Liverpool vs Brentford Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips

liverpool-v-brentford liverpool-v-brentford
TournamentPremier League
Timetable14:00 GMT - 12th Nov 23
PredictionLiverpool To Win!
Odds1.43
Bookmakerbetway
Liverpool To Win!
The best odds
1.
betway
Odds : 1.43
Bet €100 and win €143 if Liverpool win.
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2.
Legend Play Sports
Odds : 1.40
Bet €100 and win €140 if Liverpool win.
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3.
Betiton
Odds : 1.38
Bet €100 and win €138 if Liverpool win.
Bonus:
€10
liverpool-v-brentford liverpool-v-brentford

Liverpool were almost stunned by a combative and well-organised Luton side last time out, as they needed a stoppage-time goal by winger Luis Diaz to salvage a point after Tahith Chong’s opener just 10 minutes from time. This draw saw them lose ground at the top of the Premier League table, so they’ll be hoping to return to winning ways domestically with a home win over Thomas Frank’s tenacious and superbly structured Brentford side. The Bees also remain in good form and have taken 15 points from the last 30 available to them, while they continue to impress offensively even without their suspended talisman James Toney. So, what do the latest football betting odds tell us about this match, and who do I think will win at Anfield?

🏆 Liverpool vs Brentford

Brentford’s form has certainly been impressive of late, winning three successive Premier League games after a previous run of six matches without a win, while Liverpool have faltered slightly of late and dropped seven points in their last five EPL encounters (including the 1-1 draw with Luton at a raucous Kenilworth Road).

The 2023/24 performance stats are also a testament to Brentford’s excellence and offensive efficiency, with the team having produced an xG value of 20.5 (the sixth-highest such figure in the league) despite only averaging 48.3% possession over the course of the season. However, Liverpool boast the highest xG value in the league overall at 24.8, while their ability to sustain attacks and create chances in the final third is borne out by the fact that they’ve averaged 32.45 shot-creating actions per 90 (which is once again superior to every rival Premier League side).

Ultimately, I expect the Reds to dominate and play on the front foot from the off, while Brentford look to defend and counter-press aggressively while threatening on the break. However, this may play into Liverpool’s hands, and notwithstanding the impact of having to visit Toulouse in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday, I’m tipping them to record a crucial win at Anfield!

My Prediction: 🏆 Liverpool 3 Brentford 1 ⚽

💯 Liverpool vs Brentford Match Odds

When you bet on the EPL clash between Liverpool and Brentford, you’ll be able to access a huge and diverse range of wagering markets. However, some of these are more popular and widely bet on than others, including the likely match winner, BTTS (or not) and the over/under on the total number of goals scored. Here’s my analysis of these markets and their associated odds!

Liverpool vs Brentford: Match Winner

The Reds are the obvious favourites to win at Anfield, although the odds provided by the leading EPL betting sites may be a little exaggerated. For example, Liverpool’s average price of 1.40 implies a 71.4% probability of them beating Brentford, which arguably does a disservice to the Bees' work rate, defensive organisation and quality in the attacking third.

Team
Liverpool to Win1.361.431.381.331.40
Brentford to Win6.506.506.407.006.50
Draw5.004.755.005.004.75

Liverpool vs Brentford: Both Teams To Score

Liverpool have only kept four clean sheets in 16 matches so far this season, although it should be noted that all of these have been achieved at Anfield. Interestingly, Brentford have scored in 11 of their 13 matches contested this season, while Thomas Frank’s men have kept a total of three clean sheets in all competitions.

Yes/No
Yes1.601.671.581.671.57
No2.202.202.232.202.25

Liverpool vs Brentford: Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Between them, Liverpool and Brentford have contested a total of 29 matches this season, with these producing 89 goals cumulatively at a rate of 3.09 goals per game. This explains why the sportsbooks featured in Betinireland’s detailed bookmaker reviews are seeing the most activity around the 2.5 goals betting line, with the odds implying a much higher probability that the total number of goals scored at Anfield will exceed this value.

Under/Over
Over 2.5 Goals1.401.451.401.441.44
Under 2.5 Goals2.632.702.682.602.63

✔️ Liverpool vs Brentford - Betting Tips

Some of these markets offer more inherent value than others, but learning how to identify these and wager at the best odds can prove perennially challenging. So, I’ve prepared some expert betting tips to help you wager more effectively on the EPL game between Liverpool and Brentford!

  • Tip 1: Back Liverpool to Win With More Than 3.5 Goals Scored: Not only have both sides scored in 12 of Liverpool’s 16 matches this season, but the Reds have gone behind in seven of these games (and five out of 11 EPL encounters) so far. Overall, I definitely expect Brentford to score at Anfield, while the sheer potency and variation that exists in Liverpool’s attack means that this could be a relatively high scoring contest. So, I think there’s value in backing Liverpool to win with more than 3.5 goals scored in the game at the competitive price of 2.70 with Betway.
  • Tip 2: Back Both Sides to Score in the Second Half: If you want to deploy a free bet on your account to pursue higher returns, you could also consider backing both sides to score in the second half at a price of 3.00 with Dachbet Sports. After all, Brentford have scored 10 of their 19 EPL goals in the second half this season, while Liverpool have struck 13 times between minutes 45 and 90 (which equates to more than 50% of their total goals).
  • Tip 3: Back Bryan Mbeumo to Score at Any Time: Brentford’s rapid forward Bryan Mbeumo has really stepped up in the absence of the suspended Ivan Toney, scoring six times in 11 EPL outings this season. He has scored three of these goals on the road against Fulham (twice) and Chelsea, while his direct running and intelligent movement is ideally suited to playing in transition. So, if Brentford do score at Anfield, he’s the man most likely, while you can back him as an anytime goalscorer at a price of 3.75 with TonyBet Sports.

1️⃣ Liverpool Update

Jurgen Klopp’s team has now lost just once in 22 Premier League matches since April 1st, with their attacking quality and goal threat pulling them out of several fires during this time. However, their form has faltered slightly in the last five games, with Liverpool having being held to draws by Brighton and Luton in addition to losing 2-1 at Spurs during this time. The team’s defensive vulnerabilities have also been exposed at times this season, with the side having kept just four clean sheets so far and proved to be particularly susceptible to counter attacks and turnovers high up the pitch. Both of these frailties will be probed by the Bees at Anfield, so the Reds will need to perform well to secure the three points.

Last 5 Games
Luton 1
Liverpool 1
05.11.23
Premier League
Bournemouth 1
Liverpool 2
01.11.23
EFL Cup
Liverpool 3
Nottingham Forest 0
29.10.23
Premier League
Liverpool 5
Toulouse 1
26.10.23
Europa League
Liverpool 2
Everton 0
21.10.23
Premier League

While Colombian winger Luis Diaz made a goalscoring intervention from the bench against Luton, it’s unclear whether he will be available against Brentford as his father remains missing after being kidnapped. The Reds will also be without Andy Robertson (shoulder injury) and Conor Bradley (back), while there remains no update on whether Spanish midfielder Thiago will return after experiencing general fitness issues. Ryan Gravenberch and centre-back Virgil van Dijk were also doubts ahead of the Europa League game at Toulouse, but both are expected to be available against Brentford.

PlayerReason
Andrew Robertson Shoulder Injury
Thiago Fitness
Conor Bradley Back Injury

2️⃣ Brentford Update

When Scott McTominay scored twice in stoppage to secure Man United a dramatic 2-1 win over Brentford on October 7th, the Bees slumped to 15th in the table having failed to win in six consecutive matches. However, since the end of the international break, the side has won three straight games and scored eight goals in total, while conceding twice and keeping two clean sheets. This sequence included a superb 2-0 win at Chelsea, while Thomas Frank’s side has now risen to the heady heights of 9th in the Premier League and will arrive at Anfield in the northwest in a genuinely confident mood!

Last 5 Games
Brentford 3
West Ham 2
04.11.23
Premier League
Chelsea 0
Brentford 2
28.10.23
Premier League
Brentford 3
Burnley 0
21.10.23
Premier League
Manchester United2
Brentford 1
07.10.23
Premier League
Nottingham Forest 1
Brentford 1
01.10.23
Premier League

Brentford continue to cope well without the suspended Ivan Toney, with the striker sidelined until January after breaching betting rules. Elsewhere, young forward Kevin Schade is out with an adductor injury, while Josh Dasilva is also sidelined with a hamstring strain. Danish winger Mikkel Damsgaard is also recuperating from knee surgery, while 25-year-old Shandon Baptiste will miss out due to a shoulder injury.

PlayerReason
Ivan Toney Suspended
Kevin Schade Adductor Injury
Josh Dasilva Hamstring Injury
Mikkel Damsgaard Knee Surgery
Shandon Baptiste Shoulder Injury

👕 Liverpool vs Brentford - Potential Lineups

Pos. Liverpool
4-3-3
Brentford
3-5-2
Pos.
Goalkeeper Alisson M. Flekken Goalkeeper
Right Back T. Alexander-Arnold K. Ajer Right Centre Back
Centre Back I. Konate N. Collins Centre Back
Centre Back V. van Dijk E. Pinnock Left Centre Back
Left Back K. Tsimikas V. Janelt Right Wing Back
Midfielder D. Szoboszlai F. Onyeka Midfielder
Midfielder A. Mac Allister C. Norgaard Midfielder
Midfielder W. Endo M. Jensen Midfielder
Wide Forward M. Salah Y. Wissa Left Wing Back
Striker C. Gakpo B. Mbeumo Striker
Wide Forward D. Jota N. Maupay Striker

Liverpool To Win!

✒️ Lewis Humphries – Expert Tipster

Lewis Humphries is an experienced football writer and tipster from the UK. He writes regularly about the Champions League, Premier League, Serie A and other competitions, regularly delivering expert match predictions and betting insights. He also successfully predicted the winner of the 2022 FIFA World Cup, while accurately forecasting the outcome of several group stage and knockout games.

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