Brighton vs Crystal Palace Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips

🏆 Brighton vs Crystal Palace EPL Prediction

The recent head-to-head record between these two teams certainly makes for interesting reading, with four of the last five (and six of the previous 10) meetings ending in 1-1 stalemates. Even more intriguingly, Brighton have only won one of their last 10 matches against Palace, although this did come in last season’s corresponding fixture in March 2023.

Seagulls’ boss Roberto De Zerbi will also draw solace from his team’s home form so far in 2023/24. In fact, Brighton have lost just once in 11 games at the Amex, while they’re unbeaten in nine here since West Ham triumphed 3-1 on August 26th. While Palace have won more points on the road (12) than they have at home (nine), this has more to do with their wretched form at Selhurst Park than anything else.

They’re also winless in five away games since beating Burnley 2-0 at Turf Moor on November 4th, while the Eagles continue to struggle as a creative force. Only Burnley (21) and Sheffield United (17) have scored less goals than Palace (22) this season, for example, while they’re averaging just 3.95 shots on target per 90 (compared to 6.00 for Brighton).

It’s clear that Brighton will dominate possession at the Amex, with only Manchester City seeing more off the ball on average this season and Palace preferring to play on the counterattack. I also expect the Gulls to create plenty of chances, while their in-form striker João Pedro is now providing a cutting edge that the seasiders often lack. This could make the difference, so I’m backing Brighton to win and both sides to score on the south coast!

💯 Brighton vs Crystal Palace EPL Match Odds

Whichever sportsbook you choose from Betinireland’s detailed bookmaker reviews, it’s sure to offer a huge range of Brighton vs Crystal Palace betting markets. These include the match winner, BTTS and the over/under on total goals scored, but how are these markets currently being priced?

🏅 Brighton vs Crystal Palace: Match Winner

Brighton can be backed at around 1.57 to defeat Palace at the Amex Stadum, implying a 63.69% probability of a home victory. Conversely, Palace are priced as long as 5.50 to beat the Seagulls, so they only have a 18.18% chance of prevailing. You can bet on the draw at 4.00, which has a 25% chance of occurring and is the second most likely result statistically speaking.

Team
Brighton to Win	1.65	1.65	1.70	1.70	1.65
Crystal Palace to Win	5.00	5.00	4.75	4.50	4.85
Draw	4.00	4.00	4.00	4.00	3.95

⚽ Brighton vs Crystal Palace: Both Teams To Score

Last time out against Wolves, Brighton failed to score for the first time in 23 outings at the Amex Stadium. Overall, however, both teams have scored in 91% of Brighton’s home matches this season, while this figure drops to 86% across all games. Interestingly, the Eagles have yet to win on the road in matches where both sides have found the net in 2023/24, with Palace having scored more than once in just two of their 11 away games.

Yes/No
Yes	1.72	1.72	1.69	1.78	1.68
No	4.00	4.00	2.80	2.05	2.10

🥅 Brighton vs Crystal Palace: Over/Under 2.5 Goals

62% of Brighton’s EPL matches have produced over 2.5 goals in 2023/24, while 64% of their home games have been similarly prolific. As for Palace, 52% of their matches have seen more than 2.5 goals scored, although this figure increases slightly to 55% when the Eagles play away from Selhurst Park. Palace are certainly more prolific on the road, scoring 14 of their 22 goals (63.63%) in away games.

Under/Over
Over 2.5 Goals	1.71	1.71	1.75	1.70	1.69
Under 2.5 Goals	2.06	2.06	2.10	2.10	2.04

1️⃣ Brighton Update

Brighton’s form has been patchy for much of the 2023/24 season, after winning five of their first six matches and plundering an impressive 18 goals during this sequence. Starting with a 6-1 thrashing at Villa on 30th September, however, the Seagulls have won just three of their 15 Premier League matches and experienced defeat on four occasions. Most of the their issues have been concentrated in defence, with the Gulls having conceded more goals (33) than any other team in the top 11. They’ve also won just 42.6% of their tackles, with only Newcastle faring worse in this respect.

Brighton will remain without forwards Kaoru Mitoma and Simon Adringa, who are on international duty at the AFC Asia Cup and AFCON respectively. Joel Veltman (knee injury) and Anssumane Fati (thigh) are also ruled out until the middle of February, while Julio Enciso continues to struggle with a knee complaint. Solly March remains a long-term absentee too, with a serious knee injury expected to keep him out until the end of the 2023/24 campaign.

2️⃣ Crystal Palace Update

Palace’s run of one win in 10 Premier League games has plunged them into relegation contention, while they’d be even closer to the drop zone were it not for Everton’s previous 10-point deduction. However, the good news is that three of their five Premier League wins in 2023/24 have come on the road, while Palace have also scored 14 of their 22 EPL goals away from home. However, they’ve also conceded 21 times on their travels (compared to just 13 at home), including five during their recent thrashing at Arsenal. In all competitions, the Eagles have only won twice in 16 matches since 30th September.

Palace should be boosted by the return of talented winger Michae Olise, who has now recovered from a thigh strain. Jesurun Rak-Sakyi may also be available after a similar injury, although right back Joel Ward will be out for a little while longer with a thigh complaint. Rob Holding (ankle) and Cheick Doucoure (Achilles) remain long-term absentees, and are both likely to miss the remainder of the 2023/24 campaign. Jordan Ayew may be available after Ghana’s shock elimination from the African Cup of Nations.

👕 Brighton vs Crystal Palace - Potential Lineups

✒️ Lewis Humphries – Expert Tipster

Lewis Humphries is an experienced football writer and tipster from the UK. He writes regularly about the Champions League, Premier League, Serie A and other competitions, regularly delivering expert match predictions and betting insights. He also successfully predicted the winner of the 2022 FIFA World Cup, while accurately forecasting the outcome of several group stage and knockout games.