Tournament | Premier League |
Timetable | 15:00 GMT - 28th Oct 2023 |
Prediction | Arsenal To Win! |
Odds | 1.14 |
Bookmaker | Dachbet Sports |
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As any fan of football betting will tell you, only the most risk hungry bettor or Sheffield United fan will back the Blades to beat Arsenal at the Emirates Stadium on October 28th. After all, they remain rooted to the bottom of the Premier League with just one point and seven goals from nine matches so far, while their expected goals tally of 7.5 is also the lowest in the competition. However, Arsenal have yet to hit top gear themselves and had to come back from two goals down against Chelsea to earn a point last time out, so the Blades may never have a better chance to get the better of the Gunners. But what do the ante post odds say, and who do I think will win in North London? Let’s find out!
🏆 Arsenal vs Sheffield United
Arsenal have won 51 of the 118 matches they’ve played against the Blades since the two side’s first meeting on February 7th, 1903, although Sheffield United have at least prevailed in two of the last six Premier League games. However, both of these victories came at Bramall Lane, and the Blades haven’t beaten Arsenal on the road since a 1-0 Division One clash at Highbury in August 1971.
Not only is the weight of history in Arsenal’s favour, but this season’s EPL stats also highlight the magnitude of the challenge facing Sheffield United. For example, the Gunners’ expected goals value (15.9) is more than double that of the Blades (7.5), while they’ve averaged 60.0% possession in their nine games (compared to just 38.6% for their opponents). Their tally of shot-creating actions per 90 minutes is also 26.22 this season, while Sheffield United rank bottom for this metric with just 14.44.
The Blades have also been the deepest EPL team in 2023/24 in terms of their average positions, so I expect them to adopt a low and compact defensive block at the Emirates and attempt to soak up pressure before launching counterattacks. This may only be effective for so long, however, and while the Gunners may toil at times during attacking phases, I think they’ll end up winning comfortably here.
My Prediction: 🏆 Arsenal 3 -Sheffield United 0 ⚽
💯 Arsenal vs Sheffield United UCL Match Odds
When you compare the market leading EPL betting sites, you’ll see a huge range of match wagering markets pertaining to Arsenal v Sheffield United. But which of these are the most popular, and what ante post odds are currently available to bettors?
Arsenal vs Sheffield United: Match Winner
The Gunners are overwhelming favourites to beat their struggling EPL rivals, with an average price of 1.13 being offered by bookies. Conversely, the Blades can be backed as high as 19.00 to win, with the implied probability of an Arsenal win estimated at around 88.4%.
Team | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Arsenal to Win | 1.13 | 1.13 | 1.10 | 1.13 | 1.14 |
Sheffield United to Win | 19.00 | 15.00 | 17.80 | 17.00 | 19.00 |
Draw | 8.00 | 8.00 | 8.20 | 8.50 | 8.00 |
Arsenal vs Sheffield United: Both Teams To Score
While the Blades have struggled both offensively and defensively this season, they’ve actually scored in six of their nine EPL matches so far. At the same time, they’ve failed to keep a single clean sheet in the top-flight, so while the current BTTS odds imply a higher probability of both sides not scoring here, this market remains deceptively difficult to call.
Yes/No | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | 2.15 | 2.20 | 2.41 | 2.25 | 2.15 |
No | 1.62 | 1.65 | 1.48 | 1.70 | 1.65 |
Arsenal vs Sheffield United: Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Aside from their 8-0 mauling at the hands of Newcastle on September 24th, the Blades have only conceded more than two goals in a game on one other occasion. So, although Sheffield United’s 10 matches in 2023/24 have yielded 31 goals at a rate of 3.10 per game, this falls to just 2.30 when you remove the Newcastle result. As for the Gunners, their 13 contests in all competitions have produced 36 goals at 2.76 per game, so this market is delicately poised when betting around the 2.5 goals line.
Under/Over | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Over 2.5 Goals | 1.33 | 1.38 | 1.35 | 1.36 | 1.36 |
Under 2.5 Goals | 2.90 | 2.90 | 2.85 | 2.90 | 3.00 |
✔️ Arsenal v Sheffield United - Betting Tips
There are plenty of things that impact on these Arsenal v Sheffield United betting odds, including form, injuries and the Gunners‘ participation in tournaments such as the Champions League. Such factors can make it hard to navigate the available markets, so here are some betting tips to help you on your way.
- Tip 1: Arsenal to Win With a Handicap of -2.5 Goals: Arsenal are overwhelming favourites to beat Sheffield United, so you may want to consider handicapping the Gunners as a way of creating additional value in the published odds. For example, backing Arsenal to win with a handicap of -2.5 goals unlocks an extended price of 2.10 with LegendPlay Sports, while this arguably reflects the Gunners’ superiority and the likely winning margin here. Just remember that Arsenal will have to win by three clear goals for the wager to be successful.
- Tip 2: Back Both Sides Not to Score: While the Blades have scored in six of 10 matches in all competitions this season, their average possession stats, number of shot-creating actions and passing accuracy (71.8%) all rank in the bottom two of the EPL. It’s also hard to see them building attacks against an organised and highly structured Arsenal side, which has already kept six clean sheets in 13 matches this season. You can get on both sides not to score at an ante post price of 1.70 with TonyBet.
- Tip 3: Back Arsenal to Win by 3 Goals: When looking to create further value in match betting markets or make the most of an available free bet on your account, you could also consider backing the Gunners to win by a margin of three goals. This outcome can be backed at the generous price of 4.50 with TonyBet, and while it introduces a higher level of precision and risk, it could also deliver impressive returns.
1️⃣ Arsenal Update
Arsenal have only lost one of their 13 matches so far this season, with this coming in the UCL in the form of a 2-1 defeat in Lens. They’ve already won the Community Shield too, while the team hasn’t been beaten in the Premier League since a 1-0 reversal at Nottingham Forest on May 20th. So, they’ll kick off in North London in exceptional form, despite being yet to achieve the same attacking fluency and potency that they showcased for much of the 2022/23 campaign. However, they’ll need to improve on their performance last time out against Chelsea, where it was only two late goals that salvaged a point following a passive display.
Last 5 Games | |
---|---|
Chelsea 2 Arsenal 2 | 21.10.23 Premier League |
Arsenal 1 Man City 0 | 08.10.23 Premier League |
RC Lens 2 Arsenal 1 | 03.10.23 Champions League |
Bournemouth 0 Arsenal 4 | 30.09.23 Premier League |
Brentford 0 Arsenal 1 | 27.09.23 EFL Cup |
Both William Saliba and Bukayo Saka appear to have recovered from minor toe and thigh injuries respectively, with the latter setting up Leandro Trossard’s equaliser at Stamford Bridge. However, Dutch defender Jurrien Timber remains a long-term absentee with a cruciate ligament tear.
Player | Reason |
---|---|
Jurrien Timber | Cruciate Ligament Tear |
2️⃣ Sheffield United Update
Incredibly, Sheffield United have mirrored the start to their disastrous 2020/21 EPL campaign, which ultimately saw them go winless for 17 top-flight games and finish bottom with just 23 points from 38 matches. No team has ever escaped relegation after taking just a single point from the first nine Premier League games, so the Blades need to start winning quickly if they’re to have any chance of bucking this trend. Their lack of progressive carries is also both marked and alarming from a performance perspective, with their tally of just 69 a staggering 59 lower than their nearest rivals (Crystal Palace) and indicative of a team that struggles to break into the attacking third.
Last 5 Games | |
---|---|
Sheffield United 1 Man United 2 | 21.10.23 Premier League |
Fulham 3 Sheffield United 1 | 07.10.23 Premier League |
West Ham 2 Sheffield United 0 | 30.09.23 Premier League |
Sheffield United 0 Newcastle United 8 | 24.09.23 Premier League |
Tottenham 2 Sheffield United 1 | 16.09.23 Premier League |
Sheffield United remain without 35-year-old defender Chris Basham, who suffered a serious foot and ankle injury in the recent EPL clash against Fulham. Fellow centre back John Egan is also likely to miss out with a foot complaint.
Player | Reason |
---|---|
Chris Basham | Ankle Injury |
John Egan | Foot Injury |
👕 Arsenal v Sheffield United - Potential Lineups
Pos. | Arsenal 4-3-3 | Sheffield United 4-4-2 | Pos. |
---|---|---|---|
Goalkeeper | A. Ramsdale | W. Fotheringham | Goalkeeper |
Right Back | B. White | J. Bogle | Right Back |
Centre Back | W. Saliba | A. Trusty | Centre Back |
Centre Back | Gabriel | J. Robinson | Centre Back |
Left Back | T. Tomiyasu | L. Thomas | Left Back |
Midfielder | D. Rice | J. McAtee | Right Midfielder |
Midfielder | T. Partey | O. Norwood | Central Midfielder |
Midfielder | M. Ødegaard | V. Souza | Central Midfielder |
Wide Forward | B. Saka | G. Hamer | Left Midfielder |
Striker | K. Havertz | O. McBurnie | Striker |
Wide Forward | G. Martinelli | C. Archer | Striker |
✒️ Lewis Humphries – Expert Tipster
Lewis Humphries is an experienced football writer and tipster from the UK. He writes regularly about the Champions League, Premier League, Serie A and other competitions, regularly delivering expert match predictions and betting insights. He also successfully predicted the winner of the 2022 FIFA World Cup, while accurately forecasting the outcome of several group stage and knockout games.
Lewis doesn't just stick to sports; you can also find plenty of casino gaming content. He's reviewed some of the world's leading online casino platforms, while creating blog posts and landing page content for various sports betting brands. His content has also been featured on a number of different sites, including Life Hack, Investopedia, Yahoo Finance and Business Insider. He also pens regular sports features for sites including 90 Minutes, Think Football Ideas and Sportsblog.
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