BSC Young Boys Bern v Red Star Belgrade Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips

bsc-young-boys-red-star-logo bsc-young-boys-red-star-logo
TournamentChampions League
Timetable20:00 GMT, 28th Nov 23
PredictionRed Star Belgrade to Win!
Odds3.20
BookmakerBetiton
Red Star Belgrade to Win!
The best odds
1.
Betiton
Odds : 3.20
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betway
Odds : 3.10
Bet €100 and win €310 if Red Star Belgrade win.
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Legend Play Sports
Odds : 3.25
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bsc-young-boys-red-star-logo bsc-young-boys-red-star-logo

Both Young Boys and Red Star Belgrade have already been eliminated from the 2023/24 Champions League, as they sit third and fourth respectively in Group G with a single point apiece. However, this game will prove key to determining who finishes third and secure a Europa League spot, with a win for either side affording them a critical and unassailable advantage in their head-to-head record. But which team do I think will prevail at the Wankdorf Stadium, and what wagering markets are being made available by the best betting sites for the UCL?

🏆 BSC Young Boys Bern v Red Star Belgrade UCL Prediction

These two sides have now played each other five times in UEFA competition, including the entertaining 2-2 draw at the Rajko Mitić Stadium on October 4th. Previously, the sides also played each other home and away in the second round of qualifying for the 2004/05 UCL, before contesting the final playoff round ahead of the 2019/20 tournament proper.

Four of these five matches have now ended in draws, with Red Star recording the sole victory at home (3-0) in August 2004. So, there’s clearly little between both sides either historically or in 2023, although Red Star have been a little more effective offensively in this season’s tournament. To this end, they’ve produced more shot-creating actions per 90 (22.25 vs 15.00), while their xG value of 5.8 is also noticeably higher than Young Boys’ (3.5).

While Young Boys and Red Star have averaged 40.8% and 39.8% possession respectively in this seasons’ Champions League, these figures have been influenced by the dominance of Manchester City and RB Leipzig in Group G. Overall, I expect Young Boys to hold slightly more of the ball than their opponents in Switzerland, potentially enabling Red Star to showcase their attacking quality in transition.

Red Star have also completed more ball recoveries (217) than their opponents, while their tally of 15 tackles in the final third is the highest in this season’s UCL. So, Young Boys will be susceptible to Red Star’s aggressive counter pressing too, and I’m tipping the away side to edge a tight and exciting game here.

My Prediction: 🏆 Young Boys 2 – 3 Red Star Belgrade ⚽

💯 BSC Young Boys Bern v Red Star Belgrade Match Odds

If you browse the sportsbooks recommended in Betireland’s bookmaker reviews, you’ll see that they offer a huge range of markets relating to the clash between BSC Young Boys Bern and Red Star Belgrade. Here’s a summary of the most popular markets and their latest odds!

🏅 BSC Young Boys Bern v Red Star Belgrade: Match Winner

Young Boys are the favourites to beat their Group G rivals, while their average price of 2.05 implies a 48.78% probability of this outcome occurring. As for Red Star, they can be backed at around 3.10 to prevail, which affords the Serbian SuperLiga outfit a 32.25% chance of winning from a statistical perspective.

Team
BSC Young Boys to Win2.102.052.032.052.08
Red Star Belgrade to Win3.003.103.203.233.25
Draw3.603.603.653.673.66

⚽ BSC Young Boys Bern v Red Star Belgrade Both Teams To Score

Both teams have scored in 13 of the 19 games contested by Red Star in 2023/24, while the side has only kept three clean sheets since August 26th. They’ve scored in every game this season too, while both teams have found the back of the net in 12 of Young Boys’ 21 matches in all competitions. The Swiss side has only failed to score twice in 2023/24.

Yes/No
Yes1.471.601.521.591.53
No2.382.302.372.362.38

🥅 BSC Young Boys Bern v Red Star Belgrade: Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Incredibly, the 41 matches contested by BSC Young Boys Bern and Red Star Belgrade in 2023/24 have yielded at total of 139 goals, at a rate of 3.39 per game. The side’s four UCL games have each produced 15 goals too, while Young Boys and Red Star shared an exciting 2-2 draw in Belgrade during gameweek two.

Under/Over
Over 2.5 Goals1.611.611.601.651.64
Under 2.5 Goals2.202.202.182.212.20

✔️ BSC Young Boys Bern v Red Star Belgrade - Betting Tips

Due to the evenly matched nature of these two sides, you may want to consider matched betting as a way of laying a back bet on Red Star Belgrade and covering simultaneous outcomes. Below, you’ll also find some alternative betting tips to help you make the most of your bankroll.

  • Tip 1: Back Red Star to Win With Over 2.5 Goals: You can always create value in match betting by placing combination wagers. For example, I think there’s value in backing Red Star to win with over 2.5 goals scored in the game at a price of 4.75 with Betway, especially when you consider the attacking capabilities of both sides and the fact that they’ve conceded 2.75 and 2.50 goals per game respectively in this season’s Champions League.
  • Tip 2: Back There to Be Over 3.5 Goals Scored : When it comes to over/under wagering on the total number of goals scored in the game, 2.5 goals remains the single most popular betting line. However, the matches involving Young Boys and Red Star have produced 139 goals at 3.39 per game in 2023/24, including four in the 2-2 draw during gameweek two. So, you may find value in betting on over 3.5 goals scored at a price of 2.63 with LegendPlay.
  • Tip 3: Back Red Star to Win By a Single Goal: If you have one or multiple free bets on your chosen sportsbook account, you may want to engage in winning margin betting. For example, you can back Red Star to win by a single goal at the generous price of 5.00 with TonyBet Sports, which reflects the evenly matched nature of the two sides and their previous encounter at the beginning of October.

1️⃣ BSC Young Boys Bern Update

Despite only taking a single point from their four Champions League games so far, Young Boys currently sit top of the Swiss Premier Leage with eight wins and just one defeat from 13 matches so far. They’re also unbeaten at home domestically (winning five of their six league games and scoring 20 goals in the process), while their only defeats at the Wankdorf Stadium have come in the UCL against RB Leipzig and Manchester City (both 3-1). Forward Meschak Elia has also been in excellent form for Young Boys in Europe this season, scoring two of his team’s four goals during the group stages from an xG value of just 0.7.

Last 5 Games
Young Boys 6
Luzern 1
11.11.23
Swiss Premier League
Man City 3
Young Boys 0
07.11.23
Champions League
Winterthur 1
Young Boys 4
04.11.23
Swiss Premier League
Rapperswil 0
Young Boys 2
01.11.23
Swiss Cup
Lugano 1
Young Boys 1
29.10.23
Swiss Premier League

Defensive midfield kingpin Sandro Lauper will miss the visit of Red Star, as he begins a two game suspension following his straight red card in the 3-0 defeat at Manchester City last time out. Midfield pair Kastriot Imeri (torn lateral knee ligament) and Lukasz Lakomy (unknown injury) will both miss out too, with no known return date for either player at the time of writing.

PlayerReason
Kastriot Imeri Torn Lateral Knee Ligament
Lukasz Lakomy Unknown Injury
Sandro Lauper Suspended

2️⃣ Red Star Belgrade Update

Across all competitions, Red Star Belgrade have won 63.16% of their games this season, recording 12 victories in 19 matches while scoring 47 goals at a rate of 2.47 per 90. However, they’ve also incurred five defeats, four of which have come on the road and away from the Rajko Mitić Stadium. However, after a run of one win four games between August 26th and September 19th, Barak Bakhar’s men have won seven of their 11 matches and only experienced defeat to RB Leipzig in gameweeks three and four of the UCL. So, they’ll arrive in Switzerland in generally good form and confident of getting a result!

Last 5 Games
FK Železničar Pančevo 1
Red Star Belgrade 2
11.11.23
Serbian SuperLiga
Red Star Belgrade 1
RB Leipzig 2
07.11.23
Champions League
Red Star Belgrade 3
FK Radnik Surdulica 1
04.11.23
Serbian SuperLiga
Red Star Belgrade 1
Backa Topola 1
01.11.23
Serbian SuperLiga
IMT 1
Red Star Belgrade 2
28.10.23
Serbian SuperLiga

In addition to the sides improved form of late, there’s further good news for Red Star Belgrade in that they have no new injuries or suspensions ahead of their trip to Switzerland. This means that they’ll be able to select from a fully fit squad and field their strongest possible starting 11 against Young Boys.

👕 BSC Young Boys Bern v Red Star Belgrade - Potential Lineups

Pos. Young Boys
4-1-2-1
Red Star Belgrade
4-2-3-1
Pos.
Goalkeeper A. Racioppi O. Glazer Goalkeeper
Right Back L. Blum S. Mijailović Right Back
Centre Back M.A. Camara N. Djiga Centre Back
Centre Back L. Benito A. Dragović Centre Back
Left Back U. Garcia M. Rodic Left Back
Defensive Midfielder C. Niasse M. Stamenić Midfielder
Midfielder J. Monteiro Hwang In-beom Midfielder
Midfielder E. Colley M. Ivanić Midfielder
Attacking Midfielder D. Males O. Bukari Wide Forward
Striker M. Elia C. Ndiaye Striker
Striker C. Itten S. Mitrović Wide Forward

Red Star Belgrade to Win!

✒️ Lewis Humphries – Expert Tipster

Lewis Humphries is an experienced football writer and tipster from the UK. He writes regularly about the Champions League, Premier League, Serie A and other competitions, regularly delivering expert match predictions and betting insights. He also successfully predicted the winner of the 2022 FIFA World Cup, while accurately forecasting the outcome of several group stage and knockout games.

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