Tournament | Premier League |
Timetable | 16:30 GMT, 14th Jan 2024 |
Prediction | Man United to Win! |
Odds | 2.15 |
Bookmaker | betway |
18+ | New players only | Minimum deposit 10EUR | More Wagering, banking, terms & conditions apply | Play Responsibly
18+ | 1st depositors only. Min 10EUR deposit | Play Responsibly | More Wagering, banking, terms & conditions apply.
Given the media narrative surrounding these two sides, it may seem strange that Spurs are actually in worse form than Man United ahead of their trip to Old Trafford. In fact, they’ve only taken 13 Premier League points from the last 30 available, while the Red Devils have accrued 16 points during the same period. Of course, both teams have suffered with extensive injuries this season, but a win for Spurs would put them 11 points of United in the race for a top four spot. But which team do I think will win, and how are the best betting sites pricing all potential outcomes?
🏆 Man United vs Tottenham EPL Prediction
Spurs have only beaten United in three of their last 12 head-to-head encounters in all competitions, although two of these wins have come at Old Trafford. In fact, Tottenham thumped Jose Mourinho’s Red Devils 3-0 at the Theatre of Dreams in August 2018, while the Portuguese manager masterminded Spurs’ famous 6-1 win there two years later.
However, United were superb when beating Spurs 2-0 at OT last October, while they also dominated the opening 40 minutes of the reverse fixture at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium back in August. Poor finishing ultimately cost Erik ten Hag’s men, however, as Spurs rallied to win 2-0 with a strike from Pape Matar Sarr and an own goal by Lisandro Martinez.
United will also relish Spurs’ uncompromisingly high defensive line, which Ange Postecoglou even maintained when his side played with nine men against Chelsea at the beginning of November.
Make no mistake - United’s recent second-half comeback against Aston Villa at Old Trafford was aided by the away side’s refusal to drop their defensive line even after taking a 2-0 lead. This was ruthlessly exploited by the direct running of Alejandro Garnacho and Marcus Rashford, while Cristian Eriksen and Bruno Fernandes also made frequent darts in behind the defensive line.
Of course, I expect both sides to create chances here, but Spurs may find it hard to cope with a United side that excels when it has space to run into. This is especially true given the absence of Cristian Romero, while Micky van de Ven may not be 100% fit after recovering from a hamstring injury. With James Maddison and the influential Son Heung-min also missing (among others), I’m tipping United to win another thrilling game!
My Prediction: 🏆 Man United 3 – 2 Tottenham ⚽
💯 Man United vs Tottenham EPL Match Odds
If you check out the sites featured in Betinireland’s bookmaker reviews, you’ll see that they’re all offering a huge range of Man United v Spurs betting markets. So, let’s check out the most popular match betting markets and the very latest odds.
🏅 Man United vs Tottenham: Match Winner
The bookies are edging towards a United win against Spurs, with the Red Devils’ average price of 2.15 implying a 46.51% probability of a home victory. As for Spurs, they can be backed at around 2.90, affording Spurs a statistical chance of 34.48% of beating their EPL rivals.
Team | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Man United to Win | 2.10 | 2.15 | 2.11 | 2.15 | 2.15 |
Tottenham to Win | 2.90 | 3.00 | 2.87 | 3.00 | 2.90 |
Draw | 3.80 | 3.80 | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.90 |
⚽ Man United vs Tottenham: Both Teams To Score
Both teams have scored in just 40% of Manchester United’s Premier League games in 2023/24, while this outcome has occurred in 50% of their matches at Old Trafford. Both competing sides have also found the back of the net in 75% of Spurs’ EPL encounters, while this figures drops slightly to 70% away from the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.
Yes/No | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | 1.36 | 1.43 | 1.38 | 1.40 | 1.40 |
No | 2.80 | 2.80 | 2.75 | 2.63 | 2.75 |
🥅 Man United vs Tottenham: Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Between them, Man United and Spurs have contested 51 matches in 2023/24. These encounters have produced 158 goals at a rate of 3.09 per game, with most betting sites subsequently expecting there to be over 2.5 goals scored at Old Trafford. 70% of Spurs’ away matches this season have also yielded more than 2.5 goals per 90, so this is likely to be a popular bet.
Under/Over | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Over 2.5 Goals | 1.40 | 1.45 | 1.42 | 1.44 | 1.44 |
Under 2.5 Goals | 2.63 | 2.70 | 2.58 | 2.63 | 2.63 |
✔️ Man United vs Tottenham - Betting Tips
As there’s little to separate Man United and Spurs, this may be a game where you’re tempted to deploy a matched betting strategy. This way, you can lay a back bet on United to win at the Ladbrokes exchange and cover all potential match outcomes.
Additionally, here are some other betting tips to help you make informed selections!
- Tip 1: Back There to be Over 3.5 Goals Scored in the Game: While most over/under betting activity tends to take place around the 2.5 goals line, the clash between Man United and Spurs is likely to be particularly open. Spurs’ under strength defence could be particularly vulnerable if they maintain their now trademark high defensive line, so I think there’s value in backing there to be over 3.5 goals scored at Old Trafford. You can get on this at a price of 2.15 with Betway.
- Tip 2: Back Man United to Win and Both Sides to Score: Combination betting obviously unlocks greater returns and heightened risks, so the key is to combine match outcomes that have a highly probability of occurring. In this case, Spurs’ high profile absentees and style of play will benefit ten Hag’s United, while there’s a statistically high chance of both teams scoring at Old Trafford. So, backing United to win and BTTS offers excellent value at a price of 3.40 with TonyBet.
- Tip 3: Back Rashford as an Anytime Goalscorer: While Marcus Rashford has only scored eight goals in his last 42 appearances, he has produced recent assists against Aston Villa and Wigan while finding the net in the 2-1 defeat at Nottingham Forest. He’ll also relish Spurs’ high defensive line, while his record of five goals (and one assist) in 14 EPL appearances against Tottenham is more than respectable. Whether you have one or more free bets or not, you can get on this at a price of 2.80 with LegendPlay. .
1️⃣ Man United Update
While United have managed to take 16 points from their last 10 Premier League games, this run of matches has seen them win five times and lose on four occasions. They’ve also managed just 11 goals during this period, drawing blanks against Newcastle, Bournemouth, Liverpool and West Ham in the process. This inconsistency and lack of potency in front of goal has been prevalent all season, with United having only won successive EPL matches twice in 2023/24. They’ve also underperformed their xG value by -7.1 goals this season, with only Brentford faring worse according to this metric.
Last 5 Games | |
---|---|
Wigan 0 Man United 2 | 08.01.24 FA Cup |
Nottingham Forest 2 Man United 1 | 30.12.23 Premier League |
Man United 3 Aston Villa 2 | 26.12.23 Premier League |
West Ham 2 Man United 0 | 23.12.23 Premier League |
Liverpool 0 Man United 0 | 17.12.23 Premier League |
Man United could be boosted by the return of ball-playing centre back Lisandro Martinez for the visit of Spurs, alongside Luke Shaw and midfielder Cristian Eriksen. Keeper Andre Onana may also start after delaying his departure to play for Cameroon in the African Cup of Nations. However, the game may come too soon for midfield anchor Casemiro, while Mason Mount (calf), Victor Lindelof (groin) Tyrell Malacia (knee) are also expected to miss out. Harry Maguire also remains a doubt with a groin strain, while midfielder Sofyan Amrabat has departed to represent Morocco in the AFCON.
Player | Reason |
---|---|
Casemiro | Fitness |
Mason Mount | Calf Injury |
Victor Lindelof | Groin Injury |
Tyrell Malacia | Knee Injury |
Harry Maguire | Groin Injury |
Sofyan Amrabat | International Duty |
Jadon Sancho | Discipline |
2️⃣ Tottenham Update
Spurs’ recent form makes for interesting reading, with the side having won four times and taken just 13 points during their previous 10 games. However, this sequence included a winless run of five matches at the beginning of their injury crisis, while they’ve since won four out of five EPL encounters and impressively beat in-form Bournemouth last time out. However, they conceded 24 attempts on goal against the Cherries, while they shipped four goals at Brighton in their previous away game. The absence of Romero, Son, Maddison and others could also prove key, even if Micky van de Ven is fit enough to start in Manchester.
Last 5 Games | |
---|---|
Tottenham 1 Burnley 0 | 05.01.24 FA Cup |
Tottenham 3 Bournemouth 1 | 31.12.23 Premier League |
Brighton 4 Tottenham 2 | 28.12.23 Premier League |
Tottenham 2 Everton 1 | 23.12.23 Premier League |
Nottingham Forest 0 Tottenham 2 | 15.12.23 Premier League |
Spurs absentee list remains troubling, despite the potential return of van de Ven. Now, his centre back partner Cristian Romero is out with a hamstring strain, while Ben Davies is unavailable after picking up a similar injury against Burnley. Spurs’ first choice midfield will also be missing, with both Pape Matar Sarr and Yves Bissouma away at the AFCON tournament. Son Heung-min is also at the Asian Cup, while young forward Alejo Véliz (knee) has been ruled out. Remember, James Maddison is still making his way back from an ankle injury, while Ryan Sessegnon (surgery), Ivan Perisic (cruciate ligament tear) and Manor Solomon (meniscus) are long-term absentees.
Player | Reason |
---|---|
James Maddison | Ankle Injury |
Cristian Romero | Hamstring Injury |
Ben Davies | Hamstring Injury |
Ryan Sessegnon | Surgery |
Ivan Perisic | Cruciate Ligament Tear |
Manor Solomon | Meniscus Injury |
Alfie Whiteman | Ankle Injury |
Alejo Véliz | Knee Injury |
Son Heung-min | International Duty |
Pape Matar Sarr | International Duty |
Yves Bissouma | International Duty |
👕 Man United v Tottenham - Potential Lineups
Pos. | Man United 4-2-3-1 | Tottenham 4-2-3-1 | Pos. |
---|---|---|---|
Goalkeeper | A. Onana | G. Vicario | Goalkeeper |
Right Back | D. Dalot | P. Porro | Right Back |
Centre Back | R. Varane | E. Royal | Centre Back |
Centre Back | L. Martinez | M. van de Ven | Centre Back |
Left Back | L. Shaw | D. Udogie | Left Back |
Midfielder | K. Mainoo | Pierre-Emile Højbjerg | Midfielder |
Midfielder | S. McTominay | R. Bentancur | Midfielder |
Midfielder | B. Fernandes | G. Lo Celso | Midfielder |
Right Forward | A. Garnacho | D. Kulusevski | Wide Forward |
Striker | R. Hojlund | Richarlison | Striker |
Left Forward | M. Rashford | B. Johnson | Wide Forward |
✒️ Lewis Humphries – Expert Tipster
Lewis Humphries is an experienced football writer and tipster from the UK. He writes regularly about the Champions League, Premier League, Serie A and other competitions, regularly delivering expert match predictions and betting insights. He also successfully predicted the winner of the 2022 FIFA World Cup, while accurately forecasting the outcome of several group stage and knockout games.
Find more guides below:
- Aston Villa - Brighton
- Man United vs Man City
- Everton v Manchester United
- Newcastle v Manchester United
- Arsenal vs Crystal Palace
- Arsenal v Liverpool
- Man U v West Ham
- Brighton v Crystal Palace
- Everton v Tottenham
- Brentford v Manchester City
- Tottenham v Brighton
- Liverpool v Burnley
- Man City v Everton
- Aston Villa v Man United
- West Ham v Arsenal
- Manchester City v Chelsea
- Brentford v Liverpool
- Burnley vs Arsenal
- Liverpool vs Luton Town
- Arsenal v Newcastle
- Man United vs Fulham
- Brighton vs Everton
- Crystal Palace vs Burnley
- Man City vs Man United
- Newcastle vs Wolves
- Tottenham vs Crystal Palace
- Nottingham Forest vs Liverpool
- Brentford vs Chelsea
- Aston Villa vs Tottenham
- Arsenal vs Brentford
- Liverpool vs Man City
- Burnley vs Brentford
- Luton Town vs Nottingham Forest
- West Ham vs Aston Villa
- Fulham vs Tottenham
- Man City vs Arsenal
- Brentford vs Man United
- Liverpool vs Brighton
- Aston Villa vs Wolves
- Chelsea vs Burnley
- Arsenal vs Luton Town
- Man City vs Aston Villa
- Brentford vs Brighton
- Chelsea vs Man United
- Liverpool vs Sheffield United
- Aston Villa vs Brentford
- Brighton vs Arsenal
- Man United vs Liverpool
- Liverpool vs Crystal Palace
- Arsenal vs Aston Villa
- Bournemouth vs Man United
- Man City vs Luton Town
- Newcastle vs Tottenham
- Wolves vs Arsenal
- Fulham vs Liverpool
- Aston Villa vs Bournemouth
- Crystal Palace v West Ham
- Luton Town vs Brentford
- Arsenal vs Chelsea - EPL
- Man United vs Sheffield
- Everton vs Liverpool
- Brighton vs Man City
- Aston Villa v Chelsea
- West Ham v Liverpool
- Tottenham v Arsenal
- Nottm Forest vs Man City
- Man City vs Wolves
- Arsenal v Bournemouth
- Chelsea vs West Ham
- Liverpool vs Tottenham
- Brighton vs Aston Villa
- Bournemouth v Liverpool
- Everton v Aston Villa
- Newcastle vs Manchester City
- Boxing Day Predictions
- Matchday 18 Tips
- Man City v Crystal Palace
- Brentford v Aston Villa
- Nottingham Forest v Tottenham
- Arsenal v Brighton
- Liverpool v Man United
- Aston Villa v Arsenal
- Manchester United v Chelsea
- Aston Villa v Man City
- Chelsea v Brighton & Hove Albion
- Liverpool v Fulham
- Arsenal v Wolverhampton
- Manchester City v Tottenham
- Tottenham v Aston Villa
- Newcastle United vs Chelsea
- Brentford v Arsenal
- Man City v Liverpool
- Liverpool v Brentford
- Chelsea v Man City
- Arsenal v Burnley
- Bournemouth v Newcastle
- Manchester United v Luton Town
- Tottenham v Chelsea
- Newcastle vs Arsenal
- Man City vs Bournemouth
- Luton vs Liverpool
- Fulham vs Man United
- Liverpool vs Nottm Forest
- Arsenal vs Sheffield United
- Chelsea vs Brentford
- Tottenham vs Fulham
- Chelsea v Arsenal
- Tottenham v Liverpool
- Arsenal - Tottenham - September 2023
- West Ham vs Man City: Odds, Predictions and more
- Man United vs Brighton