Man United vs Tottenham Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips

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TournamentPremier League
Timetable16:30 GMT, 14th Jan 2024
PredictionMan United to Win!
Odds2.15
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Man United to Win!
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Odds : 2.15
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Odds : 2.15
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Given the media narrative surrounding these two sides, it may seem strange that Spurs are actually in worse form than Man United ahead of their trip to Old Trafford. In fact, they’ve only taken 13 Premier League points from the last 30 available, while the Red Devils have accrued 16 points during the same period. Of course, both teams have suffered with extensive injuries this season, but a win for Spurs would put them 11 points of United in the race for a top four spot. But which team do I think will win, and how are the best betting sites pricing all potential outcomes?

🏆 Man United vs Tottenham EPL Prediction

Spurs have only beaten United in three of their last 12 head-to-head encounters in all competitions, although two of these wins have come at Old Trafford. In fact, Tottenham thumped Jose Mourinho’s Red Devils 3-0 at the Theatre of Dreams in August 2018, while the Portuguese manager masterminded Spurs’ famous 6-1 win there two years later.

However, United were superb when beating Spurs 2-0 at OT last October, while they also dominated the opening 40 minutes of the reverse fixture at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium back in August. Poor finishing ultimately cost Erik ten Hag’s men, however, as Spurs rallied to win 2-0 with a strike from Pape Matar Sarr and an own goal by Lisandro Martinez.

United will also relish Spurs’ uncompromisingly high defensive line, which Ange Postecoglou even maintained when his side played with nine men against Chelsea at the beginning of November.

Make no mistake - United’s recent second-half comeback against Aston Villa at Old Trafford was aided by the away side’s refusal to drop their defensive line even after taking a 2-0 lead. This was ruthlessly exploited by the direct running of Alejandro Garnacho and Marcus Rashford, while Cristian Eriksen and Bruno Fernandes also made frequent darts in behind the defensive line.

Of course, I expect both sides to create chances here, but Spurs may find it hard to cope with a United side that excels when it has space to run into. This is especially true given the absence of Cristian Romero, while Micky van de Ven may not be 100% fit after recovering from a hamstring injury. With James Maddison and the influential Son Heung-min also missing (among others), I’m tipping United to win another thrilling game!

My Prediction: 🏆 Man United 3 – 2 Tottenham ⚽

💯 Man United vs Tottenham EPL Match Odds

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If you check out the sites featured in Betinireland’s bookmaker reviews, you’ll see that they’re all offering a huge range of Man United v Spurs betting markets. So, let’s check out the most popular match betting markets and the very latest odds.

🏅 Man United vs Tottenham: Match Winner

The bookies are edging towards a United win against Spurs, with the Red Devils’ average price of 2.15 implying a 46.51% probability of a home victory. As for Spurs, they can be backed at around 2.90, affording Spurs a statistical chance of 34.48% of beating their EPL rivals.

Team
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Man United to Win2.102.152.112.152.15
Tottenham to Win2.903.002.873.002.90
Draw3.803.803.753.753.90

⚽ Man United vs Tottenham: Both Teams To Score

Both teams have scored in just 40% of Manchester United’s Premier League games in 2023/24, while this outcome has occurred in 50% of their matches at Old Trafford. Both competing sides have also found the back of the net in 75% of Spurs’ EPL encounters, while this figures drops slightly to 70% away from the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.

Yes/No
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Yes1.361.431.381.401.40
No2.802.802.752.632.75

🥅 Man United vs Tottenham: Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Between them, Man United and Spurs have contested 51 matches in 2023/24. These encounters have produced 158 goals at a rate of 3.09 per game, with most betting sites subsequently expecting there to be over 2.5 goals scored at Old Trafford. 70% of Spurs’ away matches this season have also yielded more than 2.5 goals per 90, so this is likely to be a popular bet.

Under/Over
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Over 2.5 Goals1.401.451.421.441.44
Under 2.5 Goals2.632.702.582.632.63

✔️ Man United vs Tottenham - Betting Tips

As there’s little to separate Man United and Spurs, this may be a game where you’re tempted to deploy a matched betting strategy. This way, you can lay a back bet on United to win at the Ladbrokes exchange and cover all potential match outcomes.

Additionally, here are some other betting tips to help you make informed selections!

  • Tip 1: Back There to be Over 3.5 Goals Scored in the Game: While most over/under betting activity tends to take place around the 2.5 goals line, the clash between Man United and Spurs is likely to be particularly open. Spurs’ under strength defence could be particularly vulnerable if they maintain their now trademark high defensive line, so I think there’s value in backing there to be over 3.5 goals scored at Old Trafford. You can get on this at a price of 2.15 with Betway.
  • Tip 2: Back Man United to Win and Both Sides to Score: Combination betting obviously unlocks greater returns and heightened risks, so the key is to combine match outcomes that have a highly probability of occurring. In this case, Spurs’ high profile absentees and style of play will benefit ten Hag’s United, while there’s a statistically high chance of both teams scoring at Old Trafford. So, backing United to win and BTTS offers excellent value at a price of 3.40 with TonyBet.
  • Tip 3: Back Rashford as an Anytime Goalscorer: While Marcus Rashford has only scored eight goals in his last 42 appearances, he has produced recent assists against Aston Villa and Wigan while finding the net in the 2-1 defeat at Nottingham Forest. He’ll also relish Spurs’ high defensive line, while his record of five goals (and one assist) in 14 EPL appearances against Tottenham is more than respectable. Whether you have one or more free bets or not, you can get on this at a price of 2.80 with LegendPlay.
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1️⃣ Man United Update

While United have managed to take 16 points from their last 10 Premier League games, this run of matches has seen them win five times and lose on four occasions. They’ve also managed just 11 goals during this period, drawing blanks against Newcastle, Bournemouth, Liverpool and West Ham in the process. This inconsistency and lack of potency in front of goal has been prevalent all season, with United having only won successive EPL matches twice in 2023/24. They’ve also underperformed their xG value by -7.1 goals this season, with only Brentford faring worse according to this metric.

Last 5 Games
Wigan 0
Man United 2
08.01.24
FA Cup
Nottingham Forest 2
Man United 1
30.12.23
Premier League
Man United 3
Aston Villa 2
26.12.23
Premier League
West Ham 2
Man United 0
23.12.23
Premier League
Liverpool 0
Man United 0
17.12.23
Premier League

Man United could be boosted by the return of ball-playing centre back Lisandro Martinez for the visit of Spurs, alongside Luke Shaw and midfielder Cristian Eriksen. Keeper Andre Onana may also start after delaying his departure to play for Cameroon in the African Cup of Nations. However, the game may come too soon for midfield anchor Casemiro, while Mason Mount (calf), Victor Lindelof (groin) Tyrell Malacia (knee) are also expected to miss out. Harry Maguire also remains a doubt with a groin strain, while midfielder Sofyan Amrabat has departed to represent Morocco in the AFCON.

PlayerReason
Casemiro Fitness
Mason Mount Calf Injury
Victor Lindelof Groin Injury
Tyrell Malacia Knee Injury
Harry Maguire Groin Injury
Sofyan Amrabat International Duty
Jadon Sancho Discipline

2️⃣ Tottenham Update

Spurs’ recent form makes for interesting reading, with the side having won four times and taken just 13 points during their previous 10 games. However, this sequence included a winless run of five matches at the beginning of their injury crisis, while they’ve since won four out of five EPL encounters and impressively beat in-form Bournemouth last time out. However, they conceded 24 attempts on goal against the Cherries, while they shipped four goals at Brighton in their previous away game. The absence of Romero, Son, Maddison and others could also prove key, even if Micky van de Ven is fit enough to start in Manchester.

Last 5 Games
Tottenham 1
Burnley 0
05.01.24
FA Cup
Tottenham 3
Bournemouth 1
31.12.23
Premier League
Brighton 4
Tottenham 2
28.12.23
Premier League
Tottenham 2
Everton 1
23.12.23
Premier League
Nottingham Forest 0
Tottenham 2
15.12.23
Premier League

Spurs absentee list remains troubling, despite the potential return of van de Ven. Now, his centre back partner Cristian Romero is out with a hamstring strain, while Ben Davies is unavailable after picking up a similar injury against Burnley. Spurs’ first choice midfield will also be missing, with both Pape Matar Sarr and Yves Bissouma away at the AFCON tournament. Son Heung-min is also at the Asian Cup, while young forward Alejo Véliz (knee) has been ruled out. Remember, James Maddison is still making his way back from an ankle injury, while Ryan Sessegnon (surgery), Ivan Perisic (cruciate ligament tear) and Manor Solomon (meniscus) are long-term absentees.

PlayerReason
James Maddison Ankle Injury
Cristian Romero Hamstring Injury
Ben Davies Hamstring Injury
Ryan Sessegnon Surgery
Ivan Perisic Cruciate Ligament Tear
Manor Solomon Meniscus Injury
Alfie Whiteman Ankle Injury
Alejo Véliz Knee Injury
Son Heung-min International Duty
Pape Matar Sarr International Duty
Yves Bissouma International Duty

👕 Man United v Tottenham - Potential Lineups

Pos. Man United
4-2-3-1
Tottenham
4-2-3-1
Pos.
Goalkeeper A. Onana G. Vicario Goalkeeper
Right Back D. Dalot P. Porro Right Back
Centre Back R. Varane E. Royal Centre Back
Centre Back L. Martinez M. van de Ven Centre Back
Left Back L. Shaw D. Udogie Left Back
Midfielder K. Mainoo Pierre-Emile Højbjerg Midfielder
Midfielder S. McTominay R. Bentancur Midfielder
Midfielder B. Fernandes G. Lo Celso Midfielder
Right Forward A. Garnacho D. Kulusevski Wide Forward
Striker R. Hojlund Richarlison Striker
Left Forward M. Rashford B. Johnson Wide Forward

Man United to Win!

✒️ Lewis Humphries – Expert Tipster

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Lewis Humphries is an experienced football writer and tipster from the UK. He writes regularly about the Champions League, Premier League, Serie A and other competitions, regularly delivering expert match predictions and betting insights. He also successfully predicted the winner of the 2022 FIFA World Cup, while accurately forecasting the outcome of several group stage and knockout games.

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