Arsenal vs Brighton Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips

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TournamentPremier League
Timetable14:00 GMT, 17th Dec 23
PredictionArsenal to Win!
Odds1.50
BookmakerLegend Play Sports
The best odds
Odds : 1.50
Bet €100 and win €150 if Arsenal win.
Bonus
T&C
Bet
Odds : 1.50
Bet €100 and win €150 if Arsenal win.
Bonus
€50+ 50 Free Spins
T&C
Bet
Odds : 1.46
Bet €100 and win €146 if Arsenal win.
Bonus
€10
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Bet

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Arsenal have slipped to second in the Premier League table after their narrow defeat at Aston Villa, but this was just the beginning of a tough run of festive fixtures that will see the Gunners entertain Brighton and then travel to Anfield. Although the Seagulls have only won two of their previous 10 EPL games, they remain incredibly well coached, while they also recorded a memorable 3-0 win at the Emirates on May 14th. But will Roberto De Zerbi’s men record another famous victory in North London, and how are the best betting sites pricing all potential match outcomes?

🏆 Arsenal vs Brighton EPL Prediction

While Arsenal have won 15 of their 28 matches with Brighton (all but one of which have taken place after August 1979), they’ve recorded just a single victory in the last five games in all competitions. This was a 4-2 win in an entertaining clash at the Amex in December 2022, but it should be noted that the Gulls have prevailed on each of their last three visits to the Emirates Stadium.

Of course, the good news for the Gunners is that they’re in much better form ahead of Brighton’s upcoming visit. More specifically, they’ve claimed 22 points from the last 30 available to them and lost just two of their last 17 EPL matches since May, while Brighton’s run of two wins in 10 outings has since them earn just 11 points since September 24th.

While these teams are evenly matched in terms of goals scored and shot-creating actions per 90, Arsenal have been much more efficient from a defensive perspective. For example, they’ve won a league high 55.8% of their tackles in this season’s Premier League, compared to just 42.6% for Brighton (which is the fourth lowest percentage in the division).

The Gunners have also completed more blocks and won considerably more tackles in the final third (46 vs 36) across their 16 matches, so they’re clearly much improved defensively and more proactive out of possession. Given this and the absence of at least seven Brighton players through injury, I’m tipping Arsenal to win in what should be an entertaining and tactically enthralling match!

My Prediction: 🏆 Arsenal 2 – 1 Brighton ⚽

💯 Arsenal vs Brighton EPL Match Odds

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Whichever sportsbook you choose from Betinireland’s bookmaker reviews, you’ll be able to find a broad range of markets pertaining to the clash between Arsenal and Brighton. I’ll analyse the three most popular below, including the likely match outcome, BTTS and the over/under on total goals scored in the contest!

🏅 Arsenal vs Brighton: Match Winner

Arsenal are the clear favourites to defeat Brighton at the Emirates, with their average price of 1.46 implying a 68.49% probability of a home win. Interestingly, you can back Brighton to win at around 6.00, which suggests that the Seagulls have just a 16.66% chance of prevailing. The latter odds are arguably a little long given Brighton’s recent performances at the Emirates, so you may spot some immediate value in backing De Zerbi’s charges to win!

Team
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Arsenal to Win1.441.501.461.461.50
Brighton to Win6.005.505.556.006.00
Draw4.204.334.454.204.50

⚽ Arsenal vs Brighton: Both Teams To Score

Both sides have scored in eight of Arsenal’s 16 Premier League games this season, and 12 of their 24 in all competitions. The Gunners have kept 10 clean sheets in total and failed to score on just two occasions. As for Brighton, both teams have found the net in all 16 of their EPL games in 2023/24, while they’ve only drawn a blank in one of their 22 outings in all competitions.

Yes/No
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Yes1.671.701.661.671.67
No2.102.102.062.202.10

🥅 Arsenal vs Brighton: Over/Under 2.5 Goals

These two teams have played 46 matches combined through 2023/24 so far, with these encounters producing an impressive 149 goals at a rate of 3.23 per game. So, it’s no surprise that the over/under odds imply a higher probability of over 2.5 goals being scored in the game, especially as the last four head-to-head meetings have produced a total of 15 goals.

Under/Over
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Over 2.5 Goals1.571.571.561.571.57
Under 2.5 Goals2.252.302.232.252.25

✔️ Arsenal vs Brighton - Betting Tips

Given the win market odds, there may be some value in using your available free bets to engage in matched betting. This enables you to lay a back bet on Arsenal to win using a single stake, covering all match outcomes and guaranteeing a profit. Otherwise, here are some alternative expert betting tips ahead of the clash between Arsenal and Brighton.

  • Tip 1: Back Arsenal to Win and Both Sides to Score: Arsenal have scored in every home this season, and 12 consecutively since their 3-0 defeat to Brighton in May. Interestingly, the Seagulls have scored in all but one of their 22 games so far in 2023/24, while they’ve netted in an incredible 20 successive away matches since a 2-0 defeat at Brentford on October 14th 2022. So, there’s obvious value in backing Arsenal to win and both sides to score at a price of 2.90 with Betway.
  • Tip 2: Back The First Goal to be Scored Between Minutes 21 and 30: If you have a free bet that you don’t want to use on matched betting, you could instead wager on the timing of the first goal. Interestingly, Brighton have been slow starters and conceded 12 goals in the opening 30 minutes of EPL games, while the Gunners have scored eight and conceded just five during the same period. So, you can back the first goal to be scored between minutes 21 and 30 at an enhanced price of 5.80 with LegendPlay.
  • Tip 3: Back Bukayo Saka as an Anytime Goalscorer: The precocious 22-year-old winger Bukayo Saka has been Arsenal’s leading goal threat this season, scoring five time in 15 Premier League appearances and eight goals in 22 games overall. He has also contributed 12 assists in all competitions, while he opened the scoring at the Amex Stadium last season. So, you can get on Saka as an anytime goalscorer at a price of price of 2.88 with Dachbet Sports.

1️⃣ Arsenal Update

Only Aston Villa have taken more points than Arsenal during the last 10 EPL matches, thanks largely to the former’s 1-0 win over the Gunners at Villa Park at the weekend. Arsenal are undoubtedly one of the most consistent sides in the Premier League, with Mikel Arteta’s men sitting third in the annual table for 2023 having taken 77 points from a total of 38 matches. Arsenal have won nine and drawn two of their 11 home games in all competitions this season too (scoring 32 goals across these matches), although they’ve only kept two clean sheets at the Emirates in the Premier League.

Last 5 Games
Aston Villa 1
Arsenal 0
09.12.23
Premier League
Luton Town 3
Arsenal 4
05.12.23
Premier League
Arsenal 2
Wolves 1
02.12.23
Premier League
Arsenal 6
RC Lens 0
29.11.23
Champions League
Brentford 0
Arsenal 1
25.11.23
Premier League

Arsenal will remain without long-term absentee Jurrien Timber against Brighton, as he continues his recovery from a cruciate ligament tear. Midfielder Thomas Partey has also been ruled out until the New Year with a hamstring injury, while England U-21 star Emile Smith Rowe remains unavailable with a knee injury.

PlayerReason
Jurrien Timber Cruciate Ligament Tear
Thomas Partey Hamstring Injury
Emile Smith Rowe Knee Injury

2️⃣ Brighton Update

When Brighton defeated Bournemouth 3-1 at the Amex on September 24th, they sat third in the Premier League table with 15 points from six matches and had a tally of 18 goals to their name. However, they’ve recorded just two victories in 10 EPL outings since then, scoring a relatively paltry 15 goals while conceding 20. This sequence has seen them win just once on the road in five attempts, with Villa, Manchester City and Chelsea having all put the Seagulls to the sword while plundering 11 goals. However, they remain a joy to watch and a huge threat in front of goal, having scored against every EPL opponent so far this season!

Last 5 Games
Brighton 1
Burnley 1
09.12.23
Premier League
Brighton 2
Brentford 1
06.12.23
Premier League
Chelsea 3
Brighton 2
03.12.23
Premier League
AEK Athens 0
Brighton 1
30.11.23
Europa League
Nottingham Forest 2
Brighton 3
25.11.23
Premier League

Brighton are without at least seven first-team players ahead of the trip to North London, including Julio Enciso (meniscus tear) and on-loan Barcelona winger Ansu Fati (knock). Solly March also remains a long-term absentee with a serious knee injury, while former Arsenal forward Danny Welbeck continues to nurse a hamstring strain. Left back Pervis Estupiñán (who scored in Brighton’s 3-0 win at the Emirates last season) is sidelined with a muscle complaint, while defenders Adam Webster (knock) and Tariq Lamptey (unknown injury) remain unavailable.

PlayerReason
Julio Enciso Meniscus Tear
Ansu Fati Knock
Solly March Knee Injury
Danny Welbeck Hamstring Injury
Pervis Estupiñán Muscle Injury
Adam Webster Knock
Tariq Lamptey Unknown Injury

👕 Arsenal v Brighton- Potential Lineups

Pos. Arsenal
4-3-3
Brighton
4-2-3-1
Pos.
Goalkeeper D. Raya J. Steele Goalkeeper
Right Back B. White P. Groß Right Back
Centre Back W. Saliba J.P. van Hecke Centre Back
Centre Back Gabriel L. Dunk Centre Back
Left Back O. Zinchenko J. Milner Left Back
Midfielder M. Ødegaard B. Gilmour Midfielder
Midfielder Jorginho M. Dahoud Midfielder
Midfielder D. Rice F. Buonanotte Midfielder
Wide Forward B. Saka S. Adingra Wide Forward
Striker G. Jesus E. Ferguson Striker
Wide Forward G. Martinelli K. Mitoma Wide Forward

✒️ Lewis Humphries – Expert Tipster

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Lewis Humphries is an experienced football writer and tipster from the UK. He writes regularly about the Champions League, Premier League, Serie A and other competitions, regularly delivering expert match predictions and betting insights. He also successfully predicted the winner of the 2022 FIFA World Cup, while accurately forecasting the outcome of several group stage and knockout games.

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