Manchester United vs Chelsea Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips

🏆 Manchester United vs Chelsea EPL Prediction

Chelsea are winless in six outings against Man United, after a 3-1 win in the 2019/20 FA Cup semi-final. They haven’t beaten United in the Premier League since November 5th, 2017 (when Alvaro Morata headed home a second-half winner), although it should be noted that five of the last six encounters have ended in draws.

While United did win this fixture 4-1 in May towards the end of last season, Erik ten Hag’s injury hit side is a shadow of the one that took to the Old Trafford pitch that night. Conversely, Chelsea’s performances have largely improved under the guidance of Mauricio Pochettino, with the Blues having averaged more possession per 90 this season (57.2% vs 53.1%) and produced a much higher xG value than United (27.8 vs 20.2).

However, both teams have dramatically underperformed their respective xG tallies in 2023/24, with Chelsea alone having missed 27 big chances during the season (only Brentford, Liverpool and Aston Villa have squandered more). The only good news for the Blues is that they’ve scored 12 times in their previous four Premier League matches, and they’ll fancy their chances of threatening a depleted and at times overran United defensive line.

Despite the Red Devils’ relative lack of goals, Chelsea have defensive frailties of their own, and I definitely expect both sides to score at Old Trafford. However, Chelsea appear to be more organised and dynamic than United at present and their form is slightly better on the road, so I’m tipping them to win at OT in the Premier League for the first time since May 2013.

💯 Manchester United vs Chelsea EPL Match Odds

Usually, even contests such as this are ideal from the perspective of matched betting, as you can lay a back wager against one of the teams to cover all potential outcomes. However, there are plenty of markets that you can target in addition to the match winner, such as BTTS and the over/under on the total number of goals scored.

🏅 Manchester United vs Chelsea: Match Winner

If you glance at the latest match winner odds from Betinireland’s recommended bookmaker reviews, Chelsea are the narrow favourites. In fact, their average price of 2.38 implies a 42.01% probability of a Blues win, while you can access odds of 2.84 on United triumphing in front of their own fans (affording them a 35.21% chance of prevailing).

Team
Man United to Win	2.80	2.88	2.84	2.88	2.84
Chelsea to Win	2.25	2.30	2.35	2.38	2.30
Draw	3.50	3.60	3.50	3.50	3.60

⚽ Manchester United vs Chelsea: Both Teams To Score

Both teams have scored in eight of Chelsea’s 14 Premier League matches this season, including the last four. The Blues have failed to score in four of these games and kept three clean sheets. As for United, both sides have only found the back of the net in five of their 14 EPL encounters, with ten Hag’s men drawing four blanks and managing to keep five clean sheets.

Yes/No
Yes	1.50	1.55	1.51	1.53	1.50
No	2.40	2.40	2.45	2.38	2.50

🥅 Manchester United vs Chelsea: Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Between them, Manchester United and Chelsea have contested 38 matches in all competitions this season. These encounters have yielded 118 goals (61 scored and 57 conceded) at a rate of 3.10 per game, so there’s obvious value in backing there to be over 2.5 goals scored in the contest.

Under/Over
Over 2.5 Goals	1.60	1.65	1.61	1.62	1.62
Under 2.5 Goals	2.20	2.20	2.18	2.20	2.20

1️⃣ Man United Update

United’s 1-0 defeat at Newcastle ended their run of five wins in six EPL outings, while the side has now won six (and lost four) of their previous 10 league matches and earned 18 points from the previous 30 available. This reflects United’s incredible and ongoing inconsistency, while the most notable takeaways from their defeat in the northeast was their lack of intensity and the failure of their forwards to track back. This was also the Red Devils’ 10th defeat of the season in all competitions, while they have won just once in their last six outings against rival members of the so-called “big six” (although this was against Chelsea in May).

United will remain without centre back Lisandro Martinez (foot injury) for the visit of Chelsea, while veteran Jonny Evans (hamstring) and Tyrell Malacia (knee) are also unavailable. Midfield pair Casemiro (knock) and Cristian Eriksen (knee) have also been ruled out until December at the earliest, while Mason Mount is sidelined too. Amad Diallo continues his recovery from a knee injury, while Jadon Sancho remains unavailable for disciplinary reasons.

2️⃣ Chelsea Update

The Blues have certainly improved their goalscoring output of late, plundering 12 goals in their last four EPL matches after hitting just eight in their previous seven games. However, the side only accrued seven points out of 12 during this sequence, as they also shipped four against Manchester City and then Newcastle. So, Pochettino’s men are also inconsistent and defensively vulnerable, although their performances have arguably been more solid and better than Manchester United’s in 2023/24. They’ve also suffered from an inability to take their chances, having underperformed their Premier League xG tally by -3.8 goals so far.

Connor Gallagher’s red card against Brighton means that he’ll serve a one-game suspension at Old Trafford, as he joins Wesely Fofana (cruciate ligament tear), Trevoh Chalobah (thigh) and Ben Chilwell (hamstring) on the sidelines. Carney Chukwuemeka also misses out with a knee injury. However, both Christopher Nkunku and Romeo Lavia are now available and nearing full fitness, and could at least make Chelsea’s bench for the first time after their summer moves.

👕 Man United v Chelsea - Potential Lineups

✒️ Lewis Humphries – Expert Tipster

Lewis Humphries is an experienced football writer and tipster from the UK. He writes regularly about the Champions League, Premier League, Serie A and other competitions, regularly delivering expert match predictions and betting insights. He also successfully predicted the winner of the 2022 FIFA World Cup, while accurately forecasting the outcome of several group stage and knockout games.