Tottenham vs Chelsea Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips

🏆 Tottenham vs Chelsea

Chelsea hold a distinct historical edge over Spurs, winning 77 of the 175 matches contested between the two sides since December 18th, 1909. Tottenham have triumphed on 56 occasions against the Blues with the remaining 42 games ending in draws, although Spurs’ 2-0 win in February was their first in the Premier League since November 2018.

This season, it’s interesting to note that Chelsea have averaged slightly more possession than Spurs (61.8% vs 61.6%), while their xG value of 18.2 is also a little higher than their rivals (17.6). However, Postecoglou’s side remain far more potent and efficient in the attacking third, with their tally of 31.30 shot-creating actions per 90 the joint highest in the EPL. Tottenham also average 0.31 goals per shot on target, while the Blues’ tally is much lower at 0.24. Unsurprisingly, Chelsea also rank bottom of the pile when it comes to the difference between goals scored and expected goals, with a value of -6.2 indicative of their struggles in the final third.

However, Chelsea’s ability to control possession will stand them in good stead in North London, while it should be noted that the Blues have held both Liverpool and Arsenal to competitive draws so far this season. The potential absence of Destiny Udogie due to a muscle injury could also weaken Spurs both defensively and in transition, so I’m backing Pochettino’s team to secure a hard-earned and much-needed draw at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.

💯 Tottenham vs Chelsea Match Odds

There are a myriad of Tottenham vs Chelsea betting markets that you can target ahead of this Premier League game, including the match winner, both sides to score (or not) and the over/under for total goals scored during the 90 minutes. So, let’s take a closer look at these markets and the very latest wagering odds.

🏅 Tottenham vs Chelsea: Match Winner

As I’ve already touched on, Spurs are the narrow betting favourites to beat Chelsea, but the hosts will certainly have the weight of recent history against them when they entertain the Blues. But what odds are being offered by the market-leading EPL betting sites?

Team
Tottenham to Win	2.05	2.05	2.06	2.10	2.10
Chelsea to Win	3.20	3.20	3.10	3.25	3.20
Draw	3.60	3.75	3.55	3.70	3.75

⚽ Tottenham vs Chelsea: Both Teams To Score

Chelsea have failed to score in four EPL games this season, although it should be noted that only one of these blanks was drawn on the road. For their part, Spurs have scored in every single Premier League game that they’ve contested in 2023/24, while they’ve also kept four clean sheets against Manchester United, Bournemouth, Luton and Fulham. Here are the latest odds for the BTTS betting market.

Team
Yes	1.57	1.60	1.54	1.57	1.50
No	2.25	2.30	2.26	2.38	2.30

🥅 Tottenham vs Chelsea: Over/Under 2.5 Goals

These two sides have contested a total of just 24 matches in all competitions so far this season, as both sides are absent from the Champions League and Spurs were eliminated from the EFL Cup at the first time of asking. These contests have produced a total of 63 goals at a rate of 2.60 per game, so there’s likely to be significant over/under wagering activity around the 2.5-goal betting line.

Team
Over 2.5 Goals	1.60	1.67	1.65	1.67	1.70
Under 2.5 Goals	2.10	2.15	2.07	2.15	2.15

1️⃣ Tottenham Update

Spurs have won eight and drawn two of their 10 Premier League games so far this season, with the side sitting two points clear of North London rivals Arsenal and defending champions Manchester City at the top of the table. They’re also unbeaten in 11 league games overall, while their tally of 313 shot-creating actions since the beginning of the season is matched only by Liverpool. The side is also unbeaten in their three so-called “big six” matches this season, with a 2-0 win over Manchester United in gameweek two followed by a pulsating 2-2 draw with the Gunners and dramatic 2-1 triumph over Liverpool on September 30th.

Spurs have a few potential absentees ahead of the visit of Chelsea, including the aforementioned left-back Destiny Udogie (muscle injury). Winger Manor Solomon is also expected to miss out with a meniscus injury, while Ivan Perisic (cruciate ligament tear) and reserve keeper Alfie Whiteman (ankle) are long-term absentees. Wide man Ryan Sessegnon is also continuing his recovery after surgery.

2️⃣ Chelsea Update

Chelsea’s form remains incredibly patchy, with just three wins and four defeats from their opening 10 matches so far. In fact, they’ve only won consecutive EPL matches once since March 11th, while they last time they earned more than two successive Premier League victories was in October 2022 and at the beginning of Graham Potter’s ill-fated reign.

While Pochettino will at least have found some solace in his team’s ability to retain possession (only City average more per game this season) and create chances, the Blues average just 13.60 shots per 90 this season and continue to struggle with their decision making and ruthlessness in front of goal.

Chelsea’s injury crisis is finally starting to ease, with right back Reece James having made his long-awaited return in the EFL cup in midweek. Christopher Nkunku could also be nearing his Blues debut after an extended absence, although left back Ben Chilwell remains absent with a hamstring injury. Centre backs Wesley Fofana (cruciate ligament tear) and Trevoh Chalobah (thigh) remain long-term absentees, while reserve keeper Marcus Bettinelli is also unavailable.

👕 Tottenham vs Chelsea - Potential Lineups

✒️ Lewis Humphries – Expert Tipster

Lewis Humphries is an experienced football writer and tipster from the UK. He writes regularly about the Champions League, Premier League, Serie A and other competitions, regularly delivering expert match predictions and betting insights. He also successfully predicted the winner of the 2022 FIFA World Cup, while accurately forecasting the outcome of several group stage and knockout games.