Wales vs New Zealand Prediction & Betting Odds - Autumn Nations Series: Diminished Sides Battling to Prove They Still Have It

Wales vs New Zealand Autumn Nations Series 2022 banner Wales vs New Zealand Autumn Nations Series 2022 banner
TimetableSaturday 5th of November 2022 at 15.15 GMT
PredictionNew Zealand to Win!
OddsNew Zealand to Win @ 1.16
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New Zealand to Win!
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The Principality Stadium will roar into life for Wales vs New Zealand, the home side's first chance to show what they have to offer in the Autumn Nations Series 2022. The All Blacks will be confident going into this match, given they have already notched up a win in their warm-up round - Japan vs New Zealand last week. Will they manage another victory on foreign shores or will the hosts walk off the pitch to rapturous applause from the sea of red? Let me give you some of the key indicators into whom may win this one as well as some ideas to enhance your rugby betting fun.

💯 Wales vs New Zealand Betting Odds

To give you an idea of how some of the bookies see this game going, I have included Wales vs New Zealand rugby odds from some of the best betting sites in Ireland.

Visit our Rugby World Cup Betting Odds page and stay updated with tips, free bets and more.

🥇 Wales vs New Zealand: Match Winner Odds

Wales to Win5.204.754.333.855.205.205.00
Draw27.0326.0029.0022.0031.0031.0026.00
New Zealand to Win1.161.151.221.231.161.161.15

➕ Wales vs New Zealand: Handicap Betting Odds

Wales (+15.5)1.481.501.57*TBATBATBA1.50
Wales (+13.5)1.631.651.73*TBATBATBA1.67
Wales (+12.5)TBATBATBATBA1.871.84TBA
Wales (+11.5)1.831.85TBA1.80TBATBA1.91
Wales (+9.5)2.092.102.10*TBATBATBA2.20
New Zealand (-9.5)1.641.651.70*TBATBATBA1.67
New Zealand (-11.5)1.841.85TBA1.82TBATBA1.91
New Zealand (-12.5)TBATBATBATBA1.871.84TBA
New Zealand (-13.5)2.102.102.05*TBATBATBA2.20
New Zealand (-15.5)2.422.502.30*TBATBATBA2.50

*These odds are for the nearest whole-number equivalent (European handicap). That means for these odds that the game can end in a handicapped draw, meaning you could lose if you bet on a team to win. Be aware of this before placing any bet.

📜 History of Wales vs New Zealand

The history of the two teams’ matches can give you an early Wales vs New Zealand prediction of who will be the winner. There may be no guarantees in sports, but at least garnering as much information as you can means that you can be more satisfied with your selection. Let's break down the results.

TeamsTotals
Wales Wins3
New Zealand Wins33
Draws0

That's a hefty deficit for Wales, but maybe the last five match results will give us a clue as to if there has been any recent development by Wales.

MatchDateVenueScoreWinner
New Zealand vs Wales18th June 2016Wellington Regional Stadium, Wellington36–22New Zealand
New Zealand vs Wales25th June 2016Forsyth Barr Stadium, Dunedin46–6New Zealand
Wales vs New Zealand25th November 2017Principality Stadium, Cardiff18–33New Zealand
New Zealand vs Wales1st November 2019Tokyo Stadium, Chōfu40–17New Zealand
Wales vs New Zealand5th November 2021Principality Stadium, Cardiff16–54New Zealand

Well, there has not been much redemption for the Welsh in recent times - especially given that in their last encounter in the Autumn Nations Series 2021, Wales were smashed 16-54 by the All Blacks. The last time, in fact, that Wales beat the All Blacks was in 1953 at the old Cardiff Arms Park, so I think this indicator would give New Zealand as handing out another drumming to the UK side.

🌏 Comparison of World Rankings Rugby Union

RankCountryPoints
1Ireland90.03
2France89.41
3South Africa89.00
4New Zealand87.64
5England86.25
6Australia82.08
7Wales81.28
8Argentina81.21
9Scotland80.51
10Japan77.39
11Samoa75.75
12Fiji75.08
13Georgia74.51
14Italy73.29
15Spain69.27

I still can't believe such a time has come that New Zealand aren't featured in the top three in the world. Nevertheless, New Zealand will be laughing in fourth place compared to seventh place, Wales. The world rankings and all of the other indicators that we have seen so far seem more and more to be predicting a win for New Zealand.

✔️ Wales vs New Zealand Team Previews

Looking at recent form is always a great way to see which team will come out ahead after 80 minutes. Let's break down the recent form of both sides:

🐉 Wales Autumn Nations Series Team Preview

Wales had an awful Six Nations 2022, only managing one feeble win against Scotland, 20-17 at home. That left them fifth in the tournament, only just above Italy, whom left them with a surprise 21-22 loss in the dying weekend of the competition. Not only that, but Wales suffered another crushing blow when they were pushed aside by South Africa 2-1 in the Summer Internationals 2022. All in all, what rugby fans have seen from Wales has been nowhere near their best, and things do not bode well, going into a clash against a world-renowned team like New Zealand.

🥝 New Zealand Autumn Nations Series Preview

The All Blacks have fared much differently over 2022. Ian Foster's job may be on the line, with criticism that he is coaching the 'worst All Blacks ever', but with four wins out of six matches and an overall first place in the Rugby Championship 2022, alongside an early 31-38 win in their Autumn Nations Series 2022 warm-up against Japan, the Kiwis are in decidedly better form than their Northern Hemisphere counterparts. All in all, recent results from the All Blacks point to them notching up another win at the Principality Stadium this weekend.

🕵️ Our Wales vs New Zealand Prediction Winner

I think this is a pretty open-and-shut case for me: Wales will put up the best fight they can, but I am going wholeheartedly with New Zealand to win. All indicators point that way, and I think only a miracle for Wales or the All Blacks not mentally turning up to play to shift the tide. Given the pressure on the boys in black at the moment, however, I think the Kiwis will be on the war path from the first whistle. My hope is that us rugby fans at least get to see a good 80 minutes of rugby rather than a first half where the writing is on the wall and a second half of going through the motions.

💶 Wales vs New Zealand Betting Tips

Odds of 1.16 are understandably short for this match, so may not seem worth it for some. My best intuition tells me that it will be the All Blacks' mentality which decides whether this will be a close win for them or end in a cricket score. I would say the All Blacks to win (-9.5 points) at odds of 1.64 represents a nice balance between lengthening yours odds and still keeping things safer than some of the larger handicaps, on the chance that New Zealand don't show up with their usual killer instinct.

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⚡ Wales vs New Zealand Overview - Quick Match Prediction:

What Will Be the Wales vs New Zealand Result?

  • I think New Zealand will take the win at odds of 1.16.

Why Will New Zealand Win?

  • New Zealand have a history of 33 wins to three against Wales.
  • The All Blacks have the better form in 2022.
  • The Kiwis are the on-paper better team, being fourth in the world compared to seventh.

What Are Some Wales vs New Zealand Betting Tips?

  • 1.16 odds may be too short for some.
  • The All Blacks to win (-9.5 points) at odds of 1.64 may seem more worthwhile for those that appreciate longer odds.

New Zealand to Win!

✒️ Steven Brown - International Sports Writer and Tipster

This Wales vs New Zealand prediction was written by Steven Brown.

Steven is an internationally revered rugby coach and sports writer. His insight with his predictions comes from his rugby coaching qualifications, successes coaching youth and men's teams in both hemispheres, and from analytical research into world rugby.