Tournament | Premier League |
Timetable | 12:30 GMT, 3rd Feb 24 |
Prediction | Tottenham to Win! |
Odds | 2.30 |
Bookmaker | betway |
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Everton’s rollercoaster season will continue with a home game against Spurs at the weekend, with the Toffees now behind Luton and mired in the relegation zone. In addition to their controversial 10 point deduction for breaches of financial sustainability rules, they’re also winless in five Premier League games, while they’ll face a Spurs side that has taken 13 points from the last 18 available to them. However, Goodison Park is always a hostile place for visiting teams, which is why the odds from the best betting sites are relatively even. But which team do I think will win?
🏆 Everton vs Tottenham EPL Prediction
This is one of the most prestigious games in English football history, with Everton and Spurs having met 187 times since February 1904. Most recently, Tottenham have held a distinct edge over the Toffees, with Everton only winning two of the last 23 head-to-head clashes in all competitions since December 2012.
Spurs also won the reverse fixture 2-1 at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in December, although Everton were competitive throughout here and more than held their own. The Toffees are certainly tenacious and defensively well-organised under manager Sean Dyche, having completed 1,152 ball recoveries in 2023/24 (second only to Liverpool) and won 53.6% of their aerial duels.
However, Everton are only averaging 39.1% possession per 90 this season, compared to 59.3% for Ange Postecoglou’s proactive Spurs outfit. So, despite the Toffees’ home advantage, I expect Spurs to dominate the ball and territory at Goodison, while it should be noted that Tottenham’s tally of 28.76 shot-creating actions per 90 minutes is the fourth highest in the league.
With James Maddison and Micky van der Ven both back in side too, Spurs should find it easier to both make the most of their possession and minimise Everton’s threat in transition. So, I’m tipping a narrow win for Tottenham here, in a game where both sides find the back of the net.
My Prediction: 🏆 Everton 1 – 2 Tottenham ⚽
💯 Everton vs Tottenham EPL Match Odds
You’ll be able to access a huge range of football betting markets when wagering on Everton vs Tottenham. These include particularly popular markets like the match winner, BTTS and the over/under on total goals scored. But do the odds associated with these markets offer tangible value?
🏅 Everton vs Tottenham: Match Winner
Betinireland’s sportsbooks are somewhat split when it comes to the match-winner market. So, while Tottenham are the narrow favourites, an away win is by no means guaranteed.
Team | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Everton to Win | 2.90 | 2.90 | 2.85 | 2.87 | 2.84 |
Tottenham to Win | 2.30 | 2.30 | 2.37 | 2.30 | 2.30 |
Draw | 3.60 | 3.60 | 3.60 | 3.60 | 3.60 |
⚽ Everton vs Tottenham: Both Teams To Score
Both teams have scored in just 27% of Everton’s home matches, with the Toffees drawing five blanks and keeping four clean sheets in 11 games at Goodison. Conversely, Spurs and their opponents have found the net in 73% of their away matches and 76% of their games overall, which highlights the level of risk that characterises their play.
Yes/No | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | 1.50 | 1.50 | 1.48 | 1.55 | 1.50 |
No | 2.34 | 2.34 | 4.50 | 2.40 | 2.48 |
🥅 Everton vs Tottenham: Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Between them, Everton and Spurs have contested 43 EPL matches in 2023/24. These have yielded 127 goals at a rate of 2.95 per game, with Tottenham having both scored and conceded more than their gameweek 23 rivals. Interestingly, 73% of Spurs’ away matches have seen over 2.5 goals scored, and the bookies expect this trend to continue at Goodison this weekend.
Under/Over | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Over 2.5 Goals | 1.61 | 1.61 | 1.63 | 1.65 | 1.58 |
Under 2.5 Goals | 2.23 | 2.23 | 2.28 | 2.20 | 2.23 |
✔️ Everton vs Tottenham - Betting Tips
Whether you want to wager your hard-earned cash or deploy one or more free bets when betting on the clash between Everton and Spurs, there are ample markets you may want to consider. Here are some betting tips to help you navigate these successfully.
- Tip 1: Back Tottenham to Win and Both Teams to Score: In contrast to the relative lack of goals at Goodison Park this season, Spurs’ 21 Premier League games have produced 75 goals at a rate of 3.57 per 90. Tottenham also deploy an incredibly aggressive press and high defensive line, which will suit Everton’s direct counter-attacking style. Given this and the return of James Maddison for the Lilywhites, I think there’s value in backing Spurs to win and both teams to score at a price of 4.20 with Betway.
- Tip 2: Back Richarlison as an Anytime Goalscorer: In the continued absence of Son Heung-min (who’s away on international duty at the Asia Cup), former Toffees striker Richarlison will again lead the line for Spurs at Goodison Park. Interestingly, the Brazilian striker has already scored twice in four appearances against Everton since signing for Tottenham, so I think there’s value in backing him as an anytime goalscorer at the competitive price of 3.25 with LegendPlay Sports.
- Tip 3: Back Tottenham to Win by a Single Goal: Even if you agree with me that Spurs will beat Everton at Goodison Park, you’re probably expecting a relatively tight and keenly contested game. The Toffees are certainly more defensively sound and more aggressive since the appointment of Sean Dyche as manager, while only Man United (3-0) and Man City (3-1) have beaten them by more than a single goal at Goodison this season. So, consider backing Spurs to win by the odd goal at Betway.
1️⃣ Everton Update
Everton endured a disappointing 0-0 draw against Aston Villa last time out at Goodison Park, while they also drew a blank in the goalless tie at Fulham in midweek.
They’re now without a goal in 331 minutes of competitive Premier League football since Jack Harrison gave the Toffees the lead against Manchester City on December 27th. At the heart of their goalscoring issues is the form of striker Dominic Calvert-Lewin, who hasn’t scored in 12 EPL games since he hit the winner at West Ham on October 29th. Overall, he has just three league goals this season from an xG value of 7.6.
Last 5 Games | |
---|---|
Fulham 0 Everton 0 | 30.01.24 Premier League |
Everton 1 Luton Town 2 | 27.01.24 FA Cup |
Everton 1 Crystal Palace 0 | 17.01.24 FA Cup |
Everton 0 Aston Villa 0 | 14.01.24 Premier League |
Crystal Palace 0 Everton 0 | 04.01.24 FA Cup |
Everton remain without the influential Abdoulaye Doucoure, as he continues his recovery from a thigh injury. Andre Gomes (calf injury) and Amadou Onana (knee) will also miss the visit of Spurs, although veteran right-back Seamus Coleman may recover from his thigh strain in time. Dele Alli is a long-term absentee thanks to a hip complaint, while Idrissa Gana Gueye may be back in contention after Senegal’s heartbreaking elimination from the African Cup of Nations.
Player | Reason |
---|---|
Abdoulaye Doucoure | Thigh Injury |
Andre Gomes | Calf Injury |
Amadou Onana | Knee Injury |
Seamus Coleman | Thigh Injury |
Dele Alli | Hip Injury |
2️⃣ Tottenham Update
While an extensive injury crisis precipitated a run of five EPL games without a win between November 6th and December 7th, Spurs have since rebounded and taken 13 points from their next six matches. This sequence included a 4-1 thumping of Newcastle at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, while they were arguably slightly unfortunate to only earn a point at Old Trafford last time out despite twice falling behind. As a result, Spurs have moved five points clear of sixth-placed West Ham, while they’re now just three points behind Aston Villa and have a game in hand in the quest for Champions League football.
Last 5 Games | |
---|---|
Tottenham 0 Man City 1 | 26.01.24 FA Cup |
Man United 2 Tottenham 2 | 14.01.24 Premier League |
Tottenham 1 Burnley 0 | 05.01.24 FA Cup |
Tottenham 3 Bournemouth 1 | 31.12.23 Premier League |
Brighton 4 Tottenham 2 | 28.12.23 Premier League |
Spurs absentee crisis is finally starting to ease, with James Maddison, Micky van der Ven and Cristian Romero all fully recovered from recent injuries. However, Yves Bissouma remains on international duty at the African Cup of Nations, although Pape Sarr has now returned after Senegal’s quarterfinal exit to host the Ivory Coast. Skipper Son Heung-min remains at the Asia Cup with South Korea, while Manor Solomon (knee injury), Ryan Sessegnon (thigh) and young forward Alejo Veliz (knee) are all sidelined. Giovani Lo Celso is closing in on a return after a thigh strain, but this match may come a little too soon.
Player | Reason |
---|---|
Yves Bissouma | International Duty |
Son Heung-min | International Duty |
Manor Solomon | Knee Injury |
Ryan Sessegnon | Thigh Injury |
Alejo Veliz | Knee Injury |
Giovani Lo Celso | Thigh Injury |
👕 Everton vs Tottenham - Potential Lineups
Pos. | Everton 5-4-1 | Tottenham 4-2-3-1 | Pos. |
---|---|---|---|
Goalkeeper | J. Pickford | G. Vicario | Goalkeeper |
Right Wing Back | N. Patterson | P. Porro | Right Back |
Right Centre Back | J. Tarkowski | C. Romero | Centre Back |
Centre Back | J. Branthwaite | M. van der Ven | Centre Back |
Left Centre Back | M. Keane | D. Udogie | Left Back |
Left Wing Back | V. Mykolenko | R. Bentancur | Midfielder |
Right Midfielder | J. Harrison | Pape Matar Sarr | Midfielder |
Central Midfielder | J. Garner | J. Maddison | Midfielder |
Central Midfielder | D. McNeil | D. Kulusevski | Wide Forward |
Left Midfielder | A. Danjuma | Richarlison | Striker |
Striker | Beto | B. Johnson | Wide Forward |
✒️ Lewis Humphries – Expert Tipster
Lewis Humphries is an experienced football writer and tipster from the UK. He writes regularly about the Champions League, Premier League, Serie A and other competitions, regularly delivering expert match predictions and betting insights. He also successfully predicted the winner of the 2022 FIFA World Cup, while accurately forecasting the outcome of several group stage and knockout games.
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