Man City vs Crystal Palace Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips

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TournamentPremier League
Timetable15:00 GMT, 16th Dec 23
PredictionMan City to Win!
Odds1.18
Bookmakerbetway
Man City to Win!
The best odds
Odds : 1.18
Bet €100 and win €118 if Manchester City win.
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Odds : 1.17
Bet €100 and win €117 if Manchester City win.
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Odds : 1.17
Bet €100 and win €117 if Manchester City win.
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€10
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man-city-v-crystal-palace-logoman-city-v-crystal-palace-logo

Whisper it quietly, but Manchester City may have returned to some kind of form after a run of four games without a win in the Premier League. After all, they’ve defeated Luton and Red Star Belgrade on the road in the previous week, all without the services of the injured Norwegian forward Erling Haaland. The EPL top scorer may return to the fold for the visit of Crystal Palace, who have won just two of their last 10 Premier League games and remain among the lowest EPL scorers in 2023/24. But will City demonstrate their superiority here, and what odds are the recommended sports betting sites offering on a win for the Eagles?

🏆 Man City vs Crystal Palace EPL Prediction

These two sides have met on 69 previous occasions, with Man City prevailing 37 times and Palace claiming 17 wins in total (15 matches have ended in draws). However, the Eagles have won just two of the last 18 encounters since April 2015, with City earning 15 victories during the same period of time.

Despite City’s recent issues and four-match winless run, the side remains one of the most consistent and attack-oriented sides in the top flight. In fact, they’re the most efficient in front of goal, with the predatory instincts of the aforementioned Haaland helping Pep Guardiola’s men to outperform their xG value of 30.6 by an impressive +6.5 goals.

Not only have Palace underperformed their own xG value by -4.4 goals, but their current tally of 15 goals is the second lowest in this season’s EPL (only Sheffield United have scored fewer). During their current winless streak of five matches, they’ve only scored five times, while incurring worrying defeats against Everton, Luton and Bournemouth.

So, while Palace remains defensively well-organised and has won an impressive 52.7% of their tackles this season, their lack of form and cutting edge will play right into City’s hands at the Etihad. The defending EPL champions have also won 51.7% of their tackles in 2023/24, so I’m tipping City to dominate from the outset and ultimately record a comfortable win.

My Prediction: 🏆 Man City 3 – 0 Crystal Palace ⚽

💯 Man City vs Crystal Palace EPL Match Odds

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Regardless of whether you want to stake your hard-earned cash or have one or more free bets that you’d like to deploy, there are countless Man City vs Crystal Palace wagering markets available. I’ll analyse the three most popular below, while appraising the very latest odds.

🏅 Man City vs Crystal Palace: Match Winner

To say that City are the favourites is an understatement, with an average price of 1.17 implying an 85.47% probability of Guardiola’s side winning in front of their own fans. Conversely, Palace can be backed at around 14.00, which means that they have just a 7.14% chance of beating City at the Etihad for only the third time since December 1990.

Team
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Man City to Win1.171.181.171.141.17
Crystal Palace to Win15.0013.0014.0015.0013.00
Draw7.007.507.257.007.50

⚽ Man City vs Crystal Palace: Both Teams To Score

The sportsbooks featured in Betinireland’s bookmaker reviews also enable you to bet on BTTS (or not). This season, both sides have scored in 10 of City’s 16 EPL games, with Guardiola’s men keeping four clean sheets and drawing two blanks in front of goal. Both teams have found the net in eight of Palace’s 16 Premier League encounters, with the Eagles having kept five clean sheers and failed to score on five occasions.

Team
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Yes2.152.202.162.202.10
No1.621.671.651.621.67

🥅 Man City vs Crystal Palace: Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Manchester City and Crystal Palace have contested 43 matches in all competitions this season, including the former’s six Champions League contests. These encounters have produced 133 goals at a rate of 3.09 per game, so it’s no surprise that the odds imply a higher probability of over 2.5 goals being scored. However, City are clearly favourites to dominate the scoring at the Etihad.

Under/Over
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LegendPlay-logoLegendPlay-logo
Over 2.5 Goals1.401.451.421.441.44
Under 2.5 Goals2.602.702.672.752.63

✔️ Man City vs Crystal Palace - Betting Tips

While you may be tempted to use an available free bet to engage in matched betting here, this strategy doesn’t offer optimal value in games that feature a short price favourites. So, here are some alternative betting tips to help you successfully navigate the available City vs Palace markets!

  • Tip 1: Back City to Win With a Handicap of -2.5 Goals: City could only edge Luton by a single goal last week, but they did score three at Red Star Belgrade with a weakened starting 11 in the Champions League. They’re also prolific at home, finding the net 29 times in just nine matches at the Etihad in all competitions. Erling Haaland, who has 14 EPL goals from an xG value of 14.8 this season, should also return from injury, so there’s value in backing City to win with a handicap of -2.5 goals at a price of 2.30 with TonyBet Sports.
  • Tip 2: Back Man City to Win to Nil: City’s status as huge favourites means that there’s little value in backing both teams not to score at the Etihad. However, you can unlock superior value when betting on City to beat Palace to nil, at an enhanced price of 1.80 with Betway. This certainly reflects Palace’s woes in front of goal, and while top EPL scorer Odsonne Édouard has six goals to his name this season, only two of these have come in the last 11 top flight games. To compound matters, he may even miss out with a knee injury too.
  • Tip 3: Back Man City to Win and Both Teams Not to Score: Another way of creating enhanced value is by engaging in combination betting. For example, you can back Man City to win and both teams not to score at a price of 1.85 with LegendPlay Sports, enabling you to simultaneously wager on two outcomes that both have a high implied probability of occurring.

1️⃣ Man City Update

Unusually, you have to look way down the Premier League form table to catch a glimpse of Manchester City, who have only won four of their last 10 top flight matches and taken just 15 points from the 30 available to them during this run. They’ve already lost four matches in all competitions this season too, having only tasted defeat on seven occasions during their treble winning campaign in 2022/23. However, they remain strong at home and are unbeaten in 18 EPL games at the Etihad Stadium, since a 2-1 defeat against Brentford on November 12th, 2022. In all competitions, they’re unbeaten in a whopping 28 matches in front of their own fans!

Last 5 Games
Red Star Belgrade 2
Man City 3
13.12.23
Champions League
Luton 1
Man City 2
10.12.23
Premier League
Aston Villa 1
Man City 0
06.12.23
Premier League
Man City 3
Tottenham 3
03.12.23
Premier League
Man City 3
RB Leipzig 2
28.11.23
Champions League

The return of Haaland has all but been confirmed by Pep Guardiola, so the Norwegian is likely to start against Palace. John Stones is now back to full fitness too and will slot in alongside Rodri in central midfield, although explosive winger Jeremy Doku is likely to miss out with a muscle injury. Kevin De Bruyne remains a long-term absentee with a partial muscle tear, while reserve keeper Zack Steffen is continuing his recovery after knee surgery.

PlayerReason
Jeremy Doku Muscle Injury
Kevin De Bruyne Partial Muscle Tear
Zack Steffen Knee Surgery

2️⃣ Crystal Palace Update

For their part, Palace are 16th in the EPL form table, having won two of their last 10 league games (and none of their previous five) and taken just eight points from the 30 available to them since September 23rd. However, the good news for the Eagles and their fans is that the side has performed better on the road so far in 2023/24, earning 11 of their 16 points away from Selhurst Park. Conversely, they’ve only won once and taken just five points at home, with this arguably reflecting their preference for playing counterattacking football and opponents who look to dominate possession.

Last 5 Games
Crystal Palace 1
Liverpool 2
09.12.23
Premier League
Crystal Palace 0
Bournemouth 2
06.12.23
Premier League
West Ham 1
Crystal Palace 1
03.12.23
Premier League
Luton Town 2
Crystal Palace 1
25.11.23
Premier League
Crystal Palace 2
Everton 3
11.11.23
Premier League

While Tyrick Mitchell may recover from a hip injury in time for the trip to City, Palace could be without up to nine first-team players at the Etihad. These include goalkeepers Dean Henderson (torn thigh muscle) and Sam Johnstone (calf injury), while midfielder Cheick Doucoure has been ruled out for the season following an Achilles tendon rupture. Jesurun Rak-Sakyi is also out with a hamstring strain, while playmaker Eberechi Eze is a major doubt with an ankle injury. Top scorer Odsonne Edouard (knee) and midfielder Jefferson Lerma (thigh) will face late fitness tests too, while Rob Holding (ankle) is set to miss out. Jordan Ayew is also suspended after being sent off in the defeat against Liverpool.

PlayerReason
Dean Henderson Torn Thigh Muscle
Sam Johnstone Calf Injury
Cheick Doucoure Achilles Tendon Rupture
Jesurun Rak-Sakyi Hamstring Injury
Eberechi Eze Ankle Injury
Odsonne Edouard Knee Injury
Jefferson Lerma Thigh Injury
Rob Holding Ankle Injury
Jordan Ayew Suspended

👕 Man City vs Crystal Palace - Potential Lineups

Pos. Man City
3-2-4-1
Crystal Palace
4-3-3
Pos.
Goalkeeper Ederson R. Matthews Goalkeeper
Right Centre Back K. Walker J. Ward Right Back
Centre Back R. Dias J. Andersen Centre Back
Left Centre Back N. Ake M. Guéhi Centre Back
Defensive Midfielder J. Stones T. Mitchell Left Back
Defensive Midfielder Rodri W. Hughes Midfielder
Right Midfielder P. Foden C. Richards Midfielder
Attacking Midfielder J. Alvarez N. Ahamada Midfielder
Attacking Midfielder B. Silva M. Olise Wide Forward
Left Midfielder J. Grealish Jean-Philippe Mateta Striker
Striker E. Haaland J. Schlupp Wide Forward

Man City to Win!

✒️ Lewis Humphries – Expert Tipster

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Lewis Humphries is an experienced football writer and tipster from the UK. He writes regularly about the Champions League, Premier League, Serie A and other competitions, regularly delivering expert match predictions and betting insights. He also successfully predicted the winner of the 2022 FIFA World Cup, while accurately forecasting the outcome of several group stage and knockout games.

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