Italy v England: Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips | 6N 2024

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Timetable2.15 p.m., 3rd Feb 2024
PredictionEngland to win!
Odds1.11
Bookmaker1Bet Sports
England to win!
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Odds : 1.11
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Odds : 1.11
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Odds : 1.05
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2 of 15 of our Six Nations betting predictions.

Written by Steven Brown.

Prediction accuracy 2024: ✔️ TBD.

Italy v EnglandItaly v England

The second match of the Six Nations Championship 2024 will kick off with Italy v England at 2.15 p.m. on Saturday, the 3rd February of 2024. The match will be played in Italy at the Stadio Olimpico, Rome. Unlike the first match, France v Ireland, rugby fans will not be expecting too much from this clash.

The official in charge for the day will be New Zealander Paul Williams. Nic Berry and Pierre Brousset will assist, with Brett Cronan down in the TMO bunker.

England are in a new set-up phase, with many of the old timers from the Rugby World Cup being replaced with eight fresh faces. Italy are also in the same boat, with former Argentinian fly-half Gonzalo Quesada taking charge of Italy for his first Six Nations - Kieran Crowley having been replaced. Will Italy be able to conjure up a miracle on the day? Can rugby betting fans get any decent value from this match? All will be revealed in the rest of my Italy v England prediction!

💯 Italy v England Betting Odds Six Nations

For those interested in odds from top rugby bookmakers, I have you covered. See what is on offer in the sections below.

🥇 Italy v England Match Winner Odds

Nobody will be surprised to see England as the bookies' favourites, but they may be intrigued to see that any opponents of Italy's have moved out of the dreaded betting odds of 1.001. We will see how long this new trend lasts.

Team
1Bet Sports1Bet Sports
Palmslots SportsPalmslots Sports
LegendPlay SportsLegendPlay Sports
Mr Mega SportsMr Mega Sports
Betway SportsBetway Sports
ItalyItaly
7.758.588.507.207.50
X27.0027.0036.0024.5031.00
EnglandEngland
1.111.111.051.061.05

➕ Italy v England Handicap 3-Way Odds

With a range of 12 to 24 points, it would seem the bookies are only clear of their favourite to win rather than how close the match may be. Are there any handicap odds that take your fancy?

Team
1Bet Sports1Bet Sports
Palmslots SportsPalmslots Sports
LegendPlay SportsLegendPlay Sports
Mr Mega SportsMr Mega Sports
Betway SportsBetway Sports
ItalyItaly

(24-0)
--1.35--
ItalyItaly

(18-0)
--1.77-1.75
ItalyItaly

(16-0)
---1.89-
ItalyItaly

(12-0)
--2.66--
X

(24-0)
--26.00--
X

(18-0)
--26.00-26.00
X

(16-0)
---17.00-
X

(12-0)
--26.00--
EnglandEngland

(24-0)
--3.14--
EnglandEngland

(18-0)
--2.00-1.95
EnglandEngland

(16-0)
---1.81-
EnglandEngland

(12-0)
--1.44--

🏮 Italy v England Asian Handicap Odds

The Asian handicap spread is a little tighter than its European counterpart, with options ranging from ±14.5 to ±20.5. There may be less options, however, but at least those that like to avoid the pesky draw will be happy with what is available.

Team
1Bet Sports1Bet Sports
Palmslots SportsPalmslots Sports
LegendPlay SportsLegendPlay Sports
Mr Mega SportsMr Mega Sports
Betway SportsBetway Sports
ItalyItaly

(+20.5)
--1.50--
ItalyItaly

(+18.5)
--1.64-1.65
ItalyItaly

(+17.5)
--1.80-1.80
ItalyItaly

(+16.5)
1.851.881.851.811.85
ItalyItaly

(+14.5)
--2.10-2.10
EnglandEngland

(-20.5)
--2.42--
EnglandEngland

(-18.5)
--2.10-2.10
EnglandEngland

(-17.5)
--1.90-1.90
EnglandEngland

(-16.5)
1.911.881.851.811.85
EnglandEngland

(-14.5)
--1.66-1.65

Odds accurate at time of writing. Odds subject to change.

🔍 Italy v England Winner Prediction

I do not see this match being any kind of rugby spectacle. Avoiding the usual David and Goliath cliché, there are quite a lot of give-aways as to why this match may end up one-sided:

  1. History: Italy and England have come face-to-face 30 times in the past, and Italy have yet to scrape a single win for the history books. In the last Six Nations, England managed a shorter margin than some may have suspected whilst, in the same breath, managing to put themselves 17 points clear of their continental not-really rivals.
  2. World rankings: The oracle of rugby says that England are fifth best in the world versus the Italians in 11th; thus the world rankings would have us believe that England should be the easy winners of this match.
  3. Home advantage: I do not see any real home advantage for the Italians. English fans usually use this match as a late winter/early spring holiday and normally take over Rome for the weekend; therefore I imagine a significant proportion of the fans at the game will be English, which will negate any home advantage.
  4. Weather: The forecast says that it will be 14°C with spots of sun and cloud. These will be normal conditions for most Northern Hemisphere sides. The weather does not give advantage to either side.
  5. Game play: It is hard to predict what either team will choose as a style of play. Italy have a new Argentinian coach who might opt for fun Southern Hemisphere style of rugby: lots of attack with wide play and long, floaty passes. This can work wonderfully when forwards and backs connect. England, on the other hand, could choose to play the usual defence and kicking game. If both sides play to the usual script, England may dominate on the premise of being the stronger team. Should Italy switch up their play, the game will depend purely on how much Gonzalo Quesada has been able to instil into his new team in the short time he has had with them.

Both teams are unlikely to win the 2024 Six Nations Championship and will struggle to be in the top three teams. Italy has everything to play for in this match, and they would love to beat England for the first time. England may also use this as a chance to try out new systems and plays, with the new caps being blooded early on in the Championship. Will Steve Borthwick take the risk of an early loss in order to build some substantial for the future?

England, being a tier-one rugby nation, should put 40 points or more on Italy, but should and will are two very different camps. My prediction is a win for England by 10 Points.

🏉 England to win by 10 points!

EnglandEngland

✔️ Italy v England Betting Tips

1️⃣ Match Winner: England to Win

So, Italy to win? No, there are no surprises here: England are my choice. Would I go for England to win at 1.11 at 1Bet, though? I am happy the odds are not 1.001 for a change, but I still think they are a little short for my liking.

2️⃣ Handicap Winner: Italy to Win (+16.5)

I believe England will take the day, but the game will be closer than many fans will think (or enjoy). As I believe this will be a ten-point game, my option for a handicap betting tip would be Italy to win (+16.5) at 1.88 at Palmslots Sports.

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📰 Six Nations News for Italy v England on X

Discover the latest news for both teams ahead of Italy v England.

🛵 Italy Updates

🌹 England Updates

📺 2023 Italy v England Highlights

See below for last year's Italy v England Six Nations highlights.

⚡ Six Nations Italy v England Prediction at a Glance

1️⃣ When will be Italy v England kick-off?

Kick-off for Italy v England will be 2.15 p.m. GMT on Saturday, the 3rd of February 2024.


2️⃣ Where will Italy v England be played?

Italy v England will be played at the Stadio Olimpico, Rome for the 2024 Six Nations Championship.


3️⃣ Who is my Italy v England winner?

I predict that England will win by 10 points.


4️⃣ What are some Italy v England betting tips?

  1. Match winner tip: England to win at 1.11 at 1Bet.
  2. Handicap betting tip: Italy to win (+16.5) at 1.88 at Palmslots Sports.

See our Italy v England betting tips section for details.

5️⃣ Can I use free bets for Italy v England?

Yes, there are free bets you can use for this game. See our Italy v England free bets promotions section for details.


England to win!

✒️ Steven Brown - Sports Writer and Rugby Expert

Steven Brown

This prediction was written by Steven Brown.

In 2023, 81.71% of my predictions were correct.