Brighton vs Crystal Palace Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips

brighton-v-crystal-palace brighton-v-crystal-palace
TournamentPremier League
Timetable15:00 GMT, 3rd Feb 24
PredictionBrighton to Win!
Odds1.65
Bookmakerbetway
Brighton to Win!
The best odds
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brighton-v-crystal-palace brighton-v-crystal-palace

After qualifying for the fifth round of the FA Cup, Brighton will return to Premier League action as Crystal Palace visit the Amex Stadium. While the Seagulls have only won three of their previous 10 EPL matches, Palace are in even worse form, having taken just six points from the previous 30 available to them and slumped to 15th in the table. Unsurprisingly, Brighton are the favourites among the best betting sites, but it should be noted that four of the previous five head-to-head clashes have ended in 1-1 draws. So, who will prevail on the south coast?

🏆 Brighton vs Crystal Palace EPL Prediction

The recent head-to-head record between these two teams certainly makes for interesting reading, with four of the last five (and six of the previous 10) meetings ending in 1-1 stalemates. Even more intriguingly, Brighton have only won one of their last 10 matches against Palace, although this did come in last season’s corresponding fixture in March 2023.

Seagulls’ boss Roberto De Zerbi will also draw solace from his team’s home form so far in 2023/24. In fact, Brighton have lost just once in 11 games at the Amex, while they’re unbeaten in nine here since West Ham triumphed 3-1 on August 26th. While Palace have won more points on the road (12) than they have at home (nine), this has more to do with their wretched form at Selhurst Park than anything else.

They’re also winless in five away games since beating Burnley 2-0 at Turf Moor on November 4th, while the Eagles continue to struggle as a creative force. Only Burnley (21) and Sheffield United (17) have scored less goals than Palace (22) this season, for example, while they’re averaging just 3.95 shots on target per 90 (compared to 6.00 for Brighton).

It’s clear that Brighton will dominate possession at the Amex, with only Manchester City seeing more off the ball on average this season and Palace preferring to play on the counterattack. I also expect the Gulls to create plenty of chances, while their in-form striker João Pedro is now providing a cutting edge that the seasiders often lack. This could make the difference, so I’m backing Brighton to win and both sides to score on the south coast!

My Prediction: 🏆 Brighton 2 – 1 Crystal Palace ⚽

💯 Brighton vs Crystal Palace EPL Match Odds

Whichever sportsbook you choose from Betinireland’s detailed bookmaker reviews, it’s sure to offer a huge range of Brighton vs Crystal Palace betting markets. These include the match winner, BTTS and the over/under on total goals scored, but how are these markets currently being priced?

🏅 Brighton vs Crystal Palace: Match Winner

Brighton can be backed at around 1.57 to defeat Palace at the Amex Stadum, implying a 63.69% probability of a home victory. Conversely, Palace are priced as long as 5.50 to beat the Seagulls, so they only have a 18.18% chance of prevailing. You can bet on the draw at 4.00, which has a 25% chance of occurring and is the second most likely result statistically speaking.

Team
Brighton to Win1.651.651.701.701.65
Crystal Palace to Win5.005.004.754.504.85
Draw4.004.004.004.003.95

⚽ Brighton vs Crystal Palace: Both Teams To Score

Last time out against Wolves, Brighton failed to score for the first time in 23 outings at the Amex Stadium. Overall, however, both teams have scored in 91% of Brighton’s home matches this season, while this figure drops to 86% across all games. Interestingly, the Eagles have yet to win on the road in matches where both sides have found the net in 2023/24, with Palace having scored more than once in just two of their 11 away games.

Yes/No
Yes1.721.721.691.781.68
No4.004.002.802.052.10

🥅 Brighton vs Crystal Palace: Over/Under 2.5 Goals

62% of Brighton’s EPL matches have produced over 2.5 goals in 2023/24, while 64% of their home games have been similarly prolific. As for Palace, 52% of their matches have seen more than 2.5 goals scored, although this figure increases slightly to 55% when the Eagles play away from Selhurst Park. Palace are certainly more prolific on the road, scoring 14 of their 22 goals (63.63%) in away games.

Under/Over
Over 2.5 Goals1.711.711.751.701.69
Under 2.5 Goals2.062.062.102.102.04

✔️ Brighton vs Crystal Palace - Betting Tips

Matches between Brighton and Palace have been both tight and relatively low scoring in recent years, with the last 10 encounters producing exactly 20 goals at 2.00 per game. This is contributing to several tight and evenly priced markets, so here are some betting tips to help you navigate these successfully!

  • Tip 1: Back Brighton to Win and Both Teams to Score: Both teams have scored in six of the last seven clashes between these two sides, including the 1-1 draw at Selhurst Park last month. Palace also retain a goal threat on the break and are more potent away from home, while the likely return of winger Michael Olise from injury will provide a huge boost. However, I think Brighton’s home advantage and the form of João Pedro will help the Seagulls to prevail, so get on De Zerbi’s side to win and both teams to score at Palm Slots Sports.
  • Tip 2: Back João Pedro as an Anytime Goalscorer: The aforementioned João Pedro now has 18 goals in all competitions for Brighton this season, including seven in 21 EPL outings at a rate of 0.51 per 90. Since December 28th, he has also struck seven goals in just five appearances, including a superb hattrick at Sheffield United in the fourth round of the FA Cup. So, he’s in a rich vein of form, and offers value as an anytime scorer at a price of 2.75 with LegendPlay.
  • Tip 3: Back Brighton to Win by a Single Goal: Given the recent results between these two sides, it’s unlikely that either side is going to triumph convincingly. Despite winning five of their first six EPL games by two goals or more this season, Brighton have only achieved this once since September 24th (a 4-2 victory at home to Spurs on December 28th). So, if you have one or more free bets on your sports betting account, consider backing Brighton to win by the odd goal at LegendPlay Sports.

1️⃣ Brighton Update

Brighton’s form has been patchy for much of the 2023/24 season, after winning five of their first six matches and plundering an impressive 18 goals during this sequence. Starting with a 6-1 thrashing at Villa on 30th September, however, the Seagulls have won just three of their 15 Premier League matches and experienced defeat on four occasions. Most of the their issues have been concentrated in defence, with the Gulls having conceded more goals (33) than any other team in the top 11. They’ve also won just 42.6% of their tackles, with only Newcastle faring worse in this respect.

Last 5 Games
Sheffield United 2
Brighton 5
27.01.24
FA Cup
Brighton 0
Wolves 0
22.01.24
Premier League
Stoke City 2
Brighton 4
06.01.24
FA Cup
West Ham 0
Brighton 0
02.01.24
Premier League
Brighton 4
Tottenham 2
28.12.23
Premier League

Brighton will remain without forwards Kaoru Mitoma and Simon Adringa, who are on international duty at the AFC Asia Cup and AFCON respectively. Joel Veltman (knee injury) and Anssumane Fati (thigh) are also ruled out until the middle of February, while Julio Enciso continues to struggle with a knee complaint. Solly March remains a long-term absentee too, with a serious knee injury expected to keep him out until the end of the 2023/24 campaign.

PlayerReason
Kaoru Mitoma International Duty
Simon Adringa International Duty
Joel Veltman Knee Injury
Anssumane Fati Thigh Injury
Julio Enciso Knee Injury
Solly March Knee Injury

2️⃣ Crystal Palace Update

Palace’s run of one win in 10 Premier League games has plunged them into relegation contention, while they’d be even closer to the drop zone were it not for Everton’s previous 10-point deduction. However, the good news is that three of their five Premier League wins in 2023/24 have come on the road, while Palace have also scored 14 of their 22 EPL goals away from home. However, they’ve also conceded 21 times on their travels (compared to just 13 at home), including five during their recent thrashing at Arsenal. In all competitions, the Eagles have only won twice in 16 matches since 30th September.

Last 5 Games
Arsenal 5
Crystal Palace 0
20.01.24
Premier League
Everton 1
Crystal Palace 0
17.01.24
FA Cup
Crystal Palace 0
Everton 0
04.01.24
FA Cup
Crystal Palace 3
Brentford 1
30.12.23
Premier League
Chelsea 2
Crystal Palace 1
27.12.23
Premier League

Palace should be boosted by the return of talented winger Michae Olise, who has now recovered from a thigh strain. Jesurun Rak-Sakyi may also be available after a similar injury, although right back Joel Ward will be out for a little while longer with a thigh complaint. Rob Holding (ankle) and Cheick Doucoure (Achilles) remain long-term absentees, and are both likely to miss the remainder of the 2023/24 campaign. Jordan Ayew may be available after Ghana’s shock elimination from the African Cup of Nations.

PlayerReason
Jesurun Rak-Sakyi Thigh Injury
Joel Ward Thigh Injury
Rob Holding Ankle Injury
Cheick Doucoure Torn Achilles

👕 Brighton vs Crystal Palace - Potential Lineups

Pos. Brighton
4-2-3-1
Crystal Palace
4-2-3-1
Pos.
Goalkeeper J. Steele D. Henderson Goalkeeper
Right Back J. Hinshelwood N. Clyne Right Back
Centre Back Jan Paul van Hecke J. Andersen Centre Back
Centre Back L. Dunk M. Guehi Centre Back
Left Back P. Estupiñán T. Mitchell Left Back
Midfielder B. Gilmour J. Lerma Midfielder
Midfielder J. Milner W. Hughes Midfielder
Midfielder P. Groß E. Eze Midfielder
Wide Forward F. Buonanotte M. Olise Wide Forward
Striker E. Ferguson J. Mateta Striker
Wide Forward J. Pedro J. Ayew Wide Forward

Brighton to Win!

✒️ Lewis Humphries – Expert Tipster

Lewis Humphries is an experienced football writer and tipster from the UK. He writes regularly about the Champions League, Premier League, Serie A and other competitions, regularly delivering expert match predictions and betting insights. He also successfully predicted the winner of the 2022 FIFA World Cup, while accurately forecasting the outcome of several group stage and knockout games.

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