Italy v Scotland Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips | 6N 2024

Italy v Scotland Six Nations 2024 prediction Italy v Scotland Six Nations 2024 prediction
Timetable2.15 p.m., 9th March 2024
PredictionScotland to win!
Odds1.23
Bookmaker1Bet Sports
Scotland to win!
The best odds
1.
1​Bet Sports
Odds : 1.23
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Palm Slots Sports
Odds : 1.23
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Legend Play Sports
Odds : 1.15
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10 of 15 of our Six Nations betting predictions.

Written by Steven Brown.

Prediction accuracy 2024: ✔️ 77.78%.

Italy v Scotland Italy v Scotland

After another rest week, Saturday, the 9th of March will see us enter round four of the Six Nations Championship 2024. Opening this round will be Italy v Scotland at the Stadio Olimpico in Rome.

The man officiating for the day will be Angus Gardner (Aus). He will be assisted by Karl Dickson (Eng) and Adam Leal (Eng). South African Marius van der Westhuizen will be our TMO.

Italy will be flying high from their match two weeks ago after tying the score against France, but Scotland will be in equal cheer going into this game after securing their fourth Calcutta Cup against England. Will we see a typical Italian performance or are rugby fans in for another corker of a surprise? Let us kick off this Italy v Scotland prediction and find out!

💯 Italy v Scotland Betting Odds Six Nations

You can not have much of a prediction without having a quick look at what the top rugby bookmakers have on offer for the most popular betting markets. Discover everything you need to know below.

🥇 Italy v Wales Match Winner Odds

No surprises for the match winner: all of the bookies think this is going to go Scotland's way in easy fashion. Find out full details in the table.

Team
Italy Italy
4.704.705.754.615.50
X27.0027.0026.0021.5028.00
Scotland Scotland
1.231.231.151.171.15

➕ Italy v Scotland Handicap 3-Way Odds

Handicap points of 7 to 19 points may still show that the bookies heavily favour the away team, but these are certainly shorter than we have seen in recent years. See something you like in the handicap odds?

Team
Italy Italy

(19-0)
--1.33-1.33
Italy Italy

(13-0)
--1.80-1.75
Italy Italy

(12-0)
---1.84-
Italy Italy

(7-0)
--2.75-2.75
X

(19-0)
--31.00-28.00
X

(13-0)
--21.00-23.00
X

(12-0)
---17.60-
X

(7-0)
--26.00-26.00
Scotland Scotland

(19-0)
--3.25-3.20
Scotland Scotland

(13-0)
--2.05-2.00
Scotland Scotland

(12-0)
---1.85-
Scotland Scotland

(7-0)
--1.45-1.44

🏮 Italy v Scotland Asian Handicap Odds

For those not satisfied with the range of the European handicap odds, there is plenty more from which to choose from the Asian handicaps: from ±6.5 to ±24.5 points. Have a look below for full information.

Team
Italy Italy

(+24.5)
--1.12-1.12
Italy Italy

(+18.5)
--1.36-1.35
Italy Italy

(+12.5)
--1.851.771.83
Italy Italy

(+11.5)
1.881.88---
Italy Italy

(+6.5)
--2.90-2.75
Scotland Scotland

(-24.5)
--5.33-5.50
Scotland Scotland

(-18.5)
--3.10-3.00
Scotland Scotland

(-12.5)
--1.941.851.90
Scotland Scotland

(-11.5)
1.881.88---
Scotland Scotland

(-6.5)
--1.40-1.40

Odds accurate at time of writing. Odds subject to change.

🔍 Italy v Scotland Winner Prediction

We all want to see another great performance from Italy, but will they have the stomach to go undefeated two weeks in a row? Let us take a look at all of the key predictors to see what is what.

History

Italy and Scotland have played each other 36 times, with the Europeans only winning 8 times compared to Scotland's 28. In the last iteration of the Six Nations, Scotland trotted to an easy 26-14 win before humiliating the Italians again in July, 25-15. All aspects of this historical record seem to point in the Scots' favour.

Last Performances

Italy MatchesResult
Italy v England24-27
Ireland v Italy36-0
France v Italy13-13
Scotland MatchesResult
Wales v Scotland26-27
Scotland v France16-20
Scotland v England30-21

You could make the argument that gli Azzurri have at least shown a bit of improvement over the course of their last three games, but I do not think this is enough to warrant their lack of a win in the competition so far overshadowing Scotland's two triumphs out of three games - especially given that the Scots' one loss came down to a controversial decision over a disallowed try that would have seen them win the game. For this reason, recent performances seem to dictate a Scottish win.

World Rankings

Italy have managed to claw their way to 11th place, but they are still a world behind Scotland in 6th. Still nothing out of the blue at this stage; world rankings point to a win for Scotland.

Home Advantage

Italy may seem to have the home advantage, but the national team for the egg-shaped ball game still lacks the kind of support that the other five nations receive. Having said that, will Scotland have a big enough selection of away fans on the day? I do not see the game being played in Rome offering advantage to either side.

Weather

The weather is looking to be 18°C with sun. These conditions will favour neither side more.

Game Play Styles

The Italians' old style of running all plays through the forwards and trying to dominate the scrum has been replaced. Italy are now as comfortable to take play wide through quick hands. In their last match against France, they used both their forwards well in defence and to create chances and shifted wide several times. Their new style is making them a more effective outfit against the bigger five teams in the competition.

Scotland are still running their game around their backs - especially Finn Russell - and giving rival teams a run for their money. They have a good plan and are enjoying their rugby - something for which every winning team strives.

I think this will be a good match-up between two exciting styles, but out of the two, I think Gregor Townsend's men, having had the benefit of their charismatic Head Coach's wisdom for the longer time, will come up the better.

Winner Summary

I do not expect that this match will be a cricket score, but that does not mean that I see Italy having any chance of winning. There are too many indicators pointing to a win for Scotland to ignore that, so I am going to go with the tartan army by 12 points.

🏉 Scotland to win by 12 points!

Scotland Scotland

✔️ Italy v Scotland Betting Tips

1️⃣ Match Winner: Scotland to Win

Considering this is a match against Italy, I would say the fact that you can get odds above 1.001 odds is already something; to go as far as Scotland to win at 1.23 at 1Bet Sports is something even more. I would be tempted to have a flutter on the match winner.

2️⃣ Handicap Winner: Italy to Win (+12.5)

I think that Scotland will be able to win this one by 12 points, but the only handicap bet with interesting odds for that outcome, at least from my perspective, would be Italy to win (+12.5) at 1.85 at LegendPlay Sports. That bet would require a precise result, and you would have to make up your own mind as to whether it is worth the risk. Just remember, whatever you decide, to gamble responsibly.

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📰 Six Nations News for Italy v Scotland on X

Discover the latest news for both teams ahead of Italy v Scotland.

🛵 Italy Updates

🦄 Scotland Updates

📺 2023 Italy v Scotland Highlights

See below for last year's Italy v Scotland Six Nations highlights.

⚡ Six Nations Italy v Scotland Prediction at a Glance

1️⃣ When will Italy v Scotland kick off?

Kick-off for Italy v Scotland will be 2.15 p.m. GMT on Saturday, the 9th of March 2024.


2️⃣ Where will Italy v Scotland be played?

Italy v Scotland will be played at the Stadio Olimpico, Rome for the 2024 Six Nations Championship.


3️⃣ Who is my Italy v Scotland winner?

I predict that Scotland will win by 12 points.


4️⃣ What are some Italy v Scotland betting tips?

  1. Match winner tip: Scotland to win at 1.23 at 1Bet Sports.
  2. Handicap betting tip: Italy to win (+12.5) at 1.85 at LegendPlay Sports.

See our Italy v Scotland betting tips section for details.

5️⃣ Can I use free bets for Italy v Scotland?

Yes, there are free bets you can use for this game. See our Italy v Scotland free bets promotions section for details.


Scotland to win!

✒️ Steven Brown - Sports Writer and Rugby Expert

Steven Brown

This prediction was written by Steven Brown.

In 2023, 81.71% of my predictions were correct.