Man City v Liverpool Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips

man-city-liverpool-logo man-city-liverpool-logo
TournamentPremier League
Timetable12:30 GMT, 25th Nov 2023
PredictionMan City to Win!
Odds1.67
BookmakerLegend Play Sports
The best odds
1.
Legend Play Sports
Odds : 1.67
Bet €100 and win €167 if Man City win.
Bonus:
2.
betway
Odds : 1.65
Bet €100 and win €165 if Man City win.
Bonus:
€50+ 50 Free Spins
3.
Tony​Bet Sports
Odds : 1.62
Bet €100 and win €162 if Man City win.
Bonus:
man-city-liverpool-logo man-city-liverpool-logo

The Premier League returns with a bang after the international break on Saturday, 25th November, as defending champions Manchester City host rivals Liverpool in a mouthwatering lunchtime fixture. Interestingly, this is also a clash between the Premier League’s top two, with the Reds looking to leapfrog Pep Guardiola’s side and earn their first EPL win at the Etihad since November 2015. But what odds are the best betting sites offering on a rare away win here, and which wagering markets offer the most value to punters?

🏆 Man City v Liverpool EPL Prediction

Given the two sides’ respective histories, it should come as no surprise that Liverpool have dominated the overall head-to-head with 108 wins in 224 meetings. However, the last 12 games in all competitions have delivered more mixed results, including five wins for City, four for the Reds and three draws.

These sides also appear to be renewing their intense recent rivalry, with Liverpool the only side to compete consistently with Guardiola’s charges since the Spaniard’s arrival in 2016. In fact, the four seasons between 2018 and 2022 saw City and the Reds accumulate 358 and 357 points respectively, although the Citizens managed to win three EPL titles to Liverpool’s one during this period.

This season has also seen City dominant at home, with their five EPL matches at the Etihad yielding a maximum 15 points and 16 goals (with just three conceded). While the Reds have been similarly impressive in front of their own fans, they’ve won just twice in six outings on the road and already dropped points at Cheslea, Spurs, Brighton and even Luton.

City are also averaging 62.5% possession in the Premier League this season and will look to control proceedings in front of their home fans, while the potential return of John Stones could also prove crucial. On balance, I’m tipping City to win a close match in which both sides score.

My Prediction: 🏆 Manchester City 2 – 1 Liverpool ⚽

💯 Man City v Liverpool EPL Match Odds

These two sides are evenly matched, so the recommended sportsbooks from Betinireland’s comprehensive bookmaker reviews are offering relatively tight odds across a range of betting markets. Here’s my take on the most popular wager types!

🏅 Man City v Liverpool: Match Winner

The most popular Man City v Liverpool betting market is the match winner, with the latest odds making City the early favourites. But is there value in backing the Citizens to win, and how is a Liverpool victory currently being priced?

Team
Man City to Win1.601.651.601.621.67
Liverpool to Win4.504.204.504.504.40
Draw4.204.204.154.334.40

⚽ Man City v Liverpool: Both Teams To Score

Both competing sides have scored in 12 of the 19 matches (63.15%) contested by City this season, with the team keeping five clean sheets and failing to score twice. Incredibly, 13 of Liverpool’s 18 games (72.22%) have seen both teams hit the back of the net, while Jurgen Klopp’s side have scored in every single match this season.

Yes/No
Yes1.531.551.481.501.50
No2.382.402.412.382.50

🥅 Man City v Liverpool: Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Interestingly, none of Liverpool's five clean sheets have come on the road, while they’ve shipped 13 of their 17 goals conceded this season away from home. Overall, the 37 matches contested by both teams in 2023/24 have yielded 125 goals at a rate of 3.37 per game, so there’s clear value in backing there to be over 2.5 goals scored in this encounter!

Under/Over
Over 2.5 Goals1.441.501.471.501.50
Under 2.5 Goals2.502.402.442.502.50

✔️ Man City v Liverpool - Betting Tips

Whether you want to wager a percentage of your bankroll on this EPL match or make use of a free bets on your sportsbook account, you’ll want to ensure that you navigate the available markets effectively. So, I’ve prepared some betting tips to help you on your way!

  • Tip 1: Back Man City to Win and Both Teams to Score: While there’s little value in backing City to win at an average price of 1.60, you can simultaneously bet on them to triumph and both sides to score at the competitive price of 2.88 with Betway. This reflects both City’s dominance at home and the fact that Liverpool have scored in every game so far in 2023/24, while both sides have found the target in all but one of their last nine H2H encounters.
  • Tip 2: Back the First Goal Within 0-10 Minutes: Games featuring these sides in 2023/24 have produced a total of eight goals in the first 10 minutes, although Liverpool have scored once and conceded twice within this timeframe. The Reds have also conceded first in nine of their 18 games this season, so there’s value in backing the first goal to be scored early and in the opening 10 minutes at a price of 4.20 with TonyBet Sports.
  • Tip 3: Back Man City to Win and Score First: Given the fact that Guardiola’s men have scored first in nine of their 11 EPL matches in 2023/24 (and Liverpool’s tendency to start slow and concede early this season), I expect the home side to attack the Reds from the outset and take the lead. By simultaneously backing this outcome and City to win, you can unlock a price of 1.69 with Betiton.

1️⃣ Man City Update

While the Citizens showcased some defensive vulnerability in their incredible 4-4 draw at Chelsea last time out, their home form remains utterly imperious. In fact, they’ve won all seven of their games at the Etihad in all competitions this season (by an aggregate score of 22-4), while they’ve also triumphed in a staggering 23 consecutive home matches since a 1-1 with Everton in the Premier League on December 31st. It’s also more than five years since Liverpool won away at City in any competition (a 2-1 UCL quarterfinal victory in April 2018).

Last 5 Games
Chelsea 4
Man City 4
12.11.23
Premier League
Man City 3
Young Boys 0
07.11.23
Champions League
Man City 6
Bournemouth 1
04.11.23
Premier League
Man United0
Man City 3
29.10.23
Premier League
Young Boys 1
Man City 3
25.10.23
Champions League

Pep Guardiola will be sweating on the availability of the increasingly influential John Stones, who has become key to City’s tactical setup and remains a doubt with a thigh strain. Elsewhere, Kevin De Bruyne remains out with a partial muscle tear, while left back Sergio Gomez is unavailable with a knock. Reserve keeper Zack Steffen continues his recovery from knee surgery.

PlayerReason
John Stones Thigh Strain
Kevin De Bruyne Partial Muscle Tear
Sergio Gomez Knock
Zack Steffen Knee Surgery

2️⃣ Liverpool Update

It might come as a surprise to Liverpool fans that they’ve taken fewer points in their last six matches (11) than Manchester United (12). Their recent away form is also patchy, with the Reds having taken just nine points from the previous 18 available to them on the road. However, there is good news for Klopp’s men in the form of Liverpool’s immense attacking quality and variation, with the team having produced the most shot-creating actions per 90 (32.25) in this season’s Premier League and highest xG tally (26.5). So, they’ll retain an immense attacking threat throughout at the Etihad.

Last 5 Games
Liverpool 3
Brentford 0
12.11.23
Premier League
Toulouse 3
Liverpool 2
09.11.23
Europa League
Luton 1
Liverpool 1
05.11.23
Premier League
Bournemouth 1
Liverpool 2
01.11.23
EFL Cup
Liverpool 3
Nottingham Forest 0
29.10.23
Premier League

The return of Luis Diaz after a torrid time in his personal life will provide a significant boost to Liverpool, who remain without Andrew Robertson (shoulder injury), Thiago (fitness) and 20-year-old right back Conor Bradley (back). Stefan Bajcetic is also a significant doubt with a calf injury, although Curtis Jones may be available for selection after suffering from thigh problems.

PlayerReason
Andrew Robertson Shoulder Injury
Thiago Fitness
Conor Bradley Back Injury
Stefan Bajcetic Calf Injury
Curtis Jones Thigh Injury

👕 Man City v Liverpool - Potential Lineups

Pos. Man City
3-2-4-1
Liverpool
4-3-3
Pos.
Goalkeeper Ederson Alisson Goalkeeper
Right Centre Back K. Walker T. Alexander-Arnold Right Back
Centre Back R. Dias J. Matip Centre Back
Left Centre Back M. Akanji V. van Dijk Centre Back
Central Midfielder J. Stones K. Tsimikas Left Back
Central Midfielder Rodri D. Szoboszlai Midfielder
Right Midfielder P. Foden W. Endo Midfielder
Attacking Midfielder B. Silva A. Mac Allister Midfielder
Attacking Midfielder M. Kovacic M. Salah Wide Forward
Left Midfielder J. Grealish D. Nunez Striker
Striker E. Haaland L. Diaz Wide Forward

✒️ Lewis Humphries – Expert Tipster

Lewis Humphries is an experienced football writer and tipster from the UK. He writes regularly about the Champions League, Premier League, Serie A and other competitions, regularly delivering expert match predictions and betting insights. He also successfully predicted the winner of the 2022 FIFA World Cup, while accurately forecasting the outcome of several group stage and knockout games.

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