains Arsenal.

✨Premier League Outright Odds – Bookmarker Favorites

Arsenal’s average EPL winner odds of 1.18 imply an 84.7% probability of success, an exceptionally short price for an outright market. Manchester City’s odds of 5.40 translate to an 18.5% chance of lifting the trophy, which would be their seventh title in nine seasons. Below are the latest Premier League outright odds from some of the best betting sites in Ireland.

Read more Premier League predictions across football betting sites and explore expert insights on sports betting in Ireland.

Arsenal – Odds to Win

After Matchweek 21, Arsenal moved four points clear at the summit, marking their biggest ever lead at that stage of an EPL season. Despite dropping points recently, they’ve still extended their advantage thanks to City and Villa’s inconsistency. While the odds on Arsenal to win the title are short, the underlying numbers still point to a very high likelihood of Arsenal winning the title. Bettors seeking value could consider increased stake sizing, ideally guided by a Kelly Criterion calculation.

Man City – Odds to Win

Given the Citizen’s recent dominance of the EPL, some of you may be tempered by Man City’s current odds to win the title (5.50). However, this pricing reflects the team’s inconsistent form of late, with Guardiola’s men winning just one league game in 2026.

They're also missing key players in defence, while talisman Erling Haaland hasn’t scored from open play since his second goal in the 3-0 win over West Ham on December 20th. This myriad of issues make it hard to back City with just 15 league matches remaining, especially with the influential Rodri struggling for fitness and often left isolated in midfield during games.

Of course, you could still back City to win outright if you’re looking for a high-risk, high-reward bet. However, we’d recommend using only a nominal stake in this instance.

Aston Villa – Odds to Win

Despite being level on points with City, Aston Villa are priced at 40.00 to win their first top-flight title in 45 years, implying just a 2.5% chance of success. Their recent performances suggest regression, having outperformed expected goals by an unsustainable +5.9. While outright bets are unlikely to pay off, alternative markets excluding Arsenal and City may offer better value, especially when paired with free bet offers.

🎰Fixtures Information

Several decisive fixtures remain at the top of the table, including Manchester City vs Arsenal on April 18th. Aston Villa also face Liverpool before travelling to the Etihad on the final day—results that could significantly affect the English Premier League title winner odds.

Tournament: 2025/26 Premier League

Timetable: 15th August 2025 – 24th May 2026

Key Fixtures Remaining: Liverpool vs Man City (8 Feb), Man City vs Arsenal (18 Apr), Aston Villa vs Liverpool (17 May), Man City vs Aston Villa (24 May)

🔮Review of the 2024/25 Premier League Season

Arsenal have finished second in each of the last three EPL campaigns, trailing last season’s winners Liverpool by 10 points. They had trailed behind Manchester City in the previous two campaigns, but manager Mikel Arteta has continued to build his squad while holding on to key performers such as Gabriel, Declan Rice, and Bukayo Saka.

However, the Gunners underperformed in 2024/25, accruing just 74 points and 15 fewer than in the previous season. Conversely, champions Liverpool were ruthless under the stewardship of new manager Arne Slot, who retained Jurgen Klopp’s playing squad while introducing greater structure and improved defensive efficiency.

As for the 2023/2024 champions, Man City, they endured an awful midseason slump following the loss of Rodri to injury. The Citizens won just one of nine league matches towards the end of 2024, and one of only 13 in all competitions. Although they lost just three of their final 20 league games, they were defeated by Liverpool and thrashed 5-1 by the Gunners.

Liverpool’s Mohamed Salah top-scored last season with 29 EPL goals, followed by Alexander Isak (who scored 23 times for Newcastle and subsequently moved to Anfield). Erling Haaland notched 22 goals in 31 appearances, which was a slightly disappointing return by his own high standards.