Man City v Liverpool Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips

🏆 Man City v Liverpool EPL Prediction

Given the two sides’ respective histories, it should come as no surprise that Liverpool have dominated the overall head-to-head with 108 wins in 224 meetings. However, the last 12 games in all competitions have delivered more mixed results, including five wins for City, four for the Reds and three draws.

These sides also appear to be renewing their intense recent rivalry, with Liverpool the only side to compete consistently with Guardiola’s charges since the Spaniard’s arrival in 2016. In fact, the four seasons between 2018 and 2022 saw City and the Reds accumulate 358 and 357 points respectively, although the Citizens managed to win three EPL titles to Liverpool’s one during this period.

This season has also seen City dominant at home, with their five EPL matches at the Etihad yielding a maximum 15 points and 16 goals (with just three conceded). While the Reds have been similarly impressive in front of their own fans, they’ve won just twice in six outings on the road and already dropped points at Cheslea, Spurs, Brighton and even Luton.

City are also averaging 62.5% possession in the Premier League this season and will look to control proceedings in front of their home fans, while the potential return of John Stones could also prove crucial. On balance, I’m tipping City to win a close match in which both sides score.

💯 Man City v Liverpool EPL Match Odds

These two sides are evenly matched, so the recommended sportsbooks from Betinireland’s comprehensive bookmaker reviews are offering relatively tight odds across a range of betting markets. Here’s my take on the most popular wager types!

🏅 Man City v Liverpool: Match Winner

The most popular Man City v Liverpool betting market is the match winner, with the latest odds making City the early favourites. But is there value in backing the Citizens to win, and how is a Liverpool victory currently being priced?

Team
Man City to Win	1.60	1.65	1.60	1.62	1.67
Liverpool to Win	4.50	4.20	4.50	4.50	4.40
Draw	4.20	4.20	4.15	4.33	4.40

⚽ Man City v Liverpool: Both Teams To Score

Both competing sides have scored in 12 of the 19 matches (63.15%) contested by City this season, with the team keeping five clean sheets and failing to score twice. Incredibly, 13 of Liverpool’s 18 games (72.22%) have seen both teams hit the back of the net, while Jurgen Klopp’s side have scored in every single match this season.

Yes/No
Yes	1.53	1.55	1.48	1.50	1.50
No	2.38	2.40	2.41	2.38	2.50

🥅 Man City v Liverpool: Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Interestingly, none of Liverpool's five clean sheets have come on the road, while they’ve shipped 13 of their 17 goals conceded this season away from home. Overall, the 37 matches contested by both teams in 2023/24 have yielded 125 goals at a rate of 3.37 per game, so there’s clear value in backing there to be over 2.5 goals scored in this encounter!

Under/Over
Over 2.5 Goals	1.44	1.50	1.47	1.50	1.50
Under 2.5 Goals	2.50	2.40	2.44	2.50	2.50

1️⃣ Man City Update

While the Citizens showcased some defensive vulnerability in their incredible 4-4 draw at Chelsea last time out, their home form remains utterly imperious. In fact, they’ve won all seven of their games at the Etihad in all competitions this season (by an aggregate score of 22-4), while they’ve also triumphed in a staggering 23 consecutive home matches since a 1-1 with Everton in the Premier League on December 31st. It’s also more than five years since Liverpool won away at City in any competition (a 2-1 UCL quarterfinal victory in April 2018).

Pep Guardiola will be sweating on the availability of the increasingly influential John Stones, who has become key to City’s tactical setup and remains a doubt with a thigh strain. Elsewhere, Kevin De Bruyne remains out with a partial muscle tear, while left back Sergio Gomez is unavailable with a knock. Reserve keeper Zack Steffen continues his recovery from knee surgery.

2️⃣ Liverpool Update

It might come as a surprise to Liverpool fans that they’ve taken fewer points in their last six matches (11) than Manchester United (12). Their recent away form is also patchy, with the Reds having taken just nine points from the previous 18 available to them on the road. However, there is good news for Klopp’s men in the form of Liverpool’s immense attacking quality and variation, with the team having produced the most shot-creating actions per 90 (32.25) in this season’s Premier League and highest xG tally (26.5). So, they’ll retain an immense attacking threat throughout at the Etihad.

The return of Luis Diaz after a torrid time in his personal life will provide a significant boost to Liverpool, who remain without Andrew Robertson (shoulder injury), Thiago (fitness) and 20-year-old right back Conor Bradley (back). Stefan Bajcetic is also a significant doubt with a calf injury, although Curtis Jones may be available for selection after suffering from thigh problems.

👕 Man City v Liverpool - Potential Lineups

✒️ Lewis Humphries – Expert Tipster

Lewis Humphries is an experienced football writer and tipster from the UK. He writes regularly about the Champions League, Premier League, Serie A and other competitions, regularly delivering expert match predictions and betting insights. He also successfully predicted the winner of the 2022 FIFA World Cup, while accurately forecasting the outcome of several group stage and knockout games.