Scotland v Italy Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - Summer Internationals

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TournamentSummer Internationals 2023
Timetable3.15 PM - 29 Jul 2023
PredictionScotland to Win!
OddsScotland to Win @ 1.12
Bookmakerbetway
Scotland to Win!
The best odds
1.
betway
Odds : 1.12
Bet €10 and get €11.20 if Scotland win.
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2.
Boyle​Sports
Odds : 1.13
Bet €10 and get €11.30 if Scotland win.
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3.
Tony​Bet Sports
Odds : 1.12
Bet €10 and get €11.20 if Scotland win.
Bonus:

Match prediction 1 of 18 of our Summer Internationals 2023 betting series.

Steven's prediction accuracy 2023: ✔️ 93.75%.

The Summer Internationals 2023 kick off on Saturday 29th July 2023 with Scotland v Italy at BT Murrayfield stadium, Edinburgh. Kick-off will be 3.15 p.m. These tests are seen as warm-up games for the 2023 Rugby World Cup, so we should see some of the lesser established teams throw the kitchen sink at the the higher teams - a David and Goliath-esque challenge for the continental Europeans.

The referee officiating for this test will be Ben O'Keeffe from New Zealand. O’Keeffe is an experienced referee who started officiating at the age of 19, making his way through the ranks of New Zealand rugby in the ITM cup and Super Rugby. As a fun fact, Ben is also a qualified ophthalmologist.

To date, Scotland have played Italy on 35 occasions since first meeting in 1996. Scotland have won 27 of those matches, whilst Italy have won eight matches. Will the majority of history repeat itself or are we in for a surprise? Let me dive into my Scotland v Italy prediction and give a few tips for those looking for a spot of Summer Internationals betting.

💯 Scotland v Italy Betting Odds Summer Internationals

Check out the sections below for odds from some of my favourite rugby bookmakers.

🥇 Scotland v Italy Odds: Match Winner

I'm happy to see that the bookies have at least put the match winner odds above the old 1.001 mark that they used to offer for games against Italy. Let's take a full look below.

Team
Scotland1.131.121.121.121.16
Draw34.0030.4326.0022.5035.00
Italy6.006.415.755.405.40

➕ Scotland v Italy Handicap 3-Way Odds

Most bookmakers seem settled on one of two options for European handicap odds. Take a look below to see your options.

Team
Scotland
(0-14)
1.91--1.881.94
Scotland
(0-13)
-1.851.83--
Draw
(0-14)
19.00--17.3029.00
Draw
(0-13)
-24.8423.00--
Italy
(0-14)
1.91--1.821.85
Italy
(0-13)
-1.931.90--

🏮 Scotland v Italy Asian Handicap Odds

As per usual, there are more odds to play with when it comes to the Asian handicap odds. Let's dive into what you can expect to see from the bookies.

Team
Scotland
(-25.5)
-5.025.00--
Scotland
(-19.5)
-2.902.90--
Scotland
(-13.5)
-1.871.901.801.88
Scotland
(-7.5)
-1.381.38--
Scotland
(-1.5)
-1.14---
Italy
(+25.5)
-1.141.12--
Italy
(+19.5)
-1.361.36--
Italy
(+13.5)
-1.831.831.821.88
Italy
(+7.5)
-2.812.75--
Italy
(+1.5)
-4.85---

💪 Scotland v Italy Both Halves Odds

A new entry for my predictions, but one I think adds a little extra flavour: check out the odds for either team winning both halves of a match.

Team
Scotland1.621.32--1.37
Italy13.008.68--8.00

🔍 Scotland v Italy Match Winner Prediction

A lot of rugby fans think this one may end in a draw as two nervous sides focus more on trying out new tactics and end up feeling each other out for 80 minutes. I don't share that viewpoint. I don't see this Scotland v Italy test ending that way exactly for that reason: neither side will want to play a safe game, and things will be hotly contested till the final whistle. After a hard fought competition, however, I see Scotland getting the big W. They have the history books behind them, have the home advantage, and have been significantly upping the quality of their gameplay in recent years.

Will it be a run-away match? Probably not, as Scotland may not feel to risk their more experienced players so early on. I believe Scotland will do the business by eight points.

My Scotland v Italy match winner prediction: Scotland to win!

scotland-flag scotland-flag

✔️ Scotland v Italy Betting Tips

1️⃣ Match Winner: Scotland to Win

Odds of Scotland to win at 1.16 at LeoVegas Sports certainly aren't the shortest odds I've ever seen, but making €0.16 for every €1.00 you stake isn't a lot of return. You would have to stake quite a lot to get back what some would consider a sizeable return, but then you always have the risk that Scotland treat this as a throw-away match, Italy romp to a shock win, and you are left with nothing back from your bet. My opinion? A match-winner bet may not be the one for this game.

2️⃣ Handicap Winner: Scotland to Win (-7.5)

For me, in my humble opinion, this is where things start to get a little more interesting. The bookies seem stuck as to which team may prevail when you start to get to the ±13/14 mark. Personally, I see this game ending up with a score difference of eight. Working on that logic, a bet of Scotland to win (-7.5) at 1.38 at TonyBet may pique your interest - €0.38 per €1.00 you stake perhaps offering better value than €0.16 for a match-winner bet. Of course, as with all things, there's a balance: a better potential return means greater risk. Scotland not quite turning up to play at their best but still scraping a win of three points, for example, would still see you lose this bet. Think wisely on how you gamble and what you are willing to spend!

3️⃣ Both Halves: Scotland to Win

My favourite betting tip for this match is to look at Scotland to win both halves at 1.62 at BoyleSports. Rather than having to be precise about the final scoreboard, the bet would be successful if Scotland were to be leading in the first half and then to win by the final whistle. You can grab over three times the return, not including getting your stake back as well, compared to a match-winner bet, and it won't matter if Scotland win by 1 point in both halves or by 1 million, as long as, crucially, they are winning in the first half and go on to win the match. Downsides to this bet? I can't say it enough - there are no guarantees in sports. If Scotland win the match, even by a landslide, but Italy are a whisker in front or the score is tied at the end of the first half, say goodbye to your stake. That means one scrappy bit of play in a ruck-cum-kicked penalty by gli Azzurri could be all that is needed to ruin your bet.

🎁 Scotland v Italy Free Bets and Rugby Betting Promotions

Click on the pictures below to read full bookmaker reviews for my favourite rugby betting sites.

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📰 Team News for Scotland v Italy

To find out the news for both squads ahead of this Scotland v Italy test, check out each team's Twitter feed below.

🦄 Scotland News

🛵 Italy News

📺 Previous Scotland v Italy Highlights

Highlights of the previous head-to-head between these two sides can be found below. You can also read, via the link, what I predicted the result would be for the last Scotland v Italy test.

⚡ Summer Internationals Scotland v Italy Prediction Overview

1️⃣ When is kick-off for Scotland v Italy?

Kick-off for Scotland v Italy will be 3.15 p.m. GMT on Saturday 29th July 2023.


2️⃣ Where will Scotland v Italy be played?

Scotland will play at home at Murrayfield, Edinburgh.


3️⃣ Who will win Scotland v Italy?

I think that Scotland will win this Summer Internationals test.


4️⃣ What are some Scotland v Italy betting tips?

Based on my own analysis, I would offer the following betting tips for Scotland v Italy:

  1. Match winner bet: Scotland to win at 1.16 at LeoVegas.
  2. Asian handicap bet: Scotland to win (-7.5) at 1.38 at TonyBet.
  3. Both halves bet: Scotland to win both halves at 1.62 at BoyleSports.

5️⃣ Are there any Scotland v Italy free bets?

See our Scotland v Italy free bets section for more details on rugby promotions.

Scotland to Win!

✒️ Steven Brown - International Sports Writer and Tipster

This Scotland v Italy prediction was written by Steven Brown.

Steven is an internationally revered rugby coach and sports writer. His insight with his predictions comes from his rugby coaching qualifications, successes coaching youth and men's teams in both hemispheres, and from analytical research into world rugby.