Everton vs Man United Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips
| Timetable | 16:30 GMT, 26th Nov 23 |
| Prediction | Everton to win |
| Odds | 2.80 |
| Bookmaker | TonyBet Sports |
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The return of the Premier League serves up an intriguing clash at Goodison Park, as Everton play their first game since the controversial deduction of 10 points for a breach of the Premier League’s Profitability and Sustainability Rules. This could be bad news for Manchester United, who will surely face a hostile crowd and a home side who will now redouble their efforts to fight against relegation this season. The Red Devils’ away form is already pretty poor (they’ve lost 10 games on the road in all competitions through 2023 alone), but can they raise their intensity levels on Merseyside and which team do the best betting sites think will prevail?
🏆 Everton vs Man United EPL Prediction
Everton vs Manchester United is one of English football’s biggest rivalries, with the two sides having played 211 games since September 24th, 1892. United have won 93 of these matches (Everton have been victorious on 71 occasions), while the Red Devils have only been beaten in one of their last 10 clashes with the Toffees in all competitions.
Despite the relative turmoil surrounding both clubs of late, Everton and United remain in good form ahead of their latest clash at Goodison Park. More specifically, Erik ten Hag’s men have taken 18 points from the last 30 available to them (and earned more points than both Liverpool and Man City during their last six matches), while Everton have lost only one of their previous five EPL games and gone unbeaten since October 21st.
Interestingly, Everton have a higher xG value than United this season (17.9 vs 17.5), although both teams are underperforming in this metric in terms of the actual number of goals that they’ve scored. Everton have also created 23 big chances in the EPL in 2023/24 (two more than Manchester United), while their tally of 146 tackles won is the second-highest in the league and significantly higher than United’s (115).
Above all else, the Red Devils continue to struggle with injuries and could be without 10 first-team players when they visit Goodison, while they’ve found it difficult to cope with hard-running and intense teams on the road this season. This augers well for Everton, who I’m tipping to edge a low-scoring clash in front of their own fans.
My Prediction: 🏆 Everton 1 – 0 Manchester United⚽
💯 Everton vs Man United EPL Match Odds
The sites covered by Betinireland’s bookmaker reviews are offering a huge range of Everton vs Manchester United betting markets, including the match winner, BTTS (or not), and the over/under on how many goals will be scored in the game. Here’s some analysis of these markets and their latest odds.
🏅 Everton vs Man United: Match Winner
The bookies are largely split on which of these two sides will win at Goodison Park, although United are the narrow favourites with most sportsbooks. The current odds imply a 40.00% chance that the Reds Devils will beat Everton away for the second season in succession, while the Toffees have a 36.36% chance of winning.
| Team |  |  |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton to Win | 2.75 | 2.63 | 2.63 | 2.80 | 2.75 |
| Manchester United to Win | 2.50 | 2.40 | 2.44 | 2.50 | 2.55 |
| Draw | 3.40 | 3.50 | 3.35 | 3.40 | 3.50 |
⚽ Everton vs Man United: Both Teams To Score
Both teams have scored in seven of Everton’s 15 matches this season, with the Toffees keeping three clean sheets and failing to score on five occasions (although four of these instances came during the first five EPL games of the season). As for United, both sides have found the net in eight of their 18 games in all competitions, with these matches seeing United keep six clean sheets and draw four blanks in total.
| Yes/No | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 1.60 | 1.65 | 1.59 | 1.60 | 1.57 |
| No | 2.20 | 2.20 | 2.17 | 2.20 | 2.25 |
🥅 Everton vs Man United: Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Between them, Everton and Manchester United have contested 33 matches in all competitions this season, with these encounters producing 95 goals at a rate of 2.87 per game. However, the teams have scored just 1.40 and 1.38 goals per game respectively in 2023/24, so this may influence how you evaluate the over/under market for the total number of goals scored in the match.
| Under/Over | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 1.75 | 1.80 | 1.75 | 1.75 | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 1.95 | 1.95 | 1.93 | 1.95 | 2.00 |
✔️ Everton vs Man United - Betting Tips
These markets represent just the tip of the iceberg when betting on the EPL match between Everton and Manchester United, and there are plenty of opportunities to identify and create value as a punter. Below, you’ll find some expert betting tips to help you get the absolute most from your starting bankroll!
- Tip 1: Back Everton to Win Outright: As the bookies are split on the likely match winner here, there’s significant value in backing Everton to win outright at a price of 2.80 with TonyBet. The Toffees are now on a mini-run of three games unbeaten at home, while United’s injury crisis and lack of goals makes them incredibly vulnerable. If you’re unsure, you could also engage in matched betting and lay this back bet at the same price, covering all potential match outcomes and guaranteeing some type of financial return.
- Tip 2: Back Everton to Win With Under 2.5 Goals Scored: Everton have scored just five goals in five EPL games at Goodison Park this season, while the Red Devils have the same record on the road. The Red Devils may also be without Rasmus Højlund, while fellow forwards Anthony Martial, Marcus Rashford, Alejandro Garnacho, and Anthony have only one EPL goal between them in 2023/24. So, there’s some value in backing Everton to win with under 2.5 goals scored at a price of 6.00 with Betway.
- Tip 3: Back Abdoulaye Doucoure as an Anytime Goalscorer: If you have one or more free bets available on your account, you may also want to consider backing Everton’s Abdoulaye Doucoure as anytime goalscorer at a price of 5.50 with Dachbet Sports. The former Watford midfielder has already scored four Premier League goals in 15 appearances this season, while his powerful running will cause issues for an injury-hit United midfield that’s lacking in physicality.
1️⃣ Everton Update
While the Toffees have only won seven of their 15 matches (46.67%) in 2023/24, this needs record needs to be put in the context of a team that lost four of its first five Premier League games and didn’t record a victory until September 23rd. Since this date, however, Everton have only lost two of their nine matches in all competitions, while Sean Dyche’s men have also progressed to the quarterfinals of the EFL Cup. Of course, the recent points deduction has sent the Toffees tumbling back into the relegation zone, so the fans will be expecting a reaction and show of defiance when Man United roll into town.
| Last 5 Games | |
|---|---|
| Crystal Palace 2 Everton 3 | 11.11.23 Premier League |
| Everton 1 Brighton 1 | 04.11.23 Premier League |
| Everton 3 Burnley 0 | 01.11.23 EFL Cup |
| West Ham 0 Everton 1 | 29.10.23 Premier League |
| Liverpool 2 Everton 0 | 21.10.23 Premier League |
The Toffees should have no new injury or suspension worries ahead of Manchester United’s visit, although they remain without several long-term absentees. These include Seamus Coleman (knee injury) and Andre Gomes (general fitness), while former Spurs midfielder Dele Alli remains unavailable with a partial muscle tear.
| Player | Reason |
|---|---|
| Seamus Coleman | Knee Injury |
| Andre Gomes | General Fitness |
| Dele Alli | Partial Muscle Tear |
2️⃣ Manchester United Update
Manchester United’s 1-0 win against Luton was their ninth victory in 18 matches this season, while the side have also lost the same number of games in all competitions. Even more alarmingly, they’ve conceded more goals (30) than they have scored (25) during this run of games, with Bruno Fernandes and Scott McTominay United’s joint top EPL scorers with just three goals apiece. The good news for United is that Alejandro Garnacho (5.33) and Fernandes (5.08) are in the top five for shot-creating actions per 90 in the Premier League, so they just need to find someone who can convert chances in the final third.
| Last 5 Games | |
|---|---|
| Man United 1 Luton Town 0 | 11.11.23 Premier League |
| FC Copenhagen 4 Man United 3 | 08.11.23 Champions League |
| Fulham 0 Man United 1 | 04.11.23 Premier League |
| Man United 0 Newcastle 3 | 01.11.23 EFL Cup |
| Man United 0 Man City 3 | 29.10.23 Premier League |
United have been boosted by the return of left-back Luke Shaw to training, although the match at Goodison Park may have come too soon for the England star. Top scorer Rasmus Højlund is also expected to miss out with a hamstring strain, while midfield pair Casemiro (knock) and Cristian Eriksen (knee injury) have been ruled out too. Tyrell Malacia and Amad Diallo (both knee), Lisandro Martinez (foot), and Jadon Sancho (discipline) are all long-term absentees, while veteran centre-back Jonny Evans will miss out with a hamstring injury. Keeper Andre Onana was injured while on international duty with Cameroon and there has yet to be an update about the extent of this issue.
| Player | Reason |
|---|---|
| Rasmus Højlund | Hamstring Strain |
| Casemiro | Knock |
| Cristian Eriksen | Knee Injury |
| Tyrell Malacia | Knee Injury |
| Amad Diallo | Knee Injury |
| Lisandro Martinez | Foot Injury |
| Jadon Sancho | Discipline | Jonny Evans | Hamstring Injury |
| Andre Onana | Unknown Injury |
👕 Everton vs Man United - Potential Lineups
| Pos. | Everton 4-4-1-1 | Man United 4-2-3-1 | Pos. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goalkeeper | J. Pickford | A. Bayındır | Goalkeeper |
| Right Back | A. Young | A. Wan-Bissaka | Right Back |
| Centre Back | J. Tarkowski | H. Maguire | Centre Back |
| Centre Back | J. Branthwaite | V. Lindelof | Centre Back |
| Left Back | V. Mykolenko | D. Dalot | Left Back |
| Right Midfielder | J. Harrison | S. Amrabat | Midfielder |
| Midfielder | J. Garner | S. McTominay | Midfielder |
| Midfielder | A. Onana | B. Fernandes | Midfielder |
| Left Midfielder | D. McNeil | M. Rashford | Wide Forward |
| Attacking Midfielder | A. Doucouré | A. Martial | Striker |
| Striker | D. Calvert-Lewin | A. Garnacho | Wide Forward |
✒️ Lewis Humphries – Expert Tipster
Lewis Humphries is an experienced football writer and tipster from the UK. He writes regularly about the Champions League, Premier League, Serie A and other competitions, regularly delivering expert match predictions and betting insights. He also successfully predicted the winner of the 2022 FIFA World Cup, while accurately forecasting the outcome of several group stage and knockout games.
