Italy vs France Six Nations Prediction, Betting Odds & Match Tips
| Timetable | 23rd February, 15:00 GMT |
| Prediction | FRANCE TO WIN! |
| Odds | 1.05 |
| Bookmaker | Lunubet Sports |
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Match Prediction 9 of 15 of our 2025 Six Nations betting series.
Prediction accuracy so far: ✔️ 83%.
Italy and France face off in a highly anticipated Six Nations clash, with both sides eager to make their mark on the championship, each having one win and one defeat in their opening two Six Nations matches. Italy vs France will kick off at 15:00 GMT on the 23rd of February. The Italians, playing on home soil, will be looking to upset the odds and claim a famous victory, while the French will aim to showcase their flair and physicality as they push for another strong tournament campaign and respond to their defeat at Twickenham against England. Can Italy defy expectations, or will France assert their dominance over the Italians once again? If you are looking to bet on the Six Nations, then you should take a look at our predictions, betting tips below for insights.
🏆 Italy v France Prediction
Historically, France has dominated this fixture, winning 45 out of 49 encounters between the two sides with Italy winning 3 and last year's encounter ending in a draw. Recent matches have been more competitive. In the 2024 Six Nations, Italy secured a 13-13 draw against France in Lille, narrowly missing a historic victory due to a late missed penalty. In their recent performances, Italy achieved a 22-15 victory over Wales, marking consecutive wins against the Welsh side for the first time. On the other hand, France suffered a narrow 26-25 defeat to England, conceding a late try and showing they have some vulnerabilities in their game.
Given these recent results and Italy's home advantage, the upcoming match is poised to be closely contested. While France remains a formidable opponent, Italy's recent form suggests they could challenge the French efficiently and effectively. However, considering France's overall strength and quality, they are still favoured to edge out a victory in this encounter and we believe they will get the victory.
Our Prediction: 🏆 FRANCE TO WIN 🏆
💯 Italy v France Betting Odds
When you wish to bet on rugby it is imperative that you find the best betting sites. The best way to find the best sites is to check out our sports book reviews for the best information. We can see from the table below that the Italy vs France odds heavily favour the visitors, France.
💶 Italy v France Six Nations Betting Tips
Italy takes on France in the 3rd matchday of the 2025 Six Nations championship with both sides registering a win and a loss in their opening two matches of the tournament. The defeat to England will have hindered France’s chances of lifting the trophy so they will need to respond this time out.
- Tip 1: France to Win as part of an accumulator : France is the heavy favourite for this match even after defeating the last time out. They have the stronger team on paper and will need to respond if they are to get their 6 Nations title charges back on track. They are currently in 2nd place but are 4 points behind the leaders Ireland. The odds for a France victory are very low so we recommend including it as part of an accumulator, possibly with the other Six Nations matches. Here are the latest odds from Boylesports, heavily favouring a France win: 1.05.
- Tip 2: Italy handicap +14 : If we look at how much each team has scored and conceded so far in the championship we can guess what the scoreline will be. France has scored 68 points, an average of 34 points per game. They have conceded 26 which is an average of 13 per game. Italy has scored 41 which is an average of 20.5 per game which we can round to 21. They have conceded 46 which is an average of 23 per game. Italy concedes 11 less than what France scores and France concedes 8 less than what Italy average to score. The game looks like it will be tighter than the odds suggest. If we go by their average score then the match will finish 34-21 meaning you could give Italy a handicap of +14 which is good odds with DirectionBet at odds of 2.30.
- Tip 3: Over 52.5 points: France will need to come out strong in this game if they are to close the gap on Ireland. They will be after a bonus point victory which means the points total for this one could be high. As you can see above we have predicted by the average scores that this match will end 34-21. This means that there will be 55 points in this match. You can get an over 52.5 points market at odds of 1.85 with Hiperwin Sports.
✔️ Team Italy Form
⏪ Italy Six Nations 2024 Form
Italy avoided the 6 Nations wooden spoon last year as three finished 5th in the table. They picked up 11 points, finishing 7 points ahead of last-place Wales. Italy had 1 draw and 2 wins last year, drawing 13-13 with France, defeating Wales 21-24 and defeating Scotland 31-29.
▶️ Italy Six Nations 2025 Form
Italy had a defeat and a victory in their opening two games, as they have now conclusively shown they are no longer a pushover in the 6 Nations. Italy defeated Wales last time out on a scoreline of 22-15. They were defeated by Scotland at Murrayfield on matchday 1 on a scoreline of 31-19.
✔️ Team France Form
⏪ France Six Nations 2024 Form
France were runners up in the Six Nations last season, finishing 5 points behind the eventual winners Ireland. France had 3 wins, with a draw coming at home to their next opponent Italy, in a result that shocked the rugby world.
▶️ France Six Nations 2025 Form
France had a strong opening round of the 6 nations as they brushed past a poor Wales side with ease on a scoreline of 43-0. Last time out they suffered a late defeat to England at Twickenham conceding a try in the 79th minute, with all but no hope of coming back in the game.
Italy vs France - H2H Stats
France and Italy have played each other in a total of 49 matches, with France winning 45 times, Italy winning 3 times, and one match drawn, which was last year. The Italy v France h2h certainly favours the French. Since 2007, the winner of the meeting between the teams in the Six Nations Tournament has received the Giuseppe Garibaldi Trophy.
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Jack Guing
Jack hails from County Offaly in Ireland and joins the team as a Content Writer and Performance Analyst. He holds a bachelor’s degree in English and History from Maynooth University and a master’s degree in Sports Performance from the University of Limerick. Jack is a keen sports fan with a love for performance analysis and wishes to use this data-driven style that is seen in performance analysis in his writing to deliver informative predictions.