Manchester City vs Tottenham, Odds and Betting Tips

manchester-city-v-tottenham-logomanchester-city-v-tottenham-logo
TournamentPremier League
Timetable16:30 GMT, 3rd Dec 23
PredictionMan City to Win!
Odds1.30
BookmakerLegend Play Sports
The best odds
Odds : 1.30
Bet €100 and win €130 if Man City win.
Bonus
T&C
Bet
Odds : 1.30
Bet €100 and win €130 if Man City win.
Bonus
T&C
Bet
Odds : 1.29
Bet €100 and win €129 if Man City win.
Bonus
T&C
Bet

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Manchester City slipped off top spot in the Premier League following their 1-1 draw with Liverpool over the weekend, while Jurgen Klopp’s reds also brought the Citizens’ 23-game winning streak at the Etihad to an abrupt end thanks to Trent Alexander-Arnold’s late strike. This was City’s second consecutive draw in the EPL, but they’ll be keen to get back to winning ways against a Tottenham side that has now incurred three successive losses in the top-flight after a narrow home defeat to Aston Villa. But which side do I think will win in Manchester, and who are the best betting sites backing to prevail?

🏆 Manchester City vs Tottenham EPL Prediction

These two sides have contested 168 matches since January 1909, with Manchester City and Spurs each claiming 66 wins apiece. Despite City’s domestic dominance in recent times, the two teams have also shared five wins each in their last 11 outings, while Tottenham also earned a 2-2 draw at the Etihad in August 2019.

However, Spurs have only prevailed in one of their previous eight visits to the Etihad, while they slumped to a 4-2 win here in January despite taking a 2-0 goal lead before half-time. Tottenham’s current form will also be a concern for manager Ange Postecoglou, whose injury-hit squad have lost three successive Premier League games while looking increasingly open and defensively vulnerable.

Their high defensive line has certainly been exposed in recent matches, while they’ve won just 45.3% of their aerial duels in the 2023/24 EPL (only Sheffield United and Bournemouth have won less). Their tally of 623 ball recoveries is also among the lowest in the league, and it will be interesting to see if Postecoglou adjusts his tactics against a proactive and exceptional City side.

The Citizens also remain highly efficient in the final third, with the league’s top scorers having outperformed their xG value by +7.2. They average an impressive 30.77 shot-creating actions per 90 too, and unless Spurs are able to compromise tactically or improve their defensive performance in Manchester, I expect Pep Guardiola’s side to return to winning ways.

My Prediction: 🏆 Manchester City 3 – 1 Tottenham⚽

💯 Manchester City vs Tottenham EPL Match Odds

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There are plenty of ways to wager on the clash between Manchester City vs Tottenham, with the sportsbooks featured in Betinireland’s bookmaker reviews offering access to a broad range of betting markets. These include the match winner, BTTS and the over/under on how many goals will be scored in the game, but how are these markets currently being priced?

🏅 Manchester City vs Tottenham: Match Winner

City are the overwhelming favourites to beat Spurs at the Etihad, as while Liverpool ended their 23-game winning streak at home last time out, they haven’t lost in front of their own fans since a 2-1 defeat to Brentford last November. You can back Tottenham to win at an average price of 9.00, which implies just a 11.11% probability of the away side prevailing.

Team
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Manchester City to Win1.291.291.251.301.30
Tottenham to Win8.508.008.208.008.50
Draw5.505.755.905.505.80

⚽ Manchester City vs Tottenham: Both Teams To Score

Both teams have scored in eight of Manchester City’s 13 EPL games this season, and 13 of their 20 encounters in all competitions. City have only drawn two blanks too, one of which came in the Premier League against Arsenal in October. Both sides have netted in nine of Tottenham’s 13 league matches, and while they’ve scored in every game, they haven’t kept a clean sheet since a 2-0 win over Fulham on October 23rd.

Yes/No
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Yes1.621.751.651.671.67
No2.102.052.062.202.10

🥅 Manchester City vs Tottenham: Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Between them, City and Spurs have contested 34 matches in all competitions through 2023/24. These encounters have produced 110 goals at a rate of 3.23 per game, while City alone have scored 33 goals in 13 Premier League matches at a rate of 2.53 per 90 minutes. So, the over/under odds understandably imply a higher probability of more than 2.5 goals being scored in this game!

Under/Over
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Over 2.5 Goals1.361.381.341.361.36
Under 2.5 Goals2.882.802.922.883.00

✔️ Manchester City vs Tottenham - Betting Tips

Successfully navigating these markets may be challenging, especially as strategies such as matched betting may not offer optimal value given City’s status as short price favourites. However, I’ve prepared some alternative betting tips to help you wager as effectively as possible on this game!

  • Tip 1: Back Man City to Win and Both Sides to Score: Combination betting can help you to create value when wagering on the outcome of Man City vs Spurs. For example, you could back Man City to win and both sides to score at the enhanced price of 2.50 with Betway, as this features two match outcomes that have a high implied probability of occurring. Remember, City are imperious at home and have scored 17 goals in just six league matches at the Etihad this season, while no side has stopped Spurs from finding the net so far in 2023/24.
  • Tip 2: Back Man City to Win With a Handicap of -1.75 Goals: Not only have City won seven of their eight home games in all competitions this season, but five of these victories have been by two goals or more. Spurs’ increasingly vulnerable defence is now without a clean sheet in four games too, while they’ve shipped nine goals across these matches. So, there’s some value in backing Man City to win with a small handicap of -1.75 goals, at a price of 1.91 with LegendPlay.
  • Tip 3: Back Spurs to Score First: While City tend to start games quickly and dominate the ball from the outset (they average 62.2% possession and have scored four goals in the first 15 minutes of EPL games this season), Spurs have also scored three times and conceded just once during this period. They’ve also scored first in their last four encounters against Man City, and if you have one or more free bets on your account, you should consider backing Tottenham to take the lead at the Etihad at a price of price of 3.60 with TonyBet.

1️⃣ Man City Update

While City’s 23-game winning streak at the Etihad may have been ended by Liverpool at the weekend, they’re still unbeaten in 25 matches in front of their home fans since a 2-1 reversal to Brentford on November 12th (which was before the 2022 World Cup). This season alone, they’ve won seven (and drawn one) of their eight home games in all competitions, scoring 23 goals and conceding just five. Star striker Erling Haaland has scored eight goals at the Etihad this season, while his overall league tally of 14 has come at more than a goal-per-game and from an xG value of just 13.4.

Last 5 Games
Man City 1
Liverpool 1
25.11.23
Premier League
Chelsea 4
Man City 4
12.11.23
Premier League
Man City 3
Young Boys 0
07.11.23
Champions League
Man City 6
Bournemouth 1
04.11.23
Premier League
Man United 0
Man City 3
29.10.23
Premier League

John Stones’ muscle injury is a little more serious than initially thought, and he may remain unavailable for a couple of weeks at least. This is a significant blow to City and their execution of Guardiola’s preferred 3-2-4-1 formation, while Kevin De Bruyne also remains sidelined with a partial muscle tear. Left back Sergio Gómez misses out with a knock, while reserve goalkeeper Zack Steffen is continuing his recovery from knee surgery. The good news is that Haaland has fully recovered from the foot injury he incurred on international duty, as he completed 90 minutes and even scored against Liverpool.

PlayerReason
John Stones Muscle Injury
Kevin De Bruyne Partial Muscle Tear
Sergio Gómez Knock
Zack Steffen Knee Surgery

2️⃣ Tottenham Update

After 35 minutes of Spurs’ match against Chelsea on November 6th, the Lilywhites were leading 1-0 and on course to extend their unbeaten league run and lead at the top of the EPL table. However, red cards for Cristian Romero and Destiny Udogie (in addition to injuries for Micky van de Ven and creative fulcrum James Maddison) turned the match on his head, with Chelsea running out 4-1 winners after a chaotic second half. Two further EPL defeats have followed in quick succession (against Wolves and Aston Villa), with Tottenham now fifth in the Premier League table ahead of their daunting trip to Manchester.

Last 5 Games
Tottenham 1
Aston Villa 2
26.11.23
Premier League
Wolves 2
Tottenham 1
11.11.23
Premier League
Tottenham 1
Chelsea 4
06.11.23
Premier League
Crystal Palace 1
Tottenham 2
27.10.23
Premier League
Tottenham 2
Fulham 0
23.10.23
Premier League

Micky van de Ven’s hamstring injury has ruled him out until the New Year, although James Maddison has an outside chance of returning against City after an ankle knock. Pape Matar Sarr suffered a knock ahead of the defeat against Villa and will face a late fitness test, while striker Richarlison is recovering from groin surgery. Defender Cristian Romero will serve the final match of his three-game ban after his dismissal against Chelsea, while Ryan Sessegnon (surgery), Alfie Whiteman (ankle), Ivan Perisic (cruciate ligament tear) and Manor Solomon (meniscus injury) are all long-term absentees. Rodrigo Bentancur could also miss out after injuring his ankle in a tackle with Villa’s Matty Cash at the weekend.

PlayerReason
Micky van de Ven Hamstring Injury
James Maddison Ankle Injury
Pape Matar Sarr Knock
Richarlison Groin Surgery
Cristian Romero Suspended
Ryan Sessegnon Surgery
Alfie Whiteman Ankle Injury
Ivan Perisic Cruciate Ligament Tear
Manor Solomon Meniscus Injury
Rodrigo Bentancur Ankle Injury

👕 Manchester City vs Tottenham - Potential Lineups

Pos. Man City
3-2-4-1
Tottenham
4-3-3
Pos.
Goalkeeper Ederson G. Vicario Goalkeeper
Right Centre Back K. Walker P. Porro Right Back
Centre Back R. Dias E. Dier Centre Back
Left Centre Back N. Ake B. Davies Centre Back
Midfielder Rodri D. Udogie Left Back
Midfielder M. Akanji Pape Matar Sarr Midfielder
Right Midfielder P. Foden Y. Bissouma Midfielder
Attacking Midfielder J. Alvarez G. Lo Celso Midfielder
Attacking Midfielder B. Silva D. Kulusevski Wide Forward
Left Midfielder J. Doku Son Heung-min Striker
Striker E. Haaland B. Johnson Wide Forward

✒️ Lewis Humphries – Expert Tipster

about-author-lewis-humphriesabout-author-lewis-humphries

Lewis Humphries is an experienced football writer and tipster from the UK. He writes regularly about the Champions League, Premier League, Serie A and other competitions, regularly delivering expert match predictions and betting insights. He also successfully predicted the winner of the 2022 FIFA World Cup, while accurately forecasting the outcome of several group stage and knockout games.

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