Arsenal vs Brighton Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips

🏆 Arsenal vs Brighton EPL Prediction

While Arsenal have won 15 of their 28 matches with Brighton (all but one of which have taken place after August 1979), they’ve recorded just a single victory in the last five games in all competitions. This was a 4-2 win in an entertaining clash at the Amex in December 2022, but it should be noted that the Gulls have prevailed on each of their last three visits to the Emirates Stadium.

Of course, the good news for the Gunners is that they’re in much better form ahead of Brighton’s upcoming visit. More specifically, they’ve claimed 22 points from the last 30 available to them and lost just two of their last 17 EPL matches since May, while Brighton’s run of two wins in 10 outings has since them earn just 11 points since September 24th.

While these teams are evenly matched in terms of goals scored and shot-creating actions per 90, Arsenal have been much more efficient from a defensive perspective. For example, they’ve won a league high 55.8% of their tackles in this season’s Premier League, compared to just 42.6% for Brighton (which is the fourth lowest percentage in the division).

The Gunners have also completed more blocks and won considerably more tackles in the final third (46 vs 36) across their 16 matches, so they’re clearly much improved defensively and more proactive out of possession. Given this and the absence of at least seven Brighton players through injury, I’m tipping Arsenal to win in what should be an entertaining and tactically enthralling match!

💯 Arsenal vs Brighton EPL Match Odds

Whichever sportsbook you choose from Betinireland’s bookmaker reviews, you’ll be able to find a broad range of markets pertaining to the clash between Arsenal and Brighton. I’ll analyse the three most popular below, including the likely match outcome, BTTS and the over/under on total goals scored in the contest!

🏅 Arsenal vs Brighton: Match Winner

Arsenal are the clear favourites to defeat Brighton at the Emirates, with their average price of 1.46 implying a 68.49% probability of a home win. Interestingly, you can back Brighton to win at around 6.00, which suggests that the Seagulls have just a 16.66% chance of prevailing. The latter odds are arguably a little long given Brighton’s recent performances at the Emirates, so you may spot some immediate value in backing De Zerbi’s charges to win!

Team
Arsenal to Win	1.44	1.50	1.46	1.46	1.50
Brighton to Win	6.00	5.50	5.55	6.00	6.00
Draw	4.20	4.33	4.45	4.20	4.50

⚽ Arsenal vs Brighton: Both Teams To Score

Both sides have scored in eight of Arsenal’s 16 Premier League games this season, and 12 of their 24 in all competitions. The Gunners have kept 10 clean sheets in total and failed to score on just two occasions. As for Brighton, both teams have found the net in all 16 of their EPL games in 2023/24, while they’ve only drawn a blank in one of their 22 outings in all competitions.

Yes/No
Yes	1.67	1.70	1.66	1.67	1.67
No	2.10	2.10	2.06	2.20	2.10

🥅 Arsenal vs Brighton: Over/Under 2.5 Goals

These two teams have played 46 matches combined through 2023/24 so far, with these encounters producing an impressive 149 goals at a rate of 3.23 per game. So, it’s no surprise that the over/under odds imply a higher probability of over 2.5 goals being scored in the game, especially as the last four head-to-head meetings have produced a total of 15 goals.

Under/Over
Over 2.5 Goals	1.57	1.57	1.56	1.57	1.57
Under 2.5 Goals	2.25	2.30	2.23	2.25	2.25

1️⃣ Arsenal Update

Only Aston Villa have taken more points than Arsenal during the last 10 EPL matches, thanks largely to the former’s 1-0 win over the Gunners at Villa Park at the weekend. Arsenal are undoubtedly one of the most consistent sides in the Premier League, with Mikel Arteta’s men sitting third in the annual table for 2023 having taken 77 points from a total of 38 matches. Arsenal have won nine and drawn two of their 11 home games in all competitions this season too (scoring 32 goals across these matches), although they’ve only kept two clean sheets at the Emirates in the Premier League.

Arsenal will remain without long-term absentee Jurrien Timber against Brighton, as he continues his recovery from a cruciate ligament tear. Midfielder Thomas Partey has also been ruled out until the New Year with a hamstring injury, while England U-21 star Emile Smith Rowe remains unavailable with a knee injury.

2️⃣ Brighton Update

When Brighton defeated Bournemouth 3-1 at the Amex on September 24th, they sat third in the Premier League table with 15 points from six matches and had a tally of 18 goals to their name. However, they’ve recorded just two victories in 10 EPL outings since then, scoring a relatively paltry 15 goals while conceding 20. This sequence has seen them win just once on the road in five attempts, with Villa, Manchester City and Chelsea having all put the Seagulls to the sword while plundering 11 goals. However, they remain a joy to watch and a huge threat in front of goal, having scored against every EPL opponent so far this season!

Brighton are without at least seven first-team players ahead of the trip to North London, including Julio Enciso (meniscus tear) and on-loan Barcelona winger Ansu Fati (knock). Solly March also remains a long-term absentee with a serious knee injury, while former Arsenal forward Danny Welbeck continues to nurse a hamstring strain. Left back Pervis Estupiñán (who scored in Brighton’s 3-0 win at the Emirates last season) is sidelined with a muscle complaint, while defenders Adam Webster (knock) and Tariq Lamptey (unknown injury) remain unavailable.

👕 Arsenal v Brighton- Potential Lineups

✒️ Lewis Humphries – Expert Tipster

Lewis Humphries is an experienced football writer and tipster from the UK. He writes regularly about the Champions League, Premier League, Serie A and other competitions, regularly delivering expert match predictions and betting insights. He also successfully predicted the winner of the 2022 FIFA World Cup, while accurately forecasting the outcome of several group stage and knockout games.