The Ashes 2023 5th Test Prediction with Odds and Betting Tips. Who will Win?

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TournamentThe Ashes 2023
Timetable27th-31st July 2023
PredictionAustralia to win
OddsAustralia to Win @ 2.70
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Australia to win
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England's hopes of winning The Ashes back were dashed by the Manchester weather, which means that no matter what happens in the fifth and final Test, the little urn will be on the plane with the Aussies. This is a shame for Test match cricket as a decider definitely would have got the juices flowing. England will be desperate to end the series on a high, while Australia will want to claim their first Ashes series win in England in more than 20 years. Below I will give you my prediction as to who will win this fifth and final test.

🌹 England Team Preview After the 4th Ashes Test

England will probably keep the same squad that they had for the 4th Test at Old Trafford, but we think that they will opt to make one change to their playing XI. I am expecting James Anderson to be given the boot as he has not had the kind of series that he would have hoped for. While he has been really economical, he has not had the same wicket-taking threat that cricket fans are used to seeing. He has picked up only four wickets with a 76.75 average. Due to his recent lack of threat, I expect him to be replaced by either Josh Tongue or Ollie Robinson.

Personally, I would opt for Tongue as I am eager to see some more express bowling. He does not have the same speed as Mark Wood, but he is one of the fastest bowlers that England have at their disposal at the moment. He has only played in one Ashes Test this summer, but in that Test he collected five wickets and showed us the skills that he possesses. Robinson, on the other hand, missed the previous Test because of an injury, so it would probably not be a wise move to risk him.

Ollie Pope, who usually bats at three, will still be missing for this fifth Test, so we expect that Brendan McCullum and Ben Stokes will ask Moeen Ali to bat there is his stead. He played a good hand with the bat at Old Trafford, but his bowling did leave plenty to be desired. As the Kia Oval spins towards the backend of a match, we expect that Ali will play an important role in what will likely end up being his final Test match before he goes back to retirement.

Mark Wood has been a revelation since he came back into the team - his express pace, bowling around 93 mph, has caused the Aussies a whole host of issues and has seen him collect 11 wickets at an average of 17.00. However, in the past he has had issues with his body, so we cannot be 100% certain that he will be fit enough to play in the fifth Test. If he is, he will definitely be picked, and I hope that this is the case because the entertainment levels skyrocket when he is bowling.

My predicted England XI: Duckett, Crawley, Ali, Root, Brook, Stokes, Bairstow, Woakes, Broad, Wood, Tongue.

🦘 Australia Team Preview After the 4th Ashes Test

The Australian players and fans were doing a rain dance all weekend so that they could escape a Test that had been thoroughly outplayed in with a draw, retaining The Ashes in the process. It is not the best way to retain the little urn, but I highly doubt that Australian players will care about that. Their main aim when heading to England was to win the Test Championship title and retain the urn - they have done both of those things, heavily assisted by the Manchester climate.

However, despite the success, the Aussie selectors have some big calls to make ahead of the final Test at the Kia Oval. Their main issue is what to do with David Warner. He has been brilliant for Australia in the past, but he is not the same player that he used to be - in eight innings in this series, he has scored just 201 runs with a 25.13 average. With the urn in the bag, I think that they should drop Warner (sorry, Broad), and give Matt Renshaw a taste of The Ashes. He is a quality opener, and the experience of playing in an Ashes test could do him the world of good.

Another decision that they need to make is whether to go for an all-out fast bowler attack or to include a spinner in their side. Due to the usual nature of the Kia Oval pitch, it would be very surprising if they did not pick Todd Murphy as their specialist spinner. The Aussie pace attack felt the full force of "Baz Ball" at Manchester, and they will probably decide that they need a bit of variety to give the England batsman something else to think about. I think that Murphy will come into the team instead of Cameron Green.

My predicted Australia XI: Khawaja, Renshaw, Labuschagne, Smith, Head, Marsh, Carey, Starc, Cummins, Murphy, Hazlewood.

⚡ 5th Test Toss Prediction

When it comes to the toss, Ben Stokes has called correctly on four occasions, so Pat Cummins will surely be thinking it is about time that he got to choose whether to bat or bowl first. I think that the winning captain will opt to bat first since the team that has batted first at the Kia Oval has won the match 36.19% of the time. The team that has had to bat second has only gone on to win the match 27.62% of the time.

🌱 Pitch Conditions at the Kia Oval Cricket Ground

Some pitches favour batsmen, some favour bowlers, and others offer a bit of something to the batsmen and bowlers. The Kia Oval pitch falls into the first category as it is known to favour batsmen, for the first three days at least. This is why I believe that the toss winner will decide to bat first and try to put at least 400 runs on the board. Then, towards the end of the match, it is likely that the pitch will start to take some turn, and the likes of Ali and Murphy will be expected to work their magic.

🔮 My Ashes Fifth Test Match Prediction

So, if you want to bet on the winner of the fifth Ashes Test at betting sites in Ireland, who would I recommend you to put your money on? Well, I think that the washout at Old Trafford will have deflated England's players a bit, which will be advantageous to Australia. Additionally, the Aussies can play in this Test with much less pressure on their shoulders because they know that a defeat will still see them take that urn back on the plane with them.

My match prediction: Australia to win.

Australia to win

✒️ Sheldon Muchmore - iGaming and Sports Betting Enthusiast

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This Ashes fifth Test prediction was written by Sheldon Muchmore.

Sheldon is a tipster and betting expert from the United Kingdom who has a passion for a whole range of sports, particularly football, rugby, and cricket. He is an avid Aston Villa fan, so feel free to feel a bit of pity for him. He has been involved in the online gambling industry for a number of years now and has written a large number of predictions for a variety of sports including GAA, so he has built up a lot of sporting expertise over the years.