Manchester United v Luton Town Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips
| Timetable | 15:00 GMT, 11th Nov 23 |
| Prediction | Man United To Win! |
| Odds | Man United to Win @1.33 |
| Bookmaker | Legend Play Sports |
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A superb late winner by Bruno Fernandes at Fulham last weekend eased the pressure on Manchester United and their Dutch manager Erik ten Hag, although the Portuguese midfielder’s composed turn and low finish provided a dramatic end to another unconvincing performance. However, the Red Devils at least pressed aggressively and high up the park against the Cottagers, while Cristian Eriksen provided some control in midfield. As for Luton, they competed superbly once again against Liverpool at Kenilworth Road, while it took a stoppage time Luis Diaz goal to deny the Hatters a famous win. Rob Edwards’ men have also had a week to prepare for this Premier League clash, but will this be enough to secure Luton’s first ever win at Old Trafford? I’ll answer this and explore the latest odds in this comprehensive football betting guide and prediction!
🏆 Manchester United v Luton Town
While Luton won their first ever game against Manchester United (then Newton Heath) on September 18th, 1897 at Bank Street, they’ve only triumphed in three of the subsequent 39 matches. They’ve never won at Old Trafford either, while United are on a 11-match unbeaten run against the Hatters since a 2-1 Division One defeat at Kenilworth Road in March 1987.
However, Luton have been combative, direct and offensively effective since their return to the top flight, with their tally of 20.82 shot-creating actions per 90 impressive given their average possession statistic of 36.2% (the lowest) in the Premier League. Of course, United have produced 26.73 shot-creating actions per 90 and averaged 53.5% possession so far, which suggests that many of their issues lie with a misfiring forward line and decision making in the attacking third.
However, despite significant scrutiny of their form, United have taken 12 points from the last 18 available to them in the EPL, which is more than Arsenal and Liverpool during this period and the same number as EPL leaders Manchester City. They’ve also seen improved individual performances from Harry Maguire, Andre Onana and Rasmus Hojlund, with the latter scoring twice in the Red Devils’ controversial 4-3 defeat to Copenhagen in midweek.
So, despite their inconsistency, I think United will have too much individual quality and possession at Old Trafford, and I’m backing them to comfortably beat a determined Luton side.
My Prediction: 🏆 Man United 3 Luton Town 0 ⚽
💯 Manchester United v Luton Town Match Odds
If you check out Betinireland’s recommended betting sites, you’ll see a large selection of odds and betting markets pertaining to the clash between Manchester United and Luton. But which of these are the most popular, and what do the latest odds tell us about the match?
🏅 Manchester United v Luton Town: Match Winner
Manchester United built last season’s success on a superb home record, which saw them lose just one of 19 matches at Old Trafford. However, they’ve already lost three times in just six outings at the Theatre of Dreams in 2023/24, while conceding the same number of goals (10) as they did entirely of the previous campaign at home. As for Luton, four of their six UCL points this season have come on the road, so they’re sure to be well organised and competitive in Manchester.
| Team |  |  |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Man United to Win | 1.33 | 1.33 | 1.32 | 1.33 | 1.33 |
| Luton to Win | 8.50 | 8.50 | 8.20 | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| Draw | 5.00 | 5.25 | 5.40 | 5.50 | 5.80 |
Manchester United v Luton Town: Both Teams To Score
Despite scoring just 12 goals in 11 EPL matches this season, Manchester United have only failed to hit the back of the net on three occasions (and four in all competitions). Interestingly, Luton have drawn just two blanks in the Premier League this season, while they’ve only scored two less goals than their gameweek 12 opponents in the same number of games.
| Yes/No | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 1.83 | 1.85 | 1.83 | 1.75 | 1.80 |
| No | 1.87 | 1.91 | 1.91 | 2.00 | 1.91 |
🥅 Manchester United v Luton Town: Over/Under 2.5 Goals
The sportsbooks featured in Betinireland’s bookmaker reviews are also offering totals wagering on the cumulative number of goals that will be scored in this match. As usual, most wagering activity is focused around the 2.5 goal betting line, with the 30 matches contested by Man United and Luton across all competitions having yielded 91 goals at a rate of 3.03 per game.
| Under/Over | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 1.53 | 1.55 | 1.50 | 1.50 | 1.53 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 2.38 | 2.40 | 2.41 | 2.40 | 2.38 |
✔️ Manchester United v Luton Town - Betting Tips
When it comes to navigating these markets, you can always leverage free bet offers and promotions to create additional value. But what other steps can you take to get the most from your bankroll when betting on Manchester United v Luton? Here are my expert betting tips!
- Tip 1: Back Man United to Win and Both Sides Not to Score: While Manchester United have struggled defensively this season, they were actually well-balanced and organised when keeping a clean sheet at Fulham last week. Although they subsequently shipped four goals in Copenhagen in the Champions League, the match turned on a controversial red card for Marcus Rashford, prior to which the Red Devils were in complete control and untroubled defensively. Given this and Luton’s limited attacking options, I think there’s value in backing United to win and both sides not to score at a price of 2.30 with LegendPlay.
- Tip 2: Back Rasmus Hojlund as an Anytime Goalscorer: Rasmus Hojlund scored twice in defeat in Copenhagen in midweek, taking his Champions League goals tally to five goals in just four starts for his new club. So, although he has so far drawn a blank in eight EPL appearances for the Red Devils, he continues to show considerable promise and predatory instincts in front of goal, and could well be poised to break his top-flight duck at home against Luton. You can get on this at the competitive price of 2.35 with Dachbet Sports.
- Tip 3: Back the First Goal to be Scored Between Minutes 41 and 50: Neither of these sides are known for starting EPL games well, as they’ve both failed to score in the first 15 minutes of any Premier League game this season. At the same time, Luton have shipped 15 of their 21 goals in the second half, and four in the 15-minute period just after the interval. So, I think there’s value in backing the first goal to be scored between minutes 41 and 50, especially at a generous price of 7.50 with LegendPlay.
1️⃣ Manchester United Update
After their harrowing and chaotic defeat in Copenhagen, Manchester United have now lost nine of their 17 matches in all competitions this season, highlighting the inconsistency and vulnerability that has plagued Erik ten Hag’s men in recent weeks. This run has included five defeats in 11 EPL matches, although they have improved of late and taken 12 points from the previous 18 available to them. However, United continue to experience issues at both ends of the pitch, having underperformed their xG value by -3.3 goals and only managed to achieve a meagre three clean sheets in the Premier League campaign so far.
| Last 5 Games | |
|---|---|
| FC Copenhagen 4 Man United 3 | 08.11.23 Champions League |
| Fulham 0 Man United 1 | 04.11.23 Premier League |
| Man United 0 Newcastle 3 | 01.11.23 EFL Cup |
| Man United 0 Man City 3 | 29.10.23 Premier League |
| Man United 1 FC Copenhagen 0 | 24.10.23 Champions League |
It has now been revealed that Untied may be without the services of Lisandro Martinez (foot) and Casemiro (knock) until the end of the year, while left backs Luke Shaw (muscle injury) and Tyrell Malacia (unknown) also remain long-term absentees. Young winger Amad Diallo is also continuing his recovery from a knee injury, although Aaron Wan-Bissaka and Raphael Varane are now fit again and back in first team contention.
| Player | Reason |
|---|---|
| Lisandro Martinez | Foot Injury |
| Luke Shaw | Muscle Injury |
| Casemiro | Knock |
| Tyrell Malacia | Unknown Injury |
| Amad Diallo | Knee Injury |
2️⃣ Luton Update
Luton have surprised everyone with their competitiveness and tenacity in this season’s EPL, while Rob Edwards’ well organised side came within seconds of a famous win over Liverpool at Kenilworth Road last time out. What’s more, their only win in the 2023/24 Premier League campaign came on the road, as the Hatters stunned Everton 2-1 in a tense encounter at Goodison Park in September. From a performance perspective, Luton have also been direct in their approach and made the absolute most of their limited possession, producing 12.5 expected goals and 20.82 shot-creating actions per 90 despite averaging a meagre 36.2% of the ball.
| Last 5 Games | |
|---|---|
| Luton 1 Liverpool 1 | 05.11.23 Premier League |
| Aston Villa 3 Luton 1 | 29.10.23 Premier League |
| Nottingham Forest2 Luton 2 | 21.10.23 Premier League |
| Luton 0 Tottenham 1 | 07.10.23 Premier League |
| Luton 1 Burnley 2 | 03.10.23 Premier League |
Like Man United, Luton are also struggling with a number of injured defensive reinforcements, including full back Reece Burke and Mads Andersen (hamstring injury). Amari Bell is also absent with a hamstring strain, while Dan Potts is a doubt with an ankle knock. On-loan midfielder Albert Sambi Lokonga also remains unavailable with an unknown injury, with no time-frame given for his return at the time of writing.
| Player | Reason |
|---|---|
| Reece Burke | Unknown Injury |
| Mads Juel Andersen | Hamstring Injury |
| Albert Sambi Lokonga | Unknown Injury |
| Amarii Bell | Hamstring Injury |
| Dan Potts | Ankle Injury |
👕 Man United v Luton - Potential Lineups
| Pos. | Man United 4-2-3-1 | Luton 3-4-2-1 | Pos. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goalkeeper | A. Onana | T. Kaminski | Goalkeeper |
| Right Back | A. Wan-Bissaka | T. Mengi | Right Centre Back |
| Centre Back | R. Varane | T. Lockyer | Centre Back |
| Centre Back | H. Maguire | G. Osho | Left Centre Back |
| Left Back | D. Dalot | A. Doughty | Right Wing Back |
| Midfielder | S. McTominay | R. Barkley | Midfielder |
| Midfielder | C. Eriksen | M. Nakamba | Midfielder |
| Midfielder | B. Fernandes | I. Kabore | Left Wing Back |
| Wide Forward | M. Rashford | T. Chong | Attacking Midfielder |
| Striker | R. Højlund | C. Ogbene | Attacking Midfielder |
| Wide Forward | A. Garnacho | C. Morris | Striker |
✒️ Lewis Humphries – Expert Tipster
Lewis Humphries is an experienced football writer and tipster from the UK. He writes regularly about the Champions League, Premier League, Serie A and other competitions, regularly delivering expert match predictions and betting insights. He also successfully predicted the winner of the 2022 FIFA World Cup, while accurately forecasting the outcome of several group stage and knockout games.
Lewis doesn't just stick to sports; you can also find plenty of casino gaming content. He's reviewed some of the world's leading online casino platforms, while creating blog posts and landing page content for various sports betting brands. His content has also been featured on a number of different sites, including Life Hack, Investopedia, Yahoo Finance and Business Insider. He also pens regular sports features for sites including 90 Minutes, Think Football Ideas and Sportsblog.
