Aston Villa vs Brighton Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips

aston-villa-v-brighton-banner aston-villa-v-brighton-banner
TournamentPremier League
TimetableSaturday, 30 September 2023, 1:30 pm
PredictionWin for Aston Villa!
OddsAston Villa to win @ 3.18
BookmakerRoyalistplay Sports
Win for Aston Villa!
The best odds
You will receive €100 x 3.18 = €318 on a win for Aston Villa & over 2.5 goals.
Legend Play Sports
Odds : 3.10
You will receive €100 x 3.10 = €310 on a win for Aston Villa & over 2.5 goals.

📝 Facts

  • After a strong 2022/23 season that ended in seventh place in the Premier League, Aston Villa are in the Conference League this season. With 12 points after six matchdays, their start to the season has been successful, but the ten goals conceded so far point to defensive weaknesses.
  • Brighton & Hove have had a sensational season, finishing sixth on a modest budget. With five wins and only one defeat against West Ham, Roberto De Zerbi's team has made a furious start to the new season - particularly impressive is the goal yield so far with 18 goals.
  • We are in for a very even match on Saturday. However, due to the previous record, the quality of the squad and the home strength, we tend to favour a win for the home side. Furthermore, the previous results in the Premier League give hope for a possible goal spectacle, which is why we expect more than 2.5 goals in this match.

⚽ My Prediction

We expect a spirited game at Villa Park, as both Aston Villa and Brighton have made successful starts to the new season and have ambitious goals. In this match, we are facing two teams that have provided offensive spectacles in recent games.

Aston have averaged 3.66 goals in their games so far this season, while Brighton have averaged 4.33 goals in their games. These impressive figures lead us to believe that another match will be played in which more than 2.5 goals will be scored.

All in all, we are in for a very even match. Brighton's current strength of form and the self-confidence that goes with it certainly speaks in their favour. But there are also numerous indicators that speak for a victory for the home side. Aston Villa have a stronger squad with a total market value that is roughly twice as high in direct comparison. Especially on the offensive side, the team has some top-class players.

In addition, the home strength of the Lions should not be underestimated, as Umai Emery's team has won 11 home games in a row. The head-to-head record also points to a win for the hosts. Brighton have only won two of their 16 direct encounters. Given the facts, we expect Aston Villa to win by more than 2.5 goals.

💯 Odds

Our bookmakers seem to expect a completely open game, as the current betting odds do not suggest a favourite. Likewise, a high-scoring game is expected.

Aston Villa📊Brighton
Double chance:
Over 2.5 goals: 1.40
Under 2.5 goals: 2.78
Both teams score - Yes: 1.31
Both teams score - No: 2.97

🔎 Overview

The Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Brighton can certainly be described as a top match, as both teams have made a successful start to the new season. Although we cannot draw on extensive head-to-head statistics for this match, the balance after 16 direct encounters speaks for itself.

Aston Villa have recorded ten wins, while the teams have drawn four games. Brighton have only managed to win two duels so far. Aston Villa also won the two encounters in the 2022/23 season 2-1 on both occasions.

Aston Villa

The Lions finished seventh last season and thus secured their participation in the Conference League. In this competition, Unai Emery's team is considered the clear favourite, but after the unexpected opening defeat against Warsaw, one can certainly speak of a false start. However, with four wins and two defeats, the start in the Premier League was relatively successful.

Last games
24.09. Chelsea - Aston Villa 0:1 Premier League
21.09. Legia - Aston Villa 3:2 Conference League
16.09. Aston Villa - Crystal Palace 3:1 Premier League
03.09. Liverpool - Aston Villa 3:0 Premier League
01.09. Aston Villa - Hibernian 3:0 Conference League

Aston Villa have an experienced coach on the bench in Unai Emery, but their attacking prowess left a lot to be desired last season. The transfer of Moussa Diaby countered this weakness during the summer break. With Diaby, Bailey and Watkins, a magical triangle could now be formed that will cause a sensation this season.

Tyrone Mings Cruciate ligament rupture
Emiliano Buendía Cruciate ligament tear


Brighton & Hove Albion achieved a sensational sixth place in the past season and are participating in the Europa League for the first time. The father of this success is Roberto De Zerbi. The head coach has succeeded in developing a team that is extremely offensively strong with manageable resources. Nevertheless, it is important to note that the team certainly still has room for improvement on the defensive side.

Last games
24.09. Brighton - Bournemouth 3:1 Premier League
22.09. Brighton - AEK Athens FC 2:3 Europa League
16.09. Man United - Brighton 1:3 Premier League
02.09. Brighton - Newcastle 3:1 Premier League
26.08. Brighton - West Ham 1:3 Premier League

With a total market value of €380m, which is relatively low by Premier League standards, there are no superstars in the Seagulls squad. Among the most prominent players are Ansu Fati, Joao Pedro and Evan Ferguson. The strength of the Blue and Whites lies not in the quality of the individual players, but in the strategy and cohesion within the squad. If Brighton manage to be defensively stable this season, qualification for the top flight is certainly within the realms of possibility.

Jakub Moder Cruciate ligament rupture
Julio Enciso Meniscus tear

👕 Possible Player Assignments

Pos. Aston Villa - 4-2-3-1 Brighton - 4-2-3-1 Pos.
Tw. E. Martinez B. Verbruggen Tw.
Tw. L. Digne J. Veltman Tw.
Abv. P. Torres A. Webster Dev.
Dev. E. Konsa L. Dunk Dev.
Dev. M. Cash P. Estupinán Abw.
Midf. Douglas Luiz M. Dahoud Midf.
Midf. B. Kamara B. Gilmour Midf.
Midf. N. Zaniolo F. Buonanotte Midf.
Midf. M. Diaby D. Welbeck Midf.
Midf. J. McGinn S. Adingra Midf.
Angr. O. Watkins E. Ferguson Angr.

Win for Aston Villa!

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